The 2024 Cox Plate promises to be an exciting contest at Moonee Valley on October 26. With a prize pool of over $5 million, this Group 1 weight-for-age event brings together top-class talent from Australia and internationally. Here’s a runner-by-runner analysis and some key betting tips for the big race.
Race day weather –
Slight chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. Unlikely to rain saturday which should put the track in the soft – Good range depending on fridays rain and what fridays racing does to the track.
Mr Brightside narrowly missed last year’s Cox Plate and comes off a second in the Caulfield Stakes. Although he’s winless at 2000m, his strong record at Moonee Valley makes him a top chance with winkers on.
This Japanese raider is a proven international traveler with a solid 2000m record. He can threaten if he jumps cleanly, but a slow start could hurt his chances.
An international runner with strong form at shorter distances, Docklands struggled at 2112m last start but remains a class horse. The 2000m distance could test him again.
A bold front-runner with a win at 2000m earlier this year, but with quick back-up and her aggressive racing style, she might struggle to finish strongly against this field.
Outstanding over 2000m, Via Sistina bounced back from a defeat to win the Turnbull Stakes. Concerns about a recent trackwork incident might cloud her chances, but if she’s fit, she’s dangerous.
Broadsiding is one of the more exciting prospects, coming into this after winning the Golden Rose. His first attempt at 2000m will test his staying power, but he’s full of potential.
A talented three-year-old with strong form at 1600m but untested over 2000m. While his latest run in the Caulfield Guineas was credible, his stamina over this distance is a question mark.
Tips:
Mr Brightside (1)
Prognosis (2)
Via Sistina (7)
Broadsiding (8)
This year’s Cox Plate is wide open, with Mr Brightside and Prognosis leading the charge. Via Sistina brings proven 2000m form, while Broadsiding is the dark horse with untapped potential over the trip.
When it comes to horse racing betting odds, enthusiasts and seasoned punters alike often find themselves amidst a sea of numbers and fluctuating odds. Understanding what drives these odds and how to use tools like the Same Race Multi (SRM) to your advantage is key to making informed bets and maximizing returns. In this blog, we delve into the factors that set competitive horse racing betting odds apart and explore how products like SRM can help enhance your betting strategy.
Understanding Horse Racing Betting Odds
Horse racing betting odds are more than mere numbers; they are a reflection of the probability of a particular outcome in a race and determine your potential payout. Typically expressed as fractions (such as 5/1) or decimals (like 6.0), these odds are shaped by a combination of bookmaker insights, market sentiment, and various influencing factors.
Competitive odds are characterized by their ability to offer value—meaning that the potential payout justifies the perceived risk of the bet. It’s crucial to note that not all horse betting sites offer identical odds for the same race. Variations in odds can result from several factors, including the amount of money bet on a horse, expert insights, or simply the bookmaker’s strategy.
Factors Influencing Horse Racing Betting Odds
Form and Performance of the Horse: Horses with a strong track record and consistent performance generally have shorter odds compared to those with less impressive past performances.
Jockey and Trainer Influence: The reputation and skill of the jockey and trainer can significantly impact the odds. A top-rated jockey riding a horse may lead to shorter odds due to increased public confidence.
Track and Weather Conditions: Different horses perform differently under varying conditions. Odds may fluctuate based on whether the track is dry or muddy, as some horses excel in particular conditions.
Market Movements and Betting Volume: The amount of money placed on a horse can cause odds to shift. A sudden influx of bets on a particular horse might lead to shorter odds.
Expert Insights and Horse Racing Tips Today: Many punters rely on daily tips and expert analysis to make their betting decisions. These insights can often cause shifts in the odds as they sway public opinion.
Maximising Your Returns with Same Race Multi (SRM) Bets
The Same Race Multi (SRM) product is a unique feature offered by ColossalBet, designed to enhance your betting experience by allowing you to predict the finishing positions of multiple horses in a single race. This tool is particularly advantageous for punters looking to increase their potential payouts by combining multiple outcomes into one bet.
How SRM Works:
Combine Multiple Selections: With SRM, you can select multiple horses and predict their finishing positions within the same race. For instance, you might choose Horse A to finish first and Horse B to finish third.
Boost Your Odds: By combining multiple selections into one bet, you effectively increase the odds. This means that even if the individual odds for each horse are not particularly high, the combined odds in an SRM bet can offer a substantial payout.
Flexible Betting Options: SRM provides flexibility in betting. You can opt for a conservative approach by selecting horses to finish in any order within a specific range, or you can go for higher returns by specifying exact finishing positions.
Advantages of Using SRM:
Increased Returns: The primary benefit of SRM is the ability to boost your potential returns by betting on multiple outcomes in a single race.
Strategic Depth: SRM adds a layer of strategic depth to your betting. It encourages punters to think beyond simply picking a winner and consider other horses’ potential finishing positions.
Engaging Experience: Watching a race with multiple bets in play can enhance the excitement and engagement, as multiple outcomes contribute to the final result.
Choosing the Best Markets with SRM
When deciding which markets to bet on using SRM, consider the following:
Horse and Jockey Form: As with any bet, it’s crucial to assess the form of the horses and their jockeys. Horses with consistent performance and skilled jockeys are safer picks for SRM bets.
Race Conditions: Evaluate the race conditions, including track surface and weather. Horses that perform well under specific conditions should be included in your SRM strategy.
Diversity in Selections: Diversifying your selections by choosing horses with different running styles or preferences can increase your chances of winning an SRM bet. For example, pairing a frontrunner with a strong finisher could cover various possible race outcomes.
Utilise Horse Racing Tips Today: Stay updated with the latest tips and insights. Expert recommendations can provide valuable guidance on which horses to include in your SRM bets.
Why ColossalBet is the Best Choice for Horse Racing Bets
At ColossalBet, we pride ourselves on offering competitive horse racing betting odds and innovative products like SRM that give our customers an edge. Our platform provides a seamless betting experience, supported by personalised tips, great promotions, and the best-in-class odds for both racing and sports markets.
With easy deposits and instant withdrawals, including the convenience of the ColossalBet Mastercard, betting has never been more straightforward.
Boost Your Horse Racing Betting Experience
Horse racing offers a dynamic and thrilling betting environment, and with tools like SRM, you can take your betting strategy to new heights. Understanding the factors that influence horse racing betting odds and leveraging innovative betting products like SRM can provide you with a significant advantage. Always remember, successful betting is about combining knowledge with the right tools.
Always remember, the best strategy involves a combination of research, understanding the market dynamics, and choosing a reliable platform like ColossalBet.
Ready to take your horse racing bets to the next level? Visit ColossalBet today to explore the best odds and markets available.
The highly anticipated 2024 Moir Stakes at Moonee Valley promises to deliver one of the most exciting 1000m sprints of the season. Set to be run on September 7, this Group 1 race has drawn an exceptional field of sprinters, featuring a blend of proven champions and rising stars. With a $750,000 prize on the line, the stakes couldn’t be higher as the spring racing season kicks into full swing.
1. I Wish I Win (5) – Kingsford Smith Cup winner. Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation won by long-neck Eagle Farm G1 K-Smith Cup June 1 over 1300m slow track defeating Bella Nipotina with 59kg at $3.80. When resuming last campaign third of 13 at Randwick in the G1 T J Smith April 6 over 1200m, in the wet; a neck behind Chain Of Lightning with 58.5kg at $4. A-class sprinter who will be charging at them late.
2. Mornington Glory (1) – Group 1 placegetter. Recent form sound. Last start favourite; won by a neck at this track LR Norman Carlyon August 24 over 1000m on a soft track defeating Golden Boom carrying 57kg at $2.40. Before that favourite; raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 4 len at this track Bm100 August 10 over 1000m on a rain affected track defeating Taunting with 58.5kg at $3. Going very well but this will really test.
3. Johnny Rocker (3) – Group 1 placegetter. Entire returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign 11th of 15 at Morphettville in the G1 The Goodwood May 11 over 1200m, 3 len behind Benedetta carrying 54.5kg at $7. First up last campaign second of 13 at Flemington Bm70 January 20 over 1000m, 1.0 len behind Mornington Glory with 60kg at $3.80. Interesting runner, don’t discount.
4. Caballus (9) – Group 3 winner. Resuming. Finished off last preparation third of 19 at Flemington Inglis Sprint March 2 over 1200m, 1.75 len behind Estriella carrying 59.5kg at $3.50. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.2 len Rosehill 3yo Bm72 January 20 over 1100m defeating Wallenda carrying 58kg at $2.30. Handy type who can sneak into the minor money.
5. Chain Of Lightning (4) – TJ Smith Stakes winner. Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four months. Finished off last campaign sixth of 9 at Doomben in the G1 Doomben 10,000 May 18 over 1200m, soft track; 3 len behind Bella Nipotina carrying 56.5kg at $9.50. When resuming last campaign 12th of 15 at Caulfield in the G1 Oakleigh Plt February 24 over 1100m, 2.75 len behind Queman with 53.5kg at $26. Might need this run.
6. Estriella (8) – Group 3 winner. Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation fifth of 14 at Morphettville in the G1 Sangster April 27 over 1200m, 2.5 len behind Climbing Star with 55kg at $2.80. Previous preparation first-up favourite; won by 2 len Caulfield G3 Kev Hayes February 10 over 1100m defeating Lazzago carrying 56kg at $3.80. Very talented mare, go close.
7. Coleman (6) – Multiple Group 1 placegetter. Resuming. Finished off last campaign third of 9 at Randwick in the G1 Sires Prod April 6 over 1400m, on rain affected going; 1.1 len behind Manaal carrying 56.5kg at $8. Previous preparation first-up won by 2.75 len Caulfield G3 Chairman’s Stk February 3 over 1000m defeating Eneeza carrying 59kg at $2.10. Top colt who looks a great each way hope.
8. Lady Of Camelot (2) – Golden Slipper winner. First-up. Finished off last preparation second of 15 at Randwick in the G2 Percysykes April 13 over 1200m, 0.7 len behind Eneeza with 59kg at $3.80. Previous preparation first-up favourite; won by 3 len Rosehill G3 Widden February 3 over 1100m defeating Manaal with 54.5kg at $1.60. Top shelf filly who will be very hard to catch.
9. Hayasugi (7) – Blue Diamond Stakes winner. Resuming after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation when last of 16 at Rosehill in the G1 G Slipper March 23 over 1200m, 18 len behind Lady Of Camelot with 54.5kg at $10. Previous preparation first-up won by nose Caulfield G3 Bd/Prev F January 26 over 1000m defeating Tobeornottobe carrying 56kg at $5.50. Should be running on well late.
The Moir Stakes has long been a cornerstone of the Australian racing season, and this year’s race is set to uphold that tradition. With numerous top sprinters eyeing this race as a key preparatory event for major spring races like the Manikato Stakes, the competition promises to be fierce. The tactical brilliance and lightning-fast pace of the contenders are sure to enthrall both the live audience at Moonee Valley and racing fans nationwide. As these elite sprinters vie for Group 1 honors, the Moir Stakes will deliver not only high-octane racing but also the prestige that comes with claiming victory in one of Melbourne’s iconic sprint events.
The 2024 Tattersall’s Mile is set to take place on Saturday, June 29, at Eagle Farm Racecourse. This Listed 1600-meter quality handicap race has a prize pool of $160,000. The field for this year includes a competitive lineup of horses trained by some of the top names in the industry.
These horses bring diverse backgrounds and strengths to the race, promising an exciting event for racing enthusiasts. Chris Waller, a prominent trainer, has multiple entries, which highlights the competitive nature of the race.
The runners!
1. Cepheus (5) – Multiple Group 2 winner. Second-up. First-up after three months 15th of 18 at this track in the G1 Stradbroke on June 15 over 1400m, 10 len behind Stefi Magnetica with 54.5kg at $61. Previously second-up 12th of 18 at Rosehill in the G1 Geo Ryder on March 23 over 1500m, 5.5 len behind Veight with 59kg at $101. Don’t underestimate.
2. New Mandate (4) – Group 2 winner. Second run back. First-up after seven months 6th of 9 at this track in the LR W Wilson on June 15 over 1600m, 5.5 len behind Freedom Rally with 59kg at $21. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at Rosehill in the G2 Shannon on September 23 over 1500m, 3.5 len behind Cepheus carrying 58kg at $8.50. Strong winning chance.
3. Jimi Hendrix (10) – Last start 12th of 14 at this track in the G3 Lord Mayors Cup on June 1 over 1800m, slow going 7 len behind Just Folk carrying 56kg at $26. The run before that raced behind the speed prior to fading second last of 12 at Sunshine Coast in the G2 Hollindale on May 11 over 1800m, on rain affected going; 16 len behind Numerian carrying 59kg at $17. Will struggle to compete against the top handful.
4. Charterhouse (3) – Group 3 placegetter. Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming from last on the turn 8th of 16 at Scone in the LR Scone Cup on May 17 over 1600m, slow going 2.25 len behind Sky Lab with 57kg at $26. Last start 5th of 9 at this track in the LR W Wilson on June 15 over 1600m, 2.5 len behind Freedom Rally carrying 59kg at $7. Strong winning hope.
5. Iknowastar (11) – At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 9 at this track in the LR W Wilson on June 15 over 1600m, 0.8 len behind Freedom Rally carrying 59kg at $4.50. The race before that won by 2.25 len at Randwick Bm94 May 25 over 1600m in soft going defeating Williamsburg with 58.5kg at $3. Leading player.
6. Wategos (1) – Most recently sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Ipswich in the LR Eye Liner on June 22 over 1350m, slow going 2.25 len behind At Witz End carrying 55.5kg at $2.40. Before that made ground from midfield; 2nd of 10 at this track in the LR Spear Chief on June 8 over 1500m, 0.7 len behind Yellow Brick carrying 56kg at $2.60. Great chance to win with the aid of the inside barrier.
7. Maracana (13) – Group 3 winner. Last start came from midfield; 3rd of 11 at this track Nat Classic F&M on June 8 over 1600m, 1.3 len behind La Crique with 57kg at $41. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by a nose at Doomben G3 F&M Stakes May 25 over 1600m in soft going defeating Osmose carrying 55.5kg at $41. Thereabouts last start and should be competitive.
8. Jetty (9) – Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 13th of 15 at Doomben in the G3 Brc Sprint on May 25 over 1350m, on a slow track; 9 len behind Here To Shock carrying 54kg at $81. Last start second last of 11 at Ipswich in the LR Eye Liner on June 22 over 1350m, on a slow track; 7 len behind At Witz End with 54kg at $41. Well held last time and facing a tough task.
9. Wapiti (2) – Most recently 9th of 13 at this track Bm90 on June 8 over 1810m, 5.5 len behind Princess Rhaenys with 60kg at $41. The race before that raced on the pace before fading 10th of 12 at Sunshine Coast in the G2 Hollindale on May 11 over 1800m, on heavy track; 11 len behind Numerian carrying 59kg at $101. Will not find this easy. Not keen.
10. Eaglemont (7) – Most recently 11th of 14 at this track in the G3 Lord Mayors Cup on June 1 over 1800m, on a slow track; 7 len behind Just Folk carrying 56kg at $26. The run before that 4th of 13 at Doomben Cl6 on May 18 over 1600m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Tenzing with 61.5kg at $6. Better off investing elsewhere.
11. Danish Fortune (13)
12. Cocobrew Express (12) – Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 4th of 12 at Doomben Hcp on June 12 over 1350m, 0.6 len behind Magic Conqueror carrying 53kg at $16. Last start won by 0.9 len at Ipswich Bm78 June 22 over 1666m in soft going defeating Madame Odette carrying 58.5kg at $7.50. Hard to enthuse.
13. Mississippi Prince (6) – Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming ran last of 8 at Doomben Hcp on May 29 over 1200m, slow going 4.5 len behind Midnight In Tokyo with 56.5kg at $26. Second run from a spell 4th of 10 at this track in the LR Spear Chief on June 8 over 1500m, 3 len behind Yellow Brick with 53kg at $61. Prefer in something a bit easier.
14. Cottee (8) – Last start came home strongly from last on the turn; 4th of 9 at this track in the LR W Wilson on June 15 over 1600m, 1.75 len behind Freedom Rally with 57kg at $21. Before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 15 at this track Bm78 on June 1 over 1400m, slow going 1.4 len behind Geriatrix with 59kg at $16. Has the ability to be in the finish.
Identifying value in horse racing betting odds is a skill that can significantly enhance your betting experience and potential returns. To become adept at this, it’s essential to grasp the fundamental concepts and apply strategic analysis.
We will guide you through the process, providing valuable insights into horse race results, horse racing betting odds, and the best horse betting sites.
The Importance of Understanding Horse Racing Betting Odds
Horse racing betting odds represent the likelihood of a horse winning a race and are crucial for determining potential payouts. The odds are influenced by various factors, including horse race results, the reputation of horse betting sites, and the performance history of the horses involved.
By interpreting these odds correctly, you can gauge the potential value of your bet.
Factors Influencing Horse Racing Betting Odds
Horse Race Results: Past performances of horses play a significant role in shaping the odds. Historical data on horse race results can provide insights into a horse’s consistency and performance under different conditions. Analysing these results can help you identify patterns and potential value bets.
Form and Fitness: A horse’s current form and fitness are critical factors. Horses that have shown recent improvement or are in peak physical condition may offer better value, especially if their odds do not fully reflect their potential.
Trainer and Jockey Statistics: The experience and success rates of trainers and jockeys can influence the odds. Reputable trainers and skilled jockeys often enhance a horse’s chances of winning, which should be factored into your assessment of value.
Track Conditions: The condition of the track (firm, good, soft, or heavy) can significantly impact a horse’s performance. Some horses perform better on specific types of tracks, and understanding this can help you identify value bets that others might overlook.
Analysing Horse Race Results
To effectively identify value in horse racing betting odds, it’s essential to delve into horse race results. At Colossalbet, we provide comprehensive databases of past race results, which can be invaluable for your analysis.
Consider the following when analysing horse race results:
Consistency: Look for horses that consistently finish in the top positions. Consistent performers often provide better value as their odds may not fully reflect their reliability.
Improving Form: Horses that have shown recent improvement in their performance may offer hidden value. Pay attention to their recent race placements and any changes in their training or jockey.
Head-to-Head Records: Analyse how horses have performed against each other in previous races. This can give you insights into potential outcomes, especially if the same horses are competing again.
Strategies for Identifying Value Bets
Odds Movement: Monitor the movement of odds leading up to the race. Significant changes in odds can indicate where the smart money is going, potentially highlighting value bets.
Market Overreaction: Sometimes, the market overreacts to recent events, such as a high-profile win or loss. Look for opportunities where the odds may have shifted excessively, creating value.
Statistical Analysis: Use statistical tools and models to analyse horse racing data.
Practical Example: Identifying Value in a Major Race
Let’s consider an example of identifying value in a major horse race, such as the Melbourne Cup. Here’s how you can apply the principles discussed:
Research Horse Race Results: Analyse the past performances of the horses entered in the Melbourne Cup. Look for horses that have consistently performed well in similar conditions and distances.
Evaluate Form and Fitness: Assess the current form of the horses, including their recent race results and any changes in training or jockey. Horses showing improvement or in peak condition may offer value.
Consider Track Conditions: Examine the track conditions for the Melbourne Cup and identify horses that have historically performed well on similar tracks. This can help you narrow down your choices.
Monitor Odds Movement: Keep an eye on the odds movement leading up to the race. Significant changes can indicate where the smart money is going and highlight potential value bets.
The Importance of Discipline and Bankroll Management
While identifying value in horse racing betting odds is essential, it’s equally important to practise discipline and proper bankroll management. Successful betting requires a long-term approach, and managing your bankroll effectively can help you weather the ups and downs of betting.
Set a Budget: Determine a betting budget and stick to it. Avoid chasing losses by betting more than you can afford.
Use Staking Plans: Implement a staking plan that suits your betting style and risk tolerance. Fixed stakes, percentage staking, and Kelly Criterion are popular staking methods.
Keep Records: Maintain detailed records of your bets, including the reasoning behind each bet and the outcome. This can help you analyse your performance and refine your strategies over time.
Enhancing Your Betting Strategy
Identifying value in horse racing betting odds is a skill that can significantly enhance your betting strategy. By analysing horse race results, evaluating horse betting sites, and applying effective betting strategies, you can increase your chances of making successful wagers. Remember to practice discipline and bankroll management to ensure long-term success.
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Remember, successful betting is not just about luck but about making informed decisions. Happy betting!
The 2024 Queensland Oaks is set to be an exciting event on June 8 at Eagle Farm Racecourse. This prestigious Group 1 race for three-year-old fillies covers a distance of 2200 meters and boasts a prize pool of $700,000. The race has attracted a strong field of locally-trained and New Zealand-trained fillies, with the key lead-up race being The Doomben Roses
With a rich history and past winners like Winx and Duais, the Queensland Oaks is a must-watch event for racing enthusiasts. The track conditions and barrier draws will play a crucial role, and the competition is expected to be fierce. Keep an eye on the tips and predictions from experts as the race day approaches for a better insight into the potential winners.
Molly Bloom (NZ) – With a rich history and past winners like Winx and Duais, the Queensland Oaks is a must-watch event for racing enthusiasts. The track conditions and barrier draws will play a crucial role, and the competition is expected to be fierce. Keep an eye on the tips and predictions from experts as the race day approaches for a better insight into the potential winners
Tutta La Vita – Scratched
Amazonian Lass – With a rich history and past winners like Winx and Duais, the Queensland Oaks is a must-watch event for racing enthusiasts. The track conditions and barrier draws will play a crucial role, and the competition is expected to be fierce. Keep an eye on the tips and predictions from experts as the race day approaches for a better insight into the potential winners
Scarlet Oak – With a rich history and past winners like Winx and Duais, the Queensland Oaks is a must-watch event for racing enthusiasts. The track conditions and barrier draws will play a crucial role, and the competition is expected to be fierce. Keep an eye on the tips and predictions from experts as the race day approaches for a better insight into the potential winners
Moonlight Magic (NZ) – With a rich history and past winners like Winx and Duais, the Queensland Oaks is a must-watch event for racing enthusiasts. The track conditions and barrier draws will play a crucial role, and the competition is expected to be fierce. Keep an eye on the tips and predictions from experts as the race day approaches for a better insight into the potential winners
Mollynickers – At the latest run 9th of 16 at Doomben in the G2 The Roses on May 25 over 2000m, on a slow track; 6 len behind Scarlet Oak carrying 56.5kg at $41. The run before that 8th of 16 at Morphettville in the G1 A’asian Oaks on April 27 over 2000m, 3.5 len behind Vibrant Sun carrying 56kg at $21. Will need plenty of improvement to feature.
Socks Nation – At the latest run 9th of 16 at Doomben in the G2 The Roses on May 25 over 2000m, on a slow track; 6 len behind Scarlet Oak carrying 56.5kg at $41. The run before that 8th of 16 at Morphettville in the G1 A’asian Oaks on April 27 over 2000m, 3.5 len behind Vibrant Sun carrying 56kg at $21. Will need plenty of improvement to feature.
Miss Joelene – At the latest run 9th of 16 at Doomben in the G2 The Roses on May 25 over 2000m, on a slow track; 6 len behind Scarlet Oak carrying 56.5kg at $41. The run before that 8th of 16 at Morphettville in the G1 A’asian Oaks on April 27 over 2000m, 3.5 len behind Vibrant Sun carrying 56kg at $21. Will need plenty of improvement to feature.
Ahuriri (NZ) – At the latest run 9th of 16 at Doomben in the G2 The Roses on May 25 over 2000m, on a slow track; 6 len behind Scarlet Oak carrying 56.5kg at $41. The run before that 8th of 16 at Morphettville in the G1 A’asian Oaks on April 27 over 2000m, 3.5 len behind Vibrant Sun carrying 56kg at $21. Will need plenty of improvement to feature.
Good Banter (NZ) – Group 3 winner. Last start 7th of 16 at Doomben in the G2 The Roses on May 25 over 2000m, on a slow track; 3 len behind Scarlet Oak carrying 56.5kg at $12. The race before that won by 0.7 len at Randwick G3 Adrianknox April 6 over 2000m on a heavy track defeating Autumn Angel with 53kg at $4.50. Hard to beat if she brings her A-game.
Mare Of Mt Buller – Group 2 placegetter. Last start came from the tail of the field 2nd of 16 at Doomben in the G2 The Roses on May 25 over 2000m, slow going neck behind Scarlet Oak carrying 56.5kg at $26. Before that 3rd of 15 at Sunshine Coast in the LR Bracelet on May 11 over 1800m, on heavy track; 2 len behind Amazonian Lass carrying 56.5kg at $17. Leading player.
Our Gold Hope – Group 2 placegetter. Last start came from the tail of the field 2nd of 16 at Doomben in the G2 The Roses on May 25 over 2000m, slow going neck behind Scarlet Oak carrying 56.5kg at $26. Before that 3rd of 15 at Sunshine Coast in the LR Bracelet on May 11 over 1800m, on heavy track; 2 len behind Amazonian Lass carrying 56.5kg at $17. Leading player.
Oceans Of Energy – At the latest run 11th of 16 at Doomben in the G2 The Roses on May 25 over 2000m, on a slow track; 7 len behind Scarlet Oak with 56.5kg at $151. Before that 5th of 15 at Sunshine Coast in the LR Bracelet on May 11 over 1800m, on rain affected going; 4 len behind Amazonian Lass carrying 56.5kg at $61. Looks to be making up the numbers.
Kind Words – Last start 6th of 16 at Doomben in the G2 The Roses on May 25 over 2000m, on a slow track; 3 len behind Scarlet Oak with 56.5kg at $17. The run before that 3rd of 15 at Sunshine Coast in the LR Bracelet on May 11 over 1800m, on a wet track; 2 len behind Amazonian Lass carrying 56.5kg at $16. Can’t recommend.
Gentileschi – Last start 6th of 16 at Doomben in the G2 The Roses on May 25 over 2000m, on a slow track; 3 len behind Scarlet Oak with 56.5kg at $17. The run before that 3rd of 15 at Sunshine Coast in the LR Bracelet on May 11 over 1800m, on a wet track; 2 len behind Amazonian Lass carrying 56.5kg at $16. Can’t recommend.
Unique Ambition (NZ) – Most recently won by a long-neck at Scone Cl1 May 17 over 1600m on a soft track defeating Wembanyama with 59.5kg at $3.30. The run before that second last of 11 at Randwick in the G3 James Carr on April 20 over 1400m, in the wet; 15 len behind Konasana with 54kg at $9.50. Will need to find plenty of improvement.
Concello – Most recently won by a long-neck at Scone Cl1 May 17 over 1600m on a soft track defeating Wembanyama with 59.5kg at $3.30. The run before that second last of 11 at Randwick in the G3 James Carr on April 20 over 1400m, in the wet; 15 len behind Konasana with 54kg at $9.50. Will need to find plenty of improvement.
Firestorm (NZ) – Last start ran on from midfield; 3rd of 11 at Doomben in the G3 F&M Stakes on May 25 over 1600m, on a slow track; 1.3 len behind Maracana carrying 53.5kg at $11. Before that 12th of 15 at Sunshine Coast in the LR Bracelet on May 11 over 1800m, in the wet; 11 len behind Amazonian Lass with 56.5kg at $3.80. Tricky assignment.
e. Callistemon – Most recently 7th of 13 at Randwick 3yo Bm72 (71) on May 25 over 1800m, slow going 2.25 len behind Invincible Spy carrying 55kg at $51. The race before that settled back and ran on when 4th of 8 at Newcastle 3&4yo Bm72 on May 11 over 1600m, on a wet track; 5 len behind Scarlet Oak with 53.5kg at $15. Might just find this a bit too tough.
e. Grey Ice (NZ) – At the latest run favourite; won by 4 len at Sunshine Coast Bm58 May 31 over 2200m in the wet defeating Gold Merchant with 61kg at $1.90. Before that 4th of 14 at Ipswich 3yo Hcp on May 22 over 2180m, 3.5 len behind First Innings carrying 54kg at $21. This is going to test her.
e. Kenyada – Most recently made ground from midfield; 3rd of 12 at Doomben Bm68 on May 29 over 1630m, slow going 1.75 len behind Blazen Boots carrying 60.5kg at $4. Before that won by 3.5 len at Ipswich Cl3 May 15 over 1680m defeating Artful Girl with 59kg at $3. Win would surprise in this contest.
e. Ala Moana – Most recently made ground from midfield; 3rd of 12 at Doomben Bm68 on May 29 over 1630m, slow going 1.75 len behind Blazen Boots carrying 60.5kg at $4. Before that won by 3.5 len at Ipswich Cl3 May 15 over 1680m defeating Artful Girl with 59kg at $3. Win would surprise in this contest.
e. Ring Me Up – Most recently made ground from midfield; 3rd of 12 at Doomben Bm68 on May 29 over 1630m, slow going 1.75 len behind Blazen Boots carrying 60.5kg at $4. Before that won by 3.5 len at Ipswich Cl3 May 15 over 1680m defeating Artful Girl with 59kg at $3. Win would surprise in this contest.
Group 2 winner SCARLET OAK (4) won by a neck last start at Doomben when well supported on a soft track and should race on the speed, hard to go past. Group 2 winner AMAZONIAN LASS (3) was safely held last start when 10 lengths away at Doomben. Has claims if she can reproduce her win at Sunshine Coast two starts back. Rates a hope. New Zealand 1000 Guineas winner MOLLY BLOOM (1) could be ready to improve out to this distance third up. Group 2 placegetter MISS JOELENE (8) closed off nicely when beaten 0.7 lengths last time at Doomben. Can contest for a place.
The 2024 Queensland Derby, one of the premier events on the Australian horse racing calendar, is set to take place at Eagle Farm Racecourse on Saturday, June 8th. This Group 1 race, run over a distance of 2400 meters, has drawn a strong field of three-year-old stayers from across the country, each vying for a share of the $600,000 prize pool.
The Runners,
Tannhauser – Group 1 placegetter. Last start came from midfield and won by 1.1 len at Doomben G3 Rough Habit May 18 over 2000m on a soft track defeating Autumn Angel carrying 57kg at $3.80. The start before that 4th of 10 at Randwick in the G3 Packer Plt on April 20 over 2000m, on heavy track; 1.2 len behind Kintyre with 56.5kg at $2.50. Hard to beat again.
Warmonger – Group 1 placegetter. Last start 2nd of 16 at Morphettville in the G1 Sa Derby on May 4 over 2500m, 1.3 len behind Coco Sun carrying 56.5kg at $6. The race before that 5th of 12 at Morphettville in the G3 Chairmans on April 27 over 2000m, 1.1 len behind Bold Soul with 57.5kg at $2.80. Making headway. Likely to measure up again.
Encoder – At the latest run 6th of 14 at Ipswich 3yo Hcp on May 22 over 2180m, 3.5 len behind First Innings carrying 60kg at $10. The race before that 13th of 16 at this track in the G2 Qld Gns on May 4 over 1600m, on a slow track; 5 len behind Kintyre with 57kg at $51. Thereabouts last time but others are preferred.
Gold Bullion (NZ) – Last start 8th of 16 at Doomben in the G3 Rough Habit on May 18 over 2000m, slow going 4.5 len behind Tannhauser carrying 57kg at $14. The run before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 10 at Randwick in the G3 Packer Plt on April 20 over 2000m, on a wet track; nose behind Kintyre with 56.5kg at $13. Doesn’t pose too much of a threat.
Navy King (NZ) – At the latest run won by 1.5 len at Flemington 3yo Hcp May 18 over 2000m in soft going defeating Saban carrying 55.5kg at $17. Before that 4th of 13 at Caulfield 3yo Hcp on May 4 over 2000m, 2.25 len behind Aztec State carrying 57kg at $21. This harder and can’t see him troubling these.
Kirikan (NZ) – Last start 10th of 16 at Doomben in the G3 Rough Habit on May 18 over 2000m, slow going 6 len behind Tannhauser with 57kg at $26. The run before that 14th of 16 at this track in the G2 Qld Gns on May 4 over 1600m, slow going 5.5 len behind Kintyre with 57kg at $41. Will need plenty of improvement to feature.
Felix the Scat – At the latest run ran on from midfield; 4th of 16 at Doomben in the G3 Rough Habit on May 18 over 2000m, on a slow track; 3 len behind Tannhauser with 57kg at $81. The start before that 8th of 16 at this track in the G2 Qld Gns on May 4 over 1600m, slow going 4 len behind Kintyre with 57kg at $151. Prefer to see.
Sonofdec – At the latest run ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by 3 len at Scone Midway Bm72 May 18 over 1700m on a rain affected track defeating Pure Hydrogen carrying 56kg at $8. The race before that won by a long-neck at Newcastle Bm64 May 4 over 1500m on a rain affected track defeating Centenario carrying 59.5kg at $6. Steps up a level here.
Bullets High (NZ) – Most recently favourite; ran on from midfield and won by a nose at Warwick Farm Bm72 May 22 over 2130m in soft going defeating Gottabesavvy with 56kg at $3.30. The start before that got back early 6th of 10 at this track 3yo Bm70 on May 8 over 1800m, slow going 2 len behind Hiyaam Proud carrying 59.5kg at $4. Big chance.
Agita– At the latest run 5th of 13 at Randwick 3yo Bm72 (71) on May 25 over 1800m, on a slow track; 1.75 len behind Invincible Spy carrying 58.5kg at $6.50. Before that came from the tail of the field 2nd of 13 at Hawkesbury Bm78 on May 4 over 1800m, 1.5 len behind For Victory carrying 54kg at $6.50. Hard to recommend.
Warialda Warrior – At the latest run 6th of 16 at Doomben in the G3 Rough Habit on May 18 over 2000m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Tannhauser carrying 57kg at $81. The start before that 11th of 16 at Morphettville in the G1 Sa Derby on May 4 over 2500m, 8 len behind Coco Sun with 56.5kg at $61. Not today.
First Innings (NZ) – Group 3 placegetter. At the latest run won by 2.25 len at Ipswich 3yo Hcp May 22 over 2180m defeating Misterkipchoge carrying 55kg at $21. Before that 3rd of 11 at Ellerslie in the G3 Trelawney Stud on April 20 over 2100m, on a slow track; 3 len behind Moonlight Magic with 57kg at $9. Hard to beat again.
Shy Guy – Last start 3rd of 14 at Ipswich 3yo Hcp on May 22 over 2180m, 3 len behind First Innings with 53.5kg at $81. Before that 7th of 9 at Ipswich Bm70 on May 11 over 1666m, slow going 5 len behind This’llbetheone with 56.5kg at $7.50. Can’t see him troubling these.
Saban – At the latest run 2nd of 15 at Flemington 3yo Hcp on May 18 over 2000m, on a slow track; 1.5 len behind Navy King carrying 54.5kg at $10. Before that came from midfield and won by a neck at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw May 3 over 2025m defeating Sun Gift with 59.5kg at $2.90. Prefer to watch at this stage.
Anderson Bridge (NZ) – Most recently 4th of 10 at Warwick Farm Bm72 on May 22 over 2130m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Bullets High with 56.5kg at $3.50. The run before that settled back and ran on when 7th of 12 at Newcastle Bm78 on May 11 over 2200m, in the wet; 5 len behind Speycaster with 54kg at $8. This race looks too tough.
Purveyor – Most recently 9th of 16 at Doomben in the G3 Rough Habit on May 18 over 2000m, slow going 6 len behind Tannhauser with 57kg at $151. Before that 4th of 10 at Beaudesert Cl3 on May 4 over 1650m, slow going 2.5 len behind Kerchak carrying 58kg at $2.90. Needs plenty of luck to trouble the top few.
Moonlight Magic (NZ) – Resumes off a 42 day let-up. Most recently settled well back; won by 2.5 len at Ellerslie G3 Trelawney Stud April 20 over 2100m on a rain affected track defeating Solidify with 55kg at $3.80. The start before that 4th of 12 at Trentham in the G3 Manawatu Clssc on April 6 over 2100m, slow going 4 len behind Outovstock with 55kg at $11.60. Doesn’t rate well enough.
Autumn Angel – ATC Australian Oaks winner. At the latest run 2nd of 16 at Doomben in the G3 Rough Habit on May 18 over 2000m, slow going 1.1 len behind Tannhauser with 55kg at $2.50. Before that favourite; settled well back; won by 0.8 len at Randwick G1 Atc Oaks April 13 over 2400m defeating Zardozi carrying 56kg at $6. Best form should see her measure right up.
Mannerheim – Most recently got back early 11th of 16 at Doomben in the G3 Rough Habit on May 18 over 2000m, slow going 6 len behind Tannhauser with 57kg at $61. The race before that won by 1.1 len at Ipswich Cl1-Sw May 1 over 1700m in soft going defeating Chassagne with 59.5kg at $2.50. Unlikely to threaten.
Misterkipchoege (NZ) – Last start 2nd of 14 at Ipswich 3yo Hcp on May 22 over 2180m, 2.25 len behind First Innings with 54.5kg at $3.50. The start before that 12th of 16 at this track in the G2 Qld Gns on May 4 over 1600m, slow going 5 len behind Kintyre with 57kg at $7.50. One of the roughies.
Saxon Brave – At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 at Gold Coast Poly Bm62 on May 18 over 2000m, nose behind Viadelamore carrying 57.5kg at $26. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at Ipswich Cl1-Sw on May 1 over 1700m, slow going 5 len behind Mannerheim with 56.5kg at $26. Just missed last start but likely to struggle this time.
Kadavar (NZ) – Half-brother to Group 1 winner Miami Bound. Last start 13th of 16 at Doomben in the G3 Rough Habit on May 18 over 2000m, on a slow track; 7 len behind Tannhauser carrying 57kg at $61. Before that made some head-way from midfield; 3rd of 10 at this track 3yo Bm70 on May 8 over 1800m, on a slow track; 0.6 len behind Hiyaam Proud with 58.5kg at $11. Will need plenty of improvement to feature.
Kairos Louie (Scratched) – Last start raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at Ipswich 3yo Hcp on May 22 over 2180m, 5 len behind First Innings carrying 53kg at $81. Before that won by 3 len at Beaudesert Mdn-Sw April 25 over 2450m in the wet defeating Jungle Jet carrying 57.5kg at $2. Not doing enough.
Expert Tips
Group 1 placegetter TANNHAUSER (1) made considerable ground to win last time out at Doomben over 2000m. Will be working into the finish. ATC Australian Oaks winner AUTUMN ANGEL (18) well fancied last time when second at Doomben. Jumps up in trip today, expected to run well. Group 3 placegetter GOLD BULLION (4) ran midfield last start at Doomben on a soft track. Is up in trip today, each way chance. WARIALDA WARRIOR (11) finished sixth last start, beaten 3.5 lengths at Doomben over 2000m. Has claims. Group 1 placegetter WARMONGER (2) closed off nicely when beaten 1.3 lengths last time at Morphettville. Can contest for a place.
Get ready for the exhilarating 2024 Kingsford-Smith Cup, where the best of the best in thoroughbred racing converge for an unforgettable showdown! This prestigious Group 1 race, held annually at Eagle Farm Racecourse, promises a thrilling spectacle of speed, strategy, and sheer equine excellence. Witness top jockeys and their majestic steeds battle it out over 1300 meters for a share of the illustrious prize.
Mark your calendars and join us for a day of heart-pounding action, glamorous fashion, and unparalleled excitement at the Kingsford-Smith Cup – the crown jewel of Brisbane’s racing season! Don’t miss your chance to be part of racing history!
Runners
I WISH I WIN (NZ) – TJ Smith Stakes winner. Third-up and won third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 13 at Randwick in the G1 T J Smith on April 6 over 1200m, on rain affected going; neck behind Chain Of Lightning with 58.5kg at $4. Second-up made ground from midfield; 2nd of 9 at Doomben in the G1 Doomben 10,000 on May 18 over 1200m, on a slow track; nose behind Bella Nipotina carrying 58.5kg at $2.10. Has the ability to take this out.
THINK ABOUT IT – Stradbroke Handicap winner. Comes off a 56 day let-up. Last start sat on the pace before fading 11th of 19 at Randwick in the G1 Doncaster on April 6 over 1600m, in the wet; 3 len behind Celestial Legend with 57kg at $21. The race before that 5th of 18 at Rosehill in the G1 Geo Ryder on March 23 over 1500m, 2 len behind Veight with 59kg at $4.50. Hard to beat if he brings his A-game.
TUVALU – Group 1 winner. Second run back. First-up after five months won by 1.3 len at Warrnambool LR Wangoom May 1 over 1200m in soft going defeating It’sourtime carrying 61.5kg at $9.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 13 at Moonee Valley in the G2 Feehan on September 9 over 1600m, 0.9 len behind Pinstriped carrying 59kg at $4. Fitter and worth including.
UNCOMMON JAMES – Third-up and won third-up in the past. First-up 5th of 14 at Rosehill in the G1 The Galaxy on March 23 over 1100m, 1.75 len behind Zapateo carrying 55.5kg at $9. Second-up sat behind the speed prior to fading second last of 9 at this track in the G2 Victory Stakes on May 4 over 1200m, on a slow track; 14 len behind Antino carrying 58.5kg at $3.80. Will need to improve many lengths to feature.
ANTINO (NZ) – Group 2 winner. Second run back. First-up after six months was well back until straightening; raced back then made ground from the turn; won by 1.1 len at this track G2 Victory Stakes May 4 over 1200m in soft going defeating Wee Nessy carrying 58.5kg at $4. Previously second-up won by a long-neck at Sandown-Hillside G3 Sand Stks October 1 over 1500m defeating Here To Shock with 58kg at $1.30. Saves his best for this track and is a leading contender.
CEPHEUS (GB) – Back from a spell. Finished off last preparation 12th of 18 at Rosehill in the G1 Geo Ryder March 23 over 1500m, 5.5 len behind Veight carrying 59kg at $101. Previously first up; ran last of 11 at Randwick in the G3 Liverpool March 2 over 1300m, soft track; 9 len behind Phearson with 60kg at $26. Hard to have.
OSIPENKO (NZ) – First-up. Finished off last preparation 12th of 20 at Randwick in the G2 Ingham December 9 over 1600m, 5 len behind Loch Eagle carrying 57.5kg at $14. Previously first up; fifth of 16 at Randwick in the G1 Winx Stks August 19 over 1400m, soft track; 1.2 len behind Fangirl carrying 58.5kg at $21. Prefer others.
FREEDOM RALLY – Third-up and won third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 11 at Sunshine Coast in the LR Atc Cup on May 11 over 1200m, in the wet; 0.7 len behind At Witz End carrying 55kg at $3.80. Second-up 2nd of 15 at Doomben in the G3 Brc Sprint on May 25 over 1350m, slow going nose behind Here To Shock with 54kg at $4.50. Draw no help to chances.
BELLA NIPOTINA – Doomben 10,000 winner. At the latest run won by a nose at Doomben G1 Doomben 10,000 May 18 over 1200m on a rain affected track defeating I Wish I Win with 56.5kg at $7. Before that 4th of 14 at Ascot Quokka on April 20 over 1200m, 1.4 len behind Overpass with 56.5kg at $8.50. Big chance again.
IN SECRET – Newmarket Handicap winner. Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first-up. Finished off last preparation third of 11 at Flemington in the G1 Vrc Stakes November 11 over 1200m, 1.3 len behind Imperatriz with 56.5kg at $3.50. When resuming last campaign second of 8 at Randwick in the G3 Concorde September 2 over 1000m, soft track; a neck behind Remarque with 58.5kg at $4. Definite top-three contender.
MAGIC TIME – All Aged Stakes winner. Resumes off a 42 day let-up. Last start came from midfield and won by a long-neck at Randwick G1 All Aged April 20 over 1400m on a heavy track defeating Amenable with 57kg at $6.50. The run before that 7th of 13 at Randwick in the G1 T J Smith on April 6 over 1200m, in the wet; 1.1 len behind Chain Of Lightning carrying 56.5kg at $10. Impressed last start and can go on with it.
ESPIONA – Coolmore Classic winner. At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Doomben in the G1 Doomben 10,000 on May 18 over 1200m, slow going 1.0 len behind Bella Nipotina with 56.5kg at $5. The start before that 7th of 13 at Randwick in the G1 All Aged on April 20 over 1400m, in the wet; 8 len behind Magic Time carrying 57kg at $5.50. Will be winding up strongly.
Our tips!
Doomben 10,000 winner BELLA NIPOTINA (9) wound up strongly to win last time out at Doomben over 1200m. Will be working into the finish. All Aged Stakes winner MAGIC TIME (11) made considerable ground to win last time out at Randwick over 1400m. Should be finding the line. Coolmore Classic winner ESPIONA (12) finished off strongly when beaten one length last time at Doomben. Likely for a place. TJ Smith Stakes winner I WISH I WIN (1) is third up. Nearly snapped up a win when second last time at Doomben. Don’t underestimate. Group 1 winner TUVALU (3) took control a long way from home last start when he scored a stylish win at Warrnambool.
The 2024 Doomben Cup is set to be one of the highlights of the Australian racing calendar. This prestigious Group 1 event will take place at the Doomben Racecourse, attracting top-tier talent from across the country. Known for its challenging 2000-meter course, the Doomben Cup tests the endurance, speed, and strategy of the finest thoroughbreds.
The Doomben Cup has a rich history, with past winners often going on to further success in other major races. As the first major event of the Brisbane Winter Racing Carnival, it sets the tone for the exciting weeks of racing that follow. Whether you are a seasoned punter or a casual fan, the 2024 Doomben Cup promises thrilling action and unforgettable moments. Don’t miss out on witnessing this spectacular event!
Numerian (7) – Multiple Group 2 winner. Second-up. First-up after four months ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Sunshine Coast G2 Hollindale May 11 over 1800m in the wet defeating Just Folk with 59kg at $26. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at Randwick in the G3 Craven Plt on October 28 over 1800m, 1.4 len behind Zeyrek carrying 59kg at $3.80. Among the top chances.
Huetor (11) – Doomben Cup winner. Useful gelding. Most recently 5th of 12 at Sunshine Coast in the G2 Hollindale on May 11 over 1800m, on heavy track; 4 len behind Numerian with 59kg at $3.80. The run before that won by 2.25 len at Randwick G3 Jra Plate April 20 over 2000m in the wet defeating Goldman carrying 59kg at $15. Going well. Leading chance.
Kovalica (3) – Queensland Derby winner. Last start 3rd of 12 at Sunshine Coast in the G2 Hollindale on May 11 over 1800m, on rain affected going; 1.5 len behind Numerian with 59kg at $3. The start before that 5th of 9 at Randwick in the G1 Queen Eliz on April 13 over 2000m, 10 len behind Pride Of Jenni carrying 59kg at $19. Will be charging home late.
Detonator Jack (10) – Group 1 placegetter. At the latest run ran on from midfield; 2nd of 15 at Hawkesbury in the G3 Hawk Cup on May 4 over 1600m, nose behind Just Folk carrying 59kg at $3.50. The start before that 6th of 19 at Randwick in the G1 Doncaster on April 6 over 1600m, on heavy track; 2 len behind Celestial Legend with 52.5kg at $12. Poised to win after a narrow defeat last time.
Vow And Declare (5) – Group 1 winner. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Freshened for 56 days. First-up sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at Caulfield in the G2 Peter Young Stk on February 24 over 1800m, nose behind Campionessa with 59kg at $21. Second run from a spell 4th of 9 at Flemington in the G1 Aust Cup on March 30 over 2000m, 2 len behind Cascadian with 59kg at $26. This looks too tough.
Serpentine (16) – Group 1 winner. Going well. Resumes off a 42 day let-up. Last start came from midfield; 4th of 16 at Randwick in the G1 Sydney Cup on April 13 over 3200m, 2.75 len behind Circle Of Fire carrying 53.5kg at $13. The start before that won by 0.5 len at Rosehill G3 Sellwood March 30 over 2000m defeating Zeyrek with 55kg at $3. Should go well.
Young Werther (1) – Multiple Group 1 placegetter. Resumes off a 56 day let-up. Last start 7th of 9 at Flemington in the G1 Aust Cup on March 30 over 2000m, 10 len behind Cascadian with 59kg at $21. The start before that won by 2.5 len at Flemington Aus Cup Pre March 9 over 1800m defeating Berkeley Square with 56kg at $2.30. Mediocre effort last time out but this suits.
El Bodegon (15) – Group 1 winner. Second run back. First-up after seven months 10th of 15 at Hawkesbury in the G3 Hawk Cup on May 4 over 1600m, 5 len behind Just Folk with 59kg at $61. Previously second-up 10th of 13 at Moonee Valley in the G2 Feehan on September 9 over 1600m, 9 len behind Pinstriped with 59kg at $61. Must improve significantly.
Hoo Ya Mal (14) – Scratched
Naval College (13) – Second-up. First-up after four months 9th of 12 at Sunshine Coast in the G2 Hollindale on May 11 over 1800m, on rain affected going; 9 len behind Numerian with 59kg at $17. Previously second-up won by 1.2 len at Randwick Bm88(86) December 30 over 2000m defeating Touristic with 56kg at $3.30. Unlikely to threaten.
Bois D’argent (9) – Group 3 placegetter. Most recently led but faded 3rd of 10 at Sunshine Coast Qlty on May 11 over 2400m, on heavy track; 5.5 len behind Bonny Ezra with 61kg at $3.50. Before that 4th of 12 at Randwick in the G3 Jra Plate on April 20 over 2000m, on heavy track; 4.5 len behind Huetor carrying 56.5kg at $5.50. Others have better credentials.
Fawkner Park (8) – Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run favourite; settled well back; won by 0.9 len at Wagga LR Wagga Cup May 3 over 2000m defeating Political Debate carrying 55.5kg at $3.50. The race before that favourite; scored a big 3 len win at Albury LR Albury Cup March 22 over 2000m defeating Regal Lion carrying 56.5kg at $1.80. Last-start winner worth including
Hezashocka (6) – Group 2 winner. Going well. At the latest run won by 0.9 len at Newcastle LR Gosfordcup May 11 over 2200m in the wet defeating Sir Lucan with 54kg at $4. The race before that 3rd of 12 at Randwick in the G3 Jra Plate on April 20 over 2000m, on heavy track; 4 len behind Huetor with 53kg at $9. Last-start winner who can measure up again.
New Endeavour (4) – Group 2 placegetter. Most recently made some head-way from midfield; 2nd of 15 at this track in the G3 Chairman’s Hcp on May 18 over 2000m, on a slow track; nose behind Spirit Ridge with 56.5kg at $6.50. The start before that 6th of 15 at Hawkesbury in the G3 Hawk Cup on May 4 over 1600m, 2.5 len behind Just Folk carrying 55kg at $9. Not far off the winner latest and looks a genuine hope.
Amokura (12) – Queensland Oaks winner. Second-up. First-up after six months 11th of 13 at Rosehill Bm100 on April 27 over 1500m, 6 len behind Waterford with 59kg at $19. Previously second-up 3rd of 13 at Flemington in the G2 Matriarch on November 11 over 2000m, long-neck behind Deny Knowledge with 59.5kg at $8. Should progress from that first-up run.
Kind Words (2) – Group 3 placegetter. Dual acceptor. Last start 3rd of 15 at Sunshine Coast in the LR Bracelet on May 11 over 1800m, on a wet track; 2 len behind Amazonian Lass with 56.5kg at $16. Before that 5th of 16 at Randwick in the G3 Adrianknox on April 6 over 2000m, on a wet track; 2.75 len behind Good Banter with 53kg at $15. Hard to make a case on recent form.
Queensland Derby winner KOVALICA (3) well fancied last time when third at Sunshine Coast. Jumps up in trip today, expected to run well. Group 1 placegetter DETONATOR JACK (4) was sent forward last time and boxed on to finish a nose from the winner at Hawkesbury, can hang on for a place. Multiple Group 2 winner NUMERIAN (1) bounced back to winning form at Sunshine Coast last start and could find the frame again. Sure to make his presence felt. Doomben Cup winner HUETOR (2) finished fifth last start, beaten 4 lengths at Sunshine Coast over 1800m. Worth including at odds. FAWKNER PARK (12) worth including at odds.
Get ready for the thrill of the 2024 Doomben 10,000! This year’s race promises high stakes and heart-pounding action as some of the finest sprinters in the world compete for glory on May 18 at Doomben Racecourse. Among the top contenders is the formidable I Wish I Win, set to be ridden by champion jockey James McDonald.
Hot on their heels will be Private Eye and Mazu, both under the expert guidance of trainer Joseph Pride. With a prize pool of $1.5 million and the unpredictability of Doomben’s tight turns, this race is shaping up to be an unforgettable showdown. Don’t miss your chance to witness history in the making—mark your calendar and prepare for an electrifying day of racing!
Date: Saturday, May 18th, 2024
Location: Doomben Racecourse
Distance: 1200 Meters
Conditions: WFA
Status: Group 1
Prize Money: $500,000 AUD
I Wish I Win (1)
TJ Smith Stakes winner. Second-up. Comes off a 42-day let-up. First-up after six months 3rd of 13 at Randwick in the G1 T J Smith on April 6 over 1200m, on heavy track; neck behind Chain Of Lightning with 58.5kg at $4. Previously second-up made some head-way from midfield; 2nd of 12 at Randwick Everest on October 14 over 1200m, long-neck behind Think About It with 58.5kg at $5. Strong winning chance.
Private Eye (6)
Group 1 winner. At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 13 at Randwick in the G1 All Aged on April 20 over 1400m, in the wet; 3 len behind Magic Time carrying 59kg at $12. The run before that 11th of 14 at Rosehill in the G1 The Galaxy on March 23 over 1100m, 5 len behind Zapateo with 58kg at $6.50. Made headway last time. Top chance.
Mazu (8)
Group 1 winner. Half-brother to Group 1 winner Headway. Last start raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 0.8 len at Randwick G3 Hall Mark April 20 over 1200m in heavy going defeating Vilana with 60kg at $5. The race before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 11th of 13 at Randwick in the G1 T J Smith on April 6 over 1200m, on a wet track; 7 len behind Chain Of Lightning with 58.5kg at $21. Racing well and can win again.
Body Bob (7)
Third-up and won third-up previously. Resuming crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 2nd of 13 at Canberra Tab Fed Open 84 on April 12 over 1200m, slow going long-neck behind Merc with 62kg at $4. Second-up 5th of 16 at Wagga Town Plate on May 2 over 1200m, 1.1 len behind The Prodigal Son with 54kg at $5.50. Prefer others in this contest.
Bella Nipotina (3)
Group 1 winner. Last start 4th of 14 at Ascot Quokka on April 20 over 1200m, 1.4 len behind Overpass with 56.5kg at $8.50. Before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 13 at Randwick in the G1 T J Smith on April 6 over 1200m, on rain affected going; neck behind Chain Of Lightning carrying 56.5kg at $11. Thereabouts last start and should be very competitive.
Chain of Lightning (5)
TJ Smith Stakes winner. At the latest run 6th of 13 at Randwick in the G1 All Aged on April 20 over 1400m, on heavy track; 6 len behind Magic Time carrying 57kg at $6. The race before that won by a neck at Randwick G1 T J Smith April 6 over 1200m in heavy going defeating Bella Nipotina with 56.5kg at $21. Genuine chance this time around.
Espiona (9)
Coolmore Classic winner. Most recently got back early 7th of 13 at Randwick in the G1 All Aged on April 20 over 1400m, on heavy track; 8 len behind Magic Time carrying 57kg at $5.50. Before that 6th of 13 at Randwick in the G1 T J Smith on April 6 over 1200m, on rain affected going; 0.8 len behind Chain Of Lightning carrying 56.5kg at $17. Will be charging home late.
Wee Nessy (2)
Group 2 winner. At the latest run 2nd of 9 at Eagle Farm in the G2 Victory Stakes on May 4 over 1200m, slow going 1.1 len behind Antino with 56.5kg at $8. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.2 len at Randwick G2 Sapphire April 13 over 1200m defeating Ballroom Bella carrying 54kg at $4.50. This looks too tough.
Stefi Magnetica (4)
Group 1 placegetter. Resuming after a break of 11 weeks. Finished off last preparation second of 12 at Randwick in the G1 Surround March 2 over 1400m, soft track; a nose behind Tropical Squall with 56kg at $17. Previous preparation first-up won by 2 len Orange Bm58 December 28 over 1010m slow track defeating Fameux carrying 61kg at $2.50. Win would surprise.
Tips: (6)-(7)-(3)-(1)-(5)
TJ Smith Stakes winner CHAIN OF LIGHTNING (6) lifted strongly when winning by a neck two runs back at Randwick. Looks a top chance again. Coolmore Classic winner ESPIONA (7) ran seventh last start at Randwick over 1400m when beaten 8 lengths. She can contest. Group 1 winner MAZU (3) is coming off a win at Randwick and down 1.5kg from last run, among the hopes again. TJ Smith Stakes winner I WISH I WIN (1) knuckled down strongly when finished a neck from the winner at Randwick. Should be winding up late again. Group 1 winner BELLA NIPOTINA (5) finished off strongly when beaten 1.4 lengths last time at Ascot. Worth including again.
