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Tag: Australian Horse Racing Odds

  • 2024 Golden Slipper

    Race overview

    The prestigious Golden Slipper, a highlight of the Australian racing calendar, returns to Rosehill Gardens Racecourse in Sydney this Saturday, March 23rd. This year, the race boasts its usual allure: top-class two-year-old horses vying for a whopping $5 million prize money and the coveted Golden Slipper trophy. As the richest race for two-year-olds globally, the Golden Slipper promises an electrifying day of competition.

    • Date: Saturday, March 23, 2024
    • Location: Rosehill Racecourse, Sydney
    • Distance: 1200 meters
    • Conditions: Restricted to two year olds.
    • Status: Group 1 race
    • Prize Money: $4,920,000

    Runner by runner preview

    1. Storm Boy (2) – Group 2 winner. Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite; won by 1.4 len at Randwick G2 Skyline March 2 over 1200m defeating Prost carrying 55.5kg at $1.20. The start before that favourite; won by 2.5 len at Gold Coast LR Mm 2yo Classic January 13 over 1200m defeating Highness carrying 57kg at $2.50. Undefeated in four runs and has the talent.

    2. Fully Lit (1) – Group 3 placegetter. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Canberra in the G3 Black Opal on March 10 over 1200m, slow going 1.5 len behind Holmes A Court carrying 58kg at $1.60. The race before that favourite; tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.8 len at Randwick LR Millennium February 10 over 1100m in soft going defeating Rue De Royale carrying 56.5kg at $2.80. This looks too tough.

    3. Shangri La Express (3) – Group 2 placegetter. Third-up today. First-up set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 at Randwick Pierro on February 17 over 1100m, slow going 0.7 len behind Switzerland with 57kg at $3.80. Last start sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at Randwick in the G2 Todman on March 9 over 1200m, 2 len behind Switzerland carrying 55.5kg at $14. Chance with the aid of an inside barrier.

    4. Rue De Royal (14) – Group 2 placegetter. Most recently came from midfield; 2nd of 14 at Flemington in the G2 Vrc Sires’ on March 9 over 1400m, 1.75 len behind Traffic Warden with 57kg at $3.50. The race before that from last on the turn 10th of 16 at Caulfield in the G1 Blue Diamond on February 24 over 1200m, 3 len behind Hayasugi with 57kg at $61. Wide draw too testing.

    5. Traffic Warden (6) – Group 2 winner. At the latest run won by 1.75 len at Flemington G2 Vrc Sires’ March 9 over 1400m defeating Rue De Royale carrying 57kg at $5. Before that got back early 8th of 16 at Caulfield in the G1 Blue Diamond on February 24 over 1200m, 2.5 len behind Hayasugi carrying 57kg at $26. Recent form not good enough.

    6. Straight Charge (9) – Group 2 winner. Third-up today. Resuming favourite; won by 1.3 len at this track G2 Silver Slp February 24 over 1100m on a rain affected track defeating Espionage with 56.5kg at $2.40. Second-up set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 8 at Randwick in the G2 Todman on March 9 over 1200m, 0.9 len behind Switzerland carrying 55.5kg at $2.80. Has the ability to be in the finish.

    7. Switzerland (7) – Group 2 winner. Is yet to have his colours lowered in 3 runs. Most recently won by 0.9 len at Randwick G2 Todman March 9 over 1200m defeating Straight Charge carrying 55.5kg at $3.50. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.7 len at Randwick Pierro February 17 over 1100m in soft going defeating Shangri La Express carrying 57kg at $1.60. Yet to taste defeat and sure to be strong late.

    8. Bodyguard (10) – Group 3 winner. Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Caulfield G3 Bd/Prel Cg February 10 over 1100m defeating Stay Focused carrying 57kg at $4. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn; 4th of 8 at Randwick in the G2 Todman on March 9 over 1200m, 2.75 len behind Switzerland carrying 55.5kg at $8.50. Capable of a big finish and at his top now.

    9. Dublin Down (13) – Multiple Group 3 winner. Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 12th of 16 at Caulfield in the G1 Blue Diamond on February 24 over 1200m, 3.5 len behind Hayasugi carrying 57kg at $101. Second run from a spell won by a long-neck at this track G3 Pago Pago March 16 over 1200m on a soft track defeating Anode carrying 55.5kg at $19. Needs to find lengths to test these.

    10. Coleman (4) – Group 3 winner. At the latest run 3rd of 11 at this track in the G3 Pago Pago on March 16 over 1200m, on a slow track; 2 len behind Dublin Down carrying 55.5kg at $5.50. The run before that 13th of 16 at Caulfield in the G1 Blue Diamond on February 24 over 1200m, 3.5 len behind Hayasugi with 57kg at $3.30. Has a low draw and is in the mix.

    11. Holmes A Court (8) – Group 3 winner. Last start raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 1.5 len at Canberra G3 Black Opal March 10 over 1200m on a soft track defeating Fully Lit with 56kg at $7. The race before that held ground to the line 3rd of 9 at Caulfield in the G3 Bd/Prel Cg on February 10 over 1100m, 2.75 len behind Bodyguard with 57kg at $15. In winning form but this a tough assignment.

    12. Prost (11) – Group 3 winner. Third-up today. First-up won by 0.5 len at this track G3 Canonbury February 3 over 1100m defeating Fearless carrying 54.5kg at $3.50. Second-up 2nd of 7 at Randwick in the G2 Skyline on March 2 over 1200m, 1.4 len behind Storm Boy with 55.5kg at $12. Not beaten far last start and worth including.

    13. Hayasugi (16) – Blue Diamond Stakes winner. On a three run winning streak. Most recently won by a head at Caulfield G1 Blue Diamond February 24 over 1200m defeating Lady Of Camelot with 55kg at $16. The start before that won by a nose at Caulfield G2 Bd/Prel F February 10 over 1100m defeating Kuroyanagi with 56kg at $8.50. Impressive win last start and is in the mix again despite drawing out.

    14. Lady Of Camelot (5) – Group 1 placegetter. Third-up today. First-up won by 3 len at this track G3 Widden February 3 over 1100m defeating Manaal carrying 54.5kg at $1.60. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 16 at Caulfield in the G1 Blue Diamond on February 24 over 1200m, head behind Hayasugi with 55kg at $4. Has the ability to take this out.

    15. Manaal (17) – Group 2 winner. Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 7 at this track in the G3 Widden on February 3 over 1100m, 3 len behind Lady Of Camelot carrying 57.5kg at $9.50. Second run from a spell favourite; ran on from midfield and won by 1.2 len at Randwick G2 Sw Embrace March 2 over 1200m on a soft track defeating Fly Fly with 55.5kg at $2. Will need plenty of luck from the wide barrier.

    16. Eneeza (15) – Multiple Group 3 placegetter. Third-up today. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Caulfield in the G3 Chairman’s Stk on February 3 over 1000m, 2.75 len behind Coleman carrying 57kg at $2.40. Last start 4th of 16 at Caulfield in the G1 Blue Diamond on February 24 over 1200m, 1.3 len behind Hayasugi carrying 55kg at $12. Wasn’t too far off the mark last time. Prefer others.

    17. Espionage (12) – Group 3 winner. Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at this track in the G2 Silver Slp on February 24 over 1100m, on a slow track; 1.3 len behind Straight Charge with 56.5kg at $2.80. Second-up 5th of 8 at Randwick in the G2 Todman on March 9 over 1200m, 3.5 len behind Switzerland carrying 56kg at $4. Will jump at pretty long odds and deservedly so.

    Ours tips

    Group 1 place getter LADY OF CAMELOT (14) last start was narrowly beaten at Caulfield and carrying less weight today, should be in the finish. Group 2 winner STRAIGHT CHARGE (6) was in the money last start when second at Randwick over 1200m in a Group 2 and peaks for this. Rates an each way chance. Group 2 winner SWITZERLAND (7) will be rock-hard fit now following a nice effort at Randwick last start when first. Looks a strong place chance. Blue Diamond Stakes winner HAYASUGI (13) should give this a shake. Group 2 winner STORM BOY (1) has appeal.

    Tips: (14)-(6)-(7)-(13)-(1)

  • 2024 All Star Mile

    Mr Brightside (NZ) ridden by Luke Currie wins the The Sharp EIT ALL-STAR MILE at Moonee Valley Racecourse on March 18, 2023 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Pat Scala/Racing Photos via Getty Images)

    Race overview
    Big changes for the 2024 All-Star Mile at Caulfield! No public vote this year. Instead, 12 top horses earned their spots through qualifying races or wildcard picks. Defending champ Mr Brightside is back to battle it out with Pride Of Jenni, plus a challenger from New Zealand, Puntura. It’s a $4 million race featuring the best middle-distance horses from Australia and New Zealand!

    • Date: Saturday, March 16, 2024
    • Location: Caulfield Racecourse, Melbourne
    • Distance: 1600 meters
    • Conditions: Weight-For-Age (WFA)
    • Status: Group 1 race
    • Prize Money: $4,000,000



    Runner by runner preview

    1. Mr Brightside (11) – the victor of the Futurity Stakes, enters the fray as a formidable contender. Today marks his third-up appearance, a phase in which he has tasted victory before. His debut this season saw him emerge as the favourite, manoeuvring skilfully from midfield to clinch victory by a mere nose at this very track in the esteemed G1 C F Orr, covering 1400m while carrying 59kg, all at the low odds of $1.90. Subsequently, in his second outing from a spell, he reaffirmed his prowess by triumphing in the G1 Futurity Stakes over the same distance, defeating Pericles with a comfortable margin of 1.5 lengths, again carrying 59kg, this time as the favorite at $1.50. A star performer, Mr Brightside is poised to shine even brighter as the race extends to a mile. Undoubtedly, he stands out as the horse to beat.

    2. Cascadian (7) – the conqueror of the Australian Cup, makes his presence felt as he steps onto the field for his third-up appearance, a phase where he has previously tasted success. His return to the track saw him finish at the tail end of the pack, securing the last spot among 9 contenders in the G2 Apollo at Randwick over 1400m on a slow track, trailing by 5.5 lengths behind Fangirl, carrying 59kg, at odds of $16. However, he showcased resilience in his subsequent outing, rallying impressively from the rear to secure 4th place out of 8 participants in the G1 V Elleegant at Randwick over 1600m on a slow track, trailing by a mere 3 lengths behind Think It Over, carrying 59kg, at odds of $21. Cascadian’s form is on the ascent, and he is anticipated to thrive amidst a brisk tempo.

    3. Attractable (2) – a Group 2 placegetter, presents a dual acceptance scenario as he enters his second-up appearance. In his return to racing after a two-month hiatus, he faltered in the straight, finishing second to last among 9 contenders in the G2 Apollo at Randwick over 1400m on a slow track, trailing by 4 lengths behind Fangirl, carrying 59kg, at odds of $9. However, in his previous second-up outing, he exhibited strength, securing victory by a margin of 1.2 lengths in the Big Dance at Randwick over 1600m on November 7, defeating Cepheus, carrying 56.5kg, at odds of $19. Attractable is likely to endure and contend for a place finish.

    4. Munhamek (10) – a Group 3 titleholder, faces an uphill battle in the upcoming race. In his recent performance, he found himself trailing early on, finishing 6th out of 8 participants at this track in the G1 Futurity Stakes over 1400m on February 24, trailing by 4 lengths behind Mr Brightside, carrying 59kg, at odds of $41. Preceding that, he secured the 7th position out of 9 contenders at this track in the G1 C F Orr over 1400m on February 10, trailing by 4.5 lengths behind Mr Brightside, carrying 59kg, at odds of $21. Munhamek’s current form suggests that he is unlikely to feature prominently in the upcoming race.

    5. Dom To Shoot (12) – victor of the Northerly Stakes, steps into the arena for his second outing. Returning to action after a two-month hiatus, he showcased a commendable performance in his first-up run, maintaining pace with the leaders and displaying steady resolve to finish 4th out of 8 contenders at this very track in the G1 Futurity Stakes over 1400m on February 24. He trailed by a distance of 3 lengths behind Mr Brightside, carrying 59kg, with odds set at $26. In his prior second-up appearance, he demonstrated significant progress, surging from the back of the pack to secure 3rd place out of 16 competitors at Ascot in the G1 Railway on November 25 over 1600m. He finished 1.5 lengths behind Bustler, carrying 54kg, at odds of $21. With improved fitness, Dom To Shoot presents a strong chance of placing.

    6. Buffalo River (9) – a contender with multiple Group 1 placings to his name, showcased consistent performance in his recent outings. In his most recent run, he maintained his position well, crossing the line in 3rd place out of 8 contenders at this track in the G1 Futurity Stakes over 1400m on February 24. He trailed Mr Brightside by a margin of 2.75 lengths while carrying 59kg, with odds at $11. Similarly, in his preceding race, he demonstrated resilience, finishing 3rd out of 9 contenders at this track in the G1 C F Orr over 1400m on February 10. He was narrowly defeated by Mr Brightside, with a neck separating them, carrying 59kg, at odds of $61. However, the distance of this race may not be most favourable for Buffalo River compared to others in the field.

    7. Pinstriped (1) – a Group 2 victor, returns from a spell for this contest. In his previous campaign, he concluded with a 11th place finish out of 11 contenders at Flemington in the G1 Mackinnon on November 11 over 2000m, trailing by 5.5 lengths behind Atishu, carrying 59kg, with odds at $81. His return to action saw him secure 2nd place out of 14 contenders at this track in the G2 Lawrence Stakes on August 19 over 1400m, trailing by 1.75 lengths behind Mr Brightside, carrying 59kg, with odds at $6. Although Pinstriped possesses promise, the challenge presented by this race is considerable.

    8. Desert Lightning (8) – the winner of the Captain Cook Stakes, boasts recent form that speaks volumes. In his last outing, he secured 3rd place out of 10 contenders at Otaki in the G1 Wfa Classic on February 24 over 1600m, traversing a slow track and finishing 3 lengths behind La Crique, carrying 59kg, with odds at $2.30. Prior to that, he emerged as the favorite and maintained a steady pace throughout the race, eventually winning by a margin of 1.75 lengths at Ellerslie in the Aetaroa Classic on January 27 over 1600m. Desert Lightning’s strong performance in New Zealand suggests he’s a solid contender for a place finish in this race.

    9. Ayrton (5) – a victor in multiple Group 3 contests, showcased his prowess in his recent outing. Finishing 3rd out of 14 contenders at Flemington in the G2 Blamey on March 2 over 1600m, he trailed by a mere length behind Atishu while carrying 56kg, with odds at $7. Prior to that, he maintained a steady pace while positioned near the front, securing 5th place out of 9 contenders at this track in the G1 C F Orr on February 10 over 1400m. In this race, he finished 2.75 lengths behind Mr Brightside, carrying 59kg, at odds of $19. While he demonstrated competitiveness in his recent run, his suitability for this particular challenge remains uncertain.

    10. Puntura (4) – the victor of the Thorndon Mile, endured a challenging outing in his latest race. Finishing second to last out of 10 contenders at Otaki in the G1 Wfa Classic on February 24 over 1600m on a slow track, he trailed by a significant margin of 9 lengths behind La Crique, carrying 59kg, with odds at $4.30. However, in his prior race, he emerged triumphant by a margin of 1.3 lengths at Trentham in the G1 Thorndon Mile on January 20 over 1600m in soft conditions, defeating El Vencedor while carrying 57kg, with odds at $5.30. Puntura faced a thorough examination in his recent performance.

    11. Holymanz (3) – a contender with a Group 2 placing to his credit, delivered a commendable performance in his last outing. Securing 2nd place out of 14 contenders at Flemington in the G2 Blamey on March 2 over 1600m, he trailed by a narrow margin of 0.8 lengths behind Atishu while carrying 56kg, with odds at $12. Before that, he made steady progress from midfield, finishing 4th out of 13 contenders at Ellerslie in the Aetaroa Classic on January 27 over 1600m. In that race, he trailed Desert Lightning by 10 lengths while carrying 57.5kg, with odds at $15.50. Holymanz would need to achieve a significant performance peak to contend in this race.

    12. Pride Of Jenni (6) – triumphant in the Champions Mile, enters the fray for her second-up appearance. Returning to action after a three-month hiatus, she led the field for much of the race before being narrowly overtaken late, finishing 2nd out of 9 contenders at this track in the G1 C F Orr on February 10 over 1400m, trailing Mr Brightside by a nose while carrying 57kg, with odds at $9. Previously, in her second-up race, she finished 2nd out of 10 contenders at Moonee Valley in the G2 Stocks on September 29 over 1600m, trailing Amelia’s Jewel by 0.8 lengths while carrying 57kg, with odds at $15. Pride Of Jenni possesses the capability to deliver an impressive performance and is expected to be a significant contender in this race.


    Tips

    MR BRIGHTSIDE (1): The defending champion comes in hot, undefeated in two starts this prep including a win here at Caulfield. He’s won 16 of 31 career races and is the one to beat. PRIDE OF JENNI (12): This year’s Champions Mile winner put in a strong showing last race at Caulfield, finishing a close second. Look for another bold performance. ATTRACTABLE (3): Often performs well in his second race after a break, so expect improvement after his eighth-place finish at Randwick. Could be a contender. AYRTON (9): Came close last time at Flemington, only beaten by a length. He’s a threat to challenge for a place in the finish. CASCADIAN (2): The Australian Cup winner showed some signs of improvement last start on soft ground. While not expected to win, he shouldn’t be completely discounted.

  • 2024 Coolmore classic





    Race overview

    The 2024 Coolmore Classic is set to be run this coming Saturday, March 16th, at Rosehill Racecourse in Sydney, Australia. Here’s a quick rundown of the details:

    • Date: Saturday, March 16, 2024
    • Location: Rosehill Racecourse, Sydney
    • Distance: 1500 meters
    • Conditions: Handicap (fillies & mares aged three and above)
    • Status: Group 1 race
    • Prize Money: $1,000,000

    The Coolmore Classic is one of the richest races for fillies and mares during the Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival and is the marquee event of Coolmore Classic Day.

    See our tips below!


    Runner by runner preview

    1. Zougotcha (2) – Winner of the Flight Stakes, with this being her second run back. In her first-up race after a five-month break, she maintained a position near the lead and showed resilience, triumphing by a 0.9 length margin at this very track in the G2 Millie Fox on February 24 over 1300m in soft conditions, defeating Lady Laguna while carrying 58kg, priced at $4. In her previous second-up outing, she wore blinkers for the first time, finishing 4th out of 8 at this track in the G2 Sheraco on September 9 over 1200m, trailing Sunshine In Paris by 2 lengths while carrying 58kg at $7.50. She’s strategically drawn to track the pace and stands a good chance of victory once more.

    2. Revolutionary Miss (13) – A seasoned mare with several Group 2 victories under her belt. Her most recent performance saw her maintain a competitive pace and hold her ground, ultimately securing victory by 1.75 lengths at Caulfield in the G3 Mannerism on February 24 over 1400m, defeating Running By while carrying 59kg at $5.50. Prior to that, she clinched another win by a narrow margin at Flemington in the G3 Tressady on February 17 over 1400m, overcoming Forbidden City while carrying 58.5kg at $5. Her current form suggests she’s in prime condition to notch up another win.

    3. Semana (11) – A Group 3 winner on the hunt for a consecutive win. In her latest outing, she secured victory by a narrow margin at Randwick in the G3 Triscay on February 17 over 1200m on a soft track, besting Olentia while carrying 57.5kg at $4. Her previous race saw her rally from midfield and triumph by 2 lengths at Gold Coast in the LR Mm Cup on January 13 over 1400m, defeating Meridius while carrying 54kg at $14. She enters this race as a strong contender for victory.

    4. Vienna Princess (8) – Currently in her second race since resuming. In her first outing after a four-month hiatus, she secured a respectable 4th position out of 10 runners at this track in the G2 Millie Fox on February 24 over 1300m, held on a slow track. She trailed Zougotcha by 4 lengths while carrying 54kg at $7. Previously, in her second-up performance, she displayed her winning potential by triumphing by 0.9 lengths at Randwick in the Silver Eagle on October 14 over 1300m, defeating Strait Acer while carrying 54kg at $15. She’s an undervalued contender boasting a commendable track record.

    5. Hinged (15) – A distinguished Group 1 victor, now embarking on her second race since returning to competition. In her first appearance after a three-month break, she positioned herself near the lead and clinched a runner-up finish at Randwick in the G2 Guy Walter on March 2 over 1400m, contested on a slow track. She trailed Hell Hath No Fury by a nose while carrying 58kg at $2.80. In her prior second-up event, she concluded at the rear end of the field, finishing last of 11 runners at Randwick in the 7 Stakes on September 16 over 1600m, where she was distanced by 30 lengths behind Think It Over while carrying 57kg at $13. While she has improved fitness-wise, other contenders may hold more appeal.

    6. Tropical Squall (17), now competing in her second race since resuming. In her comeback race after a four-month hiatus, she secured victory by a narrow margin at Randwick in the G1 Surround on March 2 over 1400m, contested on a track affected by rain. She outpaced Stefi Magnetica by a nose while carrying 56kg at $8.50. In her previous second-up race, she finished 3rd out of 16 runners at Randwick in the G2 Tea Rose on September 16 over 1400m, trailing Tiz Invincible by 2 lengths while carrying 56kg at $5.50. With enhanced fitness levels, she warrants consideration for inclusion in selections.

    7. Deny Knowledge (9) – Achiever of a Group 2 title. Making a return from a break, her last campaign concluded with a second-to-last finish at Caulfield in the G2 Sand Clssc on December 2 over 2400m, on a soft track. She trailed by a significant margin, finishing 10 lengths behind Military Mission while carrying 57kg at $4.50. In her prior preparation, she commenced her campaign with a victory by 2 lengths at Moonee Valley in the 4yo+ Bm100 on August 26 over 1519m, outclassing French Emperor while carrying 52.5kg at $4. She may prove challenging to back.

    8. Foxy Frida (12) – Holder of a Group 3 title. This marks her second appearance since resuming. In her comeback race after a three-month break, she demonstrated a strong finish from the rear of the pack, securing 4th place out of 10 runners at Flemington in the G3 Tressady on February 17 over 1400m. She trailed Revolutionary Miss by 1.4 lengths while carrying 58kg at $7.50. In her previous second-up performance, she surged from midfield, finishing 3rd out of 10 at Caulfield in the G3 L/Day Vase on October 14 over 1600m, 2 lengths behind Wishlor Lass while carrying 58kg at $8.50. She shouldn’t be underestimated.

    9. Madame Pommery (16) – Victor of the Thousand Guineas. Currently in her second outing since resuming. In her first race back after a four-month hiatus, she maintained a position near the front throughout the event, finishing 3rd out of 10 at this track in the G2 Millie Fox on February 24 over 1300m, contested on a slow track. She trailed Zougotcha by 3 lengths while carrying 58kg at $12. In her prior second-up race, she finished 8th out of 12 at this track in the G2 Theo Marks on September 9 over 1300m, 3 lengths behind Golden Mile while carrying 55.5kg at $7. She presents a solid prospect for a top-three finish.

    10. Renaissance Woman (5) – A seasoned victor in multiple Group 3 races. Currently in her second race since resuming competition. In her first appearance after a four-month break, she finished 8th out of 10 runners at this track in the G2 Millie Fox on February 24 over 1300m, contested on a slow track. She trailed Zougotcha by 6 lengths while carrying 56kg at $26. However, in her previous second-up performance, she charged from midfield to secure victory by 0.8 lengths at Randwick in the G3 Angst on October 14 over 1600m, defeating Ausbred Flirt while carrying 56kg at $6. She’s now more prepared and warrants consideration for inclusion.

    11. Yonce (1) – Holder of a Group 3 title. Returning after a 35-day break. In her recent outing, she clinched victory by 0.8 lengths at Caulfield in the G3 Clyon Cup on February 10 over 1600m, defeating Foxy Cleopatra while carrying 55.5kg at $3.30. Prior to that, she finished 5th out of 8 runners at Caulfield in the LR Barton Stks on January 26 over 1400m, trailing Ayrton by 1.3 lengths while carrying 54kg at $5.50. With the advantage of an inside alley, she stands a chance of performing well in this race.

    12. Barbie’s Fox (10) – A contender who has secured a place in Group 2 races. Today marks her third race since resuming competition, and she has previously won third-up. In her first race back after a spell, she finished last out of 13 runners at Caulfield in the G2 Rubiton on February 10 over 1100m, trailing Kallos by 6 lengths while carrying 56kg at $81. In her second outing from the spell, she moved up from last on the turn to finish 5th out of 8 at Randwick in the G2 Guy Walter on March 2 over 1400m, contested on a slow track. She trailed Hell Hath No Fury by 3 lengths while carrying 55kg at $16. It’s unlikely she will pose a significant challenge to the field in this race.

    13. Hell Hath No Fury (3) – A mare of utility with a Group 2 triumph to her name. In her most recent race, she surged from a midfield position to secure victory by a narrow margin at Randwick in the G2 Guy Walter on March 2 over 1400m, contested on a rain-affected track. She outpaced Hinged while carrying 54kg at $9.50. Prior to that, in her previous start, she finished 3rd out of 7 runners at Randwick in the 3&4yo Bm78 on February 10 over 1600m, contending on a slow track. She trailed Ceerseven by 1.1 lengths while carrying 56kg at $4. With a favorable draw, she’s worth considering for inclusion.


    14. More Secrets (6) – A contender with a notable achievement of placing in a Group 1 race. Currently in her second race since returning to competition. In her first race after a four-month break, she finished 3rd out of 8 runners at Randwick in the G2 Guy Walter on March 2 over 1400m, contested on a slow track. She trailed Hell Hath No Fury by 1.75 lengths while carrying 54kg at $7. In her previous second-up outing, she surged from a midfield position to finish 3rd out of 15 at Randwick in the G3 Angst on October 14 over 1600m, trailing Renaissance Woman by 1.2 lengths while carrying 54kg at $6.50. Other contenders may hold greater appeal in this instance.

    15. Ausbred Flirt (18) – A mare who has secured a place in Group 3 competition. Currently in her second race since resuming. In her first race after a four-month break, she eased back early on to finish 6th out of 8 runners at Randwick in the G2 Guy Walter on March 2 over 1400m, contested on a slow track. She trailed Hell Hath No Fury by 3.5 lengths while carrying 54kg at $3.30. In her previous second-up outing, she finished 2nd out of 15 at Randwick in the G3 Angst on October 14 over 1600m, trailing Renaissance Woman by 0.8 lengths while carrying 54kg at $4.50. It will be a challenging task for her second-up from a wide draw.

    16. Jennilala (4) – A contender who has achieved a placing in a Group 1 event. Currently in her second race since resuming competition. In her first outing after a four-month break, she maintained a position near the front of the pack and displayed tenacity, clinching victory by 1.3 lengths at Flemington in the Bm84 on February 17 over 1400m. She defeated Lounge Bar Rubi while carrying 59kg at $12. Previously, in her second-up performance, she finished 13th out of 16 runners at Flemington in the G1 Empire Rose on November 4 over 1600m, trailing Pride Of Jenni by 6 lengths while carrying 57kg at $81. With solid potential for improvement, she enters this race with promising prospects, carrying 51kg.

    17. Kimochi (14) – Winner of a Group 2 race. Today marks her third race since resuming competition, and she has previously achieved success on her third-up outing. In her first race back, she moved up from a midfield position to secure victory by a narrow margin at Randwick in the G2 Lghtfinger on February 17 over 1200m, contested on a soft track. She defeated Learning To Fly while carrying 56kg at $6.50. In her most recent race, she finished 7th out of 12 runners at Randwick in the G1 Surround on March 2 over 1400m, contested on a slow track. She trailed Tropical Squall by 3.5 lengths while carrying 56kg at $6. She emerges as a genuine contender under these conditions.

    18. Barby’s Doll (7) – In her previous race, she made progress from a midfield position to finish 3rd out of 12 runners at Pakenham in the Cl3-Sw on February 29 over 1400m, trailing Mislead by 1.0 length while carrying 55kg at $3.80. Prior to that, she finished 3rd out of 7 runners at Caulfield in the 3yo F Bm70 on February 3 over 1200m, trailing Diamond Decorator by 4 lengths while carrying 57kg at $3.80. This race appears to pose a significant challenge for her.


    Tips

    JENNILALA (16), a recent winner at Flemington, has a good chance to repeat here based on her past performance. ZOUGOTCHA (1), the winner of the Flight Stakes, comes into this race after a narrow victory at this track and with a weight reduction. KIMOCHI (17), who showed determination in a close win at Randwick, is another contender. REVOLUTIONARY MISS (2), a multiple Group 2 winner, is coming off a win at Caulfield and shouldn’t be overlooked. SEMANA (3), in excellent form with two wins and a placing in her recent outings, including a win at Randwick on soft ground, is another horse to watch.

    Here are the top picks in order: (16), (1), (17), (2), (3).




  • All-Star Mile Promises a Tight Race at Caulfield

    Twelve horses are poised to charge out for the sixth edition of the lucrative $4 million All-Star Mile, returning to Caulfield for the second time this Saturday.

    A High-Quality Field Despite Smaller Size:

    While the field size may be smaller than in previous years, Racing Victoria emphasizes the exceptional quality of the participants. Each runner boasts a rating above 100, the highest average in the race’s history. Six Group 1 winners, including the race favorite Mr Brightside with barrier 11, will be vying for victory, although it’s the second-lowest number to compete. As Racing Victoria points out, prominent contenders like Alligator Blood, Attrition, Duais, and Aegon were unfortunately sidelined by injuries or setbacks.

    Intrigue Abounds for Race Fans:

    Matt Welsh, Racing Victoria’s Executive General Manager – Racing, anticipates a race brimming with possibilities:

    • Can Mr Brightside defend his title against the highly-rated Pride Of Jenni (barrier 6)?
    • Will Cascadian (barrier 7), last year’s runner-up, finally claim the top prize?
    • Can the New Zealand challengers, Puntura (barrier 4) and Desert Lightning (barrier 8), cause an upset?
    • Or will there be a surprise victory from another contender?

    Building Excitement for the Race:

    “The All-Star Mile has already sparked plenty of discussion,” Welsh said, “and now it’s time to debate who will win the race.”

    “We think the All-Star Mile will be an enthralling spectacle with the dynamic of the field assembled. The best races are those when we have a genuine tempo and that is assured at Caulfield on Saturday,” he added.

    Starting Positions Revealed:

    Pinstriped, entering the All-Star Mile for the first time, drew the coveted barrier one. Perth’s Dom To Shoot will start from the widest gate (12). Last year’s runner-up, Cascadian, has barrier seven, while New Zealand’s Puntara and Desert Lightning secured barriers four and eight, respectively.

    With a captivating mix of established champions, rising stars, and the potential for an underdog story, the All-Star Mile promises to be an edge-of-your-seat experience. Don’t miss the action this Saturday at Caulfield!

  • 2024 G1 Flemington Newmarket Handicap preview and tips

    1. Imperatriz (3):

    Imperatriz, the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes winner, is set to make her second-up appearance after a three-month break. In her first-up race, she was the favorite and displayed remarkable prowess by tracking the speed and maintaining a steady pace, ultimately clinching victory by a head at this very track in the G1 Lightning over 1000m. Her previous second-up performance showcased her resilience as she rallied from a disadvantaged position to secure victory at Moonee Valley in the G1 Moir Stks over 1000m. As a star mare, Imperatriz faces a new challenge in this race, and her past achievements speak volumes of her capabilities.

    2. Bella Nipotina (4) :

    Having claimed victory in the Manikato Stakes, Bella Nipotina is on her second run back after a three-month hiatus. In her recent first-up race, she finished 4th at this track in the G1 Lightning over 1000m, trailing Imperatriz by 0.9 lengths. Bella Nipotina’s previous second-up performance saw her securing the 3rd position at Randwick in the G2 Premiere over 1200m. With her consistent performances, she is anticipated to be a strong contender in the upcoming race.

    3. Buenos Noches (8):

    Buenos Noches, a multiple Group 1 placegetter, is making her second run back after a three-month break. In her first-up race, she showcased an impressive display by surging from last on the turn to secure the 4th position at Randwick in the G2 Expressway over 1200m. Her previous second-up performance saw her finishing 3rd at Randwick in the G2 The Shorts over 1100m. Buenos Noches’ remarkable comeback in her first-up race indicates her potential to perform well in the upcoming event.

    5. Ruthless Dame (2):

    Ruthless Dame, the winner of the Robert Sangster Stakes, is returning from a spell. In her last preparation, she finished seventh at Rosehill Golden Eagle over 1500m. Her previous first-up race saw her finishing seventh at Randwick in the G2 The Shorts over 1100m. Ruthless Dame’s past achievements position her as a potential contender for a place in the upcoming race.

    6. Magic Time (10):

    Magic Time, the winner of the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes, is back from a spell. In her last campaign, she claimed victory at Caulfield in the G1 Rup Clarke over 1400m. Upon resuming, she finished fifth at Caulfield in the G3 The Heath 1100 over 1100m. With her talent and past successes, Magic Time appears to be well-placed for the upcoming race.

    7. The Astrologist (12):

    The Astrologist, a multiple Group 1 placegetter, faced tough competition in her recent races, finishing second last in the G1 Lightning over 1000m and fifth in the G3 Standish over 1200m. Considering her recent performances, it might be prudent to explore other options in this race.

    8. Benedetta (9):

    Benedetta, a Group 3 winner, is on her second run back after a four-month break. In her recent first-up race, she made some headway from midfield to secure the fourth position at Caulfield in the G1 Oakleigh Plt over 1100m. Her previous second-up performance saw her clinching victory at Caulfield in the G3 Cockram over 1200m. With her consistent performances, Benedetta could be a contender for a place in the upcoming race.

    9. It’sourtime (1):

    It’sourtime, a Group 3 winner, is making her first-up appearance. In her last campaign, she finished third at this track in the LR Mss Security over 1200m. Upon resuming, she secured the second position at this track in Bm90 over 1200m. However, uncertainties loom over her chances in this competitive field.

    10. Master Fay (8):

    Master Fay, a Group 3 winner, is set to make his third-up appearance after a 42-day break. In his recent races, he claimed victory at Tauranga Rating 75 over 1200m and Ellerslie G3 Concorde over 1200m. Despite his winning form, the tough competition in this race presents a significant challenge for Master Fay.

    12. Sghirripa (6):

    Sghirripa, a Group 3 winner, faced tough competition in his recent races, finishing seventh in the G1 Oakleigh Plt over 1100m and claiming victory at this track in the G3 Standish over 1200m. With a better draw in this race, Sghirripa emerges as a strong each-way hope.

    13. Skew Wiff (5):

    Skew Wiff, the winner of the Tarzino Trophy, is making her second-up appearance. In her recent races, she finished thirteenth in the G1 Oakleigh Plt over 1100m and claimed victory at Hastings G1 Tarzino Trpy over 1400m. However, her chances in this race appear slim.

    14. Cylinder (11):

    Cylinder, a multiple Group 2 winner, is on her second-up appearance after a four-month break. In her recent race, she finished sixth in the G1 Lightning over 1000m and claimed victory at Rosehill G2 Run To Rose over 1200m. While she has the potential to improve, the competitive field poses a challenge for Cylinder.

    Speed map

    Finding early speed or leaders in the upcoming race seems challenging. Imperatriz notably led in the Manikato and the Lightning, but with 58kg, the question arises whether they are willing to take that potential risk. Master Fay showcased speed in a recent Flemington jumpout. Apart from these contenders, identifying a clear frontrunner is difficult. Perhaps The Astrologist could emerge as a possibility?

    Tips

    1 Imperatriz

    A victory here would unquestionably solidify her status as a champion. Her comeback in the Lightning was nothing short of spectacular as she led from start to finish. Despite facing a formidable opponent in Private Eye, she showcased remarkable bravery, finding another gear and finishing strongest to secure the win. If she can carry top weight and triumph in this race, she will undoubtedly reinforce her champion status. However, from a betting perspective, I am hesitant to take this proposition.

    3 Buenos Noches

    Matty Smith faces a three-week gap between runs since his comeback in the Expressway at Randwick. In that race, I felt he was ridden too conservatively, setting him an almost insurmountable challenge. Despite finishing strongly, he never posed a serious threat for victory. Notably, he has performed well down the straight before and has been specifically prepared for this race. He could prove to be a formidable contender.

    Tips (1) – (3)

  • 2024 G1 Randwick Guineas preview and tips


    2024 Randwick Guineas Runner by Runner Review:

    1. Militarize (4): This Golden Rose Stakes winner has shown impressive form, particularly in his last run where he finished second in the G2 Apollo. With more fitness under his belt, he’s expected to perform well over this distance.

    2. Tom Kitten (8): Despite finishing 5th in the G2 Hobartvlle last time out, Tom Kitten has the potential to make a strong finish, especially given his history of performing well third-up. Expect him to be charging home late.

    3. Celestial Legend (11): With a win in the G2 Hobartvlle last start, Celestial Legend is showing promise. With untapped potential, he’s one to watch for a late swooping move.

    4. Encap (10): Encap has been consistent, finishing 3rd in the G2 Hobartvlle last start. With a genuine chance off the back of that performance, he shouldn’t be overlooked.

    5. Ganbare (5): While Ganbare faded to 7th in the G2 Hobartvlle, his previous form suggests he’s a solid top-three hope. Keep an eye on him, especially considering his past achievements.

    6. Les Vampires (2): Les Vampires has shown promise, winning at Canterbury and finishing 3rd in the G2 Hobartvlle. With a nice draw, he’s worth considering for a strong showing.

    7. Fukubana (3): Fukubana hasn’t shown the same level of form as some of the other contenders, finishing 4th in the G2 Hobartvlle last start. Place prospects may be slim for him in this race.

    8. Ducasse (9): Despite a strong win at Warwick Farm, Ducasse finished 8th in the G2 Hobartvlle. With a wide draw, this race might be too testing for him.

    9. Ceowulf (1): Ceowulf hasn’t shown exceptional form recently, but he shouldn’t be underestimated, especially considering his previous performances.

    10. Cafe Millennium (7): While Cafe Millennium has shown some promise in recent trials and races, the competition in this field might be too tough for him to contend with.

    11. Cosmic Lad (6): Like Cafe Millennium, Cosmic Lad has attracted attention in trials but hasn’t shown the same level of form in races. He might struggle against this field.


    Speed map

    Considering the speed map, the GaiBott pair of Ganbare and Les Vampires, along with Cosmic Lad, are expected to set the pace. It will be interesting to see how the race unfolds, with contenders like Militarize and Celestial Legend likely to make late charges.


    Tips

    MILITARIZE (1), the victor of the Golden Rose Stakes, showcased a strong performance in his recent outing, finishing second at this very track over 1400m in a Group 2 race held on soft terrain. Demonstrating notable capability, he stands a solid chance of being in contention. CELESTIAL LEGEND (3), a Group 2 titleholder, delivered a commanding victory last time out at Rosehill, triumphing by a substantial 2-length margin. His impressive figures indicate his suitability for this challenge. TOM KITTEN (2), winner of the Spring Champion Stakes, settled in the middle of the pack in his previous race at Rosehill, which was contested on soft ground where he was favored. With today’s extended journey, he remains a potential contender. LES VAMPIRES (6), a Group 2 placegetter, secured a podium finish in his recent outing at Rosehill and is expected to be sharper for his prior endeavors, offering an enticing each-way opportunity. ENCAP (4), boasting Group 1 credentials, is a progressive contender likely to feature prominently once more in the closing stages.

    Tips: (1)-(3)-(2)-(6)-(4)



    Market Odds

  • Fully Lit to fire in Black Opal

    Inglis Millennium winner Fully Lit headlines Sunday’s Black Opal at Canberra.


    Gai Waterhouse     and Adrain Bott will be well represented in the nations capital’s biggest day of racing, headlined by unbeaten two-year-old colt Fully Lit in the Group 3 Black Opal Stakes (1200m).

    The stable are enjoying an unprecedented two-year-old season with 19 total wins, including Fully Lit, with the Hellbent colt set to star a short-priced favourite for Sunday’s Black Opal, which the stable hope see him present as yet another Golden Slipper chance.

    “He’s come through his last win in the Millennium beautifully and he’s trialled nicely since,” Bott said.

    “He’s in great order, and obviously has plenty of upside. He’s improving every start.”

    Gai Waterhouse holds the record with seven Golden Slipper winners, one of those in partnership with Bott, who says Sunday’s race will be another piece in the puzzle as to Fully Lit’s standing in the Sipper pecking order.

    “I’d like to see him perform well in the Black Opal to see where he is at. It’s always a competitive contest so this will give us a great guide.”

    Fully Lit is the $1.50 favourite for the Black Opal after drawing barrier three with Regan Bayliss to maintain his association with the colt. Peter and Paul Snowden  have the only other two horses in single figures with Holmes A Court at $6 and King Of Roseau at $9.
    Meanwhile, in a far more open affair, Waterhouse & Bott will saddle up recent Magic Millions winner So United in the Listed Canberra Cup (2000m), who has drawn barrier seven in a field of 11 with Tim Clark onboard.

    “We thought So United was great last start…before that he was really impressive when he won at the Gold Coast. He’s progressive and continues to improve,” Bott said.

    So United is a $5 second elect behind the Kris Lees trained Almania at $4.20, who will jump from barrier 10.

  • Waller weighting with Espiona

    Newmarket weights to determine whether Espiona’s next assignment.

    Chris Waller will study the weights for this Saturday’s Newmarket Handicap before deciding whether Espiona runs in the $1.5 million event at Flemington or returns to Sydney.

    The daughter of Extreme Choice caught the eye late when steaming home into third placing in the 1000-metre Black Caviar Lightning, won by Imperatriz.

    The star Kiwi mare was late last week confirmed as a Newmarket starter, where she is expected to be 58kg topweight, and Waller said how Espiona measures up against her and some of the other better-performed nominations will determine whether she takes her place in the 1200m race.

    “I just want to see not what weight she gets, but how she fares in the weights against the other horses,” Waller said.

    Private Eye, Bella Nipotina, Magic Time and Skew Wiff are the other Group 1 winners entered for the Newmarket, along with Buenos Noches, Benedetta and the lone three-year-old nomination Cylinder.

    If Waller opts against running in the Newmarket, she will most likely appear in the Group 1 Canterbury Stakes at Randwick.

    The five-year-old was one of 13 nominations for that $750,000 event, which will herald the return of The Everest winner Think About It, and Waller would not have too much issue seeing her jump from the 1000m of the Lightning to 1300m second-up.

    “I don’t see 1300 metres being much of a problem, I think it is a good distance for her,” he said.

    “Her first-up run was terrific. She is effective now both ways as well as up the straight.”

    Espiona is one of two Canterbury Stakes nominations for Waller, who also has Golden Slipper winner Shinzo entered.

    The valuable son of Snitzel has not started since his third placing in the Coolmore Stud Stakes third placing and Waller tossing up whether he is ready for the 1300m first-up.

    “I’ve still got to make a decision if Shinzo is quite ready for it,” he said.

    Shinzo had had two trials this preparation, a third over 900m at Randwick on February 8 before a sixth placing in an 850m trial at Randwick a fortnight later.

  • Storm Boy dazzles again to romp home with Skyline!

    James McDonald has bestowed high praise on unbeaten colt Storm Boy saying, “he’s as good as you get”.

    Gai Waterhouse and Adrain Bott don’t just have their sights set on the Golden Slipper with Storm Boy, they are also eyeing off a clean sweep of the juvenile triple crown.

    As the raging Slipper favourite made light work of his Skyline Stakes (1200m) rivals at Randwick on Saturday, Bott was already thinking of the bigger autumn picture and the heights the $60 million colt might reach.

    He revealed that he and Waterhouse were keen to target the youngster, not just at the Golden Slipper (1200m), but at the ATC Sires’ Produce (1400m) and Champagne Stakes (1600m) as well.

    “We’ve had to prepare for the Golden Slipper, but we’ve got big targets for the triple crown as well,” Bott said.

    “I’d like to think he is only going to be better suited getting over the 1400, 1600 metres in time.

    “It’s very exciting for everyone involved.”

    Having his first start since demolishing his Magic Millions rivals, Storm Boy wasn’t the best to begin but quickly mustered speed to take up the running under new jockey James Mcdonald.

    As the pressure came on at the top of the straight, the $1.18 favourite found another gear, extending his advantage and cruising to the line 1-1/2 lengths clear of stablemate Prost ($12) with Duvana  ($18) another 1-1/4 lengths away third.

    Bott said it was a relief to see Storm Boy return so well from his Magic Millions foray and tick the final box in what will be his last start before the Golden Slipper in three weeks.

    “It’s always a little bit nerve wracking seeing these profile horses come back off that turnaround,” Bott said.

    “He’s a lovely style of horse, he’s got plenty of gears.

    “It’s his first run (back) and at 1200 metres off a while between races and a freshen up – he’s only had the one trial and he’s a lovely, big colt – so I think condition-wise, that will tighten him up nicely.”

    McDonald was having his first race day feel of Storm Boy and came away brimming with praise for the Coolmore colt.

    He believes there is still more under the bonnet and expects the youngster to thrive in a high-pressure race like the Slipper.

    “He’s as good as you get,” McDonald said.

    “He’s strong, he knows he’s really good and the more you ask him the more he keeps giving.

    “Until he gets into a high-pressure race, I think that is when you’ll see a fair dinkum horse.”

    Connections are yet to decide if McDonald will keep the Slipper ride, or if it will go to English jockey Ryan Moore, who jetted in to claim last year’s two-year-old centrepiece for Coolmore on Shinzo.

    However, McDonald made it clear he is keen to stick with the Skyline Stakes winner.

    “Ryan (Moore) is obviously their number one and we’ll see what happens, but if I get the opportunity, I’d love to ride him,” McDonald said.

    The Michael Freedman-trained Manaal took out the Group 2 Sweet Embrace Stakes (1200m) for the fillies to remain the only non-Tulloch Lodge two-year-old to claim a black-type race in Sydney this season.

    Manaal also denied Waterhouse and Bott when capturing the Gimcrack Stakes in September and while Freedman said she would most likely press on to the Slipper, he admitted the males looked hard to beat this year.

    “She is one of the better fillies around, whether they can stack up against the colts remains to be seen,” Freedman said.

    “We thought we could come here and get the job done, we’ll have a think about the Slipper.”

    The Golden Slipper picture took further shape last week when Storm Boy had his first start since the Magic Millions carnival and while he did not elevate his peak rating, he tightened his grip on Slipper favouritism.

    While he will still be favourite after Saturday night, the Slipper market is set to be reshaped and a main danger defined this weekend with the Todman Stakes and Reisling Stakes to be run at Randwick.

  • SA horses shine at Flemington on Cup week

    Promising filly Karavas completed a successful week for South Australian horses at Flemington with her win in the Group 3 Ottawa Stakes on Thursday.

    It was the second win in three years in the feature for the Richard and Chantelle Jolly stable and capped a massive six days in the saddle for Jake Toeroek.

    The lethal combination claimed last weekend’s Listed John Letts Cup at Morphettville with Pudding, one of two winners for the leading rider on the day, Toeroek’s third win in succession in the race.

    They followed up with four winners at Morphettville on Melbourne Cup Day, the leading rider grabbing a fifth win with Sabermetric.

    That form flowed to Flemington where Karavas stamped herself as a filly with a bright future dominating down the straight to make it two wins from as many starts.

    “She’s a real athletic filly, well-muscled. She always looked like she’d go early,” Richard Jolly said.

    “She had the benefit of that run at Murray Bridge.

    “People disregard our form a bit, good on them, she started good odds,” he said.

    Jolly said unlike their previous Ottawa winner See You In Heaven, Karavas was a filly who would be best suited over the short course.

    “This girl is more precocious,” Jolly said.

    “I feel this filly is going to be a sheer sprinting type.

    “We can put her away now and aim at some nice races in the autumn,” he said.

    Karavas’ win followed on from a big Melbourne Cup Day where Travis Doudle claimed the Schweppervescence Plate over 1000m with Damien Oliver riding, while Dan Clarken and Oopy MacGillivray’s The Map scored an impressive win in the 2800m race with Jamie Kah in the saddle.

    “By far and away the biggest thrill of my training career,” MacGillivray said.

    “The Map is a very special to us,” she said.

    Jamie Kah said it was a thrill to reunite with a stable who had been so crucial in her career in the early days.

    “Riding a winner on Melbourne Cup Day is awesome, but (winning) for them it felt like winning a Melbourne Cup,” Kah said.

    “I was always excited to ride this horse.

    “The feel she gave was fantastic,” she said.

    The hot SA form didn’t stop there with the Michael Hickmott trained, Fancify, finishing 2nd in the Three-Years-Old and Four-Years-Old, Fillies and Mares Race on Oaks Day while Kristi Evans trained, Platinum Wolf, ran a great race to finish 3rd in the Greys race on Cup day.