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Tag: Australian Racing Tips

  • Your ANZAC Weekend Racing Guide: Top Picks, Feature Races & Where the Money’s Going

    Race 8 - Perth Cup 2007 | Michael_Spencer | Flickr

    Anzac Weekend Racing Across the Nation – Randwick, Flemington, Ascot & Morphettville Set to Roar!

    We’re set for a blockbuster weekend of racing that celebrates tradition, toughness, and the thrill of the turf.

    The spotlight shines brightest on the $5 million Kia Quokka in WA, the classic staying test of the VRC St Leger at Flemington, and South Australia’s crown jewel for fillies—the Australasian Oaks at Morphettville. With support acts like the Queen Of The South Stakes and the ANZAC Day Stakes, punters and fans are in for a feast of quality across all distances and states. Let’s dive into the runners, form, and value across the key cards.

    Flemington – Race 5 – ANZAC Day Stakes (1400m)

    📅 Thursday | 🕑 14:50 (local time)

    📝 Race Overview:
    A competitive edition with plenty of progressive juveniles. Five last-start winners line up, and there’s a mix of race experience and unexposed talent—classic ANZAC Stakes ingredients. Watch for late market moves, especially around the lone debutant, HIGHVOL.

    🔥 Best to Back Tip:
    Legacy Bound (Odds: ~$2.60)
    Blew them away last start and the form is stacking up. From a good draw and up in trip, he looks the clear one to beat.

    💎 Best Value Bet:
    Just Kick (Odds: ~$7.50)
    Eye-catching debut behind a talented winner. The step to 1400m is perfect and she profiles as a sharp improver.

    Flemington – Race 6 – VRC St Leger (2800m)

    📅 Thursday | 🕒 15:25 (local time)

    📝 Race Overview:
    The ultimate staying test for three-year-olds, with many venturing beyond 2400m for the first time. Expect tactics, tempo, and stamina to decide it. A great mix of lightly tried stayers and pedigrees bred to go all day.

    🔥 Best to Back Tip:
    Format (Odds: ~$4.60)
    Stable targets this race well and the tongue tie might unlock his best. Ready-made for 2800m and looks primed.

    💎 Best Value Bet:
    Wimmera Star (Odds: ~$26.00)
    Strong late last start and bred to appreciate this rise in trip. Massive price for one on the up.

    Morphettville – Race 6 – Queen Of The South Stakes (1600m)

    📅 Saturday | 🕒 15:27 (local time)

    📝 Race Overview:
    Classy fillies and mares contest this Group 2 mile. Progressive types and seasoned performers clash in what shapes as a truly run race. Those with a turn of foot and stamina should feature late.

    🔥 Best to Back Tip:
    Zloties (Odds: ~$3.70)
    Progressive and ready for the mile after strong Bendigo win. She looks poised to keep climbing the grades.

    💎 Best Value Bet:
    Wings of Song (Odds: ~$26.00)
    Great second-up stats and a sneaky run fresh. Can charge late off the right tempo.

    Morphettville – Race 7 – Australasian Oaks (2000m)

    📅 Saturday | 🕓 16:07 (local time)

    📝 Race Overview:
    Staying fillies do battle in the classic Oaks test. Many have been building nicely toward this trip, and the mix of eastern state invaders and in-form locals makes it a genuine contest.

    🔥 Best to Back Tip:
    Benagil (Odds: ~$3.70)
    Ideal prep and beautifully placed. Form around her stacks up and she maps to get the right run.

    💎 Best Value Bet:
    Movin Out (Odds: ~$5.50)
    Looked a staying type last start and brings real X-factor at double figures.

    Ascot (WA) – Race 8 – The Kia Quokka (1200m)

    📅 Saturday | 🕔 17:45 (local time)

    📝 Race Overview:
    WA’s newest and richest sprint is fast becoming a must-watch. A field packed with class sprinters from east and west line up, with early tempo and track position likely to prove decisive.

    🔥 Best to Back Tip:
    Overpass (Odds: ~$2.10)
    Returns to his happy hunting ground in top form. From a suitable draw, he’s the one they’ll all need to catch.

    💎 Best Value Bet:
    Front Page (Odds: ~$7.00)
    Has the speed to lead and the toughness to hold on. If the race falls into his lap, he could go all the way at juicy odds.

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  • All Aged Stakes Day – The Grand Finale of the Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival

    Big names, big money, and wide-open features – Group 1 glory on the line at Randwick.

    The curtain comes down on the Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival with a spectacular day at Royal Randwick, headlined by the Group 1 Schweppes All Aged Stakes and the Group 1 Moët & Chandon Champagne Stakes.

    After six brilliant weeks of racing, $41 million in prizemoney, and iconic performances across Royal Randwick and Rosehill Gardens, we finish with a flourish. Two prestigious Group 1s, rising stars, and tough veterans come together for one last epic showdown.

    Race 3 – Toyota Forklifts Frank Packer Plate (2000m)

    🧠 Overview:
    A classic edition of this 2000m Group 3, often a tricky race where late-season three-year-olds try to cap off their campaigns. SWIFTFALCON and FIRM AGREEMENT bring high-level G1 form and look to dominate here. The tempo should be even, suiting those who can finish strong late.

    🏇 Best to Back: #1 Swiftfalcon

    🔥 $1.80 – The proven class

    Why:
    Placed in both the Randwick Guineas and Rosehill Guineas, SWIFTFALCON has been racing at a high level all prep. He maps well, has a sharp turn of foot, and boasts a 3–1 record over key rival FIRM AGREEMENT in their matchups.

    • ✅ Genuine Group 1 credentials
    • ✅ Proven at Randwick
    • ✅ Versatile in all track conditions

    💰 Best Value: #7 Maison Louis

    💥 $14.00 –Sneaky improver

    Why:
    Coming off a strong Goulburn win, this gelding is flying under the radar. Handles the trip, continues to improve, and brings the sort of profile that can pop at odds in this race.

    • ✅ 2 wins this prep
    • ✅ On-speed style suits small field
    • ✅ Big odds for a live chance

    Race 6 – Myerplates JRA Plate (2000m)

    🧠 Overview:
    A more tactical affair than most, with a lack of obvious speed. BOIS D’ARGENT looks to control things up front with ENCAP stretching out to 2000m for the first time. Late swoopers like FLYING BANDIT and SOUNDS OF HEAVEN could have their say if the tempo is right.

    🏇 Best to Back: #2 Bois D’Argent

    🔥 $10.00 – Third-up & ready

    Why:
    Ran 4th in this race last year and comes into this off a pair of solid efforts against good horses. Peaks now third-up, maps to get the run of the race, and has the experience at this track and trip to take full advantage.

    • ✅ 3rd-up specialist
    • ✅ Strong late splits last start
    • ✅ Maps to settle on pace in a slowly run race

    💰 Best Value: #11 Sounds Of Heaven

    💥 $19.00 – Backing up with upside

    Why:
    On the quick back-up after hitting the line well last start. Wide draw shouldn’t worry her if the pace slackens and she’s got a late burst that suits this kind of tempo.

    • ✅ Tough mare with strong finish
    • ✅ Suited by slow tempo
    • ✅ Double-figure odds = must include in exotics

    Race 7 – Moët & Chandon Champagne Stakes (1600m)

    🧠 Overview:
    The grand final for the 2YOs over the mile. With several backing up from the Inglis Sires’ and Golden Slipper, experience matters. WITHIN THE LAW and TUPAKARA lead the market, but upsets are no stranger to this race. Map suggests a moderately run contest.

    🏇 Best to Back: #7 Within The Law

    🔥 $4.80 – Elite juvenile form

    Why:
    Placed in the Golden Slipper and still improving. This colt has proven he can handle the big stage, and the step to 1600m looks perfect at this point in his prep.

    • ✅ Golden Slipper 3rd
    • ✅ Tough & consistent
    • ✅ Peak fitness on the seven-day back-up

    💰 Best Value: #9 Spicy Liu

    💥 $21.00 – Untapped and unbeaten

    Why:
    Three-from-three to kick off her career, including a gritty last-start win in stakes company. She keeps defying expectations and stepping up when asked. Unknown at the mile but has shown the toughness and racing style to give this a shake at a juicy quote.

    • ✅ Unbeaten from 3 starts
    • ✅ Winning form is good form
    • ✅ Strong late sectionals – will relish the tempo

    Race 8 – Schweppes All Aged Stakes (1400m)

    🧠 Overview:
    One of the great weight-for-age sprints of the season. A high-quality edition with depth and angles galore. Expect a genuine tempo with BELCLARE and BRIASA up on speed, BROADSIDING stalking just behind.

    🏇 Best to Back: #14 Broadsiding

    🔥 $6.00– Group 1 class, perfect setup

    Why:
    He was enormous in the Rosehill Guineas and drops back to 1400m in a setup that looks very deliberate. The soft draw allows for tactical flexibility and he’s been strong at this level before.

    • ✅ Classy 3YO with strong WFA credentials
    • ✅ Perfect draw to sit close
    • ✅ Handles all conditions

    💰 Best Value: #9 Magic Time

    💥 $11.00– Ready to peak

    Why:
    Placed behind Think About It in the Canterbury Stakes, and this looks like her target run. She’s a genuine Group 1 performer who handles Randwick well.

    • ✅ Group 1 placed this prep
    • ✅ Strong finishing ability
    • ✅ Can settle closer from barrier 5

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  • Saturday Racing at Randwick – Expert Group 1 Picks for The Championships Day 2

    We’re back at Randwick for the second installment of The Championships.

    Get ready for an epic showdown at Royal Randwick tomorrow as Day 2 of The Star Championships takes centre stage—dubbed the “Grand Finals of Australian Racing” for good reason. With four massive Group 1 races headlining the day, including the legendary $5 million Queen Elizabeth Stakes, the stage is set for another chapter in racing history.

    This iconic race has seen champions etched into folklore—none more so than the mighty Winx, whose unforgettable farewell in 2019 marked her third consecutive win in this very event. Alongside it, the $2 million Schweppes Sydney Cup, $1 million Asahi Super Dry Australian Oaks, and the $1 million TAB Queen of The Turf Stakes promise a card stacked with high stakes, elite talent, and edge-of-your-seat moments.

    Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just in it for the spectacle, tomorrow at Randwick is not to be missed.

    Race 6 – Asahi Super Dry Australian Oaks (2400m)

    🧠 Overview:
    The Grand Final for the three-year-old fillies. A deep staying contest where proven G1 class meets promising stayers on the rise. The tempo looks genuine with several runners likely to push forward, making this a true staying test—2400m form and late strength will be key.

    🏇 Best to Back: #2 Treasurethe Moment

    🔥 $1.70 – The standout class runner in the race

    Why:
    Treasurethe Moment is a dominant force this prep. A dual Group 1 winner including the VRC Oaks and Vinery, she’s proven over distance and thrives on any ground. She’s perfectly drawn, maps well just off the speed, and has a lethal turn of foot. This is her race to lose.

    • ✅ 8 wins from 10 starts | 100% place strike rate
    • ✅ Dual G1 winner – VRC Oaks & Vinery
    • ✅ Handles both dry and wet tracks

    💰 Best Value: #5 Belle Detelle

    💥 $8.50 –Represents strong each-way value

    Why:
    Belle Detelle arrives with peak staying form, off a strong Adrian Knox win—historically a proven Oaks lead-up. She’s bred to run all day and brings a stamina-rich pedigree (a close relative to Verry Elleegant). She’ll be strong late and looks ready for 2400m.

    • ✅ 100% win/place strike rate
    • ✅ Winner of the Group 3 Adrian Knox (2000m)
    • ✅ Should relish 2400m

    Race 7 – Schweppes Sydney Cup (3200m)

    🧠 Overview:
    This year’s edition has a familiar mix of seasoned stayers and progressive imports, with tempo likely to be genuine given several forward-rolling types like Arapaho and Kalapour. The step up to two miles will test many, with track and distance credentials proving key. Local experience and proven stamina look crucial here.

    🏇 Best to Back: #4 Circle Of Fire

    🔥 $19.00 – Excellent profile for this

    Why:
    This horse is tailor-made for the Sydney Cup — an import who’s thrived since coming to Australia, with a perfect record over this track and distance. He maps beautifully just behind the speed, has a serious engine late, and brings genuine Group 1 quality. While others may be more glamorous, he’s the one with the profile and numbers to back it up.

    • ✅ 2 from 2 at Randwick
    • ✅ 2 from 2 at 2400m (and bred to run 3200m)
    • ✅ Handles all conditions & race-fit

    💰 Best Value: #13 Mostly Cloudy

    💥 $41.00 – Each-way special

    Why:
    Mostly Cloudy is a reliable, battle-hardened stayer who’s been hitting the line strongly over longer distances. He’s run well at 2600m+ multiple times and is trending the right way this prep. With a good draw and a hungry apprentice in the saddle, he can stalk the speed and pounce late — a huge value play in exotics or each-way.

    • ✅ 50% career place rate (17 from 34)
    • ✅ Proven at long trips (2600m+)
    • ✅ Jockey Braith Nock striking at 39% in 2025

    Race 7 – Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m)

    🧠 Overview:
    A true weight-for-age Group 1 classic with a mix of local champions and international raiders. The tempo should be genuine, with several on-pace types engaged, and the 2000m at Randwick always tests stamina and turn-of-foot. VIA SISTINA returns to defend her turf and is clearly the one to beat — but some serious global class sits in opposition.

    🏇 Best to Back: #12 Via Sistina

    🔥 $1.95 – The class act in the field

    Why:
    Since her defeat by Pride Of Jenni in this race last year, VIA SISTINA has gone unbeaten over 2000m in Australia. She’s a relentless, strong-travelling mare who thrives under pressure and simply knows how to win. Drawn well, in top form, and has the country’s premier jockey aboard — she ticks every box.

    • ✅ Undefeated at 2000m since arriving in Australia
    • ✅ 7x Group 1 winner on Australian soil
    • ✅ Drawn to find a perfect spot

    💰 Best Value: #2 Rousham Park

    💥 $15.00 – Respect the international class

    Why:
    The Japanese raider brings elite form, including a narrow defeat in the Breeders’ Cup Turf and strong performances at this distance back home. Christophe Lemaire doesn’t travel for fun, and while the draw isn’t ideal, Rousham Park should roll forward and give a massive sight at double figures.

    • ✅ 2nd in a Breeders’ Cup Turf (2400m)
    • ✅ Top-class Japanese staying form
    • ✅ Genuine Group 1 credentials over 2000m

    Race 9 – Tab Queen Of The Turf Stakes (1600m)

    🧠 Overview:
    A stellar field of quality mares takes to the track, with Fangirl firmly in the spotlight as the horse to beat. Other contenders like Stefi Magnetica, Lazzura, and Grinzinger Belle will be looking to spoil the party in a wide-open contest. Expect a tactical race, with some key factors like draw positions and track conditions playing a big role.

    🏇 Best to Back: #1 Fangirl

    🔥 $1.95 – The class act in the field

    Why:
    Fangirl is one of the best 1600m mares in the land, proven across multiple seasons, and extremely well suited at set weights. Coming into this race in excellent form, she won the Apollo Stakes (1400m), was second to Via Sistina in the Verry Elleegant (1600m), and second to Gringotts in the George Ryder (1500m), which didn’t suit her. With James McDonald aboard and a perfect inside draw, she’s the one to beat.

    • ✅ Proven top-class mare at 1600m
    • ✅ Form suggests she’s the class runner
    • ✅ James McDonald aboard & inside draw

    💰 Best Value: #2 Stefi Magnetica

    💥 $5.00 – The horse to put it up to Fangirl

    Why:
    Stefi Magnetica’s stocks soared with her impressive Doncaster Mile win last Saturday, which marked her second Group 1 victory, following on from her Stradbroke (1400m) win. Although not as well suited at the weights this time around, she’s still better served than most and will be well placed just ahead of Fangirl in the running. Her consistency at the top level and good draw make her a genuine each-way contender.

    • ✅ Two Group 1 wins to her name
    • ✅ Drawn to be ahead of Fangirl in running
    • ✅ Versatile and consistent at elite level


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    Calling 1800 858 858.

    Visiting their website https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/

  • Saturday Racing at Randwick – Expert Group 1 Picks for The Championships Day 1

    The Grand Finals of Australian racing have arrived.

    Royal Randwick kicks off The Championships with a blockbuster 10-race card this Saturday, headlined by four Group 1s and a whopping $12.9 million in prizemoney. It’s Sydney racing at its finest — and we’ve done the form so you don’t have to, read on for our Expert Group 1 Picks.

    With a Heavy 8 surface and the rail in the true, conditions will be testing, but the big guns are out in force. The ATC Australian Derby, Doncaster Mile, T J Smith Stakes and Inglis Sires’ all feature deep fields, serious form lines, and elite betting opportunities.

    From exposed champions to rising stars, our expert team breaks down each G1 with clear verdicts, betting confidence ratings, and free tips you can trust — including best bets, value runners over $6, and longshots to watch late.

    Whether you’re a casual punter or a form fanatic, this is the weekend to dial in. Let’s find you that edge in the big ones at Randwick.

    Race 6 – Inglis Sires’ (1400m)

    🧠 Overview:
    The form is lightly exposed, with most runners still early in their careers. Key contenders bring strong recent finishes and untapped potential into this Group 1 contest. The race tempo looks moderate to quick, with a few that like to roll forward and others happy to stalk.

    🏇 Best to Back: #5 State Visit

    🔥 $11.00 – Represents strong each-way value

    Why:
    He was one of the most visually impressive closers in the Pago Pago Stakes, clocking slick sectionals despite settling too far back. This step to 1400m looks ideal based on his late closing strength, and with a slightly better midfield position, he’s one of the most progressive in the field.

    • ✅ 100% place rate from two starts
    • ✅ Handles pressure late; race-fit
    • ✅ Looks like he’ll relish the 1400m
    • ✅ Jason Collett sticks

    💰 Best Value: #6 Buffalo

    💥 $18.00 – Genuine blowout chance

    Why:
    Buffalo hasn’t done much wrong and looks like a colt that’s just warming up. His maiden win was dominant, and he’s bred to appreciate this trip. Given his tactical speed and improvement to come, he could easily land just off the pace and run a cheeky race at big odds.

    • ✅ Strong closing figures at Newcastle
    • ✅ Progressive profile
    • ✅ Trainer targeting this race from early on

    Race 7 – T J Smith Stakes (1200m)

    🔥 Group 1 Sprinting Royalty returns with a deep field of fresh and fit top-liners. Genuine speed expected with Overpass and possibly Magic Time taking up the running, while the big closers like Sunshine In Paris and Joliestar will be launching late. Track pattern could be crucial.

    🏇 Best to Back: #1 Overpass

    💥 Currently $6.00

    Why:
    He’s one of the few who can absorb pressure on speed and keep going, and his first-up record is excellent (4 wins from 8 fresh). His trial work has been faultless, and he comes off a WFA Group 1 win in Perth. If it turns into a leader’s track, he could pinch it from the front. This field will test him, but he rarely runs poorly when fresh.

    • ✅ 4x first-up wins
    • ✅ 4 from 6 top-two finishes at Randwick
    • ✅ Could control the race tempo

    💣 Best Value: #6 Sunshine In Paris

    💰 Currently $9.00

    Why:
    She’s a proven Group 1 mare who was simply enormous late first-up in the Canterbury Stakes – the race shape was against her, and yet she still powered home with intent. Back to 1200m, she profiles beautifully second-up where she’s 2 from 3. Her late figures from the Champions Sprint stack up with the best in the country. This is her race to peak.

    • ✅ 3:2-0-1 second-up
    • ✅ Proven Randwick performer
    • ✅ Set to peak now and maps for a slingshot late

    Race 8 – Doncaster Mile (1600m)

    ✍️ Race Overview

    Hard to go past the proven class of Tom Kitten, who is now third-up, gets back to a Randwick mile, and has drawn for a suck run. Linebacker is the value, a lightly raced colt peaking at the right time with no weight. Stefi Magnetica resumes fresh off strong trial form and should be charging late. Watch for Militarize, who resumes after a long layoff but has trialled well — one for exotics if there’s speed on.

    💨 Predicted Race Tempo

    Tempo: Genuine
    On-Pace: 1 Gringotts, 21 Rise At Dawn, 6 Osipenko
    Back in the Field: 3 Tom Kitten, 20 Linebacker, 13 Kovalica, 14 Stefi Magnetica

    💣 Best to Back: #20 Linebacker

    💥 Currently $6.00

    Tumbles to 49kg off a brave Randwick Guineas win where he was strongest through the line. Lightly raced with upside, and maps similarly to Celestial Legend last year who won this race off the same setup. He’ll land midfield with cover and look to produce late. Right stable, right time.

    💥 Currently $8.00

    🔥 Next Best Runner: #3 Tom Kitten

    The more you look at recent replays, the more Tom Kitten stands out. Winner of the All-Star Mile and arguably underdone in the George Ryder, yet still finished with purpose behind Gringotts. Gets the soft draw in barrier one, handles all conditions, and looks set to peak third-up with a perfect trailing run behind the pace.

    Race 9 – Australian Derby (2400m)

    🏇 Best to Back: #18 Aeliana

    💥 Currently: ~$3.30

    She was luckless in the Rosehill Guineas where she found traffic and flashed late – a clear sign she’s screaming out for the 2400m. Has a handy turn of foot, maps to settle midfield with cover, and crucially drops weight as a filly. Her prep looks perfectly timed to peak here. The tempo and draw suit – she just needs even luck.

    💣 Best Value Runner: #10 Imperialist

    💥 Currently: ~$101

    Totally overlooked in early markets despite closing well in the Alister Clark. He’s bred to stay and looked like he wanted every bit of the 2400m that day. With a more positive ride and sharper timing from the jockey, he could surprise at big odds. Great roughie for exotics and small win play.

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    Colossalbet works with Gambling Help Online to offer assistance to anyone who is directly or indirectly affected by gambling. If your gambling has become problematic or the behaviour of a loved one has become a concern, Gambling Help Online offers a range of free support and counselling services about problem gambling in a variety of languages and in a safe and anonymous environment. You can contact Gambling Help Online at any time for free and confidential advice and support by:

    Calling 1800 858 858.

    Visiting their website https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/

  • Free Saturday Horse Racing Tips – Group 1 Previews, Best Bets & Value Runners

    Looking for expert horse racing tips for this Saturday’s Group 1 features?

    You’ve come to the right place.

    We’ve crunched the form, mapped the tempo, and sifted through the markets to deliver premium free racing tips across the biggest Australian races this weekend.

    🔎 Our Saturday spotlight is on three massive Group 1 showdowns:

    • The 2025 Australian Cup at Flemington – a deep field of middle-distance stars over the famous 2000m.
    • The Vinery Stud Stakes at Rosehill – where the next staying filly queen could emerge.
    • And the stamina test of the Tancred Stakes, with European imports and local stayers clashing at 2400m.

    From smart punter picks to longshot blowouts, we break down each race with expert insights, detailed race maps, and the best value bets over $6. Whether you’re hunting winners, chasing exotics, or just love Saturday racing, our previews will have you covered.

    Back your judgement with confidence. Let’s find you a winner. 🏇

    🏆 Australian Cup 2025 – Flemington R8 Preview

    The Group 1 Australian Cup shapes as a high-class affair with genuine tempo guaranteed and a strong field of middle-distance gallopers set to peak third-up or beyond. A fast-run 2000m at Flemington with a long straight? Settle in — the closers could have the final say.

    🔥 Top Pick: Middle Earth ($4.40)

    There’s no denying the upward trajectory of this former UK galloper. His Australian debut win was electric — flashing home from near-last to beat a Caulfield Cup winner in Duke De Sessa. This is a big rise in class, but the tempo suits and he stays at the same trip. Zahra sticks, and the long Flemington straight plays right into his powerful closing style. Looks a genuine star in the making.

    “Hot tempo and a long Flemington straight – I expect Middle Earth to surge over the top late and stamp himself a spring player.”

    Verdict: Clear top selection with upside and the ideal race shape.

    ⚠️ Main Dangers

    Light Infantry Man ($10.00)

    Building beautifully through the prep, with strong late work in both the Futurity and All-Star Mile. Third-up, out to 2000m and peaking at the right time. Will be midfield and surging late — a must-include in all exotics.

    “A great top-three player… he’ll be launching late alongside Middle Earth.”

    Pride Of Jenni ($2.70)

    Tactically explosive and at her best when left alone in front, but this time Deny Knowledge ensures she doesn’t get it easy. She’ll lead, give a bold sight, but the final 200m is the big test again.

    “I fear she’ll be vulnerable again in the final 150m — just as she was in this race last year.”

    Atishu ($6.50)

    Kept finding the line in the All-Star Mile and now gets a more suitable race shape. Back to Flemington and up to 2000m ticks every box. Will get back, but the tempo helps.

    “Hard fit… she appeals.”

    💰 Best Value: Zardozi ($6.00)

    Last start was a forgive — poor ride, race shape no help. Now hard fit, back to Flemington (where she’s performed), and gets a far better setup. If she’s within striking range at the turn, she’s right in the finish.

    “Been hot on Zardozi for a while… 2000m, hard fit, back to Flemington — she can bounce back.”

    🎯 Long Shot to Watch: Young Werther ($61.00)

    Always teased ability and has a better-than-it-looks record in big races. Forgive last start (pulled up lame), and he’d jumped out like a bullet beforehand. Overs at $61.

    🧠 Tempo & Tactics

    • Leaders: Pride Of Jenni, Deny Knowledge
    • On-Pace: Feroce, Zardozi
    • Midfield: Light Infantry Man, Attrition
    • Backmarkers: Atishu, Middle Earth

    A strong, genuine tempo looks guaranteed with two aggressive front-runners. Expect the backmarkers to charge late. If they go too hard early, it’s set up for Middle Earth and Light Infantry Man to storm down the outside.

    📝 Final Word

    This is a Group 1 full of narratives: leaders with heart, imports on the rise, and seasoned warriors chasing glory. The map says it sets up for the swoopers, and Middle Earth looks like a horse going places.

    ✅ Selections

    1. Middle Earth
    2. Light Infantry Man
    3. Zardozi
    4. Atishu

    Best Bet: Middle Earth (Win)
    Best Value: Zardozi (Each-way)
    Quinella/Exacta Play: Middle Earth / Light Infantry Man / Zardozi

    🏆 Vinery Stud Stakes 2025 – Rosehill R6 Preview

    A field of talented 3YO fillies lines up for the G1 Vinery Stud Stakes over 2000m, and it’s hard to ignore the presence of a standout — but there are a few dark horses circling if conditions get tricky.

    🔥 Top Pick: Treasurethe Moment ($1.55)

    This filly is turning heads this autumn. The VRC Oaks winner has come back in devastating form, going two-from-two in her Melbourne runs and doing it with authority. She has the tactical versatility, handles 2000m with ease, and boasts a sustained turn of foot.

    “Eats up 2000m, has change-up speed, can make a sustained run… it all points to her.”

    The only minor query is the Sydney direction, but her class edge is enormous. If the track stays in the Soft 5–6 range, she looks near unbeatable.

    ⚠️ Main Danger: Movin Out ($7.50)

    The wildcard from the same Yulong ownership as the favourite. She comes out of the Phar Lap Stakes where she was unsuited by tempo but still closed hard. A potential heavy track could really bring her into play — she’s bred to get through it.

    “If we are on Heavy, Movin Out gets marked up big time from danger to serious threat.”

    One to follow if the rain comes.

    💰 Best Value: Declichy Boulevard ($7.50)

    From the Waller camp, she also came out of the Phar Lap where she was back and wide and stuck on gamely. The return to Rosehill and rise to 2000m looks a plus. If Treasurethe Moment is even slightly off her game, this is the one who can capitalise.

    🧐 Long Shot Watch: Powers Of Opal ($19.00)

    Suited up in trip after working hard in a slowly run Phar Lap. Doesn’t have the turn of foot to sprint off a slow speed but the 2000m might allow her to build into the race. Looks one for first fours if you’re playing wider exotics.

    🧭 Track Watch & Conditions

    • Current Rating: Good 4, but rain is forecast, and it could edge towards a Soft 6 or even Heavy 8 by race time.
    • Sydney Way Concern: Treasurethe Moment’s only prior Sydney-direction run was in a Geelong maiden on a Soft 5.
    • Adjust if Heavy: Movin Out and Declichy Boulevard firm into serious winning threats if the track deteriorates.

    📝 Final Word

    This is Treasurethe Moment’s race to lose — her form, profile, and class are well above these. But if the rain comes and the track gets into the Heavy range, things become murkier. Movin Out and Declichy Boulevard are the clear chasers, while Powers Of Opal looms as a deep exotic chance.

    ✅ Selections

    1. Treasurethe Moment
    2. Movin Out (if Heavy) / Declichy Boulevard (if Soft or Good)
    3. Declichy Boulevard
    4. Powers Of Opal

    Best Bet: Treasurethe Moment (Win)
    Best Value: Declichy Boulevard (Place)
    Roughie First 4: Powers Of Opal

    🏆 Tancred Stakes 2025 – Rosehill R8 Preview

    An elite staying contest over 2400m and a key lead-in to the Sydney Cup, the Tancred has attracted a blend of internationals, imports, and established Aussie stayers. With Dubai Honour back on our shores, Vauban hitting form, and Arapaho defending his crown, the tempo should be genuine — and the finish brutal.

    🔥 Top Pick: Vauban ($3.70)

    He brings elite European form and a touch of brilliance from the jumps world. Resumed in the Sky High and was a mess in the yard — still won impressively off a moderate tempo. Now fitter, out to 2400m, and under weight-for-age conditions, he’s set to peak.

    “Fitter, 2400m, cooler day, WFA no issue… good luck beating him.”

    Form rating tip: Ran down Lindermann (Ranvet 2nd), franked the form. If he parades better, he wins.

    ⚠️ Main Danger: Dubai Honour ($3.20)

    You cannot ignore the resume. Dominated Anamoe in the 2023 Queen Elizabeth and loves Aussie ground. Question marks linger about his most recent prep, but if William Haggas has him right, he’s every chance to blow this wide open.

    “He is an elite animal when right… must be considered the one to beat.”

    Caution: Hasn’t raced since a decent Hong Kong Vase 2nd and can be vulnerable if not fully wound up.

    🔁 Value Watch: Zarir ($16.00+)

    Only lightly raced but has contested two serious Group 1s in France — was nosed out in the Prix Ganay and not disgraced behind Dubai Honour in the Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud.

    “That’s all I can say. It’s over to the market now.”

    At double figures, he’s fascinating. Could blow them away or flop — but worth a nibble at the price.

    💰 Best Place Bet: Asterix ($4.50 Place / $15 Sydney Cup)

    His best days might be ahead in the Sydney Cup, but he’ll love the rise to 2400m and looks a tough on-pacer who can grind his way into the finish. Forget his price — he’ll outstay a few of these late.

    “Asterix will be second-favourite for the Sydney Cup after this.”

    🧨 Long Shot: Warmonger ($16.00)

    Was very strong through the line in the Randwick Stakes, and the form behind Alalcance has stood up nicely. This race might be a touch soon, but he’s a genuine stayer who profiles well for the Sydney Cup path. Add to exotics.

    🧭 Race Shape & Tactics

    • Likely Leaders: Arapaho, Circle Of Fire
    • Midfield Stalkers: Vauban, Duke De Sessa, Zechariah
    • Backmarkers Flashing Late: Dubai Honour, Zarir, Warmonger

    Expect a moderate tempo early with a build-up from the 1000m mark. Suits strong stayers with acceleration late — think Vauban or Dubai Honour peeling wide.

    📝 Final Word

    This is shaping as a battle between a classy returning visitor and a serious European import with Aussie staying credentials. Vauban ticks all the boxes — second-up, fitter, suited by tempo — while Dubai Honour is the clear x-factor. For value punters, Zarir and Asterix look overs and could be sneaky late.

    ✅ Selections

    1. Vauban
    2. Dubai Honour
    3. Zarir (value)
    4. Asterix (place play)

    Best Bet: Vauban (Win)
    Value: Zarir (Each-way)
    Place Play: Asterix
    Exotic Boost: Warmonger for First 4s

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  • Best Bets for Golden Slipper Day at Rosehill

    It doesn’t get much bigger than Golden Slipper Day at Rosehill Gardens—arguably the pinnacle of the Sydney Autumn Carnival.

    It’s the biggest day of Group 1 racing in Australia, featuring five elite-level races, headlined by the $5 million TAB Golden Slipper, the world’s richest race for two-year-olds.

    Here’s what’s on the menu for punters:

    • TAB Golden Slipper (1200m) – The ultimate two-year-old test.
    • George Ryder Stakes (1500m) – A key lead-up to the Doncaster.
    • Ranvet Stakes (2000m) – A clash of top-tier middle-distance stars.
    • Rosehill Guineas (2000m) – A stepping stone to the Australian Derby.
    • The Galaxy (1100m) – A high-speed dash for the sprinters.

    With the rail out 3m and a Good 4 track, conditions should play fair, but expect tempo and positioning to be key factors across all races.

    It’s a day where class rises to the top—so smart punting is all about finding those horses that land in the right spot.

    Let’s dive into the best betting plays for Golden Slipper Day.

    Race 1. (12:30) Midway (Bm72) 1500m

    3. Noble Soldier ($15.00) 💰

    He comes through a similar Midway two weeks ago, where he landed on speed and boxed on well. While he felt the pinch late, this race lacks a deep field, and dropping back to 1500m could be to his advantage. A genuine knockout hope.

    Race 2. (13:05) Epona Stakes 1900m

    5. Sounds Of Heaven ($6.50) 💰💰

    She had no chance in the Coolmore Classic last week when taken back to last and run off her legs in a high-pressure race. Her late sectionals suggested she was finishing alongside top-class mares. Stepping up to 1900m is a major positive, and she is beautifully in at the weights.

    Race 3. (13:40) N E Manion Cup 2400m

    11. Birdman ($4.00) 💰💰💰

    Birdman has put together two solid runs since arriving in Australia and looks primed to strike at 2400m. He found the line strongly when second over 2000m at Randwick and drops significantly in weight for this. If he is truly Sydney Cup-bound, this is his launch pad.

    Race 4. (14:15) Darby Munro Stakes 1200m

    3. Autumn Glow ($1.95) 💰💰💰

    The hype is real. Autumn Glow returns after an enforced spell following a minor knee issue, but she was nothing short of exceptional as a three-year-old, unbeaten in three dominant victories, including the Up And Coming Stakes and the Tea Rose. Her trial work has been electric, and she maps beautifully from the draw. If she’s ready, she wins.

    Race 5. (14:50) Ranvet Stakes 2000m

    6. Via Sistina ($1.40) 💰💰💰

    A dominant mare who returned to winning form in the G1 Verry Elleegant Stakes, proving she’s still among the best middle-distance horses in Australia. She was strong late in that 1600m victory and will only improve stepping out to 2000m. With James McDonald sticking aboard, she’s the one to beat.

    Race 6. (15:25) Rosehill Guineas 2000m

    4. Checkmate ($16.00) 💰

    The New Zealand raider has been racing well just below the top level back home, and he arrives here ready to peak. His third in the NZB Kiwi Stakes suggested he was looking for more ground, and 2000m is in his wheelhouse given his pedigree. At a big price, he can shake things up.

    Race 7. (16:00) George Ryder Stakes 1500m

    1. Ceolwulf ($5.50) 💰💰💰

    There was a lot to like about his Canterbury Stakes effort, charging home late in a race that wasn’t run to suit. The rise to 1500m is perfect, and he’s now nearing peak fitness after that first-up run off a setback. Joe Pride has a point to prove, and a big win here would silence the doubters.

    Race 8. (16:35) Golden Slipper 1200m

    7. Skyhook ($7.50) 💰💰

    Dominant Pago Pago winner who led all the way and found plenty when asked. The stable’s juveniles are absolutely flying this season, and he’ll race on speed again, giving himself every chance.

    Race 9. (17:15) Kia Ora Galaxy 1100m

    5. Jedibeel ($16.00) 💰

    Jedibeel has been flying under the radar for this race. His first-up Challenge Stakes win was electric, and he has trialled brilliantly leading into this. Expect him to get a soft run behind the speed and launch late—he’s genuine value.

    Race 10. (17:55) Birthday Card Stakes 1200m

    3. Coco Jamboo ($9.50) 💰

    A trial star who looks primed to fire first-up. Her closing sectionals last prep were elite, and she strikes the perfect race fresh. If she gets a tempo to suit, she’ll launch late at a big price.

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    Calling 1800 858 858.

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  • How to Choose Winning Horses – Free Australian Horse Racing Tips

    So you want to back more winners?

    Horse racing is built for betting, but picking winners consistently requires more than luck. Whether you’re new to the game or a seasoned punter, understanding key factors can help you find an edge.

    Why On-Pace Runners Win More Often

    Horses that race on speed hold a statistical advantage. While flashy late closers might catch the eye, they often rely on luck to find a clear run. Even at big tracks like Flemington and Randwick, front-runners and horses that sit close to the lead win far more often than those coming from the back.

    The Impact of Gear Changes

    Trainers use gear changes to tweak performance, and understanding them can give you an advantage. Blinkers going on for the first time can sharpen a horse’s focus, while tongue ties may indicate previous breathing issues. On the other hand, glue-on shoes can be a red flag, often signaling soundness concerns.

    Why Jockeys Matter More Than You Think

    The best jockeys aren’t just passengers; they dictate pace, positioning, and race tactics. Top riders are given the best chances, while inexperienced jockeys can cost a horse the race. Betting on skilled riders, particularly those with a strong strike rate at the track, is always a solid strategy.

    Track Conditions Can Make or Break a Bet

    Not all wet tracks play the same. A Heavy 8 at Flemington can race differently from a Heavy 8 at Randwick. Some horses thrive on wet ground, while others struggle to stretch out on firm tracks. Checking a horse’s previous performances in similar conditions is a must before placing a bet.

    The Hidden Advantage of Wide Draws

    While many punters fear outside barriers, wide draws aren’t always a disadvantage. In some cases, they allow on-speed horses to settle into a rhythm without early pressure. Conversely, horses drawn inside can get buried in the pack or use up valuable energy trying to hold their position.

    Why Last Start SP Is More Important Than Finishing Position

    Most punters focus on where a horse finished last start, but its starting price (SP) can be a better predictor of future performance. Market expectations reflect factors like stable confidence and track conditions. A horse that ran poorly at a short price might have excuses, making it a strong betting prospect next time out.

    The Myth of Track and Distance Stats

    Many punters rely on past wins at a track or distance, but this can be misleading. A horse that won a weak country maiden at 1400m is not the same as one that placed in a Group race at the same trip. Instead of blindly trusting track and distance records, consider the quality of competition in those wins.

    Why Settling Position is Key

    Races are often won in the first few hundred meters. Horses that find a comfortable spot on speed conserve energy and control the race tempo. Those settling too far back need everything to go right, making them a riskier betting proposition.

    Early Markets Offer More Value

    Bookmakers’ first prices often have errors before the market adjusts. Punters who can spot these mistakes—whether it’s a mispriced favorite or an overlooked roughie—can lock in better value before the odds shorten closer to race time.

    Why Betting on Metro Races Isn’t Always Best

    The biggest races get the most attention, but that means the odds are more refined. Country and provincial races often present better betting opportunities, as markets are slower to adjust to form changes. A well-placed bet at a lesser-known track can be just as profitable as backing a winner at Flemington or Rosehill.

    Exotics and Multis – A Cautionary Tale

    Win markets offer the best value, as they’re the most competitive. Exotics like trifectas and same-race multis often have inflated bookmaker margins, making them harder to win on consistently. Sticking to simple bets with lower takeout rates is a smarter long-term strategy.

    Conclusion: Smarter Betting with Free Australian Horse Racing Tips

    Finding winners is about more than just picking the most popular horse. Looking at settling position, track conditions, last start SP, and jockey quality can all provide a betting edge. Whether it’s backing on-speed runners, avoiding misleading stats, or spotting value in early markets, applying these insights can improve your results.

    For Free Australian Horse Racing Tips, stay updated with expert selections and form analysis to find the best bets every day.

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    Calling 1800 858 858.

    Visiting their website https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/

  • Randwick & Flemington Horse Racing: Best Bets & Colossal Insights

    Well there’s a bit going on this Saturday, and heaps of best bets to be made! We’re here to give you a couple of tips we have identified as ones we’re not bullish on laying…

    Verry Elleegant Stakes Day 2025: Group 1 Racing Returns to Royal Randwick

    Group 1 racing is back at Royal Randwick this Saturday, with a stacked 10-race card headlined by the Verry Elleegant Stakes (1600m). This weight-for-age feature, formerly known as the Chipping Norton Stakes, celebrates the legendary mare Verry Elleegant, an 11-time Group 1 winner who secured eight elite-level victories on ATC tracks.

    The Group 1 Surround Stakes (1400m) for three-year-old fillies adds further star power to the program, with Lady Shenandoah dominating early Surround Stakes betting.

    With the rail in the true position and dry conditions forecast, punters can expect a firm Good 4 surface—ideal for high-class racing. The first race on Verry Elleegant Stakes Day is scheduled for 12:30pm AEDT.

    A Milestone Celebration at Randwick

    This year marks the 100th running of the Verry Elleegant Stakes (formerly the Chipping Norton), a race that has been won by legends such as Phar Lap and Winx (four times). The day will celebrate the extraordinary career of Verry Elleegant, with a tribute video available for racegoers to relive her finest moments.

    Experience the Best of Sydney Racing

    A day at Royal Randwick is a racing experience like no other, blending world-class racing, entertainment, fashion, and fine dining. Racegoers can enjoy the state-of-the-art WINX Stand, open to all, for a premium trackside experience at Sydney’s most prestigious racing venue.

    RACE 4: CATANACH’S JEWELLERS SKYLINE STAKES (1200m)

    Best to Back: Shaggy ($2.20) – But Too Short to Tip as a Bet

    Shaggy has been faultless so far, winning all three career starts, including an emphatic win in the Pierro Plate last start. He has proven speed, runs time, and keeps improving. There’s no doubt he’s the one to beat, but at $2.25, he’s simply too short to back at the price.

    Best to Back Instead: Comedy ($6.50)

    If Shaggy is vulnerable at all, it could be Comedy who turns the tables. He was huge late when charging home behind Shaggy in the Pierro Plate, suggesting that stepping up to 1200m will suit him perfectly. If they overdo it in front, he will be the one launching late.

    Best Value: Algorithmic ($12.00)

    Algorithmic had a quiet debut in the Lonhro Plate, where he worked home well without being a winning chance. Stepping up to 1200m is ideal, and Team Hawkes’ juveniles are flying right now. If he improves second-up as expected, he looks like an each-way player at double-figure odds.

    Race Insights

    • Shaggy is a serious Golden Slipper prospect, but he might be forced to work early with pressure on up front.
    • Comedy ($6.50) ran the best closing splits last start and will appreciate the extra distance.
    • Skyhook ($8.00) was solid on debut in the same race as Shaggy and Comedy. With natural improvement, he could run a big race.
    • Quietly Arrogant ($13.00) has Magic Millions form but needs to step up here.

    Race 5 – Sweet Embrace Stakes (1200m)

    Best to Back: Snitzel Miss ($4.00)

    Snitzel Miss was unlucky on debut in the Widden Stakes, where she was held up badly before flashing home for third. That form has been franked in the Blue Diamond Stakes, and she will improve sharply second-up with James McDonald sticking aboard. She maps well and looks the most reliable runner.

    Best Value: Within The Law ($7.50)

    Within The Law was huge in the Inglis Millennium, where she stormed home from the rear but just had too much to do. Stepping up to 1200m is ideal, and if they go hard up front, Jason Collett can weave through and produce a big finish late. At $7.50, she offers each-way value in a race with plenty of speed.

    Race Insights

    • Bellazaine ($4.00) was strong on speed in the Lonhro Plate but now faces a tougher field at 1200m.
    • Inkaruna ($5.00) would have been a major chance if she had drawn better, but barrier 12 makes things tricky.
    • Artistic Venture ($34.00) is a massive price for a horse who hit the line well in the Inglis Millennium and might be one for exotic bets.

    Final Thoughts

    Snitzel Miss has the strongest form lines and should get a perfect run, making her the best to back. Within The Law is the big value play at $7.50, especially if the race is run at a fast tempo.

    Race 6 – Guy Walter Stakes (1400m)

    Best to Back: Olentia ($4.80)

    Olentia has race fitness on her side and looks well-suited by the likely slow tempo. She was super in the Expressway Stakes, making up good ground late behind Magic Time. With no clear leader in this field, her sharp turn of foot makes her the most appealing betting option at nearly double the price of Amelia’s Jewel.

    Best Value: Tashi ($12.00)

    Tashi was strong in the Triscay Stakes, running fifth over 1200m. She’s a two-time winner at Randwick, and the blinkers coming off suggests she’ll settle better and be strong through the line. With a drop in weight and stepping up to 1400m, she’s a good each-way chance at $12.

    Race Insights

    • Amelia’s Jewel ($2.40) is the class runner but is likely under the odds given the potential race shape. If the pace is slow, she might struggle to produce her best late.
    • Dark Glitter ($14.00) almost caused an upset in the Millie Fox Stakes, and backing up quickly suggests she’s in top form.
    • Alsephina ($8.00) is talented but first-up and might need the run, though she has a strong record fresh.

    Final Thoughts

    Olentia is the best betting option, given the likely slow tempo, which will allow her to unleash late. Tashi is a value play, while Amelia’s Jewel is the best horse but a risky bet at short odds.

    Race 7 – Surround Stakes (1400m)

    Best to Back: Lady Shenandoah ($1.55) – But Too Short to Tip as a Bet

    Lady Shenandoah has taken control of the 3YO fillies’ ranks, and her dominant win in the Light Fingers Stakes was basically a barrier trial. She maps to get the perfect run again from barrier 3 with James McDonald aboard, and only bad luck stops her from winning. However, at $1.55, she’s far too short to tip as a bet.

    Best to Back Instead: Lady of Camelot ($6.50 Place Bet / Exotics Play)

    Lady of Camelot was left a sitting shot behind Lady Shenandoah last start but ran well. With blinkers going on, she can settle closer and fight on for second or third. She won’t beat Lady Shenandoah, but she makes sense as a place bet or for exotics.

    Best Value: More Territories ($12.00 Place Bet)

    More Territories avoided this high-class fillies’ group first-up, instead winning impressively over 1400m at Randwick in a BM78. She’s fit, on the rise, and will stay the trip strongly. She’s a knockout chance to fill a place if some of the top fillies don’t show up.

    Race Insights

    • Lady Shenandoah is the best horse, but at $1.55, there’s no value in backing her straight.
    • Lady of Camelot ($6.50) gets the blinkers back on and should improve enough to run in the top three.
    • More Territories ($12.00) is a fit horse with upside and could surprise for a placing.
    • Manaal ($9.00) has a strong Randwick record but needs luck from the map.

    Final Thoughts

    Lady Shenandoah wins unless something goes terribly wrong, but there’s no value at $1.55. A place bet on Lady of Camelot ($6.50) or More Territories ($12.00) offers better value, and they’re the ones to include in exotics.

    Race 8 – Verry Elleegant Stakes (1600m)

    Best to Back: Via Sistina ($1.95) – But Too Short to Tip as a Bet

    Via Sistina ran well first-up in the Apollo Stakes despite being buried on the fence in a sit-and-sprint affair. With J-Mac jumping back on, the step up to 1600m is perfect, and she should be much stronger late. However, at $1.95, the price is too short to tip confidently as a bet.

    Best to Back Instead: Ceolwulf ($5.50)

    Ceolwulf was solid first-up in the Apollo Stakes, hitting the line well despite looking one of the first horses off the bit. He is a proven Randwick miler, and 1600m second-up is perfect for him. He looks to have more improvement than Fangirl, and $5.50 is much better value than Via Sistina at $1.95.

    Best Value: Golden Path ($46.00 – Exotics & Place Chance)

    Golden Path was in the right spot in the Apollo but just lacked a turn of foot late. The extra 200m suits, and he maps to get another soft run on-pace. While he won’t win unless something crazy happens, he can run a sneaky placing at big odds ($46.00).

    Race Insights

    • Fangirl ($3.00) was brilliant first-up, but her pattern always requires luck, and she’s never won second-up (4:0-1-0).
    • Lindermann ($11.00) is fit and racing well, but this field is much stronger than last start.
    • Arapaho ($26.00) will improve over further, but his first-up run was promising.

    Final Thoughts

    Via Sistina is the best horse here, but at $1.95, she’s not a great betting proposition. Ceolwulf is the better value bet at $5.50, while Golden Path ($46.00) could add value to trifectas and first fours.

    Race 9 – Liverpool City Cup (1300m)

    Best to Back: With Your Blessing ($6.50)

    With Your Blessing smashed the clock last start at Randwick, winning impressively with 58kg. He drops to 54kg here, maps to settle on pace, and will be strong late in a race where many runners are just resuming. The market might underestimate his winning form, but he’s a serious chance to go back-to-back.

    Best Value: Golden Mile ($11.00)

    Golden Mile returns as a gelding and has trialled brilliantly leading into this first-up run. He’s always had Group 1 ability, and if his attitude has improved, he’s right in this race at a big price. His barrier (6) gives him a perfect stalking position, and if he produces anywhere near his best, he’s over the odds.

    Race Insights

    • Encap ($7.50) is classy but resumes off just one trial, which is a small concern first-up at 1300m.
    • Gringotts ($4.50) is a reliable horse but has to carry 61kg, which makes this a tough ask fresh.
    • Willaidow ($8.00) is flying with three wins in a row, but won’t get the same easy run as last start.
    • Iowna Merc ($7.00) ran second to Magic Time in the Expressway and is in career-best form.

    Final Thoughts

    With Your Blessing is fit, in form, and maps beautifully – he’s the one to back. Golden Mile has serious ability and could win first-up at $11 if he’s back to his best. Encap is a chance but might need this run, while Gringotts is a risk with 61kg.

    Australian Guineas Day 2025: High-Stakes Racing Returns to Flemington

    The Group 1 Australian Guineas (1600m) takes center stage at Flemington this Saturday, headlining a stacked 10-race program. Supported by the Group 2 Blamey Stakes (1600m) and the $1 million Inglis Sprint (1200m), this premier raceday promises world-class racing at one of Australia’s most iconic tracks.

    With a Good 4 track expected and the rail out 2m for the entire circuit, conditions should be ideal for fast, competitive racing. The first race on Australian Guineas Day 2025 is scheduled for 12:15pm AEDT.

    Howden Australian Guineas: The Nation’s Best Three-Year-Olds Collide

    The $1 million Group 1 Howden Australian Guineas (1600m) will see Australia’s top three-year-olds battle it out over the famous Flemington mile. This prestigious race has long been a launching pad for future champions, and 2025 promises another high-stakes showdown.

    A Million-Dollar Sprint & Blamey Stakes Feature on the Undercard

    The $1 million Inglis Sprint (1200m), exclusive to Inglis Sales graduates, has produced Group 1 winners such as Overpass and Benedetta in recent years. Meanwhile, the Group 2 TAB Blamey Stakes (1600m) offers a crucial pathway to the All-Star Mile, adding further intrigue to an already electric day of racing.

    With elite competition, massive prize pools, and Flemington’s historic backdrop, Australian Guineas Day 2025 is a must-watch for punters and racing fans alike.

    Race 7 – Blamey Stakes (1600m)

    Best to Back: Zardozi ($7.00)

    Zardozi was solid first-up in the Apollo Stakes, finishing just 3.8 lengths off Fangirl in a race shape that didn’t suit her. The rise to 1600m at Flemington is perfect, and she has good form at this track (2 wins from 5 starts). With Jamie Melham aboard, she should be well-positioned to strike late.

    Best Value: Poison Chalice ($23.00 – Each Way)

    Poison Chalice ran in the Elms two weeks ago but was caught out by the hot tempo. If this race sets up with a more even pace, he has the ability to bounce back at big odds. He’s capable of surprising at a price and is worth a small each-way bet at $23.00.

    Race Insights

    • Steparty ($5.50) continues to race well without winning, placing in Group 1 company behind Mr Brightside. He’s rock-hard fit and maps well.
    • Place Du Carrousel ($9.00) is a big watch with 53kg, but her spring form was below expectations. If she’s back to her best, she’s the one to beat.
    • Marble Arch ($6.50) just missed at Caulfield and has a strong record on dry ground, making her a genuine contender.
    • Just Folk ($8.50) is race-fit and well-drawn, making him a good each-way play.

    Final Thoughts

    Zardozi is the best to back at $7.00 – she maps well and should be suited at Flemington over a mile. Poison Chalice offers value at $23.00, while Steparty and Place Du Carrousel are both genuine winning chances.

    Race 8 – Australian Guineas (1600m)

    Best to Back: Sepals ($5.00)

    Sepals has continued to improve with every run, and his dominant CS Hayes win last start suggests he’s the one to beat again. The extra 200m looks ideal, and he maps for a perfect run with Blake Shinn aboard. If he runs up to his last-start performance, he’s right in the finish again.

    Best Value: Henlein ($21.00 – Each Way)

    Henlein never handled the conditions last start in the CS Hayes, and he’s a big chance of improving on a firmer track. His trial work before resuming was excellent, and the rise to 1600m should suit. At $21, he’s overs and a great each-way play.

    Race Insights

    • Goldrush Guru ($12.00) has progressed well this prep and looks ready for 1600m, making him a strong top-three chance.
    • Point And Shoot ($5.50) is a progressive type from Bjorn Baker, winning two in a row at Randwick, but this is a big class jump.
    • Savaglee ($6.00) brings Group 1 form from NZ, but faces a tough task first-up in Australia.
    • Feroce ($14.00) didn’t fire in the CS Hayes, but on a firmer track, he’s capable of a big run at odds.

    Final Thoughts

    Sepals is the logical top pick, coming off a strong win at Flemington and stepping up to 1600m at the right time. Henlein is the best value bet, and Goldrush Guru should run a big race. Point And Shoot is a danger but short enough in betting, while Savaglee is the wildcard from New Zealand.

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  • Black Caviar Lightning Day: Betting Insights, Best and Value Bets…

    The Group 1 Black Caviar Lightning (1000m) takes center stage at Flemington this Saturday, headlining a stacked 10-race program, read on for our professional insights and value bets

    After a scorching week, Melbourne’s weather is set to cool down, with a top of 18 degrees and showers expected throughout the day.

    Punters can anticipate a Soft 5 track, with the rail in the true position. The first race is scheduled to jump at 12:15pm AEDT, setting the scene for a high-stakes day of racing action.

    3 YEAR OLDS: A CHANGING OF THE GUARD?

    The time-honoured Group 1 Black Caviar Lightning (1000m) headlines a blockbuster 10-race program at Flemington this Saturday, with $750,000 in prize money up for grabs.

    A high-quality field of 12, including five Group 1 winners, will charge down the famous Flemington straight in what promises to be a thrilling edition of this prestigious sprint.

    Early Black Caviar Lightning betting suggests a potential changing of the guard, with three superstar three-year-olds dominating the market. However, a handful of seasoned older sprinters are primed to spoil the party in Flemington’s first Group 1 of 2025, setting the stage for a high-stakes battle between youth and experience.

    Race 1 – 12:15PM TAB We’re On Tips (2000m)

    🏆 Best to Back: King’s Valley ($5.50)

    King’s Valley comes into this in top form after a strong win at Sandown three weeks ago. He had a dream run in transit before sprinting clear for a dominant victory. With confidence high and a winnable race ahead, he looks a solid bet at current odds, given the main market elects might be a touch short.

    💰Best Value: Le Zebra ($7.00)

    Le Zebra has been knocking on the door and should appreciate the rise to 2000m. He ran on well last start over 1600m, finishing third in a competitive race, and this distance should suit him perfectly. Given his consistency, he presents a good value play at each-way odds.

    Race Insights

    • Revelare is the horse to beat, having won three straight and breaking the track record last start. However, with likely short odds, it’s not an attractive betting prospect.
    • Miss Tarzy and Shiny New Deel have each-way claims based on their recent form.
    • Fagin ($23) is an interesting long shot, coming off a strong Moonee Valley win over 2040m.

    Final Thoughts

    Revelare is the clear class runner, but backing him at unders isn’t ideal. King’s Valley offers the strongest form at a backable price, while Le Zebra is well-suited up in distance and provides solid value.

    Race 2 – 12:45PM TAB Talindert Stakes Tips (1100m)

    🏆 Best to Back: Sword Of Legacy ($3.10)

    This filly looks to have plenty of upside. She was strong late in the Chairmans Stakes last start, just missing behind Inkaruna, and has shown she can handle the straight at Flemington. With minimal pace in the race, she maps well and looks primed to break through.

    💰Best Value: Tentyris ($15.00)

    Tentyris made his debut in the Chairmans Stakes but was caught inside, which wasn’t the best place to be. He had shown excellent jump-out form before that race, so he could easily improve second-up with the added experience. At $15, he represents solid each-way value.

    Race Insights

    • Shining Smile is the class horse and chasing three straight wins but might be under the odds given question marks over the depth of his last start win.
    • Blethyn has trialed impressively and could be the best of the unraced brigade.
    • Hiatus is an unknown quantity but looked professional when winning on debut.

    Final Thoughts

    With Shining Smile likely to be well found in the market, Sword of Legacy offers the strongest win bet at a backable price, while Tentyris is the value play with scope for big improvement second-up.

    Race 3 – 1:20PM Frances Tressady Stakes Tips (1400m)

    🏆 Best to Back: Fancify ($3.50)

    Fancify is the standout selection based on both form and track record. She was strong when resuming in the Bellmaine Stakes over 1200m, leading throughout before condition gave way late. Now second-up, stepping to 1400m at Flemington—a track where she excels—she looks the horse to beat with front-running control.

    💰 Best Value: Wrote To Arataki ($9.00)

    Wrote To Arataki ran well fresh in the Bellmaine, sticking on strongly despite being on speed in a race that suited those running on. With a more patient ride and stepping up to 1400m, she looks well placed to be in the finish at an each-way price.

    🎯 Race Insights

    • Flying Fizz has strong claims given her record on dry ground and a favourable draw.
    • Miraval Rose is a threat if she finds her best, but her last run was below expectations.
    • Bizot and Plenty of Ammo could be running on late, but both need the right tempo to feature.

    Final Thoughts

    With a race shape that suits leaders, Fancify should take catching, while Wrote To Arataki is a solid each-way play at $9, given her ability to be on speed and fight on.

    Race 4 – 1:55PM The All-Star Mile Owner Ambassador Trophy Tips (1600m)

    🏆 Best to Back: Smokin’ Princess ($8.00)

    Smokin’ Princess is flying at the moment, winning three of her last four starts. She produced a powerful finish to win at Sandown last start, and the step back to Flemington suits. While drawn wide, she’s adaptable and in strong enough form to handle it. At $8, she presents as the most reliable bet at a backable price.

    💰 Best Value: Umgawa ($15.00)

    Umgawa was desperately unlucky last start at Sandown, getting held up badly before charging home late. With clear running this time, he looks set to peak at his home track. At $15, he’s a great each-way option in an open race.

    🎯 Race Insights

    • Verdad is a consistent performer but has become a costly horse for punters, placing in six straight starts without winning.
    • Ziryab is improving and has won his last two but steps up in grade here.
    • Arqana has strong closing sectionals and could be a danger if the race is run to suit.
    • Watadeel ($23.00) is a genuine longshot that will appreciate stepping up to 1600m.

    Final Thoughts

    Smokin’ Princess is the in-form runner and offers the best win betting option at $8. Umgawa has a great each-way chance at $15, given how unlucky he was last start. This is an open race, but both selections should be in the finish.

    Race 5 – 2:30PM The Flemington Long Lunch Tips (1200m)

    🏆 Best to Back: Wiggum ($6.00)

    Wiggum has been knocking on the door with strong performances down the Flemington straight. He’s placed in his last two runs here and keeps finding the line well. With a good setup in this race and a slight drop in weight, he finally gets his chance to break through.

    💰 Best Value: Veloce Carro ($5.50)

    Veloce Carro was solid first-up at Flemington and is expected to improve off that effort. He has the ability to be in the finish and looks a value play, especially given his upside second-up. If he sharpens up from the fresh run, he can surprise the market.

    🎯 Race Insights

    • Shesallshenanigans is in great form and has a strong record at Flemington but may have to work early from a wide draw.
    • Material Dreams has been closing off strongly in her runs and could be the best late closer in the race.
    • Bossy Nic struggled last start but has previous form that suggests she can be competitive at this level.
    • He’s Our Bonneval resumes and has strong first-up form, so he can’t be dismissed.

    Final Thoughts

    Wiggum deserves to win with how well he’s been racing, and this looks the right race for him. Veloce Carro is the best value option given his improvement factor. Both should be right in the finish.

    Race 6 – 3:05PM The Elms Handicap Tips (1400m)

    🏆 Best to Back: Chorlton Lane ($4.20)

    Chorlton Lane has been knocking on the door with four straight runs where he’s drawn the inside gate and gone down narrowly each time. He’s now back to 1400m at Flemington, which should be much more suitable. With a better race shape and luck, this looks like the right race for him to break through.

    💰Best Value: Aztec Ruler ($7.50)

    Aztec Ruler has been solid in Melbourne since arriving from Perth. He ran well in the G3 Standish Handicap at his first run here and followed it up with an even effort in the Barton Stakes. He meets Chorlton Lane 1kg better this time and could turn the tables at a value price.

    🎯 Race Insights

    • Rise At Dawn is unbeaten first-up and in winning form but might find this tougher with Buffalo River ensuring a strong tempo.
    • Just Folk was good fresh and rates well, but he tends to find one better in these races.
    • Poison Chalice will improve getting back to 1400m and is one to keep safe.
    • Communist ($14.00) is a Group 1 winner resuming and could surprise at odds.

    Final Thoughts

    Chorlton Lane is overdue and gets his chance in a suitable race, while Aztec Ruler offers solid each-way value with improvement expected. Both should be right in the finish.

    Race 7 – 3:40PM CS Hayes Stakes Tips (1400m)

    🏆 Best to Back: Henlein ($9.00)

    Henlein resumes after a strong Spring Champion Stakes campaign, where he ran second behind El Castello, a horse that was in peak form. He’s clearly got Group-class talent, and while he might be better suited over further, his jumpouts have been sharp, suggesting he’ll be competitive fresh over 1400m. If the pace is solid, he will be storming home late.

    💰 Best Value: Goldrush Guru ($13.00)

    Goldrush Guru had no luck first-up against older horses when trapped wide in the Durbridge Stakes. The step up to 1400m suits, and back against his own age group, he looks primed for a strong showing. Getting Jamie Kah back aboard is a big plus, and at $13, he represents solid value.

    🎯 Race Insights

    • Feroce has the strongest overall form lines but may be under the odds given the depth in this race.
    • Royal Insignia is on an upward trajectory, coming off a G3 Manfred Stakes win and should handle the rise in trip.
    • Sepals ($14.00) is an emerging runner chasing a hat-trick and maps well with Blake Shinn aboard.
    • Wonder Boy ($15.00) is another at a price that could surprise, needing to prove himself at this level.

    Final Thoughts

    Henlein is a class runner at an attractive price, and Goldrush Guru looks set to improve second-up. Both should be in the finish, and this is a race where playing multiple runners could be a smart approach.

    Race 8 – 4:15PM Black Caviar Lightning Tips (1000m)

    🏆 Best to Back: Growing Empire ($3.80)

    Growing Empire had an outstanding Spring campaign, running against the best sprinters in the country. While he was no match for Switzerland in the Coolmore Stud Stakes, that came at the tail end of a tough prep. He has been ridden quietly in trials leading into this, which suggests a change of tactics to let him settle and launch late. If he’s ridden cold, he could explode and turn the tables on Switzerland over the 1000m trip.

    💰 Best Value: I Am Me ($8.00)

    I Am Me loves the short-course sprinting and has a 4/6 record first-up, including a Group 2 win over Bella Nipotina fresh last campaign. The 1000m suits her more than some of the fitter 1200m types in this race, and she has drawn the right part of the track to be in the finish. At $8, she is a value runner who can catch some of the classier types off guard fresh.

    🎯 Race Insights

    • Switzerland is the deserved favorite and a serious racehorse, but his best work has come over 1200m. At short odds, he may be vulnerable first-up over 1000m.
    • Traffic Warden ($12.00) is a lightly raced talent who failed in the Coolmore but had excuses. He’s better than that, and if the race is run to suit, he could surprise.
    • Mazu ($18.00) is a Group 1 sprinter who will need to be at his absolute best first-up, but he has a chance to run a place at big odds.

    Final Thoughts

    Switzerland is the horse to beat, but he’s under the right odds. Growing Empire has had a better lead-up and can turn the tables, while I Am Me is a great value play at each-way odds. Expect the 3YOs to dominate this Group 1 sprint.

    Race 9 – 4:55PM Desirable Stakes Tips (1400m)

    🏆 Best to Back: Sneaky Sunrise ($6.00)

    Sneaky Sunrise is a lightly raced filly with upside, resuming after a 32-week spell. Her jumpout form has been strong, and she showed plenty of talent as a 2YO. With three trials under her belt, she should be fit and ready to fire first-up. Given her proven ability at this course, she’s a solid play in an open race.

    💰 Best Value: Another Prophet ($7.50)

    Another Prophet comes out of a strong Thousand Guineas win and ran well first-up in the Manfred Stakes over 1200m. Now fitter and stepping up to 1400m, she looks well placed back against her own sex. Barrier 4 is ideal, and if she can settle a little closer, she’ll be hitting the line hard.

    🎯 Race Insights

    • Captured By Love brings Group 1 New Zealand form, and while she didn’t fire last start, she’s rarely out of the money.
    • Cilacap ($8.50) is a filly on the rise, coming off an impressive Caulfield Heath win, and she should be storming home late.
    • Too Darn Discreet ($11.00) is a stayer resuming but trialed well and could be a sneaky place chance if they overdo it up front.

    Final Thoughts

    Sneaky Sunrise has been well prepared for this and is a great bet at $6, while Another Prophet is over the odds at $7.50 and should be finishing strongly. Expect a competitive finish, but these two look the best betting options.

    Race 10 – 5:35PM Stud & Stable Staff Leadership Award Tips (1400m)

    🏆 Best to Back: Is It Me ($6.00)

    Is It Me returned to winning form last start over this track and distance, proving he excels at Flemington. While he rises in weight, this is no tougher, and he maps well to get another ideal run in transit. With good second-up form and a race shape that suits, he looks a strong bet at $6.

    💰Best Value: It’s Business Time ($23.00)

    It’s Business Time was flat first-up but had excuses, carrying 60kg in a sit-and-sprint race against a strong field. She jumped out impressively before resuming, and drops 1.5kg here, which could see her bounce back sharply at massive odds. With a better tempo and fitness improvement, she can surprise.

    🎯 Race Insights

    • Sunshineinmypocket is a progressive type, having won 4 of 5, but the barrier (1) could be a negative if he’s buried back on the rail.
    • Le Ferrari ($17.00) will be on speed and fighting hard, making him a solid place chance.
    • El Rocko ($11.00) was solid first-up over 1200m and is much better suited at this 1400m trip.

    Final Thoughts

    Is It Me is the most reliable bet, having already proven himself at this track and trip. However, at $23, It’s Business Time is a huge value play, with scope to improve sharply second-up. A small saver on Sunshineinmypocket might also be wise, given his upside.

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  • Saturday 8th February – Colossal Horse Racing Tips. Caulfield Betting Insights.

    CF Orr Stakes 2025: Group 1 Racing Returns to Caulfield

    The 2025 Group 1 racing season kicks off in style this Saturday, February 8, at Caulfield Racecourse, headlined by the $750,000 Sportsbet C.F. Orr Stakes (1400m), and here we present our Caulfield Betting Insights.

    A star-studded 10-race program boasts seven Group-level events, making it one of the most anticipated race days of the summer.

    With a total prize pool of $2.8 million, punters can expect high-quality racing on a Good 4 track, with fine weather forecast for the weekend. The rail is in the true position, ensuring a fair and competitive day of racing.

    Can Mr Brightside Make History?

    The 101st running of the C.F. Orr Stakes sees a field of 10 elite gallopers battle it out over 1400m. Leading the charge is Mr Brightside, who resumes from a spell and looks to go back-to-back in the Orr—a feat achieved by only four horses in history.

    But will the champ deliver again, or is an upset on the cards? Check out our full race preview, top tips, and Caulfield betting insights for the 2025 C.F. Orr Stakes below!

    Race 1 – Caulfield Betting Insights & Best Bets

    The opening race at Caulfield is a competitive affair, with One Long Day looking well-placed to kick off proceedings with a win. The John Allen-ridden gelding brings strong form, having scored impressively at Flemington (1600m) two starts ago before a narrow second at Sandown last time. Dropping down in grade, he holds a class edge and maps well from barrier 4.

    Bar Dubai is the X-factor in the race, resuming from a spell for the Price/Kent stable after showing promise overseas. His trial form has been sharp, and connections have lofty ambitions for this UK import.

    For punters chasing value, Thunder Point is one to watch at long odds. He was competitive in the Koroit Cup (1700m) and should enjoy a fresh run back to the mile.

    Best to Back: 🏆

    ✅ One Long Day ($4.20) – Rock-solid form, proven at the trip, and well-drawn.

    Best Value: 💰

    🎯 Thunder Point ($46.00) – Capable of surprising with a strong run fresh.

    Race 2 – Caulfield Betting Insights & Best Bets

    The second race at Caulfield is an open 2000m contest, with several chances looking to stamp their staying credentials. Mannerheim is a horse on the up for Chris Waller, and after a solid effort over 1800m at Flemington, he should enjoy the step back up in trip. His late-closing style suggests he’ll be charging home.

    Inevitable Award profiles as the main danger, dropping back to 2000m after struggling slightly over 2100m at Sandown. His strong win two starts ago at Flemington proves he has the class to take this out.

    For value seekers, Perfect Play makes appeal. A front-runner who almost stole the race at Sandown last start, he’ll take some running down if left alone in the lead.

    Best to Back: 🏆

    ✅ Inevitable Award ($5.00) – Well placed at this trip and in strong form.

    Best Value: 💰

    🎯 Perfect Play ($4.80) – Will roll forward and prove hard to catch.

    Race 3 – Caulfield Betting Insights & Best Bets

    A tricky staying contest over 2000m, with Berkshire Breeze looking to bounce back from a disappointing Caulfield Cup run. Ciaron Maher’s stayer resumes off two sharp jumpouts, and while he’ll improve over further, he has enough class to be competitive fresh. Expect him to roll forward and make his presence felt.

    Shaiyhar is the main danger, coming off a strong Flemington win, where he finished best in a sit-and-sprint affair. He’s found form and can go on with it here under Craig Williams.

    For those chasing value, Touristic is an intriguing knockout chance. His first-up effort at Wyong can be forgiven, and he has strong form around Group 1 performers from last prep. He’s much better suited here and could surprise.

    Best to Back: 🏆

    ✅ Shaiyhar ($5.50) – In form and suited at this trip.

    Best Value: 💰

    🎯 Touristic ($5.00) – Has the class and is much better placed here.

    Race 4 – Caulfield Caulfield Betting Insights & Best Bets

    A competitive 2YO contest over 1100m, with plenty of untapped potential among these juveniles. Aleppo Pine was ultra-impressive on debut at Ballarat Cup Day, winning with arrogance. Trained by James Cummings, he’s been kept fresh for this with an eye on bigger targets, and his sharp jumpout suggests he’s ready to fire again.

    Field of Play presents as the main danger after a dominant debut win at The Valley (1200m). He brings race fitness and experience, and with Blake Shinn in the saddle from barrier five, he’ll be launching late.

    For value seekers, Menshevik is worth considering. He ran greenly on debut but wasn’t disgraced behind some smart types. With natural improvement and a strong stable behind him, he’s a knockout chance at odds.

    Best to Back: 🏆

    ✅ Aleppo Pine ($2.60) – Classy type, huge debut win, trial form is elite.

    Best Value: 💰

    🎯 Menshevik ($20.00) – Plenty of upside, could improve sharply second-up.

    Race 5 – Caulfield Caulfield Betting Insights & Best Bets

    A highly competitive 2YO Fillies contest where My Gladiola will start a hot favourite after an impressive debut win. The current Blue Diamond favourite showed serious acceleration in the Preview and has two strong jumpout wins to back it up. The query is whether she’ll handle the quick two-week turnaround and the wide draw (barrier 12).

    Gin Spirit looks great each-way value, coming off a dominant debut win at Morphettville where she showed a turn of foot without being fully tested. She’s with Team Hayes, and this will be a great test of her true ability.

    For roughies, Odessa is one to watch. She was thrown in the deep end on debut in the Maribyrnong Trial but looked green and in need of experience. A strong jumpout since suggests she’s come back much sharper.

    Best to Back: 🏆

    ✅ My Gladiola ($1.95) – The Blue Diamond favourite, hard to knock.

    Best Value: 💰

    🎯 Gin Spirit ($12.00) – Big upside, could cause a boilover.

    Race 6 – Caulfield Caulfield Betting Insights & Best Bets

    A high-class sprint over 1100m, where Maharba resumes after a terrific effort in the G1 Winterbottom Stakes (1200m), flashing home behind Overpass. His sharp trial at Cranbourne suggests he’s ready to fire fresh, and from barrier five, he should get every chance to land his fifth career win.

    Insurrection is the main danger, boasting back-to-back trial wins and a strong first-up record. He’s a speed machine, and with Blake Shinn booked, he’ll be in this for a long way.

    For value hunters, Band of Brothers is worth a look. He loomed to win last start at Sandown Lakeside but just couldn’t quite finish it off. Dropping back in trip, he’ll be fitter and ready to pounce at odds.

    Best to Back: 🏆

    ✅ Maharba ($3.80) – Classy sprinter, form around Overpass is elite.

    Best Value: 💰

    🎯 Band of Brothers ($9.50) – In-form and could strike dropping in trip.

    Race 7 – Caulfield Caulfield Betting Insights & Best Bets

    A quality 1400m contest, where Angel Capital looks the one to beat. The McDonald-trained colt has a great first-up record (3 wins, 2 first-up) and boasts Group 3-winning form over this track and trip. He’s been kept fresh for a strong autumn campaign and should get the perfect run from barrier six.

    Plymouth is an intriguing runner, resuming from a spell and blinkers go on for the first time. He’s been a victim of slow tempos in previous runs, but with a positive ride from barrier one, he could settle closer and bounce back in a big way.

    For value punters, Jenni The Fox is a live roughie. Her maiden win at Cranbourne was seriously impressive, making up a stack of ground late before being eased down near the post. She’s untapped and could measure up at odds.

    Best to Back: 🏆

    ✅ Angel Capital ($3.00) – Classy colt, unbeaten first-up, well-placed.

    Best Value: 💰

    🎯 Jenni The Fox ($15.00) – Electrifying last-start win, can surprise.

    Race 8 – Caulfield Wagering Analysis & Best Bets

    A wide-open 1600m contest, where Howgoodareyou looks set to improve sharply second-up. She got too far back first-up at Flemington, but her late splits were strong, suggesting the extra 200m suits perfectly. Grahame Begg’s mare has plenty of upside, and this looks a winnable race.

    Windstorm is an each-way standout, coming off a massive run last Saturday when caught three-wide the trip in a track-record race. He gets a softer draw (barrier 3) and will be hitting the line hard late.

    For value punters, Warmonger is a big watch at $17.00. He’s got serious class, mixing it with Caulfield Cup-level company last prep. If he’s ready to go fresh, he could cause a real boilover.

    Best to Back: 🏆

    ✅ Windstorm ($8.00) – Racing in great form, maps well, ready to win.

    Best Value: 💰

    🎯 Warmonger ($17.00) – Drops massively in grade, strong late.

    Race 9 – Caulfield Preview, Insights & Best Bets

    The feature race of the day sees Mr Brightside return, looking to add another Caulfield 1400m victory to his resume. The 8-time Group 1 winner has won this race before, and his trial form suggests he’s ready to fire first-up. He’s drawn wide, but with Craig Williams aboard, expect him to be in the right spot when it matters.

    Another Wil looks the biggest danger, boasting a sensational first-up record (5 from 6). He was gutsy in the G1 Rupert Clarke Stakes, just getting nabbed late, and has drawn perfectly in barrier three. He’ll get a gun run and be strong late.

    For value hunters, Private Life is an interesting runner. The Chris Waller-trained Caulfield Guineas winner resumes here instead of tackling the Newmarket Handicap, suggesting the Australian Guineas is the goal. His Sydney trials have been electric, and he could cause an upset fresh.

    Best to Back: 🏆

    ✅ Mr Brightside ($2.50) – The proven champ, too classy at this trip.

    Best Value: 💰

    🎯 Private Life ($9.00) – Trialled superbly, set for a big prep.

    Race 10 – Caulfield Insights & Best Bets

    A speedy 1100m sprint wraps up the card, with Arabian Summer looking to bounce back from a luckless third in the Sunlight Stakes. She got too far back and copped interference, but once clear, she closed powerfully. With a clean run, she’ll be right in the finish.

    Rich Dottie is a live chance first-up, boasting a 2-from-2 record fresh. She bolted in over 1000m when resuming last prep, and her jumpouts suggest she’s ready to fire.

    For value seekers, Reluctantlycharmed offers big each-way appeal at $17.00. She was dominant down the Flemington straight, coming from off the speed to score impressively. This is tougher, but she keeps raising the bar and could run a big race.

    Best to Back: 🏆

    ✅ Arabian Summer ($4.00) – Classy filly, luckless last start, ready to win.

    Best Value: 💰

    🎯 Reluctantlycharmed ($17.00) – Big win last start, still improving.

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