Colossalbet Blog

Tag: HorseRacingAnalysis

  • 2024 G1 Randwick Guineas preview and tips


    2024 Randwick Guineas Runner by Runner Review:

    1. Militarize (4): This Golden Rose Stakes winner has shown impressive form, particularly in his last run where he finished second in the G2 Apollo. With more fitness under his belt, he’s expected to perform well over this distance.

    2. Tom Kitten (8): Despite finishing 5th in the G2 Hobartvlle last time out, Tom Kitten has the potential to make a strong finish, especially given his history of performing well third-up. Expect him to be charging home late.

    3. Celestial Legend (11): With a win in the G2 Hobartvlle last start, Celestial Legend is showing promise. With untapped potential, he’s one to watch for a late swooping move.

    4. Encap (10): Encap has been consistent, finishing 3rd in the G2 Hobartvlle last start. With a genuine chance off the back of that performance, he shouldn’t be overlooked.

    5. Ganbare (5): While Ganbare faded to 7th in the G2 Hobartvlle, his previous form suggests he’s a solid top-three hope. Keep an eye on him, especially considering his past achievements.

    6. Les Vampires (2): Les Vampires has shown promise, winning at Canterbury and finishing 3rd in the G2 Hobartvlle. With a nice draw, he’s worth considering for a strong showing.

    7. Fukubana (3): Fukubana hasn’t shown the same level of form as some of the other contenders, finishing 4th in the G2 Hobartvlle last start. Place prospects may be slim for him in this race.

    8. Ducasse (9): Despite a strong win at Warwick Farm, Ducasse finished 8th in the G2 Hobartvlle. With a wide draw, this race might be too testing for him.

    9. Ceowulf (1): Ceowulf hasn’t shown exceptional form recently, but he shouldn’t be underestimated, especially considering his previous performances.

    10. Cafe Millennium (7): While Cafe Millennium has shown some promise in recent trials and races, the competition in this field might be too tough for him to contend with.

    11. Cosmic Lad (6): Like Cafe Millennium, Cosmic Lad has attracted attention in trials but hasn’t shown the same level of form in races. He might struggle against this field.


    Speed map

    Considering the speed map, the GaiBott pair of Ganbare and Les Vampires, along with Cosmic Lad, are expected to set the pace. It will be interesting to see how the race unfolds, with contenders like Militarize and Celestial Legend likely to make late charges.


    Tips

    MILITARIZE (1), the victor of the Golden Rose Stakes, showcased a strong performance in his recent outing, finishing second at this very track over 1400m in a Group 2 race held on soft terrain. Demonstrating notable capability, he stands a solid chance of being in contention. CELESTIAL LEGEND (3), a Group 2 titleholder, delivered a commanding victory last time out at Rosehill, triumphing by a substantial 2-length margin. His impressive figures indicate his suitability for this challenge. TOM KITTEN (2), winner of the Spring Champion Stakes, settled in the middle of the pack in his previous race at Rosehill, which was contested on soft ground where he was favored. With today’s extended journey, he remains a potential contender. LES VAMPIRES (6), a Group 2 placegetter, secured a podium finish in his recent outing at Rosehill and is expected to be sharper for his prior endeavors, offering an enticing each-way opportunity. ENCAP (4), boasting Group 1 credentials, is a progressive contender likely to feature prominently once more in the closing stages.

    Tips: (1)-(3)-(2)-(6)-(4)



    Market Odds

  • Fully Lit to fire in Black Opal

    Inglis Millennium winner Fully Lit headlines Sunday’s Black Opal at Canberra.


    Gai Waterhouse     and Adrain Bott will be well represented in the nations capital’s biggest day of racing, headlined by unbeaten two-year-old colt Fully Lit in the Group 3 Black Opal Stakes (1200m).

    The stable are enjoying an unprecedented two-year-old season with 19 total wins, including Fully Lit, with the Hellbent colt set to star a short-priced favourite for Sunday’s Black Opal, which the stable hope see him present as yet another Golden Slipper chance.

    “He’s come through his last win in the Millennium beautifully and he’s trialled nicely since,” Bott said.

    “He’s in great order, and obviously has plenty of upside. He’s improving every start.”

    Gai Waterhouse holds the record with seven Golden Slipper winners, one of those in partnership with Bott, who says Sunday’s race will be another piece in the puzzle as to Fully Lit’s standing in the Sipper pecking order.

    “I’d like to see him perform well in the Black Opal to see where he is at. It’s always a competitive contest so this will give us a great guide.”

    Fully Lit is the $1.50 favourite for the Black Opal after drawing barrier three with Regan Bayliss to maintain his association with the colt. Peter and Paul Snowden  have the only other two horses in single figures with Holmes A Court at $6 and King Of Roseau at $9.
    Meanwhile, in a far more open affair, Waterhouse & Bott will saddle up recent Magic Millions winner So United in the Listed Canberra Cup (2000m), who has drawn barrier seven in a field of 11 with Tim Clark onboard.

    “We thought So United was great last start…before that he was really impressive when he won at the Gold Coast. He’s progressive and continues to improve,” Bott said.

    So United is a $5 second elect behind the Kris Lees trained Almania at $4.20, who will jump from barrier 10.

  • SA horses shine at Flemington on Cup week

    Promising filly Karavas completed a successful week for South Australian horses at Flemington with her win in the Group 3 Ottawa Stakes on Thursday.

    It was the second win in three years in the feature for the Richard and Chantelle Jolly stable and capped a massive six days in the saddle for Jake Toeroek.

    The lethal combination claimed last weekend’s Listed John Letts Cup at Morphettville with Pudding, one of two winners for the leading rider on the day, Toeroek’s third win in succession in the race.

    They followed up with four winners at Morphettville on Melbourne Cup Day, the leading rider grabbing a fifth win with Sabermetric.

    That form flowed to Flemington where Karavas stamped herself as a filly with a bright future dominating down the straight to make it two wins from as many starts.

    “She’s a real athletic filly, well-muscled. She always looked like she’d go early,” Richard Jolly said.

    “She had the benefit of that run at Murray Bridge.

    “People disregard our form a bit, good on them, she started good odds,” he said.

    Jolly said unlike their previous Ottawa winner See You In Heaven, Karavas was a filly who would be best suited over the short course.

    “This girl is more precocious,” Jolly said.

    “I feel this filly is going to be a sheer sprinting type.

    “We can put her away now and aim at some nice races in the autumn,” he said.

    Karavas’ win followed on from a big Melbourne Cup Day where Travis Doudle claimed the Schweppervescence Plate over 1000m with Damien Oliver riding, while Dan Clarken and Oopy MacGillivray’s The Map scored an impressive win in the 2800m race with Jamie Kah in the saddle.

    “By far and away the biggest thrill of my training career,” MacGillivray said.

    “The Map is a very special to us,” she said.

    Jamie Kah said it was a thrill to reunite with a stable who had been so crucial in her career in the early days.

    “Riding a winner on Melbourne Cup Day is awesome, but (winning) for them it felt like winning a Melbourne Cup,” Kah said.

    “I was always excited to ride this horse.

    “The feel she gave was fantastic,” she said.

    The hot SA form didn’t stop there with the Michael Hickmott trained, Fancify, finishing 2nd in the Three-Years-Old and Four-Years-Old, Fillies and Mares Race on Oaks Day while Kristi Evans trained, Platinum Wolf, ran a great race to finish 3rd in the Greys race on Cup day. 

  • Mr Brightside ready for Champions tilt

    Mr Brightside will chase Group 1 honours in the Champions Mile at Flemington.

    The Lindsay Park team of Ben, Will and J D Hayes would like a little luck to go their way in what has been a frustrating week at Flemington. 

    After Mr Brightside was touched out in the Cox Plate at Moonee Valley, the Hayes boys have suffered narrow losses with Apulia and Crosshaven earlier in Melbourne Cup week. 

    “With a bit of luck, we could be having a great Cup Carnival,” Ben Hayes said. 

    The Lindsay Park stable is pinning their hopes in Mr Brightside to end Cup week with a Group 1 win in the Champions Mile (1600m) on Saturday. 

    Hayes said the stable made the decision to come back from the 2040m of the Cox Plate when beaten by Romantic Warrior to Saturday’s journey with a view of a potential trip to Hong Kong. 

    “He’s an elite miler, so if we do decide to go to Hong Kong, it gives us more options,” Hayes said. 

    “We can stay at the mile or go to 2000 metres in Hong Kong, but we’ve got to get through this run first and see how he recovers from it. 

    “We haven’t committed to anything yet. He’s in the sixth run for the prep and these good horses, you do need to look after them. 

    “It’s something we’ll discuss with the team after the run.” 

    Hayes said Mr Brightside had remained at Flemington since his Cox Plate defeat and had freshened up nicely for his tilt on Saturday. 

    Mr Brightside will also be racing in blinkers again as the gelding looks to improve on his fourth in the corresponding race in 2021, when run as a handicap, then third last year. 

    “He’s probably due and there will be no excuses,” Hayes said. 

    “He hasn’t missed a day’s work. We’ve kept him at Flemington since the Cox Plate and we’ve always said that he thrives racing two weeks, two weeks, and that is what is happening here. 

    “He’s done so well and is a happy, enjoyable horse. 

    “I never get sick about talking about Mr Brightside, but if I ever do, slap me.” 

  • Morphettville Parks Races Review on 28th October 2023

    The three-year-old gelding Give Some Lip raced away to bring up his first win at his fourth start in the 1250 metre opening event on the Parks track at Morphettville on Saturday.

    Prepared by Will Clarken and Niki O’Shea and guided to victory by apprentice Ben Price Give Some Lip  came from a worse than midfield position with a late run to take the event.

    Jason Holder continued his purple patch of form when he rode Free Vino  to a win in the 1400 metre second race.

    Coming out of the Gordon Richards and Damien Moyle stable Free Vino raced in the rear of the field before flying home to win.

    Moving his operation from Morphettville to Murray Bridge trainer Travis Doudle was well pleased with the win of Prince Jofra in the 1550 metre third race.

    Having the services of apprentice Alana Livesey Prince Jofra raced in a forward position all the way.

    Apprentice Ben Price landed his second winner for the afternoon when Manzala won his first race in 1190 days in the 1950 metre fourth race.

    Trained by Ashton Downing Manzala settled in a midfield position before ging in to win.

    Anjopin landed his second win in seven days when he took out the 1250 metre fifth race.

    Prepared by Sue and Jason Jaensch the well placed Anjopin gave apprentice Maggie Collett her first win since being injured at Ceduna last December.

    Coming off a last start second Miss Kermie went one better when she took out the 1400 meter sixth race.

    Having the services of Emily Finnegan the Phillip Stokes prepared Miss Kermie raced one off the pace in winning her fourth race from fourteen starts.

    Apprentice Sheriden Clarke was all smiles after her win on Trumpsta in the 1950 metre seventh race.

    Being under the care of Ron Stokes Trumpsta was another runner to be well placed.

    Establishing his base at Gawler in recent times trainer George Dimitropoulos was all smiles with the win of his charge Mouse Almighty in the 1000 metre eighth race.

    Having the services of Stacey Metcalf Mouse Almighty came from a midfield position with a strong run over the concluding stages.

    Foster Street was one of the few winners to come from well back when he won the 1000 metre final event.

    Being under the care of Byron Cozamanis senior and having the services of Ryan Hurdle Foster Street brought up his third win in fourteen starts.

  • Amelia’s Jewel to race in Golden Eagle

    Glamour mare Amelia’s Jewel is back on track after a shock defeat and will now progress to the $10 million Golden Eagle (1500m) at Rosehill on November 4.

    Amelia’s Jewel ran well below her best in the G1 Toorak Handicap (1600m) at Caulfield when ninth to Attrition, but a vet test cleared her of injury.

    Her worst performance in an outstanding career followed wins in the Let’s Elope Stakes (1400m) at Flemington and the Stocks Stakes (1600m) at Moonee Valley in track record time.

    Amelia’s Jewel had a few easy days recovering after the Toorak failure, but there were encouraging signs last week when back on her feed that she’d turned the corner.

    A strong reverse gallop at Flemington this morning (Tuesday) with jockey Damian Lane aboard was the clincher for Simon Miller, who said he’s tackling the Golden Eagle with renewed confidence.

    “She went super, worked unreal and looks great, looks amazing,” Miller told The Races WA.

    “She worked a thousand evens and home 400 and handled the Sydney way of going like a professional.

    “I knew last Thursday she’d turned the corner the way she was completely knocking her night and morning feed.

    “She’ll have another gallop next Tuesday going the Sydney way and Thursday week will get on a truck to Sydney.

    “She’s totally back on board.”

    TABtouch has Amelia’s Jewel the $4.40 favourite for the Golden Eagle. Kovalica is next at $4.80, Legarto $6, Hawaii Five Oh $6 and Obamburumai $8.

    Miller says he still has an ace up his sleeve for Amelia’s Jewel in the Golden Eagle.

    “I’m thinking of a gear change and blinkers,” Miller said.

    “I’m leaning to them as she is superior with them on.”

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  • Quality entries for The Pinnacles

    Star mare local mare Amelia’s Jewel headlines a quality list of nominations from around Australia for the upcoming Carnival in Western Australia – The Pinnacles.

    The leading stables on the eastern seaboard of Australia have all nominated horses for the rich five-meeting carnival in Western Australia. 

    The Pinnacles kicks off on November 18 with Champion Fillies Day and culminates on December 16 with Damien Oliver Gold Rush Day. 

    Western Australia’s three Group 1 races – the Railway Stakes (1600m), the Winterbottom Stakes (1200m) and the Northerly Stakes (1800m) will be held on three consecutive Saturday – November 25 through to December 9. 

    Connections of horses entered in The Pinnacles will chase $10.5 million in prizemoney. 

    Chris Waller has 26 horses entered across the feature races while other eastern seaboard stables with nominations include Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott, Annabel Neasham,Ciaron Maher and David Eustace, Peter Moody and Katherine Coleman , Anthony and Sam Freedman and Mick Price and Michael Kent Jnr. 

    Inaugural Quokka winning trainer Bjorn Baker, has entered his Quokka victor Overpass in the Winterbottom Stakes while runner-up, Amelia’s Jewel heads the local entry for that race along with the Damien Oliver Gold Rush. 

    A total of 94 horses have been entered for the Railway Stakes, headlined by multiple Group 1 winner Zaaki, prepared by Neasham who has also entered My Oberon. 

    Chris Waller has entered 13 horses for the race, headed by Atishu, Osipenko and Kovalica while Australian Cup winner Cascadian, a previous Perth visitor for Godolphin, is among entries. 

    Former WA-based trainer Lindsey Smith has entered Tuvalu for a return to his previous hometown. 

    Among the 68 nominations for the Winterbottom Stakes includes Asfoora, last week’s Schillaci Stakes winner at Caulfield, Espiona for the Waller stable and I Am Me, a winner of six of her last eight starts for Maher and Eustace. 

    There are 106 nominations for the Northerly Stakes including last year’s Railway Stakes winner Trix Of The Trade for local trainer Colin Webster while Waller has entered Rediener and Moody and Coleman have three entries, including Stakes winner Pounding. 

    Local gallopers Red Can Man, Resortman, Startrade, Snowdome and My Bella Mae join Amelia’s Jewel among the 104 nominations for the Damien Oliver Gold Rush that also sees Nugget, a Cox Plate entrant for Maher and Eustace among nominations. 

    Perth Racing chief executive James Oldring is delighted with the quality of nominations for The Pinnacles. 

    “We have worked extremely hard to present The Pinnacles as an Australian racing carnival, not just a West Australian feature and the calibre of horses and trainers that have nominated for our carnival highlights are a testament to our progress in that regard,” Oldring said. 

    “It’s so important for the standing of our carnival, particularly our Group 1 events, to attract the best horses, trainers and jockeys in Australia. 

    “We look forward to extending a very warm welcome to everyone that travels from the east coast to take on the best of our home team, who will no doubt be all out to ensure that the bulk of the prize money, and the bragging rights, stay right here in Perth.” 

  • First of the Spring Cups will be a big Caulfield Cup Day

    Always a great race for every Spring is the Caulfield Cup and 2023 looks no different.

    Will the G1 Caulfield Cup (2400m) go to the locals with the likes of Soulcombe ($5), Gold Trip ($6) and Montefilia ($13) big hopes or will it be those coming from overseas?

    West Wind Blows ($6), Breakup ($9) and Okita Soushi ($21) could be massive hopes with their international connections.

    Nominations were extended for the G3 Caulfield Classic (2000m) as Derby credentials are on the line. Riff Rocket ($1.70) will naturally be heavily featured but strong stables also run with Gold Bullion ($6) and To Be Frank ($15).

    It’s the same situation for the fillies in the G3 Ethereal Stakes (2000m). Tropical Squall ($2.10) brings in G1 form but Autumn Angel ($4.20) now comes out of a strong form race.

    Another race where more entries are a chance is in the G2 Caulfield Sprint (1000m). Lofty Strike ($3.50) is the best horse in it as he resumes from a spell.

    The G2 Tristarc Stakes (1400m) is generally a great pointer to the Empire Rose and good mares are entered like Madame Pommery, Nunthorpe and Skew Wiff.

    With the change in the programming, the G2 Thousand Guineas Prelude (1400m) is now on Cup day and we see new blood here like Coeur Volante and Zourion coming from the Moonee Valley race.

    Other features on the day include the Listed Gothic Stakes (1200m) for the 3yos and the G3 Moonga Stakes (1400m) for the older sprinters.

  • World Pool will be in operation for the first time on The Everest Day (Randwick, Australia) this Saturday.

    The HKJC will host 9 out of 10 races from the card.

    The World Pool bet-types offered are Win, Place, Quinella, Quinella Place (Swinger), Tierce (Trifecta).

    Note that not every partner is taking all these bet-types as you can see on the World Pool micro-site – worldpool.hkjc.com.

    You may also find the below race details there, as well as latest news and some other educational contents like World Pool background, history and other turnover numbers.

    Australian Spring Carnival mini site has been launched as well, with introduction and feature articles on all the simulcast meetings in Australia from October to November – English version 英文版 / Chinese version 中文版

    Besides, as one of the official betting partners, we have the naming rights for one race – please refer the one highlighted in orange in below table:

    The Everest Day (珠穆朗瑪峰錦標賽馬日) 
    Sat 14th October 2023 
    Randwick (蘭域)
    Local TimeHK TimeIntervalRace NameDistanceStatusSurface
    13:0510:05–World Pool Handicap (全球匯合彩池讓賽)1400–Turf (草地)
    13:4010:4035mReginald Allen Quality (雷根雅倫讓賽)1400LTurf (草地)
    14:1511:1535mGloaming Stakes (高明錦標)1800G3Turf (草地)
    14:5011:5035mThe Kosciuszko (科斯高山錦標)1200–Turf (草地)
    15:2512:2535mSydney Stakes (悉尼錦標)1200G3Turf (草地)
    16:1513:1550mThe Everest (珠穆朗瑪峰錦標)1200–Turf (草地)
    16:5013:5035mSilver Eagle (銀鷹錦標)1300–Turf (草地)
    17:3514:3545mKing Charles III Stakes (英皇查理斯三世錦標)1600G1Turf (草地)
    18:1015:1035mAngst Stakes (熱望錦標)1600G3Turf (草地)

    Other useful sites and information:

    World Pool mini site – English version 英文版 / Chinese version 中文版

    Moment of the Day/Year 2023 – Link

    For more latest news as well as live information, please visit our official World Pool twitter handle.

    Please feel free to promote on your platforms!

    Next World Pool day after the Everest will be on 21 Oct, which consists of races in both Australia (Caulfield Cup Day) and UK (British Champions Day).

  • Turnbull Stakes Day, Sun Chariot Stakes Day and Gran Premio Latinoamericano to be beamed live for betting

    The Hong Kong Jockey Club will simulcast for betting five races from the Turnbull Day meeting to be held at Flemington racecourse on Saturday, 7 October. The Turnbull Stakes is a 2000m Group One for four-year-olds and older and contested under set weights and penalties conditions.

    The race attained Group 1 status in 2006 and has served as an important lead-up for major prizes of Melbourne’s Spring Racing Carnival such as the Cox Plate and the Melbourne Cup. The days broadcasting will commence 12.15 Hong Kong time.

    The 2023 running of the Turnbull Stakes promises to draw worldwide attention as Hong Kong’s Middle-Distance champion Romantic Warrior kicks off his overseas campaign here before a tilt at the Cox Plate. The Danny Shum trained superstar will become the first Hong Kong trained runner to contest in Australia since Dominant’s Sydney Cup venture in 2015.

    Sun Chariot Stakes Day from Newmarket in England (Sat 7 Oct – first race 20:30 Hong Kong time)

    Racing action will continue at Newmarket in the evening with the simulcast of the Sun Chariot Stakes and three other supporting races.

    Named after King George VI’s talented racehorse who won the Fillies Triple Crown in 1942 under legendary jockey Gordon Richards, the featured Sun Chariot Stakes is run over 1600m on the Rowley Mile course for the most promising three-year-olds and older fillies and mares. It forms part of the British Champions Series which will conclude at Ascot on 21 October.

    Gran Premio Latinoamericano from San Isidro in Argentina (Sun 8 Oct – 4:45 Hong Kong time)

    In the early morning of Sunday, 8th October, the Gran Premio Latinoamericano will be simulcast live for betting to Hong Kong racing fans for the first time.

    Gran Premio Latinoamericano (G1 2000m for 3yo+) is the richest and most important race in Latin America. First run in 1981, the race is run every year in different member countries and participated by the best horses in the Latin America region. San Isidro Racecourse in Buenos Aires of Argentina will play host to the 2023 renewal.

    Final declarations with barrier draws for the Turnbull Stakes Day, the Sun Chariot Stakes Day races and the Gran Premio Latinoamericano will be available on Friday, 6 October.