Saturday’s action delivers a winter racing double-header, with $1.5 million in prizemoney on offer across the Sunshine Coast’s Caloundra Cup Day and Finals Day at Flemington. From Queensland’s Tattersall’s features to the Mahogany and Winter Championship finals in Victoria, there’s plenty of value to be found in deep, competitive fields. Let’s break down the key races and the tips that matter.
Sunshine Coast Race 6 – Double R Group Winx Guineas (1600m)
📝 Race Overview:
This edition of the Winx Guineas brings together some emerging talents. Millie De Lune maps for the perfect run from barrier one and brings solid metro form into this — ideally placed against this line-up. Mister Bianco is flying and aiming for four straight wins, while Easy Love comes off a strong maiden-breaking performance and could surprise again. Noire Emperor has been knocking on the door this prep and is a genuine place chance.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
Mister Bianco (Odds: $3.00)
💥 “Undefeated in his last three starts and keeps improving every time he steps out. This is a rise in class, but he’s versatile, tough, and still underrated in the market — worth backing if the price holds up.“
💎 Best Value Bet:
Millie De Lune (Odds: ~$5.00)
⚡“She’s been consistent this preparation, draws barrier 1, and lands in a race where tactical speed is a key factor. From the inside, she should get the perfect run and her metro form holds up nicely in this company.“
Sunshine Coast Race 7 – TAB Glasshouse Handicap (1400m)
📝 Race Overview:
A competitive edition of the Glasshouse with proven performers and track specialists in the mix. Warnie has the tactical speed to offset a wide draw and holds solid metro form. The Inflictor continues to rise through the grades and was strong late at Eagle Farm last time. Local hope I Am Artie has an outstanding record here and should be peaking third-up. Redford also has solid Coast form and looks a place hope at odds.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
The Inflictor (Odds: $5.00)
💥 “Comes off a strong on-speed win and is thriving deep into the campaign. Maps well again and drops in weight — hard to knock his form and he’s well placed to score back-to-back wins.“
💎 Best Value Bet:
I Am Artie (Odds: ~$16.00)
⚡“A five-time winner at this track and fitter for two solid runs back in stronger grade. Back on his home deck, he can settle closer and surge late — represents genuine value“
Sunshine Coast Race 8 – Haymans Caloundra Cup (2400m)
📝 Race Overview:
The staying feature of the day looks to be a battle between emerging Sydney stayer Bear On The Loose and proven Queenslander Hezashocka. The former comes off a narrow defeat at Rosehill and brings excellent form for this level. Hezashocka backs up after a strong effort at Eagle Farm and remains a threat. Don Diego De Vega is now fitter, while Half Yours has had a consistent prep and could surprise.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
Bear On The Loose (Odds: $4.40)
💥 “Consistent, well-weighted and brings strong Sydney metro form into this — all signs point to him being very hard to beat. Should enjoy a soft run just off the pace and finds a winnable Caloundra Cup edition.“
💎 Best Value Bet:
Hezashocka (Odds: ~$13.00)
⚡“Racing well this prep and the seven-day back-up suggests confidence from the stable. He’s faced tougher company and can produce late if tempo allows — worthy each-way investment.“
Flemington Race 7 – Mahogany Challenge Final (2500m)
📝 Race Overview:
A deep field of emerging stayers assembles for the Mahogany Final. Murgasty looks perfectly suited out to 2500m after a strong placing at Sandown, while Silver Pledge has won his last two and continues to improve. Shockletz draws kindly and stays the trip, while Champagne Jenni is a consistent type with good figures at the track.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
Champagne Jenni (Odds: $13.00)
💥 “Keeps raising the bar and narrowly missed when heavily backed last start. Proven at the track and suited in a genuine staying test — capable of winning this at value odds.“
💎 Best Value Bet:
Murgasty (Odds: ~$26.00)
⚡“Building nicely and looks ready for the extended trip. He was strong through the line last time and from a better draw can settle closer — a strong each-way base and reliable option.“
Flemington Race 8 – VRC-CRV Winter Championship Series Final (1600m)
📝 Race Overview:
The final event brings together in-form gallopers from across the series. Holymanz gets another chance to break through after a consistent prep and a dream draw. Yellow Sam is on the rise and full of confidence after her Caulfield win. Oh Too Good is a tactical wildcard, while Café Millennium is the class runner and can bounce in this sort of set-up.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
Café Millennium (Odds: $7.00)
💥 “Bounced back to form last start and strikes the right kind of race now. He can sit closer in the run from the draw and has the closing sectionals to go over the top if he gets clear air.“
💎 Best Value Bet:
Holymanz (Odds: ~$14.00)
⚡“Hard fit and perfectly drawn to get every chance. He handles Flemington and is proven at the trip — this looks like the day he converts consistency into victory.“
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