We’re set for Australian Guineas Day at Flemington and Verry Elleegant Stakes Day at Randwick — two quality programs with rain looming over both tracks. We’ll break down Races 6-9 from each meeting, keeping a close eye on how the conditions might shape results. With the weather in play, versatility could be the difference.
🏇 Flemington R6 1100m – HKJC World Pool Trophy
📝 Race Overview:
A sharp 1100m down the straight where speed and positioning are everything. With a few natural on-pacers engaged, this should be run at a genuine clip. Runners who can travel strongly and sustain their sprint over the final 400m will be hardest to hold out.
🔥 Best Bet: HEADBANGER
💰 Odds: ~$5.25
⚡Looks well suited in this setup. Has shown strong early speed and the ability to sustain pressure late, which is crucial down the Flemington straight. Comes into this with solid form and maps to be right in the firing line throughout. If he gets into a rhythm early, he’ll take serious catching.
💎 Best Value: GWEN’S GIRL
💰 Odds: ~$7
💥A runner who can surprise. She’s shown she can finish off strongly when the tempo is genuine and won’t need everything to go perfectly to be competitive.
🏇 Flemington R7 1600m – Blamey Stakes
📝 Race Overview:
A quality mile where class rises to the top. The tempo looks even, giving every runner their chance provided they settle well. With fitness and race position both key factors, this shapes as a genuinely competitive contest.
🔥 Best Bet: AIR ASSAULT
💰 Odds: ~$4.6
⚡Profiles as the one to beat. He’s been racing consistently in strong company and looks ready to peak here. The mile suits, he maps for a comfortable run, and his recent form suggests he’s right at this level. Hard to fault in this field.
💎 Best Value: WILLYDOIT
💰 Odds: ~$10
💥Brings a strong form profile and looks capable of improving into this. If the race is run at a solid tempo and he’s able to slot in midfield with cover, he can be finishing hard. Appeals as the runner who can outperform market expectations.
🏇 Flemington R8 1600m – Australian Guineas
📝 Race Overview:
The feature of the day and a high-quality three-year-old mile. Pressure should be genuine, and with the forecast rain, adaptability could prove crucial. Expect a tactical race with momentum building from the 600m.
🔥 Best Bet: SIXTIES
💰 Odds: ~$2.8
⚡Looks perfectly placed for this. Has shown he can handle strong tempo and sustain a long run, which is vital in a Guineas. Comes in with the right form foundation and appears to be trending upward at the right time. He can handle the wet conditions and looks like he’s the one they need to beat.
💎 Best Value: PLANET RED
💰 Odds: ~$5
💥Brings upside and looks ready to improve. If the tempo is genuine and he gets cover early, he can be charging late. It looks to be a race between the two favourites, but he is capable of causing an upset.
🏇 Flemington R9 1200m – Inglis Sprint
📝 Race Overview:
A fast-run sprint with multiple speed influences engaged, this should set up for runners who can either control the tempo or produce a sharp finishing burst late.
🔥 Best Bet: ALPHA SOFIE
💰 Odds: ~$2.5
⚡Comes in with strong recent form and looks suited at 1200m. She maps to get a positive run and has shown the ability to respond when asked. In a race where race shape matters, she looks well placed to capitalise.
💎 Best Value: GETTA GOOD FEELING
💰 Odds: ~$14
💥Has the right profile to run above odds. If the pace is strong and she can slot in with cover, her finishing effort can bring her right into the frame. Worth keeping safe at the price.
🏇 Randwick R6 1400m – Proven Thoroughbreds Guy Walter Stakes
📝 Race Overview:
A strong mares’ contest over 1400m where tempo should be genuine. With rain forecast, the ability to handle softer ground may prove decisive.
🔥 Best Bet: MANAAL
💰 Odds: ~$3.5
⚡Looks ideally placed here. She’s been racing consistently and maps for a soft run just off the speed. The trip suits and she brings the right blend of tactical speed and finishing strength.
💎 Best Value: ARCTIC GLAMOUR
💰 Odds: ~$11
💥Can bounce back in this grade. If she finds a forward spot on the rail and builds into the race from the 600m, she has the turn of foot to surprise at odds.
🏇 Randwick R7 1400m – The Chase Surround Stakes
📝 Race Overview:
A high-class three-year-old fillies’ race where tempo and race craft will be key. With several progressive types engaged, expect a competitive finish.
🔥 Best Bet: TEMPTED
💰 Odds: ~$1.65
⚡Has shown the talent to measure up in races like this. She maps to get a clean run and looks ready to win again at this stage of her preparation. If she handles conditions, she’s right in the mix.
💎 Best Value: SAVVY HALLIE
💰 Odds: ~$10
💥An improving filly who could take another step here. If the pace is slow and she can control from in front, she has the closing strength to be in the finish.
🏇 Randwick R8 1600m – Verry Elleegant Stakes
📝 Race Overview:
A quality weight-for-age mile where class and timing will be decisive. The tempo looks steady early before building mid-race, making positioning crucial.
🔥 Best Bet: AUTUMN GLOW
💰 Odds: ~$1.35
⚡Profiles strongly at this level. She’s shown consistency and the ability to quicken when required. The mile suits perfectly, and she maps to get every chance.
💎 Best Value: CEOLWULF
💰 Odds: ~$12
💥A runner who needs luck but relishes the wet conditions. If the race opens up late and he’s within striking distance on the turn, he can loom as a genuine threat at a nice price.
🏇 Randwick R9 1300m – HKJC World Pool Liverpool City Cup
📝 Race Overview:
A competitive sprint where early speed should be genuine. With multiple runners capable of rolling forward, this sets up for those who can absorb pressure and still finish strongly.
🔥 Best Bet: AXIUS
💰 Odds: ~$5
⚡Comes in with strong recent form and looks well suited at 1300m. He maps to be prominent and should get every opportunity to strike at the right time.
💎 Best Value: COAL CRUSHER
💰 Odds: ~$11
💥Never far away in races like this. If he finds the right trail and conditions suit, he can stick on and run a bold race at good odds.
Colossalbet understands the ramifications of gambling beyond your means and has implemented various safeguards to protect our clients and their interests.
Colossalbet works with Gambling Help Online to offer assistance to anyone who is directly or indirectly affected by gambling. If your gambling has become problematic or the behaviour of a loved one has become a concern, Gambling Help Online offers a range of free support and counselling services about problem gambling in a variety of languages and in a safe and anonymous environment. You can contact Gambling Help Online at any time for free and confidential advice and support by:
📞 Calling 1800 858 858
🌐 Visiting their website https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/