THREE FROM EIGHT, CAN WE KEEP GOING?
Last week we found 3 winners from 8 races!
- ALTHOFF (Odds: ~$1.90)
- LISZTOMANIA (Odds: ~$9)
- AMERICAN EAGLE (Odds: ~$3.20)
Spring racing launches in earnest this Saturday with two outstanding metropolitan cards serving up no fewer than five black-type races across Randwick and Sandown Hillside. The new season is well and truly upon us, and there’s quality right across the board.
At Randwick, we’ll be covering Races 7 through 10, with three Group 2 contests headlining the afternoon — the Tramway Stakes over 1400m, the Concorde Stakes down the straight over 1000m, and the Chelmsford Stakes over the mile. A competitive BM94 handicap closes the card.
Over at Sandown Hillside, the Group 1 Charter Keck Cramer Moir Stakes over 1000m takes centre stage as the feature race of the day. The Group 3 Chautauqua Stakes and a pair of quality handicaps round out an exciting four-race run to finish the meeting.
It shapes as a fantastic day for punters with in-form gallopers, exciting young sprinters and established stars all lining up. We’ve done the form and narrowed down our best bets and value plays across eight races.
🏇 Randwick R7 1400m – Group 2 Myplates Tramway Stakes
📝 Race Overview: A quality Group 2 to open the quaddie with several high-class gallopers second-up. The scratching of Fangirl simplifies the picture and leaves Idle Flyer the clear favourite, but there’s depth here with Private Eye and Attica both proven over the trip. A genuine tempo looks likely with enough speed engaged.
🔥 Best Bet: PRIVATE EYE 💰 Odds: ~$4 ⚡ The grand old warrior returns second-up after a strong 2nd at Caulfield three weeks ago over this trip. With 14 wins and over $13 million in career prizemoney, his class is beyond question. Nash Rawiller retains the ride and he’s a horse who consistently improves second-up through a preparation.
💎 Best Value: SOOTHSAYER 💰 Odds: ~$13 💥 Second-up after running 2nd at Randwick over 1200m two weeks ago. Won twice during his previous preparation and steps to 1400m, a distance that should bring out the best in him. At double figures, he’s a genuine each-way proposition with a 60% career place rate.
🏇 Randwick R8 1000m – Group 2 Catanach’s Jewellers Concorde Stakes
📝 Race Overview: A strong field of talented sprinters resume for the spring down the Randwick straight. Tempted’s form towers over the field on paper, but there’s always a query when so many quality horses return from a spell. The 1000m trip will sort them out quickly in what shapes as a fast-run affair.
🔥 Best Bet: TEMPTED 💰 Odds: ~$1.85 ⚡ The shortest-priced runner on the card but the form demands respect. Seven wins from twelve starts, a 92% place rate and three consecutive victories heading into the spell — the figures speak for themselves. Returns to a course where she’s won twice and carries the class edge over her rivals.
💎 Best Value: ROSELYN’S STAR 💰 Odds: ~$9 💥 The only runner in the field with recent race fitness, having won first-up at Rosehill over 1100m seven weeks ago. Career place rate of 83% from 12 starts suggests he’ll be hitting the line hard once again. Second-up against a field full of fresh runners gives him a clear tactical advantage.
🏇 Randwick R9 1600m – Group 2 Asahi Super Dry Chelmsford Stakes
📝 Race Overview: The premier race on the Randwick card sees weight-for-age gallopers tackle the mile second-up. Ceolwulf and Lindermann are the established stars, while Fangirl has been scratched from the Tramway to target this event. A tactical contest shapes up with genuine pace likely from several runners.
🔥 Best Bet: CEOLWULF 💰 Odds: ~$3.30 ⚡ The $11 million earner steps to the mile second-up after a first-up 5th at Randwick over 1400m. That’s a solid springboard — two preparations ago he reeled off back-to-back wins and this is the trip where he’s at his most dangerous. Craig Schofield takes the ride from barrier 8.
💎 Best Value: GREEN SPACES 💰 Odds: ~$8.50 💥 The youngest horse in the field at four and the least exposed, with $1.7 million in prizemoney from just 11 starts. Second-up after a first-up 8th at Randwick that can be forgiven at this level. Has the profile of a horse whose best racing is ahead of him and the 1600m should suit.
🏇 Randwick R10 1600m – The Agency Real Estate Handicap (Bm94)
📝 Race Overview: A competitive BM94 to close the Randwick card with several in-form gallopers lining up over the mile. The Mona Lisa brings the strongest recent form having won at this course and distance, while the lightly raced Starzintheireyes heads the market on potential. Dual acceptors add a layer of uncertainty to the final field.
🔥 Best Bet: THE MONA LISA 💰 Odds: ~$6 ⚡ Won three of her past four starts, including a last-start victory over this course and distance just four weeks ago. Her form string reads superbly and she clearly relishes 1600m at Randwick. At $6, she’s a well-weighted mare in career-best form with eight wins from 25 starts.
💎 Best Value: ISTOLEA MERC 💰 Odds: ~$8.50 💥 Deep into his preparation but running consistently with a 65% career place rate. Five wins and four seconds from 17 starts shows he’s always thereabouts. Drawn well in barrier 7 with Tim Berry engaged and he maps to get a nice run in transit from the inside half of the field.
🏇 Sandown Hillside R7 1500m – Ranvet So You Think Stakes
📝 Race Overview: An interesting set-weights and penalties contest over 1500m with Evaporate the clear class runner. Several gallopers resume from lengthy breaks while others come in with solid current form off the Sandown Lakeside meeting two weeks ago. The tempo could be a factor with no obvious leader engaged.
🔥 Best Bet: EVAPORATE 💰 Odds: ~$2.30 ⚡ The standout runner in this field with $3.2 million in prizemoney and a 67% career place rate. Second-up after a solid 3rd at Caulfield over 1400m three weeks ago. Steps to 1500m which should suit perfectly, and Blake Shinn from barrier 6 provides options to settle in the first half of the field.
💎 Best Value: TEN COMMANDMENTS 💰 Odds: ~$7 💥 In outstanding form with three wins from his past five starts. Ran 3rd at Caulfield just last week and backs up quickly here, suggesting connections have the horse in peak condition. The quick turnaround is a positive sign and at $7 each-way value is on offer.
🏇 Sandown Hillside R8 1000m – Group 1 Charter Keck Cramer Moir Stakes
📝 Race Overview: The feature of the day and the first Group 1 of the Victorian spring carnival. A class field of sprinters tackles 1000m down the Sandown straight, headlined by the exciting three-year-old Natural Fling looking to announce herself at the highest level. Weight-for-age conditions give her a massive weight advantage over her older rivals.
🔥 Best Bet: NATURAL FLING 💰 Odds: ~$3.10 ⚡ The exciting three-year-old has won two of her three career starts and placed in the other — a perfect 100% place rate. Second-up after a dominant last-start victory at Caulfield (1st of 16 at 1100m three weeks ago), she carries just 50kg under weight-for-age conditions. That’s a huge advantage against her older rivals.
💎 Best Value: CAVALRY GIRL 💰 Odds: ~$9 💥 Has won three consecutive races heading into her first Group 1, including a victory at 1000m at Sandown Lakeside just two weeks ago. Seventh-up and clearly thriving through the preparation with Craig Williams engaged. At $9 she offers genuine each-way value in the feature.
🏇 Sandown Hillside R9 1300m – Group 3 Orbit Logistics Chautauqua Stakes
📝 Race Overview: A quality Group 3 sprint over 1300m with Tennessee Bound the standout on her remarkable record. Several second-up runners look for improvement while the market has trouble separating the next tier of contenders. The drop back from 1400m first-up runs to 1300m should suit a few in this field.
🔥 Best Bet: TENNESSEE BOUND 💰 Odds: ~$4 ⚡ An extraordinary record of six wins from seven career starts with a 100% place rate. Ran 2nd at 1300m Sandown Lakeside just two weeks ago — the only blemish on an otherwise perfect record. Steps up to Group 3 level but the form demands the utmost respect.
💎 Best Value: ABOUNDING 💰 Odds: ~$9.50 💥 Resumes with $3 million in career prizemoney from 34 starts and seven wins — the most seasoned and proven performer in the field. Brings genuine Group-class ability and has won at this level before. First-up is a query, but at $9.50 the each-way value compensates for the fitness question.
🏇 Sandown Hillside R10 1600m – Powerflo Solutions Handicap (Bm84)
📝 Race Overview: A competitive BM84 over the mile to close the Sandown Hillside card. Several runners come in off recent victories and the form out of Sandown Lakeside two weeks ago could prove significant. Changing Colours heads the market but there’s depth here with plenty of chances.
🔥 Best Bet: STAY SILENT 💰 Odds: ~$6.50 ⚡ Has won three consecutive races, the most recent at 1600m Sandown Lakeside just two weeks ago. Deep into the preparation and clearly in the form of his life. Carries 60kg but Jordan Johnstone’s claim reduces that to 58kg, and he’s already proven on the Sandown circuit.
💎 Best Value: SOMEWHERE 💰 Odds: ~$8 💥 Consistent placer who ran 3rd at 1600m Sandown Lakeside two weeks ago. Fifth-up and running honest races, with a 54% career place rate suggesting he’ll be in the finish. Winkers go on for the first time which could sharpen him up. At $8, a logical each-way play.
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