Winter form is holding strong and this Saturday brings a juicy mix of proven metro performers and rising stars. All eyes head to Morphettville for the South Australian Sires’ Produce Stakes (1400m) — the day’s feature event — where smart juveniles clash in what should be a fast-run, form-defining race.
There’s plenty more on offer too, with staying tests at Flemington, fast sprints at Rosehill, and good value scattered across the board. Here’s our take on five key races, with a Best to Back and Best Value play in each.
Rosehill Race 8 – Schweppes Sprint (1100m)
📝 Race Overview:
A sharp sprint with two clear standouts. Storm The Ramparts is in career-best form, with three wins and two placings from five starts this prep, all at metro level. He’s race fit, maps ideally, and is thriving through winter.
Our Kobison resumes after a freshen with strong Rosehill stats, while Corniche, off a long spell, has the class edge if ready. South Of India also resumes and is one for wider exotics.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
Corniche (Odds: $5.00)
💥 “Resumes off a 41-week spell but has trialled well and has the raw talent to win fresh. A proven stakes performer and worth trusting if market confidence builds.“
💎 Best Value Bet:
Storm The Ramparts (Odds: ~$7.00)
⚡“He’s been ultra-consistent this campaign and brings genuine race fitness to a field with some first-uppers. Draws to settle on speed and gets every chance.”
Rosehill Race 9 – Asahi Super Dry Winter Challenge (1500m)
📝 Race Overview:
A quality winter feature with multiple in-form contenders. Accredited has been outstanding this prep, with a Randwick win and a strong third here last start. He maps for a soft run again and should be right in the finish.
Robusto continues to improve and looks ready to peak third-up. Thunderlips is consistent and brings strong metro form, while Estadio Mestalla loves this track and adds value.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
Accredited (Odds: $4.00)
💥 “He’s proven at this level, brings in the right form lines, and has a great map again. Looks ready to win third-up with conditions to suit.”
💎 Best Value Bet:
Thunderlips (Odds: ~$6.00)
⚡“Hasn’t missed a beat this prep and rarely runs poorly. If the pace goes on, he’ll be there late—and the price makes him worth playing.”
Morphettville R5 – South Australian Sires’ Produce Stakes (1400m)
📝 Race Overview:
Promising juveniles line up in this stakes contest. Ethereum Girl was strong winning fresh and narrowly beaten last start. She’s tough, drawn well, and handles soft going.
Violet Lovebug is unbeaten and dangerous from the inside draw. Bootlegger brings winning form from Gawler, while Too Much Too Soon brings genuine Melbourne form and will be strong late.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
Ethereum Girl (Odds: $4.00)
💥 “Her first two runs this prep have been top class and she looks the most battle-tested filly in the race. Reliable, tough, and handles all conditions.”
💎 Best Value Bet:
Too Much Too Soon (Odds: ~$17.00)
⚡“Placed at metro level in Melbourne and was close up in a stronger race last start. Maps to get the right run and can surprise in the finish.”
Flemington Race 8 – VRC Member Gabriella Delutiis Trophy (2000m)
📝 Race Overview:
A strong way to finish the card with proven 2000m types and some fit winter horses ready to peak. Milford finally gets to his right trip and returns to the track of his most recent win. He hasn’t had much go right this prep but this looks ideal.
Sayedaty Sadaty is in form and maps to roll forward, while Je Zous improved sharply second-up and now steps up to 2000m with added fitness.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
Milford (Odds: $9.00)
💥 “He’s been unsuited in shorter races and by race shape, but everything lines up now—track, distance, weight drop. Expect a big lift.”
💎 Best Value Bet:
Je Zous (Odds: ~$23.00)
⚡“Closed strongly second-up over this trip and should be even better now. She’ll be one of the strongest late if the tempo suits.”
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