We’re back at Randwick for the second installment of The Championships.
Get ready for an epic showdown at Royal Randwick tomorrow as Day 2 of The Star Championships takes centre stage—dubbed the “Grand Finals of Australian Racing” for good reason. With four massive Group 1 races headlining the day, including the legendary $5 million Queen Elizabeth Stakes, the stage is set for another chapter in racing history.
This iconic race has seen champions etched into folklore—none more so than the mighty Winx, whose unforgettable farewell in 2019 marked her third consecutive win in this very event. Alongside it, the $2 million Schweppes Sydney Cup, $1 million Asahi Super Dry Australian Oaks, and the $1 million TAB Queen of The Turf Stakes promise a card stacked with high stakes, elite talent, and edge-of-your-seat moments.
Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just in it for the spectacle, tomorrow at Randwick is not to be missed.
🧠 Overview: The Grand Final for the three-year-old fillies. A deep staying contest where proven G1 class meets promising stayers on the rise. The tempo looks genuine with several runners likely to push forward, making this a true staying test—2400m form and late strength will be key.
🏇 Best to Back: #2 Treasurethe Moment
🔥 $1.70 – The standout class runner in the race
Why: Treasurethe Moment is a dominant force this prep. A dual Group 1 winner including the VRC Oaks and Vinery, she’s proven over distance and thrives on any ground. She’s perfectly drawn, maps well just off the speed, and has a lethal turn of foot. This is her race to lose.
✅ 8 wins from 10 starts | 100% place strike rate
✅ Dual G1 winner – VRC Oaks & Vinery
✅ Handles both dry and wet tracks
💰 Best Value: #5 Belle Detelle
💥 $8.50 –Represents strong each-way value
Why: Belle Detelle arrives with peak staying form, off a strong Adrian Knox win—historically a proven Oaks lead-up. She’s bred to run all day and brings a stamina-rich pedigree (a close relative to Verry Elleegant). She’ll be strong late and looks ready for 2400m.
🧠 Overview: This year’s edition has a familiar mix of seasoned stayers and progressive imports, with tempo likely to be genuine given several forward-rolling types like Arapaho and Kalapour. The step up to two miles will test many, with track and distance credentials proving key. Local experience and proven stamina look crucial here.
🏇 Best to Back: #4 Circle Of Fire
🔥 $19.00 – Excellent profile for this
Why: This horse is tailor-made for the Sydney Cup — an import who’s thrived since coming to Australia, with a perfect record over this track and distance. He maps beautifully just behind the speed, has a serious engine late, and brings genuine Group 1 quality. While others may be more glamorous, he’s the one with the profile and numbers to back it up.
✅ 2 from 2 at Randwick
✅ 2 from 2 at 2400m (and bred to run 3200m)
✅ Handles all conditions & race-fit
💰 Best Value: #13 Mostly Cloudy
💥 $41.00 – Each-way special
Why: Mostly Cloudy is a reliable, battle-hardened stayer who’s been hitting the line strongly over longer distances. He’s run well at 2600m+ multiple times and is trending the right way this prep. With a good draw and a hungry apprentice in the saddle, he can stalk the speed and pounce late — a huge value play in exotics or each-way.
🧠 Overview: A true weight-for-age Group 1 classic with a mix of local champions and international raiders. The tempo should be genuine, with several on-pace types engaged, and the 2000m at Randwick always tests stamina and turn-of-foot. VIA SISTINA returns to defend her turf and is clearly the one to beat — but some serious global class sits in opposition.
🏇 Best to Back: #12 Via Sistina
🔥 $1.95 – The class act in the field
Why: Since her defeat by Pride Of Jenni in this race last year, VIA SISTINA has gone unbeaten over 2000m in Australia. She’s a relentless, strong-travelling mare who thrives under pressure and simply knows how to win. Drawn well, in top form, and has the country’s premier jockey aboard — she ticks every box.
✅ Undefeated at 2000m since arriving in Australia
✅ 7x Group 1 winner on Australian soil
✅ Drawn to find a perfect spot
💰 Best Value: #2 Rousham Park
💥 $15.00 – Respect the international class
Why: The Japanese raider brings elite form, including a narrow defeat in the Breeders’ Cup Turf and strong performances at this distance back home. Christophe Lemaire doesn’t travel for fun, and while the draw isn’t ideal, Rousham Park should roll forward and give a massive sight at double figures.
🧠 Overview: A stellar field of quality mares takes to the track, with Fangirl firmly in the spotlight as the horse to beat. Other contenders like Stefi Magnetica, Lazzura, and Grinzinger Belle will be looking to spoil the party in a wide-open contest. Expect a tactical race, with some key factors like draw positions and track conditions playing a big role.
🏇 Best to Back: #1 Fangirl
🔥 $1.95 – The class act in the field
Why: Fangirl is one of the best 1600m mares in the land, proven across multiple seasons, and extremely well suited at set weights. Coming into this race in excellent form, she won the Apollo Stakes (1400m), was second to Via Sistina in the Verry Elleegant (1600m), and second to Gringotts in the George Ryder (1500m), which didn’t suit her. With James McDonald aboard and a perfect inside draw, she’s the one to beat.
✅ Proven top-class mare at 1600m
✅ Form suggests she’s the class runner
✅ James McDonald aboard & inside draw
💰 Best Value: #2 Stefi Magnetica
💥 $5.00 – The horse to put it up to Fangirl
Why: Stefi Magnetica’s stocks soared with her impressive Doncaster Mile win last Saturday, which marked her second Group 1 victory, following on from her Stradbroke (1400m) win. Although not as well suited at the weights this time around, she’s still better served than most and will be well placed just ahead of Fangirl in the running. Her consistency at the top level and good draw make her a genuine each-way contender.
✅ Two Group 1 wins to her name
✅ Drawn to be ahead of Fangirl in running
✅ Versatile and consistent at elite level
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The Grand Finals of Australian racing have arrived.
Royal Randwick kicks off The Championships with a blockbuster 10-race card this Saturday, headlined by four Group 1s and a whopping $12.9 million in prizemoney. It’s Sydney racing at its finest — and we’ve done the form so you don’t have to, read on for our Expert Group 1 Picks.
With a Heavy 8 surface and the rail in the true, conditions will be testing, but the big guns are out in force. The ATC Australian Derby, Doncaster Mile, T J Smith Stakes and Inglis Sires’ all feature deep fields, serious form lines, and elite betting opportunities.
From exposed champions to rising stars, our expert team breaks down each G1 with clear verdicts, betting confidence ratings, and free tips you can trust — including best bets, value runners over $6, and longshots to watch late.
Whether you’re a casual punter or a form fanatic, this is the weekend to dial in. Let’s find you that edge in the big ones at Randwick.
🧠 Overview: The form is lightly exposed, with most runners still early in their careers. Key contenders bring strong recent finishes and untapped potential into this Group 1 contest. The race tempo looks moderate to quick, with a few that like to roll forward and others happy to stalk.
🏇 Best to Back: #5 State Visit
🔥 $11.00 – Represents strong each-way value
Why: He was one of the most visually impressive closers in the Pago Pago Stakes, clocking slick sectionals despite settling too far back. This step to 1400m looks ideal based on his late closing strength, and with a slightly better midfield position, he’s one of the most progressive in the field.
✅ 100% place rate from two starts
✅ Handles pressure late; race-fit
✅ Looks like he’ll relish the 1400m
✅ Jason Collett sticks
💰 Best Value: #6 Buffalo
💥 $18.00 – Genuine blowout chance
Why: Buffalo hasn’t done much wrong and looks like a colt that’s just warming up. His maiden win was dominant, and he’s bred to appreciate this trip. Given his tactical speed and improvement to come, he could easily land just off the pace and run a cheeky race at big odds.
🔥 Group 1 Sprinting Royalty returns with a deep field of fresh and fit top-liners. Genuine speed expected with Overpass and possibly Magic Time taking up the running, while the big closers like Sunshine In Paris and Joliestar will be launching late. Track pattern could be crucial.
🏇 Best to Back: #1 Overpass
💥 Currently $6.00
Why: He’s one of the few who can absorb pressure on speed and keep going, and his first-up record is excellent (4 wins from 8 fresh). His trial work has been faultless, and he comes off a WFA Group 1 win in Perth. If it turns into a leader’s track, he could pinch it from the front. This field will test him, but he rarely runs poorly when fresh.
✅ 4x first-up wins
✅ 4 from 6 top-two finishes at Randwick
✅ Could control the race tempo
💣 Best Value: #6 Sunshine In Paris
💰 Currently $9.00
Why: She’s a proven Group 1 mare who was simply enormous late first-up in the Canterbury Stakes – the race shape was against her, and yet she still powered home with intent. Back to 1200m, she profiles beautifully second-up where she’s 2 from 3. Her late figures from the Champions Sprint stack up with the best in the country. This is her race to peak.
Hard to go past the proven class of Tom Kitten, who is now third-up, gets back to a Randwick mile, and has drawn for a suck run. Linebacker is the value, a lightly raced colt peaking at the right time with no weight. Stefi Magnetica resumes fresh off strong trial form and should be charging late. Watch for Militarize, who resumes after a long layoff but has trialled well — one for exotics if there’s speed on.
💨 Predicted Race Tempo
Tempo: Genuine On-Pace: 1 Gringotts, 21 Rise At Dawn, 6 Osipenko Back in the Field: 3 Tom Kitten, 20 Linebacker, 13 Kovalica, 14 Stefi Magnetica
💣 Best to Back: #20 Linebacker
💥 Currently $6.00
Tumbles to 49kg off a brave Randwick Guineas win where he was strongest through the line. Lightly raced with upside, and maps similarly to Celestial Legend last year who won this race off the same setup. He’ll land midfield with cover and look to produce late. Right stable, right time.
💥 Currently $8.00
🔥 Next Best Runner: #3 Tom Kitten
The more you look at recent replays, the more Tom Kitten stands out. Winner of the All-Star Mile and arguably underdone in the George Ryder, yet still finished with purpose behind Gringotts. Gets the soft draw in barrier one, handles all conditions, and looks set to peak third-up with a perfect trailing run behind the pace.
She was luckless in the Rosehill Guineas where she found traffic and flashed late – a clear sign she’s screaming out for the 2400m. Has a handy turn of foot, maps to settle midfield with cover, and crucially drops weight as a filly. Her prep looks perfectly timed to peak here. The tempo and draw suit – she just needs even luck.
💣Best Value Runner:#10 Imperialist
💥 Currently: ~$101
Totally overlooked in early markets despite closing well in the Alister Clark. He’s bred to stay and looked like he wanted every bit of the 2400m that day. With a more positive ride and sharper timing from the jockey, he could surprise at big odds. Great roughie for exotics and small win play.
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Looking for expert horse racing tips for this Saturday’s Group 1 features?
You’ve come to the right place.
We’ve crunched the form, mapped the tempo, and sifted through the markets to deliver premium free racing tips across the biggest Australian races this weekend.
🔎 Our Saturday spotlight is on three massive Group 1 showdowns:
The 2025 Australian Cup at Flemington – a deep field of middle-distance stars over the famous 2000m.
The Vinery Stud Stakes at Rosehill – where the next staying filly queen could emerge.
And the stamina test of the Tancred Stakes, with European imports and local stayers clashing at 2400m.
From smart punter picks to longshot blowouts, we break down each race with expert insights, detailed race maps, and the best value bets over $6. Whether you’re hunting winners, chasing exotics, or just love Saturday racing, our previews will have you covered.
Back your judgement with confidence. Let’s find you a winner. 🏇
The Group 1 Australian Cup shapes as a high-class affair with genuine tempo guaranteed and a strong field of middle-distance gallopers set to peak third-up or beyond. A fast-run 2000m at Flemington with a long straight? Settle in — the closers could have the final say.
🔥 Top Pick: Middle Earth ($4.40)
There’s no denying the upward trajectory of this former UK galloper. His Australian debut win was electric — flashing home from near-last to beat a Caulfield Cup winner in Duke De Sessa. This is a big rise in class, but the tempo suits and he stays at the same trip. Zahra sticks, and the long Flemington straight plays right into his powerful closing style. Looks a genuine star in the making.
“Hot tempo and a long Flemington straight – I expect Middle Earth to surge over the top late and stamp himself a spring player.”
Verdict: Clear top selection with upside and the ideal race shape.
⚠️ Main Dangers
Light Infantry Man ($10.00)
Building beautifully through the prep, with strong late work in both the Futurity and All-Star Mile. Third-up, out to 2000m and peaking at the right time. Will be midfield and surging late — a must-include in all exotics.
“A great top-three player… he’ll be launching late alongside Middle Earth.”
Pride Of Jenni ($2.70)
Tactically explosive and at her best when left alone in front, but this time Deny Knowledge ensures she doesn’t get it easy. She’ll lead, give a bold sight, but the final 200m is the big test again.
“I fear she’ll be vulnerable again in the final 150m — just as she was in this race last year.”
Atishu ($6.50)
Kept finding the line in the All-Star Mile and now gets a more suitable race shape. Back to Flemington and up to 2000m ticks every box. Will get back, but the tempo helps.
“Hard fit… she appeals.”
💰 Best Value: Zardozi ($6.00)
Last start was a forgive — poor ride, race shape no help. Now hard fit, back to Flemington (where she’s performed), and gets a far better setup. If she’s within striking range at the turn, she’s right in the finish.
“Been hot on Zardozi for a while… 2000m, hard fit, back to Flemington — she can bounce back.”
🎯 Long Shot to Watch: Young Werther ($61.00)
Always teased ability and has a better-than-it-looks record in big races. Forgive last start (pulled up lame), and he’d jumped out like a bullet beforehand. Overs at $61.
🧠 Tempo & Tactics
Leaders: Pride Of Jenni, Deny Knowledge
On-Pace: Feroce, Zardozi
Midfield: Light Infantry Man, Attrition
Backmarkers: Atishu, Middle Earth
A strong, genuine tempo looks guaranteed with two aggressive front-runners. Expect the backmarkers to charge late. If they go too hard early, it’s set up for Middle Earth and Light Infantry Man to storm down the outside.
📝 Final Word
This is a Group 1 full of narratives: leaders with heart, imports on the rise, and seasoned warriors chasing glory. The map says it sets up for the swoopers, and Middle Earth looks like a horse going places.
✅ Selections
Middle Earth
Light Infantry Man
Zardozi
Atishu
Best Bet: Middle Earth (Win) Best Value: Zardozi (Each-way) Quinella/Exacta Play: Middle Earth / Light Infantry Man / Zardozi
A field of talented 3YO fillies lines up for the G1 Vinery Stud Stakes over 2000m, and it’s hard to ignore the presence of a standout — but there are a few dark horses circling if conditions get tricky.
🔥 Top Pick: Treasurethe Moment ($1.55)
This filly is turning heads this autumn. The VRC Oaks winner has come back in devastating form, going two-from-two in her Melbourne runs and doing it with authority. She has the tactical versatility, handles 2000m with ease, and boasts a sustained turn of foot.
“Eats up 2000m, has change-up speed, can make a sustained run… it all points to her.”
The only minor query is the Sydney direction, but her class edge is enormous. If the track stays in the Soft 5–6 range, she looks near unbeatable.
⚠️ Main Danger: Movin Out ($7.50)
The wildcard from the same Yulong ownership as the favourite. She comes out of the Phar Lap Stakes where she was unsuited by tempo but still closed hard. A potential heavy track could really bring her into play — she’s bred to get through it.
“If we are on Heavy, Movin Out gets marked up big time from danger to serious threat.”
One to follow if the rain comes.
💰 Best Value: Declichy Boulevard ($7.50)
From the Waller camp, she also came out of the Phar Lap where she was back and wide and stuck on gamely. The return to Rosehill and rise to 2000m looks a plus. If Treasurethe Moment is even slightly off her game, this is the one who can capitalise.
🧐 Long Shot Watch: Powers Of Opal ($19.00)
Suited up in trip after working hard in a slowly run Phar Lap. Doesn’t have the turn of foot to sprint off a slow speed but the 2000m might allow her to build into the race. Looks one for first fours if you’re playing wider exotics.
🧭 Track Watch & Conditions
Current Rating: Good 4, but rain is forecast, and it could edge towards a Soft 6 or even Heavy 8 by race time.
Sydney Way Concern: Treasurethe Moment’s only prior Sydney-direction run was in a Geelong maiden on a Soft 5.
Adjust if Heavy: Movin Out and Declichy Boulevard firm into serious winning threats if the track deteriorates.
📝 Final Word
This is Treasurethe Moment’s race to lose — her form, profile, and class are well above these. But if the rain comes and the track gets into the Heavy range, things become murkier. Movin Out and Declichy Boulevard are the clear chasers, while Powers Of Opal looms as a deep exotic chance.
✅ Selections
Treasurethe Moment
Movin Out(if Heavy) / Declichy Boulevard(if Soft or Good)
Declichy Boulevard
Powers Of Opal
Best Bet: Treasurethe Moment (Win) Best Value: Declichy Boulevard (Place) Roughie First 4: Powers Of Opal
An elite staying contest over 2400m and a key lead-in to the Sydney Cup, the Tancred has attracted a blend of internationals, imports, and established Aussie stayers. With Dubai Honour back on our shores, Vauban hitting form, and Arapaho defending his crown, the tempo should be genuine — and the finish brutal.
🔥 Top Pick: Vauban ($3.70)
He brings elite European form and a touch of brilliance from the jumps world. Resumed in the Sky High and was a mess in the yard — still won impressively off a moderate tempo. Now fitter, out to 2400m, and under weight-for-age conditions, he’s set to peak.
“Fitter, 2400m, cooler day, WFA no issue… good luck beating him.”
Form rating tip: Ran down Lindermann (Ranvet 2nd), franked the form. If he parades better, he wins.
⚠️ Main Danger: Dubai Honour ($3.20)
You cannot ignore the resume. Dominated Anamoe in the 2023 Queen Elizabeth and loves Aussie ground. Question marks linger about his most recent prep, but if William Haggas has him right, he’s every chance to blow this wide open.
“He is an elite animal when right… must be considered the one to beat.”
Caution: Hasn’t raced since a decent Hong Kong Vase 2nd and can be vulnerable if not fully wound up.
🔁 Value Watch: Zarir ($16.00+)
Only lightly raced but has contested two serious Group 1s in France — was nosed out in the Prix Ganay and not disgraced behind Dubai Honour in the Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud.
“That’s all I can say. It’s over to the market now.”
At double figures, he’s fascinating. Could blow them away or flop — but worth a nibble at the price.
💰 Best Place Bet: Asterix ($4.50 Place / $15 Sydney Cup)
His best days might be ahead in the Sydney Cup, but he’ll love the rise to 2400m and looks a tough on-pacer who can grind his way into the finish. Forget his price — he’ll outstay a few of these late.
“Asterix will be second-favourite for the Sydney Cup after this.”
🧨 Long Shot: Warmonger ($16.00)
Was very strong through the line in the Randwick Stakes, and the form behind Alalcance has stood up nicely. This race might be a touch soon, but he’s a genuine stayer who profiles well for the Sydney Cup path. Add to exotics.
🧭 Race Shape & Tactics
Likely Leaders: Arapaho, Circle Of Fire
Midfield Stalkers: Vauban, Duke De Sessa, Zechariah
Expect a moderate tempo early with a build-up from the 1000m mark. Suits strong stayers with acceleration late — think Vauban or Dubai Honour peeling wide.
📝 Final Word
This is shaping as a battle between a classy returning visitor and a serious European import with Aussie staying credentials. Vauban ticks all the boxes — second-up, fitter, suited by tempo — while Dubai Honour is the clear x-factor. For value punters, Zarir and Asterix look overs and could be sneaky late.
✅ Selections
Vauban
Dubai Honour
Zarir(value)
Asterix(place play)
Best Bet: Vauban (Win) Value: Zarir (Each-way) Place Play: Asterix Exotic Boost: Warmonger for First 4s
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It doesn’t get much bigger than Golden Slipper Day at Rosehill Gardens—arguably the pinnacle of the Sydney Autumn Carnival.
It’s the biggest day of Group 1 racing in Australia, featuring five elite-level races, headlined by the $5 million TAB Golden Slipper, the world’s richest race for two-year-olds.
Here’s what’s on the menu for punters:
TAB Golden Slipper (1200m) – The ultimate two-year-old test.
George Ryder Stakes (1500m) – A key lead-up to the Doncaster.
Ranvet Stakes (2000m) – A clash of top-tier middle-distance stars.
Rosehill Guineas (2000m) – A stepping stone to the Australian Derby.
The Galaxy (1100m) – A high-speed dash for the sprinters.
With the rail out 3m and a Good 4 track, conditions should play fair, but expect tempo and positioning to be key factors across all races.
It’s a day where class rises to the top—so smart punting is all about finding those horses that land in the right spot.
Let’s dive into the best betting plays for Golden Slipper Day.
He comes through a similar Midway two weeks ago, where he landed on speed and boxed on well. While he felt the pinch late, this race lacks a deep field, and dropping back to 1500m could be to his advantage. A genuine knockout hope.
She had no chance in the Coolmore Classic last week when taken back to last and run off her legs in a high-pressure race. Her late sectionals suggested she was finishing alongside top-class mares. Stepping up to 1900m is a major positive, and she is beautifully in at the weights.
Birdman has put together two solid runs since arriving in Australia and looks primed to strike at 2400m. He found the line strongly when second over 2000m at Randwick and drops significantly in weight for this. If he is truly Sydney Cup-bound, this is his launch pad.
The hype is real. Autumn Glow returns after an enforced spell following a minor knee issue, but she was nothing short of exceptional as a three-year-old, unbeaten in three dominant victories, including the Up And Coming Stakes and the Tea Rose. Her trial work has been electric, and she maps beautifully from the draw. If she’s ready, she wins.
A dominant mare who returned to winning form in the G1 Verry Elleegant Stakes, proving she’s still among the best middle-distance horses in Australia. She was strong late in that 1600m victory and will only improve stepping out to 2000m. With James McDonald sticking aboard, she’s the one to beat.
The New Zealand raider has been racing well just below the top level back home, and he arrives here ready to peak. His third in the NZB Kiwi Stakes suggested he was looking for more ground, and 2000m is in his wheelhouse given his pedigree. At a big price, he can shake things up.
There was a lot to like about his Canterbury Stakes effort, charging home late in a race that wasn’t run to suit. The rise to 1500m is perfect, and he’s now nearing peak fitness after that first-up run off a setback. Joe Pride has a point to prove, and a big win here would silence the doubters.
Dominant Pago Pago winner who led all the way and found plenty when asked. The stable’s juveniles are absolutely flying this season, and he’ll race on speed again, giving himself every chance.
Jedibeel has been flying under the radar for this race. His first-up Challenge Stakes win was electric, and he has trialled brilliantly leading into this. Expect him to get a soft run behind the speed and launch late—he’s genuine value.
A trial star who looks primed to fire first-up. Her closing sectionals last prep were elite, and she strikes the perfect race fresh. If she gets a tempo to suit, she’ll launch late at a big price.
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Horse racing is built for betting, but picking winners consistently requires more than luck. Whether you’re new to the game or a seasoned punter, understanding key factors can help you find an edge.
Why On-Pace Runners Win More Often
Horses that race on speed hold a statistical advantage. While flashy late closers might catch the eye, they often rely on luck to find a clear run. Even at big tracks like Flemington and Randwick, front-runners and horses that sit close to the lead win far more often than those coming from the back.
The Impact of Gear Changes
Trainers use gear changes to tweak performance, and understanding them can give you an advantage. Blinkers going on for the first time can sharpen a horse’s focus, while tongue ties may indicate previous breathing issues. On the other hand, glue-on shoes can be a red flag, often signaling soundness concerns.
Why Jockeys Matter More Than You Think
The best jockeys aren’t just passengers; they dictate pace, positioning, and race tactics. Top riders are given the best chances, while inexperienced jockeys can cost a horse the race. Betting on skilled riders, particularly those with a strong strike rate at the track, is always a solid strategy.
Track Conditions Can Make or Break a Bet
Not all wet tracks play the same. A Heavy 8 at Flemington can race differently from a Heavy 8 at Randwick. Some horses thrive on wet ground, while others struggle to stretch out on firm tracks. Checking a horse’s previous performances in similar conditions is a must before placing a bet.
The Hidden Advantage of Wide Draws
While many punters fear outside barriers, wide draws aren’t always a disadvantage. In some cases, they allow on-speed horses to settle into a rhythm without early pressure. Conversely, horses drawn inside can get buried in the pack or use up valuable energy trying to hold their position.
Why Last Start SP Is More Important Than Finishing Position
Most punters focus on where a horse finished last start, but its starting price (SP) can be a better predictor of future performance. Market expectations reflect factors like stable confidence and track conditions. A horse that ran poorly at a short price might have excuses, making it a strong betting prospect next time out.
The Myth of Track and Distance Stats
Many punters rely on past wins at a track or distance, but this can be misleading. A horse that won a weak country maiden at 1400m is not the same as one that placed in a Group race at the same trip. Instead of blindly trusting track and distance records, consider the quality of competition in those wins.
Why Settling Position is Key
Races are often won in the first few hundred meters. Horses that find a comfortable spot on speed conserve energy and control the race tempo. Those settling too far back need everything to go right, making them a riskier betting proposition.
Early Markets Offer More Value
Bookmakers’ first prices often have errors before the market adjusts. Punters who can spot these mistakes—whether it’s a mispriced favorite or an overlooked roughie—can lock in better value before the odds shorten closer to race time.
Why Betting on Metro Races Isn’t Always Best
The biggest races get the most attention, but that means the odds are more refined. Country and provincial races often present better betting opportunities, as markets are slower to adjust to form changes. A well-placed bet at a lesser-known track can be just as profitable as backing a winner at Flemington or Rosehill.
Exotics and Multis – A Cautionary Tale
Win markets offer the best value, as they’re the most competitive. Exotics like trifectas and same-race multis often have inflated bookmaker margins, making them harder to win on consistently. Sticking to simple bets with lower takeout rates is a smarter long-term strategy.
Conclusion: Smarter Betting with Free Australian Horse Racing Tips
Finding winners is about more than just picking the most popular horse. Looking at settling position, track conditions, last start SP, and jockey quality can all provide a betting edge. Whether it’s backing on-speed runners, avoiding misleading stats, or spotting value in early markets, applying these insights can improve your results.
For Free Australian Horse Racing Tips, stay updated with expert selections and form analysis to find the best bets every day.
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The 2024 All-Star Mile had a full field of 12, but this year, the numbers have dropped to just seven.
For a $2.5M Group 1 race with a field limit of 16, it’s a disappointment for punters—no third dividend for place and each-way bets.
So, why are the numbers so low?
Scheduling issues – Two ‘win and you’re in’ races were held just a week before the ASM, making it tough for horses to back up.
Deeper problems – The race struggles to attract genuine milers, with many opting for other targets.
Here’s a list of horses that were in TAB’s All-Star Mile market last month but won’t be running at Flemington on Saturday.
Horses Missing from the 2025 All-Star Mile
📌 VIA SISTINA ($5) – Never a real chance of leaving Sydney. Odds were poison.
📌 FANGIRL ($5) – Always unlikely. Waller sticks to a set routine, and Fangirl hasn’t raced in Melbourne in her last three autumn preps.
📌 I WISH I WIN ($11) – Trainer opted for the G1 George Ryder (1500m) in Sydney instead.
📌 PRIDE OF JENNI ($15) – Defending champ wasn’t ready in time after only just returning to the jumpouts. Aiming for the G1 Queen Of The Turf (1600m) at Randwick on April 12.
📌 ANGEL CAPITAL ($15) – Scratched from the G1 Australian Guineas (1600m), but the one-week turnaround made this an unlikely target anyway.
📌 SAVAGLEE ($15) – 2nd in the Australian Guineas but backing up against older stars was too tough. Another 3YO, Evaporate, has gone to New Zealand instead.
📌 STEPARTY ($15) – Pulled up lame after the Blamey Stakes (1600m) last Saturday. Blamey winner Marble Arch also chose not to back up here.
📌 ATTRITION ($26) – Ran 2nd in the Blamey but was never backing up. Will step up to 2000m next in the G1 Australian Cup.
📌 PERICLES ($26) / PINSTRIPED ($26) – Pericles heads to the G1 Canterbury Stakes (1300m), while Pinstriped is spelling after a disappointing Futurity run.
📌 KNIGHT’S CHOICE ($51) – Wildcard entry but ruled out due to injury.
The All-Star Mile needs a rethink. With just seven runners and a host of big names choosing different paths, it’s clear the concept isn’t working as planned.
FLEMINGTON
Ten races will be run and won at Flemington this Saturday, there are two group races now on the card including the All Star Mile and the Newmarket
Weather is fine, track is good (4) and the rail is out five metres for the entire circuit, and there doesn’t seem to be much inclement weather down for Melbourne.
Mr Brightside is the reigning king of the Flemington mile and thrives under these conditions. He just held on in the Futurity Stakes last start, getting a positive ride from Craig Williams and showing his usual toughness late. With a strong record at Flemington (four wins), the rise in trip to a mile suits perfectly. If he gets a genuine tempo to chase, he’s going to be incredibly hard to beat.
Best Value: 7. Atishu ($10.00)
Atishu resumes over the mile after an even first-up effort in the Apollo Stakes. She was doing her best work late there and now gets up to her preferred distance. The wide-open expanses of Flemington will give her every chance to finish hard. While she’s probably looking for further with the Australian Cup on the radar, she’s a strong performer at this trip and represents value for exotics players.
Race Breakdown & Key Insights for Punters
Tempo: Rise At Dawn (6) looks the likely leader, with Flying Trapeze (5) also pushing forward. Expect Another Wil (4) to camp right behind them, while Mr Brightside (1) should land in a stalking position.
The Big Duel: Another Wil got the better of Mr Brightside in the C.F. Orr, but Brightside turned the tables in the Futurity. Expect these two to lock horns again.
Blouser Alert: Tom Kitten (2) hit the line hard in the Futurity and will appreciate the mile. If the speed is on, watch for him late.
💰 Suggested Bet: Mr Brightside to win. Quinella 1 & 4 (Mr Brightside & Another Wil).
Espionage is a well-weighted three-year-old who ran a huge race in the Oakleigh Plate. Despite being caught wide for most of the trip, he kept surging to the line and was far from disgraced. Down in the weights here, he gets a far better set-up. With strong jumpouts down the straight, this looks an ideal target, and at double-figure odds, he represents great value.
Best Value: 8. Ostraka ($20.00)
Ostraka never had a winning hope in the Oakleigh Plate after being dragged back to last from a wide draw. Expecting a more positive ride down the straight, where he should get the space to launch late. He’s an exciting type and can give this a real shake.
Race Breakdown & Key Insights for Punters
Tempo: With plenty of speed engaged, expect Espionage (14) to be right on the pace, while Growing Empire (7) and Rey Magnerio (6) won’t be too far away.
Proven Performers: Jolietstar (5) and Growing Empire (7) have excellent second-up records and should be peaking at the right time.
The X-Factor: Ostraka (8) had no luck last start but gets a much better set-up here.
💰 Suggested Bet: Espionage and Ostraka each-way
RANDWICK
Group 1 racing is at Randwick this Saturday, with the Randwick Guineas (1600m) and Canterbury Stakes (1300m) highlighting a massive ten event card.
Weather is unclear with a bit of rain expected, track is soft (5) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.
Swiftfalcon was electric late in the Hobartville Stakes when charging home for second behind Broadsiding. The step up to 1600m is a big tick, and if he can settle closer in the run, he will be hard to hold out. Has the potential to be even better than Broadsiding, and with natural improvement, this could be his moment to turn the tables.
Best Value: 4. China Sea ($81.00)
China Sea might not be at his absolute best just yet, but he’ll appreciate the rise to the mile, and with bigger targets ahead, he could surprise by running into the placings at massive odds.
Race Breakdown & Key Insights for Punters
Tempo: Expecting Broadsiding (1) to find a good spot just off the speed, while Linebacker (3) and China Sea (4) push forward. Swiftfalcon (2) will likely be more positive than last start but still settle midfield.
Proven Performers: Broadsiding (1) is the class runner and hard to beat, but his odds look a little too short given the strength of Swiftfalcon’s late burst last time.
The X-Factor: Aeliana (9) is still on the up and could surprise with the right run.
💰 Suggested Bet: Swiftfalcon win. Place bet on China Sea.
Magic Time is a high-class mare who resumed with a brilliant win in the Expressway Stakes. She has a lethal turn of foot, handles wet conditions well, and has been set for this race. Expect her to sit just off the speed and charge home late.
Best Value: 6. Royal Patronage ($15.00)
Royal Patronage is first-up and has trialled very well in preparation for this return. He was thrown into the deep end in the Cox Plate last campaign but freshened up, and with natural improvement, he can be in the finish.
Race Breakdown & Key Insights for Punters
Tempo: Here To Shock (2) should roll forward and lead, with Switzerland (12) and Airman (3) handy. Magic Time (10) will stalk while Ceolwulf (1) is expected to settle further back.
Proven Performers: Switzerland (12) had excuses first-up in the Black Caviar Lightning and is unbeaten second-up. Magic Time (10) is a proven track specialist.
The X-Factor: Stefi Magnetica (11) has been flying at the trials and could surprise fresh.
💰 Suggested Bet: Magic Time to win. Value play on Royal Patronage each-way.
Colossalbet understands the ramifications of gambling beyond your means and has implemented various safeguards to protect our clients and their interests.
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Basketball fever isn’t cooling down anytime soon, especially in Australia, where NBA betting has carved out a passionate following. From pre-game forecasts to long-term season speculation, punters are finding plenty of action thanks to the growing variety of NBA betting Australia opportunities. Let’s dive into how to make the most of these trends, use NBA tips effectively, and leverage NBA futures for maximum returns.
The Rise of NBA Betting in Australia: Why Punters are Hooked
Over the past decade, NBA betting has exploded in popularity, with Australians taking full advantage of the ever-expanding markets. What sets NBA betting apart from other sports is its dynamic pace, strategic depth, and the multitude of betting options available—from individual player performances to championship outcomes.
According to Statista, over 50% of sports bettors in Australia have placed a bet on basketball in recent years. What’s driving this surge? The combination of global stars like LeBron James and Giannis Antetokounmpo drawing attention to the sport and bookmakers offering competitive odds and promotions tailored to Aussie punters.
If you’re betting on the NBA this season, make sure you’ve bookmarked ColossalBet, where personalised tips and standout promotions ensure that every wager is backed by expert insights.
Breaking Down the Basics: Key NBA Betting Markets
1. NBA Tips for Game-Day Success
When it comes to game-day betting, preparation is everything. Reliable NBA tips provide bettors with crucial game analysis, player form, injury updates, and team head-to-head comparisons. The goal is to make informed predictions without relying on gut instincts alone.
What makes NBA tips essential for both casual and experienced punters is the ability to spot value bets. For example, when two evenly matched teams are playing, tips that analyse player matchups or coaching strategies can give you the edge. For consistent success, look for tips that incorporate factors like recent performance trends and travel fatigue.
At ColossalBet, we provide tailored tips designed to simplify your decision-making and help you build smarter betting strategies.
2. Exploring NBA Futures: Long-Term Betting Opportunities
Unlike single-game wagers, NBA futures focus on outcomes that take time to unfold, such as predicting the season’s MVP or the eventual championship winner. Futures betting is perfect for those who prefer the thrill of long-term speculation.
For example, if you had placed a futures bet on the Denver Nuggets winning the 2023 NBA title, you would have been riding high by season’s end. One of the advantages of futures betting is the potential for significant payouts, especially if you identify undervalued teams or players early in the season.
When betting on NBA futures, timing is critical. Odds can shift dramatically as the season progresses, so locking in favourable odds early could be the key to maximising returns. ColossalBet regularly updates futures markets, ensuring you don’t miss out on the latest betting opportunities.
Popular NBA Betting Strategies That Work
1. Analysing Head-to-Head Matchups
This strategy involves examining past matchups between teams, paying attention to performance patterns. Some teams excel against certain opponents due to coaching strategies or mismatched player line-ups. If you’re betting on a game between two fierce rivals, consider how their past encounters have played out.
2. Tracking Injury Reports
Injuries can shift the outcome of a game drastically. Staying up-to-date with player injuries and rotation changes ensures that you’re not blindsided by last-minute scratches. Integrating injury reports into your betting plan can help refine your selections.
3. Focusing on Defensive vs. Offensive Strengths
Does one team have an elite defence while the other boasts high-scoring shooters? Knowing how these opposing strengths play out can help you predict whether a game will be a low-scoring grind or a high-scoring affair.
Why NBA Betting Australia is Booming
Australia’s betting scene has always been vibrant, but NBA betting has carved a unique space, thanks to its accessibility and wide-ranging markets. Punters can place bets on everything from the number of three-pointers made in a game to who will win the conference finals. With bookmakers like ColossalBet offering easy deposits, including cash options, Aussies are finding it simpler than ever to get involved.
Key Factors Fueling Growth
Live Betting: Real-time wagers during games keep things exciting and provide opportunities to capitalise on shifting odds.
Mobile Convenience: With mobile apps dominating the market, you can place bets and monitor outcomes on the go.
Comprehensive Promotions: From boosted odds to cashback offers, NBA betting promotions keep punters coming back.
The Role of NBA Tips in Maximising Your Returns
Whether you’re betting on individual player performance or a team’s chances of covering the spread, good NBA tips are a valuable resource. They combine expert analysis with data-driven insights, helping you identify where the value lies in a given market.
Pro tip: Don’t just rely on one source for tips. Compare insights and look for consensus picks to gauge where the sharp money is going. At ColossalBet, you’ll find a steady stream of expert advice tailored to help you maximise your returns.
NBA Futures: How to Spot Long-Term Value
When it comes to NBA futures, the key is to identify undervalued bets before the public catches on. Here’s what to watch for:
Early-season surprises: Teams that exceed early expectations often present good futures value.
Player development: Emerging stars or breakout performances can boost a team’s odds mid-season.
Trade deadlines: A key player acquisition can change a team’s trajectory overnight.
Keeping an eye on how teams perform during critical stretches can help you anticipate market shifts and secure favourable odds. ColossalBet keeps you updated with all the latest futures markets.
The Importance of Bankroll Management
No matter how promising a bet may seem, responsible bankroll management is the backbone of long-term success. Set limits, track your wins and losses, and resist the urge to chase losses. Successful punters know when to step back and reassess their strategies.
For Australian punters, this disciplined approach is particularly important given the fast-paced nature of NBA betting. At ColossalBet, we provide tools and resources to help you bet responsibly and stay in control.
Make Every Bet Count with the Right Strategy
If you’re serious about betting smarter, not harder, now’s the time to sharpen your strategy with the right mix of NBA tips, NBA futures, and NBA betting Australia insights. From analysing game-day trends to predicting long-term outcomes, Australian punters have plenty of opportunities to turn their knowledge into profit. With ColossalBet offering personalised tips and industry-leading promotions, every bet can be a winning one.
Ready to Bet Like a Pro? Here’s What to Do Next
Head over to ColossalBet now to explore the latest markets, access exclusive tips, and make smarter bets on NBA games. Don’t miss out—start your winning journey today with personalised advice and unbeatable odds.
MMA and UFC have captured the attention of punters worldwide, with fans eager to turn their knowledge of fighters, styles, and odds into successful bets. Whether you’re keen on backing the underdog or sticking to the reliable favourites, MMA UFC betting has plenty of room for strategy.
Let’s take a deep dive into the strategies that deliver results and help you make smarter, more informed bets.
1. Analyse Styles and Matchups
In the UFC, styles matter—immensely. A wrestler up against a striker? A BJJ specialist facing someone with excellent takedown defence? These matchups are where savvy bettors gain the upper hand. Fighters aren’t just athletes—they’re specialists. Consider past performances against similar opponents. For example, Khabib Nurmagomedov’s grappling overwhelmed strikers who lacked ground defence.
Look for contrasts. Styles make fights, and this knowledge could make or break your UFC betting Australia experience. Analysing data from previous fights, such as takedowns per minute or successful striking percentages, will help you spot mismatches and seize opportunities.
2. Don’t Ignore Weight Cuts
A bad weight cut can spell disaster. Fighters who struggle to meet weight limits often sacrifice energy, endurance, and strength. When a fighter looks drained at weigh-ins or reports emerge of a tough cut, think twice before backing them. Several UFC stars have faced devastating losses due to poorly managed weight cuts.
This isn’t about guessing—it’s about monitoring news, weigh-in results, and even fight-week interviews. By keeping tabs on these factors, you’re better positioned to spot a fighter likely to underperform and adjust your MMA UFC betting strategy accordingly.
3. Bet Smart: Underdogs Deserve Respect
Underdogs aren’t longshots for the sake of it. Plenty of UFC upsets have left punters kicking themselves for doubting the potential of the less-favoured fighter. Take Julianna Peña’s shocking victory over Amanda Nunes in 2021—a prime example of why underdogs can’t be ignored.
The key is balance. Don’t throw your entire bankroll at underdogs, but if you spot a fighter with strong cardio, durability, or a history of performing well against elite competition, they may be worth a wager. The best underdog bets often offer strong value odds that balance risk and reward, making them a crucial aspect of UFC tips.
4. Track Fighter Form and Layoffs
Consistency is king in MMA. Fighters who rack up consecutive wins are often in top mental and physical form. Conversely, fighters returning from long layoffs may struggle with ring rust. Even champions who’ve dominated for years can suffer when they’re inactive for extended periods.
Before placing your bets, investigate a fighter’s recent history. Have they been active, fighting at least twice a year? Or are they coming off surgery or injury? Fighters who have been inactive tend to be unreliable—an important consideration when placing your UFC betting Australia wagers.
5. Pay Attention to Fight Camps and Coaches
Behind every elite UFC fighter is a team of coaches shaping their success. The right camp can transform a fighter’s performance. Look at fighters who have switched camps, added new trainers, or worked with top-level coaches. For instance, fighters who train at American Top Team or Sanford MMA often come prepared with well-rounded skills and tailored game plans.
Keep track of interviews, social media updates, and training camp changes. This information can help you evaluate how well-prepared a fighter is heading into their match, offering valuable insights for your MMA UFC betting strategies.
6. Value Over Volume: Don’t Bet on Every Fight
It’s tempting to place bets on the entire fight card, but that’s a rookie mistake. Quality trumps quantity. Professional punters often focus on a few carefully selected bouts where they feel they have an edge. The rest? They watch without risking their bankroll.
Discipline is essential. Instead of betting on every main event or undercard bout, narrow down your picks based on solid analysis. By sticking to bets with genuine value, you’ll protect your funds and maximise long-term gains from UFC betting Australia.
7. Monitor Market Movements
UFC odds fluctuate, sometimes dramatically, as bookmakers react to betting volume and breaking news. Understanding how to interpret these changes is key to making timely bets. For instance, a sharp drop in a favourite’s odds could indicate heavy public betting—or perhaps an injury rumour.
Compare opening odds with current lines. If a line moves too far, it could present a value betting opportunity. Staying alert to odds shifts ensures that you’re always placing bets at the optimal moment for maximum return.
FiBet Smarter, Not Harder
UFC betting isn’t about luck—it’s about making well-calculated decisions using data, trends, and solid UFC tips. Don’t fall for the trap of betting blindly on favourites or underdogs. Instead, approach each wager strategically by evaluating all relevant factors, from fighter matchups to market odds.
ColossalBet is here to support your journey, offering you personalised tips, competitive promotions, and incredible odds on all UFC fights. Ready to test your knowledge and take your bets to the next level? Visit ColossalBet and make every bet count.
Well there’s a bit going on this Saturday, and heaps of best bets to be made! We’re here to give you a couple of tips we have identified as ones we’re not bullish on laying…
Verry Elleegant Stakes Day 2025: Group 1 Racing Returns to Royal Randwick
Group 1 racing is back at Royal Randwick this Saturday, with a stacked 10-race card headlined by the Verry Elleegant Stakes (1600m). This weight-for-age feature, formerly known as the Chipping Norton Stakes, celebrates the legendary mare Verry Elleegant, an 11-time Group 1 winner who secured eight elite-level victories on ATC tracks.
The Group 1 Surround Stakes (1400m) for three-year-old fillies adds further star power to the program, with Lady Shenandoah dominating early Surround Stakes betting.
With the rail in the true position and dry conditions forecast, punters can expect a firm Good 4 surface—ideal for high-class racing. The first race on Verry Elleegant Stakes Day is scheduled for 12:30pm AEDT.
A Milestone Celebration at Randwick
This year marks the 100th running of the Verry Elleegant Stakes (formerly the Chipping Norton), a race that has been won by legends such as Phar Lap and Winx (four times). The day will celebrate the extraordinary career of Verry Elleegant, with a tribute video available for racegoers to relive her finest moments.
Experience the Best of Sydney Racing
A day at Royal Randwick is a racing experience like no other, blending world-class racing, entertainment, fashion, and fine dining. Racegoers can enjoy the state-of-the-art WINX Stand, open to all, for a premium trackside experience at Sydney’s most prestigious racing venue.
Best to Back: Shaggy ($2.20) – But Too Short to Tip as a Bet
Shaggy has been faultless so far, winning all three career starts, including an emphatic win in the Pierro Plate last start. He has proven speed, runs time, and keeps improving. There’s no doubt he’s the one to beat, but at $2.25, he’s simply too short to back at the price.
Best to Back Instead: Comedy ($6.50)
If Shaggy is vulnerable at all, it could be Comedy who turns the tables. He was huge late when charging home behind Shaggy in the Pierro Plate, suggesting that stepping up to 1200m will suit him perfectly. If they overdo it in front, he will be the one launching late.
Best Value: Algorithmic ($12.00)
Algorithmic had a quiet debut in the Lonhro Plate, where he worked home well without being a winning chance. Stepping up to 1200m is ideal, and Team Hawkes’ juveniles are flying right now. If he improves second-up as expected, he looks like an each-way player at double-figure odds.
Race Insights
Shaggy is a serious Golden Slipper prospect, but he might be forced to work early with pressure on up front.
Comedy ($6.50) ran the best closing splits last start and will appreciate the extra distance.
Skyhook ($8.00) was solid on debut in the same race as Shaggy and Comedy. With natural improvement, he could run a big race.
Quietly Arrogant ($13.00) has Magic Millions form but needs to step up here.
Snitzel Miss was unlucky on debut in the Widden Stakes, where she was held up badly before flashing home for third. That form has been franked in the Blue Diamond Stakes, and she will improve sharply second-up with James McDonald sticking aboard. She maps well and looks the most reliable runner.
Best Value: Within The Law ($7.50)
Within The Law was huge in the Inglis Millennium, where she stormed home from the rear but just had too much to do. Stepping up to 1200m is ideal, and if they go hard up front, Jason Collett can weave through and produce a big finish late. At $7.50, she offers each-way value in a race with plenty of speed.
Race Insights
Bellazaine ($4.00) was strong on speed in the Lonhro Plate but now faces a tougher field at 1200m.
Inkaruna ($5.00) would have been a major chance if she had drawn better, but barrier 12 makes things tricky.
Artistic Venture ($34.00) is a massive price for a horse who hit the line well in the Inglis Millennium and might be one for exotic bets.
Final Thoughts
Snitzel Miss has the strongest form lines and should get a perfect run, making her the best to back. Within The Law is the big value play at $7.50, especially if the race is run at a fast tempo.
Olentia has race fitness on her side and looks well-suited by the likely slow tempo. She was super in the Expressway Stakes, making up good ground late behind Magic Time. With no clear leader in this field, her sharp turn of foot makes her the most appealing betting option at nearly double the price of Amelia’s Jewel.
Best Value: Tashi ($12.00)
Tashi was strong in the Triscay Stakes, running fifth over 1200m. She’s a two-time winner at Randwick, and the blinkers coming off suggests she’ll settle better and be strong through the line. With a drop in weight and stepping up to 1400m, she’s a good each-way chance at $12.
Race Insights
Amelia’s Jewel ($2.40) is the class runner but is likely under the odds given the potential race shape. If the pace is slow, she might struggle to produce her best late.
Dark Glitter ($14.00) almost caused an upset in the Millie Fox Stakes, and backing up quickly suggests she’s in top form.
Alsephina ($8.00) is talented but first-up and might need the run, though she has a strong record fresh.
Final Thoughts
Olentia is the best betting option, given the likely slow tempo, which will allow her to unleash late. Tashi is a value play, while Amelia’s Jewel is the best horse but a risky bet at short odds.
Best to Back: Lady Shenandoah ($1.55) – But Too Short to Tip as a Bet
Lady Shenandoah has taken control of the 3YO fillies’ ranks, and her dominant win in the Light Fingers Stakes was basically a barrier trial. She maps to get the perfect run again from barrier 3 with James McDonald aboard, and only bad luck stops her from winning. However, at $1.55, she’s far too short to tip as a bet.
Best to Back Instead: Lady of Camelot ($6.50 Place Bet / Exotics Play)
Lady of Camelot was left a sitting shot behind Lady Shenandoah last start but ran well. With blinkers going on, she can settle closer and fight on for second or third. She won’t beat Lady Shenandoah, but she makes sense as a place bet or for exotics.
Best Value: More Territories ($12.00 Place Bet)
More Territories avoided this high-class fillies’ group first-up, instead winning impressively over 1400m at Randwick in a BM78. She’s fit, on the rise, and will stay the trip strongly. She’s a knockout chance to fill a place if some of the top fillies don’t show up.
Race Insights
Lady Shenandoah is the best horse, but at $1.55, there’s no value in backing her straight.
Lady of Camelot ($6.50) gets the blinkers back on and should improve enough to run in the top three.
More Territories ($12.00) is a fit horse with upside and could surprise for a placing.
Manaal ($9.00) has a strong Randwick record but needs luck from the map.
Final Thoughts
Lady Shenandoah wins unless something goes terribly wrong, but there’s no value at $1.55. A place bet on Lady of Camelot ($6.50) or More Territories ($12.00) offers better value, and they’re the ones to include in exotics.
Best to Back: Via Sistina ($1.95) – But Too Short to Tip as a Bet
Via Sistina ran well first-up in the Apollo Stakes despite being buried on the fence in a sit-and-sprint affair. With J-Mac jumping back on, the step up to 1600m is perfect, and she should be much stronger late. However, at $1.95, the price is too short to tip confidently as a bet.
Best to Back Instead: Ceolwulf ($5.50)
Ceolwulf was solid first-up in the Apollo Stakes, hitting the line well despite looking one of the first horses off the bit. He is a proven Randwick miler, and 1600m second-up is perfect for him. He looks to have more improvement than Fangirl, and $5.50 is much better value than Via Sistina at $1.95.
Best Value: Golden Path ($46.00 – Exotics & Place Chance)
Golden Path was in the right spot in the Apollo but just lacked a turn of foot late. The extra 200m suits, and he maps to get another soft run on-pace. While he won’t win unless something crazy happens, he can run a sneaky placing at big odds ($46.00).
Race Insights
Fangirl ($3.00) was brilliant first-up, but her pattern always requires luck, and she’s never won second-up (4:0-1-0).
Lindermann ($11.00) is fit and racing well, but this field is much stronger than last start.
Arapaho ($26.00) will improve over further, but his first-up run was promising.
Final Thoughts
Via Sistina is the best horse here, but at $1.95, she’s not a great betting proposition. Ceolwulf is the better value bet at $5.50, while Golden Path ($46.00) could add value to trifectas and first fours.
With Your Blessing smashed the clock last start at Randwick, winning impressively with 58kg. He drops to 54kg here, maps to settle on pace, and will be strong late in a race where many runners are just resuming. The market might underestimate his winning form, but he’s a serious chance to go back-to-back.
Best Value: Golden Mile ($11.00)
Golden Mile returns as a gelding and has trialled brilliantly leading into this first-up run. He’s always had Group 1 ability, and if his attitude has improved, he’s right in this race at a big price. His barrier (6) gives him a perfect stalking position, and if he produces anywhere near his best, he’s over the odds.
Race Insights
Encap ($7.50) is classy but resumes off just one trial, which is a small concern first-up at 1300m.
Gringotts ($4.50) is a reliable horse but has to carry 61kg, which makes this a tough ask fresh.
Willaidow ($8.00) is flying with three wins in a row, but won’t get the same easy run as last start.
Iowna Merc ($7.00) ran second to Magic Time in the Expressway and is in career-best form.
Final Thoughts
With Your Blessing is fit, in form, and maps beautifully – he’s the one to back. Golden Mile has serious ability and could win first-up at $11 if he’s back to his best. Encap is a chance but might need this run, while Gringotts is a risk with 61kg.
Australian Guineas Day 2025: High-Stakes Racing Returns to Flemington
The Group 1 Australian Guineas (1600m) takes center stage at Flemington this Saturday, headlining a stacked 10-race program. Supported by the Group 2 Blamey Stakes (1600m) and the $1 million Inglis Sprint (1200m), this premier raceday promises world-class racing at one of Australia’s most iconic tracks.
With a Good 4 track expected and the rail out 2m for the entire circuit, conditions should be ideal for fast, competitive racing. The first race on Australian Guineas Day 2025 is scheduled for 12:15pm AEDT.
Howden Australian Guineas: The Nation’s Best Three-Year-Olds Collide
The $1 million Group 1 Howden Australian Guineas (1600m) will see Australia’s top three-year-olds battle it out over the famous Flemington mile. This prestigious race has long been a launching pad for future champions, and 2025 promises another high-stakes showdown.
A Million-Dollar Sprint & Blamey Stakes Feature on the Undercard
The $1 million Inglis Sprint (1200m), exclusive to Inglis Sales graduates, has produced Group 1 winners such as Overpass and Benedetta in recent years. Meanwhile, the Group 2 TAB Blamey Stakes (1600m) offers a crucial pathway to the All-Star Mile, adding further intrigue to an already electric day of racing.
With elite competition, massive prize pools, and Flemington’s historic backdrop, Australian Guineas Day 2025 is a must-watch for punters and racing fans alike.
Zardozi was solid first-up in the Apollo Stakes, finishing just 3.8 lengths off Fangirl in a race shape that didn’t suit her. The rise to 1600m at Flemington is perfect, and she has good form at this track (2 wins from 5 starts). With Jamie Melham aboard, she should be well-positioned to strike late.
Best Value: Poison Chalice ($23.00 – Each Way)
Poison Chalice ran in the Elms two weeks ago but was caught out by the hot tempo. If this race sets up with a more even pace, he has the ability to bounce back at big odds. He’s capable of surprising at a price and is worth a small each-way bet at $23.00.
Race Insights
Steparty ($5.50) continues to race well without winning, placing in Group 1 company behind Mr Brightside. He’s rock-hard fit and maps well.
Place Du Carrousel ($9.00) is a big watch with 53kg, but her spring form was below expectations. If she’s back to her best, she’s the one to beat.
Marble Arch ($6.50)just missed at Caulfield and has a strong record on dry ground, making her a genuine contender.
Just Folk ($8.50) is race-fit and well-drawn, making him a good each-way play.
Final Thoughts
Zardozi is the best to back at $7.00 – she maps well and should be suited at Flemington over a mile. Poison Chalice offers value at $23.00, while Steparty and Place Du Carrousel are both genuine winning chances.
Sepals has continued to improve with every run, and his dominant CS Hayes win last start suggests he’s the one to beat again. The extra 200m looks ideal, and he maps for a perfect run with Blake Shinn aboard. If he runs up to his last-start performance, he’s right in the finish again.
Best Value: Henlein ($21.00 – Each Way)
Henlein never handled the conditions last start in the CS Hayes, and he’s a big chance of improving on a firmer track. His trial work before resuming was excellent, and the rise to 1600m should suit. At $21, he’s overs and a great each-way play.
Race Insights
Goldrush Guru ($12.00) has progressed well this prep and looks ready for 1600m, making him a strong top-three chance.
Point And Shoot ($5.50) is a progressive type from Bjorn Baker, winning two in a row at Randwick, but this is a big class jump.
Savaglee ($6.00) brings Group 1 form from NZ, but faces a tough task first-up in Australia.
Feroce ($14.00) didn’t fire in the CS Hayes, but on a firmer track, he’s capable of a big run at odds.
Final Thoughts
Sepals is the logical top pick, coming off a strong win at Flemington and stepping up to 1600m at the right time. Henlein is the best value bet, and Goldrush Guru should run a big race. Point And Shoot is a danger but short enough in betting, while Savaglee is the wildcard from New Zealand.
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The Group 1 Blue Diamond Stakes (1200m) headlines a blockbuster 10-race card at Caulfield this Saturday, with Victoria’s premier juvenile race attracting a full field of 16 chasing the $2 million prize purse, read on for our best bets…
A fine day is forecast in Melbourne, with a top of 36 degrees, ensuring ideal conditions for racing. The track is rated a Good 4, and the rail is out four metres for the entire circuit. It’s going to be a fair and fast racing surface.
The first race is set to jump at 12:15pm AEDT, kicking off a day stacked with quality, including the Futurity Stakes (Race 7), Oakleigh Plate (Race 9), and the Victoria Gold Cup (Race 10). Read on for our professional insights and best betting plays.
2025 Blue Diamond Stakes Preview – Wide Open & Up for Grabs
Last years winner, Hayasugi, winning the 2024 Blue Diamond at Caulfield
This year’s Group 1 Blue Diamond Stakes (1200m) looks an absolute raffle, and the market reflects just that.
Field Of Play ($5) heads the betting after proving too strong in the Group 3 Blue Diamond Prelude (1100m), but there’s little separating him and a host of challengers. My Gladiola ($7) and Cherish Me ($7) share the second line of betting, while Palm Angel ($9) adds to the intrigue after claiming the Group 2 Prelude last start.
For punters hunting value, Tempted ($10), Devil Night ($13), and The Playwright ($13) all found early support at double figures when markets first went up.
Speed Map – Who Takes Up the Running?
Expect The Playwright to roll forward from barrier three and control the tempo under Regan Bayliss, with My Gladiola and Wiltshire Square pressing on from wider draws.
The market elect Field Of Play should land just off the pace, with Devil Night and Palm Angel using their inside gates to sit handy.
The likes of Cherish Me and Tempted will get back, but both have shown they can rattle home off a genuine tempo—expect them to be flying late if the race sets up for the closers.
Form & Key Chances
Cherish Me brings an untapped formline to the Blue Diamond, having bolted in on debut at Geelong in early January. She put two lengths on Cavalry Girl, who’s been touted as one of Victoria’s sharpest juveniles, and her closing sectionals suggest she’ll eat up the 1200m. If Jamie Mott can weave a path from the back, she’s right in this.
Tempted was a horror watch in the Group 3 Widden Stakes (1100m) when beaten by The Playwright, but he gets conditions to suit here. Meanwhile, Field Of Play is unbeaten in two and has done nothing wrong in the lead-up—his Prelude win was authoritative, and he deserves favouritism.
Realistically, there are at least six legitimate winning hopes in the 2025 Blue Diamond Stakes, so quaddie punters should be going wide in what shapes as one of the most open renewals in years.
Read on for our best bets and value plays across the card this Saturday…
Pondalowie had no luck first up in the WJ Adams, getting shuffled back in an on-speed dominated race. She ran the second-fastest final 200m of the event and will be much better suited rising to 1100m, where she boasts a strong record. With added fitness and a more forward position in transit, she gets her chance to strike.
💰 Best Value: Mrs Chrissie ($6.00)
Mrs Chrissie didn’t get a look in last start in the WJ Adams, where Philosopher clocked an electric 32-second final 600m. That meant those back in the field had zero chance, but she now returns to her preferred track and can improve sharply. At each-way odds, she’s worth keeping onside.
🎯 Race Insights
🔹 Tonkin ($5.50) is a major player if she runs here instead of Friday night at Moonee Valley. She absolutely bolted in last start, winning by 4.5 lengths, and ran a blistering time in the process.
🔹 Miss Aria ($6.00) hit the line nicely in the Group 2 Rubiton Stakes, but the drop back to 1100m raises some queries.
🔹 Samangu ($8.50) is still progressive and should appreciate returning to a tighter-turning track after being outsprinted at Flemington.
Final Thoughts
Pondalowie maps better second-up and should be ready to produce her career peak at this trip. Tonkin is a genuine threat if she lines up here, while Mrs Chrissie is capable of running a big race at odds.
Don’t Hope Do is a genuine talent with a serious engine under the hood. He resumed from a short break at Sandown over 1000m, working home well late after getting back in the run. He strips fitter second-up, and the step to 1100m is a big tick. If he’s within striking distance on the turn, expect him to launch late.
💰 Best Value: Beast Mode ($12.00)
Beast Mode is a short-course weapon who simply found the 955m at Moonee Valley too sharp last start. He was left chasing behind the on-pace dominant Unflinching, but he’s much better suited here over 1100m with a more positive ride. If he can position closer in the run, he’s more than capable of winning at a big price.
🎯 Race Insights
🔹 Chinqui ($5.00) was dominant last start, leading all the way and never giving anything else a look in. If he holds the front again, he’ll take plenty of catching.
🔹 Winnasedge ($9.00) had no luck first-up but produced elite closing splits in the Red Anchor Stakes last prep. If the tempo is strong, he’ll be launching late.
🔹 Legio Ten ($8.00) is a proven 1100m performer who should be ready to fire second-up.
Final Thoughts
Don’t Hope Do has a serious motor and will love the step up to 1100m second-up. Chinqui will try to run them into the ground, while Beast Mode represents great value if he can find a forward position.
Emphasize is a progressive staying type who has put together back-to-back wins, including a strong effort against older horses last start. He showed a sharp turn of foot and was dominant in the run home. Back against his own age and with Craig Williams sticking, he looks the horse to beat once again.
💰 Best Value: Imperialist ($9.50)
Imperialist is a sneaky chance at a price. He was scratched from a weaker midweek race to run here, suggesting the stable has confidence. He closed off strongly last start despite lacking the instant acceleration to win, but stepping up to 1800m should suit him perfectly. If he gets a more genuine tempo, he could cause an upset.
🎯 Race Insights
🔹 Entrusting ($4.60) is a consistent galloper, winning two of his last three. He stormed home last start at Sandown and looks set to figure prominently again.
🔹 Scary ($6.00) is the class runner, having finished second in the Victoria Derby last prep. He wasn’t suited first-up over 1400m but should be much stronger now back out to 1800m.
🔹 Shanwah ($5.50) is chasing a hat-trick and could get a soft lead in a race lacking genuine speed.
Final Thoughts
Emphasize is the one to beat if he handles the race shape, while Imperialist offers strong each-way value stepping up in trip. Entrusting is genuine, and Scary has the class factor but might need further.
Lofty Arch is a serious talent and resumes after a dominant Gothic Stakes win at this track. The stable has Newmarket Handicap aspirations, which suggests they rate him well above this grade. He’s trialled up nicely and is expected to race forward, making his own luck. If he’s anywhere near his peak, he should be winning.
💰 Best Value: Tropicus ($3.60)
Tropicus is group-class and resumes after tackling elite company in the Golden Rose and Caulfield Guineas last prep. His first-up run in the Manfred Stakes was strong, closing late behind Royal Insignia after racing keenly early. The blinkers go on, and if he settles better, he’s a massive chance at an each-way price.
🎯 Race Insights
🔹 Polyglot ($5.00) has been rock-solid this prep, winning first-up before running a huge race at Rosehill in a strong form race. He’s fit and ready to peak third-up.
🔹 Sergeant Major ($10.00) was unlucky first-up last prep in a high-rating race. If he gets a fair run, he’ll be finishing hard late.
🔹 Shadhavar ($9.00) comes through strong form races and has upside with a light weight.
Final Thoughts
Lofty Arch has the most upside and is well-placed to resume a winner. Tropicus drops in grade and adds blinkers, making him a strong value play. Polyglot maps well and should be right in the finish.
Too Darn Lizzie looks ready to fire fresh for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott. Her Sydney trials have been sharp, and the fact she resumes over 1400m signals intent from the stable. She should find the front and dictate terms on a dry track, which is exactly where she does her best work. If she gets control early, she’ll be hard to run down.
💰 Best Value: Jenni The Fox ($15.00)
Jenni The Fox is dangerous back to her own sex after being thrown into the deep end in the Autumn Stakes last start. She won her maiden in brilliant fashion before stepping up to Group 2 level, where she wasn’t disgraced. Now back to a much more suitable race, she’s a genuine knockout chance at big odds.
🎯 Race Insights
🔹 Treasurethe Moment ($3.20) is the class of the field, having won the VRC Oaks in dominant style last spring. She’s the most talented filly here, but 1400m might be too sharp first-up.
🔹 Perfect Picture ($8.00) has upside, winning well on debut before running a strong second to a smart one last start.
🔹 Benagil ($10.00) had zero luck last prep but showed enough ability to be a factor if things go right.
Final Thoughts
Too Darn Lizzie will roll forward and take plenty of catching, while Treasurethe Moment has the class but might need further. Jenni The Fox is the best roughie, and Perfect Picture has upside at the trip.
Semana looks perfectly placed dropping back from the Group 1 CF Orr Stakes into this mares’ race. She was given a quiet ride from a wide gate last start but closed off strongly, making good late ground behind elite competition. With a more positive ride from a low draw, she gets her chance to win third-up at her ideal trip.
💰 Best Value: Coeur Volante ($5.50)
Coeur Volante never looked a winning hope first-up in the Bellmaine Stakes, but her final 100m was encouraging. A tick-over jumpout since suggests she’s ready to produce a sharper effort second-up, and if she can settle closer in the run, she’s a big danger at good odds.
🎯 Race Insights
🔹 Grinzinger Belle ($6.00) resumes and maps to get control up front. She’s won her last two first-up runs over 1400m and will take plenty of catching.
🔹 So Glamorous ($5.00) ran ahead of Coeur Volante first-up and is suited up in trip. She had zero luck last prep and could be a big improver.
🔹 Quintessa ($8.00) and Eternal Flame ($9.00) both needed their first-up runs and can take a step forward here.
Final Thoughts
Semana brings genuine Group 1 form and should be hard to beat with a closer position in running. Coeur Volante is the improver second-up, while Grinzinger Belle will be tough to run down if left alone in front.
Mr Brightside is clearly the one to beat here. He was superb first-up in the CF Orr Stakes, given a perfect ride by Craig Williams, looming to win before Another Wil proved too sharp late. He should strip fitter, has an outstanding second-up record, and if he can find a spot outside the lead, he’ll be in complete control.
💰 Best Value: Tom Kitten ($10.00)
Tom Kitten is high-class and goes well fresh. He was enormous in the Golden Eagle last start, closing strongly into third, and his trial work has been excellent leading into this. He’s better suited over further, but if they overdo it up front, he’ll be the one launching late at a price.
🎯 Race Insights
🔹 I Wish I Win ($4.60) has the talent to match Mr Brightside, but he’s coming off a long break and might need the run. If he’s anywhere near his best, he’ll be charging late.
🔹 Pericles ($9.00) maps to get a soft run and is capable fresh. If the race shape suits, he’s one to include in exotics.
🔹 Evaporate ($12.00) ran well fresh and looks to have come back in good order. He’s untested at this level but could fill a placing at odds.
Final Thoughts
Mr Brightside looks set to peak second-up and will prove hard to run down. I Wish I Win has the ability to win but might need this run, while Tom Kitten is a strong value play if the race sets up for a closer.
Field Of Play ticks all the right boxes after his impressive Prelude win two weeks ago. He showed good tactical speed, settled just off the leaders, and let down strongly when asked. Now fitter and up to 1200m, he gets a dream run from barrier five and should be right in the finish again.
💰 Best Value: Cherish Me ($7.00)
Cherish Me looks an exciting filly for the Maher camp, having blitzed her rivals on debut at Geelong. She gave a smart one in Cavalry Girl a start and a beating, and the form out of that race has held up well. While she’s been kept fresh, her jumpout was strong, and she should be charging home late off a genuine tempo.
🎯 Race Insights
🔹 The Playwright ($13.00) will roll forward and set the tempo after leading all the way in the Widden Stakes. He’s tough and tenacious, and back to set weights, he’ll take plenty of catching.
🔹 My Gladiola ($7.00) had excuses in the Prelude but was brilliant on debut, showing serious acceleration. If she gets the right run, she can bounce back.
🔹 Tempted ($10.00) was flying home in the Widden Stakes and gets to 1200m now, which should suit. She’s a danger late if the leaders overdo it.
Final Thoughts
Field Of Play has the perfect map and proven form, making him the top selection. Cherish Me has untapped upside and is a strong each-way chance, while The Playwright will give a huge sight up front.
Sghirripa has been set for this race after a strong trial and brings Oakleigh Plate redemption on his mind. He was huge last year in this race, running against the track pattern, and while he didn’t progress as expected, his fresh record is strong, and he gets in here with a lightweight at 52.5kg. If he finds clear running late, he’s a big chance at double figures.
💰 Best Value: Golden Boom ($23.00)
Golden Boom is a pure speedster who hasn’t raced since his Goldmarket win, where he led and fought hard to hold them off. While this is tougher, he has tactical speed to land in the right spot, and the Gollan stable doesn’t travel south without confidence. At big odds, he could be the knockout chance if he gets a soft lead.
Race Insights
🔹 I Am Me ($11.00) was scratched from the Lightning Stakes last week to target this. She has elite fresh form, and her win over Bella Nipotina last prep suggests she’s more than capable at this level.
🔹 She’s Bulletproof ($6.00) was dominant in the Bellmaine Stakes, but now faces open class Group 1 opposition. She gets in light at 52kg and is progressive, but this is a big step up.
🔹 Jimmystar ($9.00) has a monster finish and is 4 from 5 first-up. The wide draw suits him, as he can find cover and charge late.
Final Thoughts
Sghirripa is primed for this and can run a huge race fresh at big odds. I Am Me is the proven Group 1 mare and has to be respected, while Golden Boom offers a sneaky each-way play at a price.
Deny Knowledge is the class factor in this race, returning after a Group 1-winning campaign. She was superb fresh last prep, running a huge race in the Underwood Stakes, before going on to claim the Might And Power over Mr Brightside. 2000m first-up suggests intent, and she’s drawn to land on speed and control the race. If she’s anywhere near her best, she’ll take plenty of catching.
💰 Best Value: Touristic ($11.00)
Touristic was hammered in betting last start but ended up too far back off a slow tempo, making it impossible to get into the race. He’s been kept fresh and now gets blinkers back on, which suggests the stable is looking for sharp improvement. Drawn better here, if he can settle a few pairs closer, he’s a serious chance at double figures.
🎯 Race Insights
🔹 Shaiyhar ($4.00) is a rock-solid stayer and in top race fitness after some strong recent performances. He’s seven runs deep into his prep, and 2000m suits perfectly.
🔹 Smokin’ Romans ($6.50) is first-up, but he’s a consistent type who maps well and should race handy from the inside draw.
🔹 Dashing Duchess ($9.00) was a huge eye-catcher first-up and should appreciate the step up in trip.
Final Thoughts
Deny Knowledge is the class horse and will be hard to beat if she’s ready first-up. Touristic was backed last start and can improve sharply, while Shaiyhar is race-fit and will be in the finish.
Predicted Race Tempo: Above Average
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