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Last week we found 3 winners from 8 races on Stakes Day!

• AUTUMN GLOW (Odds: ~$1.18)
• LAZZURA (Odds: ~$1.33)
• HORSESHOE HILL (Odds: ~$2.30)

The spring carnival may have wrapped up at Flemington but Saturday racing rolls on, and there’s plenty of quality to get stuck into this weekend. Two strong metro cards across Melbourne and Brisbane give us eight races to work through.

At Sandown Hillside we’re covering Races 7 through 10, headlined by the Group 1 Sportsbet C.F. Orr Stakes over 1400 metres. It’s a weight-for-age feature that’s drawn a small but classy field of eight, and it’s joined on the card by the Group 2 Chandon Zipping Classic over 2400m and two Group 3 contests. Four black-type races on one afternoon makes this a serious betting card.

Up to Brisbane where Doomben hosts Races 7 through 10, anchored by the Listed CBT Keith Noud Stakes over 1200 metres. The Doomben track is rated a Heavy 8 with moderate rain about, so wet-track form will be crucial in sorting through the fields. Tony Gollan’s stable dominates the entries and finding value against his runners is the puzzle.

We’ve done the form across both cards and locked in our best bets and value plays for every race. Let’s get into it.

🏇 Sandown Hillside R7 1200m – Group 3 Move To Strike Thoroughbred Club Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A quality Group 3 sprint restricted to three-year-old fillies with a big field of 15 set to face the starter. Several lightly raced types with upside clash with more seasoned runners who come through strong carnival form. With speed drawn across the barriers, a solid tempo looks likely.

🔥 Best Bet: AFFARI 💰 Odds: ~$6.50 ⚡ An extraordinary 88% place rate from eight career starts — she’s hit the top three seven times. Her form string of 35×222213 shows she’s been no worse than third in her past five starts, winning one and running second three times. Barrier 1 gives her the rails run throughout and Chris Waller has her placed to perfection dropping back from 1400m to 1200m.

💎 Best Value: CADDINGTON 💰 Odds: ~$11 💥 Won her past two starts and boasts a 67% win rate from just three career outings. Her form reads 4×11 — a fourth on debut then a spell before winning back-to-back, including over 1200m at Flemington three weeks ago. Lightly raced and progressive, she’s the type that can continue to improve and at $11 she’s over the odds for a filly in this sort of form.

🏇 Sandown Hillside R8 1400m – Group 1 Sportsbet C.F. Orr Stakes

📝 Race Overview: The feature race of the day and a genuine Group 1 contest despite the small field of eight. Beiwacht is the clear market leader but his form since winning first-up has been patchy, and there are proven weight-for-age performers ready to pounce if he’s not at his best. The mares’ allowance could prove decisive.

🔥 Best Bet: SHADHAVAR 💰 Odds: ~$4.40 ⚡ Won last start over this distance at Flemington two weeks ago in a field of 16 — that’s strong form for this. Career figures of 8 wins from 19 starts (42% win rate, 68% place rate) are outstanding at Group 1 level. Gets the 2kg WFA mares’ allowance at 57kg and draws barrier 2, which should see her settle in a lovely position throughout.

💎 Best Value: PERICLES 💰 Odds: ~$7 💥 Won last start over 1300m at Randwick in a 15-runner field two weeks ago, and that form franks well for a race like this. A career of 38 starts for 9 wins with $9 million in earnings shows he belongs at the highest level. His form of 2x1357x771 shows he can be inconsistent, but when he’s on song he’s a genuine Group 1 horse and Craig Williams in the saddle adds confidence.

🏇 Sandown Hillside R9 2400m – Group 2 Chandon Zipping Classic

📝 Race Overview: A staying feature over 2400m that’s drawn several Melbourne Cup runners dropping back in distance. Small Fry is the short-priced favourite but Kingswood won impressively at this distance last start and Juja Kibo ran a bold third in the Cup. This looks a genuine three-horse race with some value to be found underneath.

🔥 Best Bet: KINGSWOOD 💰 Odds: ~$4 ⚡ Won last start over this exact distance at Caulfield four weeks ago in an 18-runner field — that’s the ideal form reference. He carries the highest rating in the field at 115 and his career earnings of $5 million speak to his class. Form of 14125×1441 shows he’s won two of his four starts this preparation and his record at 2400m speaks for itself. Jamie Allen stays aboard from barrier 8.

💎 Best Value: TRAVOLTA 💰 Odds: ~$6.50 💥 Won last start over 2000m at Randwick two weeks ago and steps up to 2400m here which is the query. But James McDonald takes the ride and that engagement speaks volumes about his chances over the longer trip. Career record of 8 wins from 29 starts with a 52% place rate shows he finds the frame more often than not, and at $6.50 he’s value if the distance is within range.

🏇 Sandown Hillside R10 1500m – Group 3 Henley Homes Summoned Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A set-weights mares’ feature over 1500m and Concord Connie looks the standout with a perfect placing record. The question is whether anything can bridge the gap at the weights, and at $1.70 the value lies in finding the right runners to follow her home. Davida has been scratched, trimming the field to 13.

🔥 Best Bet: CONCORD CONNIE 💰 Odds: ~$1.70 ⚡ Has never missed the top three in seven career starts — a perfect 100% place rate with three wins (43% strike rate). Her form reads 2x111x232 and while she hasn’t won this preparation, finishing second, third and second shows she’s racing consistently at a high level. Craig Williams rides from barrier 12, which is the only concern, but her class should overcome it.

💎 Best Value: SUPERFABULISTIC 💰 Odds: ~$7 💥 Won last start at Flemington over 1600m just a week ago and backs up quickly here over the slightly shorter 1500m. A career place rate of 90% from 10 starts is remarkable — she’s only missed the frame once in her entire career. Form of x32211x231 shows two wins from her past four starts and at $7 she offers genuine each-way value as the main danger to the favourite.

🏇 Doomben R7 1350m – Canadian Club QTIS 3&4YO BM70 Handicap

📝 Race Overview: A competitive 3&4YO handicap on a Heavy 8 surface where wet-track form will be crucial. Tony Gollan has two strong chances in Ready For Aimee and Lebanese, and the Dunn stable is also well represented. With Godtfred Kirk scratched the field drops to 12, and finding the right horse to handle the conditions is the key.

🔥 Best Bet: READY FOR AIMEE 💰 Odds: ~$4 ⚡ Won her past two starts including over 1300m at Eagle Farm three weeks ago — that’s form good enough for a race like this. Career figures of 4 wins from 15 starts with a 60% place rate show a consistent mare. Tony Gollan trained and the apprentice claim from Pozman brings her weight down to an effective 58.5kg, giving her a genuine edge at the weights.

💎 Best Value: SHREDDED 💰 Odds: ~$6 💥 A standout place rate of 73% from 11 career starts — he rarely misses the frame. Ran second last start over 1300m at Eagle Farm and won the start before that. His form string of 221135×712 shows consistent efforts throughout this preparation and at $6 he offers solid each-way value as the type that will be hitting the line hard.

🏇 Doomben R8 1200m – Listed CBT Keith Noud Stakes QTISX Handicap

📝 Race Overview: The feature sprint at Doomben and Now Is The Hour dominates the market after his last-start win at this track. The step up to Listed level is the test, but he’s well in at the weights and the inside barrier is a significant advantage on the rain-affected surface. The danger could come from some of the proven performers at longer odds.

🔥 Best Bet: NOW IS THE HOUR 💰 Odds: ~$1.95 ⚡ Won last start over 1110m at Doomben two weeks ago and has the perfect setup here — barrier 1 on a Heavy 8 track where leaders are hard to catch. Tony Gollan trained and gets in beautifully at 54kg, well below the topweight of 60kg. Career record of 5 wins from 17 starts with a 59% place rate shows a horse in the right form cycle.

💎 Best Value: KING OF MINTO 💰 Odds: ~$7 💥 The numbers tell the story — 5 wins from 10 career starts for a 50% win rate, and an 80% place rate that is elite at any level. Won his past two starts including at 1150m at the Gold Coast three weeks ago. Gets in on the minimum weight of 53kg and the step up in grade from provincial to Listed is the only question. At $7 his record demands respect.

🏇 Doomben R9 1200m – Higgins Coatings Class 6 Plate

📝 Race Overview: A Class 6 set-weights sprint where Balance The Books is the dominant favourite resuming after a long break. She’s well above this grade on her best form but the 19-week absence creates doubt. With Joy A Plenty scratched the field drops to 12, and there’s plenty of recent form to like among the Gollan-trained contingent.

🔥 Best Bet: BALANCE THE BOOKS 💰 Odds: ~$3 ⚡ A 56% win rate from nine career starts is outstanding for any horse, and her 78% place rate shows she very rarely runs a bad race. Won her last two starts in her previous preparation before spelling 19 weeks ago. Tony Gollan trained at a track he dominates, and at 56.5kg she’s well treated at the weights. The class edge she holds over this field should carry her through despite the absence.

💎 Best Value: SPIETHTACULAR 💰 Odds: ~$6 💥 Won her past two starts at Doomben including over 1200m four weeks ago — she’s a proven track-and-distance performer. An 80% place rate from 15 starts is elite and her form of 52244×2211 shows she’s in the best form of her career right now. Tony Gollan trained and at $6 she offers genuine value as the logical alternative if the favourite needs a run first-up.

🏇 Doomben R10 1600m – Ladbrokes Mega Multi BM85 Handicap

📝 Race Overview: The last race of the day and All Kinds Of Folk is the clear favourite in a field reduced to 12 after two scratchings. The 1600m trip on a heavy track will test stamina, and several runners come through solid recent form at this circuit. Finding the right each-way runner alongside the favourite is the challenge.

🔥 Best Bet: ALL KINDS OF FOLK 💰 Odds: ~$2 ⚡ Won two starts back over 1600m and ran second last start at Eagle Farm over the same trip three weeks ago. Gets in at just 56kg which is a significant weight advantage — the topweights carry 61kg. Ben Thompson rides and her form of x10521x512 shows a win and a second from three starts this preparation — she’s primed for a big run.

💎 Best Value: ATMOSPHERE 💰 Odds: ~$6 💥 Won last start over 1615m at this track two weeks ago and backs up over a similar trip. A track-and-distance winner who knows how to handle the Doomben circuit is always worth respecting. Career record of 7 wins from 40 starts with a 53% place rate shows a seasoned performer, and the apprentice claim from Pozman reduces his effective weight to 59kg. At $6 he’s each-way value.

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Odds were captured from Racenet on Thursday 12 November 2026. Scratchings and market moves will continue between now and race time. Always check final fields before placing your bets.

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Colossalbet understands the ramifications of gambling beyond your means and has implemented various safeguards to protect our clients and their interests.

Colossalbet works with Gambling Help Online to offer assistance to anyone who is directly or indirectly affected by gambling. If your gambling has become problematic or the behaviour of a loved one has become a concern, Gambling Help Online offers a range of free support and counselling services about problem gambling in a variety of languages and in a safe and anonymous environment. You can contact Gambling Help Online at any time for free and confidential advice and support by:

📞 Calling 1800 858 858

🌐 Visiting their website https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/

Last week we found 2 winners from 6 races on Melbourne Cup Day!

• RANARSSON (Odds: ~$1.95)
• SHADHAVAR (Odds: ~$2.80)

Stakes Day brings the curtain down on the Melbourne Cup Carnival, and what a way to finish — three Group 1 features at Flemington headline one of the best cards of the spring. We’ve had a solid run through the carnival and we’re looking to end on a high.

At Flemington we’ll be covering Races 6 through 9, headlined by the Group 1 VRC Champions Sprint, Group 1 VRC Champions Mile and Group 1 TAB Champions Stakes. Three weight-for-age contests featuring some of the best horses in training make this the most star-studded card outside of Cup Day itself.

Across to Rosehill where we’ve got Races 7 through 10, with the Group 2 Hot Danish Stakes and Group 3 Five Diamonds anchoring a quality afternoon of Sydney racing. The supporting races are competitive handicaps that should throw up some value.

We’ve done the form across both cards and narrowed down our best bets and value plays for every race. Let’s get into it.

🏇 Flemington R6 1200m – Group 1 Vrc Champions Sprint

📝 Race Overview: The cream of the sprinting crop clash in this weight-for-age feature down the Flemington straight. Tempted is the star attraction after her brilliant Everest victory, but quality abounds with several Group 1 performers looking to end their spring campaigns on a high. Expect a genuine tempo with speed drawn across the field.

🔥 Best Bet: TEMPTED 💰 Odds: ~$1.80 ⚡ The best sprinter in the country right now. Her form string of 32x111x111 speaks volumes — she’s won six of her past seven starts including The Everest last start at Randwick. Career figures of 10 wins from 15 starts (67% strike rate, 93% place rate) are extraordinary. Gets the 2kg WFA advantage at 56.5kg and looks incredibly hard to beat.

💎 Best Value: JOLIESTAR 💰 Odds: ~$4.80 💥 A genuine Group 1 mare with 10 wins and 5 placings from 24 starts (42% win rate, 83% place rate). Her form reads 3x111x3x23 — she’s placed at her past two starts this preparation after winning three straight last campaign. James McDonald aboard from barrier 10 adds further appeal at each-way odds.

🏇 Flemington R7 1600m – Group 1 Vrc Champions Mile

📝 Race Overview: Autumn Glow is the undisputed star of this race with a record that borders on perfection. The question here is not who wins, but whether anything can challenge her. A small field of nine adds to her dominance, though the WFA conditions and Flemington’s unique layout could give a bold frontrunner a sniff.

🔥 Best Bet: AUTUMN GLOW 💰 Odds: ~$1.20 ⚡ Fourteen wins from fifteen career starts — a 93% win rate with a 100% place rate. That is a once-in-a-generation record. Her form string of 1x1113x111 shows she’s won her past three starts including over the mile at Randwick last time out. James McDonald rides and she gets the 2kg WFA mares’ allowance at 57kg. The price is short but the horse is exceptional.

💎 Best Value: LINDERMANN 💰 Odds: ~$12 💥 Won his most recent start over 1800m at Randwick two weeks ago and drops back to the mile here. His career record of 10 wins from 44 starts includes plenty of form at the highest level, and a 55% place rate shows he consistently finds the frame. Damian Lane riding from barrier 3 gives him every chance to get an economical run.

🏇 Flemington R8 2000m – Group 1 Tab Champions Stakes

📝 Race Overview: The staying feature of Stakes Day and a rematch of several Melbourne Cup runners stepping back in distance. The track conditions will play a role, and the step down from 3200m to 2000m will suit some more than others. A fascinating contest to unpack.

🔥 Best Bet: COSMIC CRUSADER 💰 Odds: ~$3.30 ⚡ Won the Melbourne Cup over 2040m at this track just two weeks ago — that’s the ultimate form reference. His record of 12 wins from 24 starts (50% win rate, 79% place rate) is outstanding, and his form string of 12×1132141 shows remarkable consistency with four wins from his past seven starts. William Pike stays aboard and the step down in distance only helps.

💎 Best Value: SIR DELIUS 💰 Odds: ~$8 💥 Blinkers go on for the first time — a significant tactical change from the Waterhouse-Bott yard. His career record of 7 wins from 17 starts (41% win rate, 76% place rate) shows a very talented horse. Form reads 11x331x446 and while he was only sixth in the Melbourne Cup, he won first-up last preparation and has the class to feature with the headgear change sharpening him up.

🏇 Flemington R9 1100m – Hkjc World Pool Grand Handicap (Bm80)

📝 Race Overview: A wide-open BM80 sprint down the Flemington straight with a big field of 16 plus emergencies. The straight-track form will be crucial and there’s plenty of speed drawn across the barriers. Finding the right one at a price could be the key to a good day.

🔥 Best Bet: EDUCATED 💰 Odds: ~$4.60 ⚡ Four wins from just seven career starts for a 57% strike rate with an 86% place rate — those are elite numbers for a BM80 runner. Her form reads 1x116x221 and she won last start at Seymour over 1100m four weeks ago. Has never missed the top two when in the first three home this campaign and looks well suited at the distance.

💎 Best Value: PRESTIGE LUCKY 💰 Odds: ~$11 💥 Unbeaten in two career starts — both at 1100m — and just won at Bendigo last week. The class jump from Bendigo to Flemington is the query, but a perfect record demands respect. Gets in on the minimum with just 55.5kg and Chad Schofield takes the ride. At $11, he offers genuine value if he handles the step up in grade.

🏇 Rosehill R7 1400m – Group 2 Toyota Forklifts Hot Danish Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A set-weights fillies and mares feature that Lazzura dominates on paper. The scratching of Just Precious has thinned the field, but there are still some mares at longer odds who can keep the favourite honest if the tempo is right.

🔥 Best Bet: LAZZURA 💰 Odds: ~$1.45 ⚡ Won her past two starts including over this trip at Randwick two weeks ago. Her form string of 55x212x311 shows two wins from three starts this campaign with a third at her only other outing. Career figures of 8 wins from 20 starts (40% win rate, 70% place rate) are strong, and Tommy Berry from the inside barrier gives her the run of the race.

💎 Best Value: CHAINS OF LOVE 💰 Odds: ~$9 💥 A lightly raced four-year-old with 4 wins from just 7 starts (57% win rate, 86% place rate). Won last start at Randwick over 1200m three weeks ago and steps up to 1400m here. Her form reads 21x1613x1 — she’s won two of her past three starts and the only question is the distance. At $9 she offers excellent each-way value if she handles the trip.

🏇 Rosehill R8 1800m – Group 3 Five Diamonds

📝 Race Overview: The Five Diamonds is restricted to five-year-olds and brings together a competitive field of middle-distance types. The 1800m trip is a genuine staying test and current form will count for plenty. Several runners come through strong last-start efforts and sorting them out is the puzzle.

🔥 Best Bet: DECLICHY BOULEVARD 💰 Odds: ~$4 ⚡ Won her most recent start over 1500m at Randwick two weeks ago. Career record of 4 wins from 16 starts with an impressive 69% place rate (11 placings from 16 starts) shows remarkable consistency. Her form string of 33x15x3101 includes two wins from her past five starts. Tommy Berry rides again and the step up to 1800m looks well within her scope.

💎 Best Value: WELCOMETOTHESHOW 💰 Odds: ~$7.50 💥 The place rate tells the story — 81% from 21 starts (7 wins, 4 seconds, 6 thirds). He rarely misses the frame. Ran third last start at Randwick over 1500m and his form string of 1189×26133 shows he’s a consistent performer at this level. At $7.50 he’s an outstanding each-way proposition for punters who value reliability.

🏇 Rosehill R9 1100m – Grant Burge Handicap (Bm78)

📝 Race Overview: A fillies and mares BM78 sprint that looks wide open after the scratchings of Nullarbor Jane and Horseshoe Hill. Three runners share favouritism around the $4 mark and this looks a genuine puzzle to unravel. Barrier draws and rider claims could be the deciding factor.

🔥 Best Bet: MERCY ME 💰 Odds: ~$4 ⚡ Three wins from nine starts including a three-win streak earlier in her career that shows she can dominate when in form. Her form reads 2111x20x34 and a 67% place rate from nine starts is strong. Tim Clark rides from barrier 4, giving her a lovely position to settle midfield and finish over them.

💎 Best Value: SHOW BUSINESS 💰 Odds: ~$5.50 💥 Won two starts back at Warwick Farm and her form of 21447414×5 shows she can mix it at this level when things fall her way. Gets in well at the weights with just 54kg and Zac Lloyd aboard from barrier 3 should ensure a handy run throughout. At $5.50 she’s the value play in a race where the favourites are hard to split.

🏇 Rosehill R10 1200m – Kia Ora Bloodlines To Headlines Handicap (Bm78)

📝 Race Overview: The final race of the day and Horseshoe Hill looks the one to beat after the scratching of Rose Aye and Blakemore Avenue reduced the field. The short trip at 1200m up from her last-start 1000m effort is a slight query, but her ability is clear. A competitive handicap to close out a big day.

🔥 Best Bet: HORSESHOE HILL 💰 Odds: ~$2.20 ⚡ Clear market leader with 2 wins from 9 starts and a 56% place rate. Her form reads 12x61067x3 and she ran third last start over 1000m at Warwick Farm two weeks ago, having won the start before that. Steps up from 1000m to 1200m which she’s handled before, and Tommy Berry from barrier 2 should have her in a perfect position throughout.

💎 Best Value: ESMAHLI 💰 Odds: ~$5 💥 A remarkable record of 4 wins from 8 starts (50% win rate, 88% place rate) — only out of the top three once in his career. Won last start over 1200m at Cranbourne two weeks ago and his form string of 13117×221 shows a horse in top form. Nash Rawiller takes the ride and the 60kg is well deserved. Excellent value at $5 behind the favourite.

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Odds were captured from Racenet on Thursday 5 November 2026. Scratchings and market moves will continue between now and race time. Always check final fields before placing your bets.

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Colossalbet understands the ramifications of gambling beyond your means and has implemented various safeguards to protect our clients and their interests.

Colossalbet works with Gambling Help Online to offer assistance to anyone who is directly or indirectly affected by gambling. If your gambling has become problematic or the behaviour of a loved one has become a concern, Gambling Help Online offers a range of free support and counselling services about problem gambling in a variety of languages and in a safe and anonymous environment. You can contact Gambling Help Online at any time for free and confidential advice and support by:

📞 Calling 1800 858 858

🌐 Visiting their website https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/

Last week we found 4 winners from 8 races on Victoria Derby Day!

• THE NEXT EPISODE (Odds: ~$3.30)
• STORMY MARCO (Odds: ~$4.20)
• LADY SHENANDOAH (Odds: ~$1.95)
• FLYING FOR FUN (Odds: ~$2.25)

It doesn’t get bigger than this. Melbourne Cup Day at Flemington is the race that stops a nation, and the 2026 edition shapes as one of the most open renewals in years. The Group 1 Lexus Melbourne Cup over 3200 metres is the centrepiece of the entire spring carnival, and a field of twenty-four will contest the famous two-mile handicap on a Soft 5 track with moderate rain about.

Beyond the Cup itself, Flemington has assembled a quality supporting card across the afternoon. The Listed Crown Amanda Elliott for three-year-olds, the Group 3 Hong Kong Jockey Club Stakes for the mares, the Listed Asahi Super Dry Plate and the Australian Heritage Cup over 2800 metres all provide strong form tests in their own right.

We’ve covered six races from R4 through to R9, with the Cup the obvious headline act. Four winners from Derby Day keeps the momentum rolling — let’s see if Cup Day can deliver another memorable afternoon.

🏇 Flemington R4 1000m – The Schweppervescence Plate (3YO SW+P)

📝 Race Overview: A quality three-year-old sprint over the Flemington 1000 metres with thirteen runners reduced to eleven after two scratchings. Ole Go and Peyton head the market, with a handful of lightly raced types adding depth. The short trip down the straight should ensure a genuine tempo from the outset.

🔥 Best Bet: OLE GO 💰 Odds: ~$5 ⚡ James McDonald picks up the ride on a colt who won first-up this preparation and now goes second-up where he should be fitter and sharper. His career record of two wins and a second from four starts gives him a 50% win rate and 75% place rate — outstanding numbers for a three-year-old stepping out on Cup Day. The 57kg looks fair in a set-weights-plus-penalty race.

💎 Best Value: PARCAE 💰 Odds: ~$9.50 💥 Two starts for two wins — a perfect 100% strike rate is hard to ignore at any price, let alone $9.50. She carries the filly’s allowance at 55kg and her form string of 11 speaks for itself. The query is whether she’s up to this level against the colts, but the price more than accounts for that and she’s a genuine each-way proposition.

🏇 Flemington R5 2800m – Australian Heritage Cup (Bm96)

📝 Race Overview: A staying handicap over 2800 metres that attracted a strong field of eighteen, reduced to fourteen after scratchings. Jennivamoose is the market leader but her recent form reads 5th and 9th — far from convincing. Tempesti’s consistency and Autumnheat’s back-to-back wins both stand out in a race where stamina will be tested on the rain-affected track.

🔥 Best Bet: TEMPESTI 💰 Odds: ~$6.50 ⚡ A remarkable consistency record — nine wins, seven seconds and six thirds from thirty-three starts for a 27% win rate and 67% place rate. He’s placed at his past two starts (2nd and 3rd) and has the proven staying form that a 2800-metre test on a Soft 5 track demands. Jamie Mott retains the ride at 59.5kg.

💎 Best Value: AUTUMNHEAT 💰 Odds: ~$10 💥 Has won his last two starts and gets in with the minimum 53kg — a significant weight advantage over the top-rated runners. His form string of 1722×45011 shows back-to-back victories at the right end, and at $10 he offers genuine each-way value in a staying race where the light weight could prove decisive over the final stages.

🏇 Flemington R6 1800m – Asahi Super Dry Plate (LR)

📝 Race Overview: A Listed handicap over 1800 metres with a field of ten after four scratchings. Sabaj is the clear market leader at $2.40 but his recent form reads 7th, 10th-plus, 10th-plus — three consecutive poor runs that raise questions despite the short price. St Lawrence’s two straight wins and Al Duca’s outstanding consistency rate make this more competitive than the market suggests.

🔥 Best Bet: ST LAWRENCE 💰 Odds: ~$5 ⚡ Has won his last two starts and James McDonald takes the ride — a powerful combination heading into a Listed race over a trip he’s clearly suited to. His career record of ten wins from thirty-seven starts shows a proven performer, and the form string ending in 211 confirms he’s in the best form of his current preparation. A 56kg allocation looks fair.

💎 Best Value: AL DUCA 💰 Odds: ~$9 💥 Eight wins and nine seconds from twenty-five starts gives him a 32% win rate and a 68% place rate — exceptional consistency at this level. Damian Lane rides at 55.5kg and his recent form includes a second and a fourth from his past two starts. At $9 he’s a serious each-way contender in a race where the favourite’s recent form is far from assured.

🏇 Flemington R7 3200m – Group 1 Lexus Melbourne Cup (Handicap)

📝 Race Overview: The race that stops a nation. Twenty-four runners will line up for the 3200-metre staying championship on a Soft 5 track that should test stamina to the limit. Hopewell Rock heads the market as a progressive UK stayer, but Point Of Law’s Geelong Cup victory and So You Are’s four straight wins ensure this is a wide-open affair. The rain-affected going adds another layer of complexity for a field where many are stepping to the two miles for the first time. Multiple first-time gear changes across the field suggest connections have been preparing for this one shot at history.

🔥 Best Bet: HOPEWELL ROCK 💰 Odds: ~$7 ⚡ The market favourite with an extraordinary 80% place rate from ten career starts — he has missed a placing just twice in his life. A lightly raced stayer who won two starts ago and ran a game second last start before the spell, his progressive staying profile is tailor-made for the Melbourne Cup. Zac Lloyd rides at 54.5kg with Ear Muffs Pre-Race going on for the first time.

💎 Best Value: SO YOU ARE 💰 Odds: ~$12 💥 Has won his last four starts in succession — the longest winning streak of any runner in the field. His form string of 7432421111 tells the story, with those four 1s at the right end confirming a horse in career-best form. A 29% win rate and 71% place rate from twenty-eight starts is excellent, and at 54kg with Rachel King aboard, $12 looks generous for a horse who simply does not know how to lose right now.

🏇 Flemington R8 1400m – Crown Amanda Elliott (LR 3YO)

📝 Race Overview: A Listed race for the three-year-olds over 1400 metres with eleven runners reduced to seven after four scratchings. Ranarsson dominates the market at $2 with a perfect record, but the step to Listed company and a field of promising types could provide a stiffer test than the price suggests. Barracks and Mr Natural shape as the main dangers.

🔥 Best Bet: RANARSSON 💰 Odds: ~$2 ⚡ Unbeaten in two career starts with a 100% win rate — both victories achieved with authority. He steps up to Listed level for the first time but his price reflects the high opinion connections and the market hold. Ben Melham rides at 54kg and if he handles the class rise, he looks the one they all have to beat.

💎 Best Value: BARRACKS 💰 Odds: ~$7.50 💥 An 80% place rate from five starts is outstanding for a three-year-old at this stage of his career. His form string of 224×12 shows he won first-up this preparation and ran second last start — consistent form that suggests he handles whatever is thrown at him. Ethan Brown rides at 58kg and at $7.50 he’s the logical each-way alternative in a race the favourite should win but might not.

🏇 Flemington R9 1400m – Group 3 The Hong Kong Jockey Club Stakes (4YO+ Mares SW+P)

📝 Race Overview: A Group 3 set-weights-plus-penalty race for the mares over 1400 metres to round out the feature races on Cup Day. Shadhavar is the clear favourite after winning last start at Caulfield, but So You Pence’s remarkable place strike rate and Terilee’s consistency ensure this is a competitive mares’ race with depth throughout the field.

🔥 Best Bet: SHADHAVAR 💰 Odds: ~$3.20 ⚡ Seven wins from eighteen starts for a 39% win rate and 67% place rate — the class mare in this field. Won last start over 1400 metres at Caulfield and her form string of 12x11x1421 shows she rarely runs a bad race. Craig Williams rides at 58kg in a set-weights race where her rating advantage should prove decisive.

💎 Best Value: SO YOU PENCE 💰 Odds: ~$7.50 💥 A 45% win rate and 82% place rate from eleven starts is among the best consistency records on the entire Cup Day card. Tommy Berry takes the ride at 55kg and she ran a solid third last start first-up, suggesting she should improve second-up over the 1400 metres at Flemington. Equicast goes on for the first time, which hints at connections looking for that extra edge.

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Last week we found 6 winners from 8 races on Cox Plate Day — our best day of the spring!

• SURFIN’ BIRD (Odds: ~$3.10)
• COSMIC CRUSADER (Odds: ~$8)
• SOVERATO (Odds: ~$4.80)
• PROXIMA DEA (Odds: ~$3.80)
• LAZZURA (Odds: ~$2.70)
• ANTHRACITE (Odds: ~$3.60)

It doesn’t get much bigger than this. Victoria Derby Day at Flemington is the opening act of the Melbourne Cup Carnival and one of the great days on the Australian racing calendar. Three Group 1 races headline a brilliant card, with the Coolmore Stud Stakes for the three-year-old sprinters, the Victoria Derby over the classic 2500 metres, and the Empire Rose Stakes for the mares all set to deliver first-class racing.

Over at Randwick, the Group 1 Golden Eagle is the centrepiece — a $10 million race restricted to four-year-olds over 1500 metres that has quickly become one of the most anticipated events on the Sydney calendar. The Group 2 Russell Balding Stakes and the Listed Sydney Gold Cup complete a strong supporting card at headquarters.

Two states, eight feature races, and the spring carnival at full throttle. We’ve done the form across both meetings and locked in our best bets and value plays for what shapes as a spectacular afternoon of racing.

🏇 Flemington R6 1200m – Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes (3YO Set Weights)

📝 Race Overview: The three-year-old sprint championship down the Flemington straight with a quality field of fourteen. The Next Episode and St Gotthard look the two to fight this out, but Natural Fling and Satono Glow give the fillies a strong chance against the colts. Barrier draws matter down the straight and the pace should be genuine with several on-speed types engaged.

🔥 Best Bet: THE NEXT EPISODE 💰 Odds: ~$3.70 ⚡ An outstanding record of four wins from six starts with a 67% win strike rate and 83% place rate. His form string reads 0x1211x1 — he’s second-up here after winning first-up and has a strong pattern of improvement with racing. Mark Zahra retains the ride on what looks the most reliable runner in the field.

💎 Best Value: SATONO GLOW 💰 Odds: ~$5 💥 Four wins from five starts is a remarkable record for any three-year-old, and her form string of 114×11 tells the story — she’s won her past two starts and has an 80% career win rate. Second-up after a first-up victory, the only query is whether she’s up to Group 1 level, but the price accounts for that.

🏇 Flemington R7 2500m – Group 1 Howden Victoria Derby (3YO Set Weights)

📝 Race Overview: The classic staying test for the three-year-olds over 2500 metres. This looks a wide-open Derby with no dominant favourite, and stamina is the great unknown — most of these are stepping to the distance for the first time. Stormy Marco, Cormier and Quick Finish head a field where the race shape and settling position could prove decisive.

🔥 Best Bet: STORMY MARCO 💰 Odds: ~$4.60 ⚡ James McDonald picks up the ride on a colt with a solid platform of form this preparation. His form string of 183×2954 shows he’s deep into this campaign and his recent placings suggest he’s building towards a peak performance. Barrier 16 is awkward but McDonald has the tactical nous to manage it over the 2500 metres.

💎 Best Value: QUICK FINISH 💰 Odds: ~$19 💥 Three wins from four starts including a hat-trick of victories — her form string of 5111 shows an upward trajectory that’s hard to ignore. The filly has found her groove with racing this preparation and at the price she looks a genuine each-way chance if the classic distance suits. Jamie McNeil stays aboard after their winning sequence.

🏇 Flemington R8 1600m – Group 1 TAB Empire Rose Stakes (WFA F&M)

📝 Race Overview: The weight-for-age mile championship for the fillies and mares features a compact field of eleven. Lady Shenandoah and Surfin’ Bird look the clear top two on recent form and ratings, and this shapes as a genuine match race between them. The mile trip on a big Flemington track should suit the quality runners.

🔥 Best Bet: LADY SHENANDOAH 💰 Odds: ~$2.50 ⚡ The highest-rated runner in the field at 116 with earnings over $5 million. Her record of six wins from eighteen starts includes consistent placings — a 33% win and 72% place rate tells you she rarely runs a bad race. James McDonald riding for what looks a class edge over her rivals at weight-for-age.

💎 Best Value: UNLEESHING 💰 Odds: ~$8.50 💥 Her recent form string of 31152×2211 is outstanding — five wins and five placings from her past ten starts for a 36% win rate and 86% place rate. She’s won two of her past three and the drop back to the mile at Flemington looks ideal. At $8.50 she’s a genuine each-way proposition in a race where the top two could be vulnerable.

🏇 Flemington R9 1100m – Group 3 Asahi Super Dry Sprint (4YO+ Mares SW+P)

📝 Race Overview: A mares’ sprint down the Flemington straight to close the Derby Day card. Flying For Fun looks the one to beat as the clear market favourite, but there’s depth in this field with Bridal Waltz and Geegees Mistruth both proven mares at this level. A genuine tempo should set up a strong finish down the famous straight.

🔥 Best Bet: FLYING FOR FUN 💰 Odds: ~$2.50 ⚡ James McDonald aboard the clear top-rated runner at 106 with four wins and four placings from seventeen starts. Her 57kg looks fair in a set-weights-plus-penalty race and she’s the proven Group performer in this field. The Flemington straight should suit her style of racing and she looks well placed to add to her record.

💎 Best Value: BRIDAL WALTZ 💰 Odds: ~$5.50 💥 A mare with a brilliant place strike rate — six wins, four placings and five thirds from twenty starts gives her a 30% win and 75% place rate. Her form string of 23x172x223 shows she’s rarely far from the action and at $5.50 she looks over the odds in a race where the favourite has to give her weight. Ben Melham takes the ride.

🏇 Randwick R7 1300m – Group 2 The Russell Balding Stakes (SW+P)

📝 Race Overview: A strong set-weights-plus-penalty race over 1300 metres featuring some hardened sprinter-milers. Headwall stands out with his brilliant consistency, while Jimmysstar brings Group 1 credentials and the class factor. The race should be run at a solid tempo with Grafterburners and Ninja likely to ensure the speed is genuine.

🔥 Best Bet: HEADWALL 💰 Odds: ~$4 ⚡ The most consistent horse in the field with seven wins, six seconds and four thirds from twenty-one starts — a 33% win rate and 81% place rate is exceptional at this level. His form string of 4232x1x254 shows he’s competitive nearly every start and Craig Schofield retains the ride. Maps to get a soft run from barrier 3.

💎 Best Value: GRAFTERBURNERS 💰 Odds: ~$9 💥 Seven wins from eighteen starts and the four-year-old won last start, reading a 1 at the right of his form string 11x300x841. Nash Rawiller retains the ride at 57.5kg and he brings a high rating of 113 into a race where his best form stacks up. At $9 he offers genuine each-way value if he can back up that last-start victory at Group 2 level.

🏇 Randwick R8 1500m – Group 1 Asahi Super Dry Golden Eagle (4YO Set Weights)

📝 Race Overview: The $10 million showpiece restricted to four-year-olds over 1500 metres. Sheza Alibi is the dominant favourite with a sensational record, but the set-weights conditions bring others into the contest. Beiwacht and Autumn Boy loom as the main dangers, with the step to 1500 metres a test for all runners. A fascinating race with enormous stakes.

🔥 Best Bet: SHEZA ALIBI 💰 Odds: ~$1.70 ⚡ Eight wins from thirteen starts for a 62% win strike rate and a perfect 100% place rate — she has never missed a placing in her career. Her form string of 11x111x212 is simply outstanding and she carries $4.5 million in prizemoney. Nash Rawiller has been replaced by Luke Nolen but her class is undeniable at set weights where the mares’ allowance gives her 55.5kg.

💎 Best Value: BEIWACHT 💰 Odds: ~$7 💥 A Norton Bit goes on for the first time here, which suggests connections are looking for improvement. Four wins and three placings from sixteen starts shows he’s competitive at this level, and his form string of 4x8261x193 includes a last-start third that was full of merit. At $7 he offers value as a genuine alternative to the favourite if she has an off day.

🏇 Randwick R9 2000m – Listed Sydney Gold Cup (Quality)

📝 Race Overview: A staying test over 2000 metres with a field that includes several proven middle-distance performers. Starzintheireyes and Anthracite have caught the market’s attention and rightly so — both are consistent performers at the trip. The genuine stayers should be advantaged late and the race looks set to be run at a solid tempo throughout.

🔥 Best Bet: STARZINTHEIREYES 💰 Odds: ~$3.90 ⚡ His place record stands out — two wins, four seconds and one third from eleven starts for an 18% win rate and a 64% place rate. His form string of 75x236x224 shows he’s hit the frame at his past three starts and is building towards a peak. Craig Schofield takes the ride on a horse who looks ideally suited to this trip and class.

💎 Best Value: ANTHRACITE 💰 Odds: ~$4.80 💥 Six wins, two placings and three thirds from fourteen starts gives him a 43% win rate and 79% place rate — outstanding consistency. His recent form string of 0x34321311 shows he’s won three of his past four starts and is in career-best form. He drops to 53.5kg here, which looks a significant advantage, and at $4.80 he shapes as a genuine winning chance rather than just a value play.

🏇 Randwick R10 1100m – Catanach’s Jewellers Handicap (Bm78)

📝 Race Overview: A competitive benchmark sprint to close the Randwick card with scratchings reducing the field. Somerton Smart has the form on the board and the low weight, while Where’stheprofit brings the consistency factor. A genuine tempo looks likely and this could set up for a horse coming from just off the speed.

🔥 Best Bet: SOMERTON SMART 💰 Odds: ~$4.80 ⚡ Four wins from eight starts for a 50% win rate is impressive for any horse at this stage of his career. His form string of 1x445x15x1 shows he won last start and has the ability to produce his best when fresh. Gets in well at the weights with 54.5kg and Dylan Gibbons stays aboard after their recent success together.

💎 Best Value: WHERE’STHEPROFIT 💰 Odds: ~$9 💥 Six wins and three placings from eleven starts for a 55% win strike rate and 82% place rate is simply outstanding. His form string of 4x2211x121 shows he’s won two of his past three starts and is in terrific form. The 58.5kg is the query, but his record suggests he can carry it, and at $9 there’s genuine each-way value in a competitive sprint.

Colossalbet understands the ramifications of gambling beyond your means and has implemented various safeguards to protect our clients and their interests.

Colossalbet works with Gambling Help Online to offer assistance to anyone who is directly or indirectly affected by gambling. If your gambling has become problematic or the behaviour of a loved one has become a concern, Gambling Help Online offers a range of free support and counselling services about problem gambling in a variety of languages and in a safe and anonymous environment. You can contact Gambling Help Online at any time for free and confidential advice and support by:

📞 Calling 1800 858 858

🌐 Visiting their website https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/

Last week we found 4 winners from 8 races on Everest & Caulfield Cup Day!

• TEMPTED (Odds: ~$7.50)
• AUTUMN GLOW (Odds: ~$1.25)
• CROSS TASMAN (Odds: ~$2.15)
• SHADHAVAR (Odds: ~$3.60)

Our best day of the spring so far — four from eight with Tempted winning the Everest at a nice price and Shadhavar taking out the Tristarc as our value play. The momentum is there and the timing couldn’t be better, because this Saturday is Cox Plate Day.

The Moonee Valley meeting is racing at Flemington this year and the Group 1 Ladbrokes Cox Plate headlines a quality card over 2040 metres. Sir Delius, Warwoven and Aeliana head a fascinating weight-for-age clash, while the Group 2 Ladbrokes Moonee Valley Gold Cup and the Group 2 Kia Ora Stud Mile round out a brilliant afternoon.

Over at Randwick, the Group 1 Mot & Chandon Spring Champion Stakes is the feature — an unbeaten filly in Proxima Dea clashes with Global Goal in a race that could define the three-year-old season. The Group 2 Invitation and the Five Diamonds Prelude complete a strong card at headquarters.

Two states, eight feature races, three Group 1s and Group 2s everywhere you look. We’ve done the form and narrowed down our best bets and value plays for every race. Let’s get into it.

🏇 Flemington R6 1600m – Group 2 Kia Ora Stud Mile

📝 Race Overview: A quality Group 2 mile with the in-form Surfin’ Bird looking to continue her outstanding run. The field of twelve includes several proven milers but the mare towers over this field on recent form. Barrier draws and the likely tempo will be important in what should be a genuinely run 1600 metres.

🔥 Best Bet: SURFIN’ BIRD 💰 Odds: ~$2.50 ⚡ Six wins from eleven starts is a remarkable record and she’s clearly in the form of her life. Won last start at Caulfield over this distance and her 55% win strike rate tells you she rarely runs below her best. The 2kg sex allowance helps at set weights, James Childs sticks with her from barrier 7 and she maps to get a lovely run with cover in transit.

💎 Best Value: BUCKAROO 💰 Odds: ~$6.50 💥 The highest-rated runner in the field at 113 and over $3.7 million in career earnings — his class is undeniable. James McDonald is a significant jockey engagement and from barrier 4 he maps to get every chance just behind the speed. He drops back from 2000m to 1600m which should sharpen him up and if the pace is genuine he’s the type to be rattling home late.

🏇 Flemington R7 2500m – Group 2 Ladbrokes Moonee Valley Gold Cup

📝 Race Overview: A deep staying race over 2500 metres with several last-start winners in the mix. Aethelwulf’s extraordinary strike rate commands respect while the likes of Pinhole, Juja Kibo and King Pedro add genuine depth to a fascinating contest. The long Flemington straight will sort out the stayers from the flat-track battlers.

🔥 Best Bet: AETHELWULF 💰 Odds: ~$6 ⚡ Five wins from just eight career starts — a 63% strike rate that is simply outstanding for a stayer. His form string of 2×1511112 shows he almost never misses a place and his 88% place rate is the best in the field. Craig Williams partners from barrier 19 which is a query, but at 55.5kg he gets a significant weight advantage over the topweights and his relaxed racing style suggests the step to 2500m will suit.

💎 Best Value: MR MONACO 💰 Odds: ~$10 💥 Eight wins from 24 starts and crucially he won last start over 2520m at this track — he’s already proven at the distance and the venue. His form of 1x5110x401 shows three wins from his past five completed starts and his Flemington record is strong. Jamie Johnstone claims an apprentice allowance and at the price he looks a genuine each-way chance in a race where proven staying form is essential.

🏇 Flemington R8 2040m – Group 1 Ladbrokes Cox Plate

📝 Race Overview: The weight-for-age championship of Australasia and a fascinating edition with no dominant favourite. Sir Delius brings the best consistency, Warwoven the X-factor of a brilliant three-year-old on the rise, and Aeliana the proven Group 1 mare with a 2kg sex allowance. Cosmic Crusader drops back from the Caulfield Cup and several others have legitimate claims in one of the most open Cox Plates in years.

🔥 Best Bet: SIR DELIUS 💰 Odds: ~$4.20 ⚡ Seven wins from sixteen starts, an 81% place rate and the highest rating in the field at 119 — his consistency at the elite level is unmatched. Craig Williams partners from barrier 5 which gives him a perfect position to settle in the first half. His form of 211x331x44 shows he handles 2000m and has nearly $5 million in career earnings. He’s the type who keeps lifting when challenged and in a truly open Cox Plate he looks the safest play.

💎 Best Value: COSMIC CRUSADER 💰 Odds: ~$8.50 💥 Eleven wins from 23 starts at a 48% strike rate — he’s a freak on his day. Last start’s fourth in the Caulfield Cup over 2400m can be forgiven from barrier 17 and the drop back to 2040m is ideal. William Pike stays on and his form string of 112×113214 shows how rarely he runs a bad race. At nearly double the favourite’s price he represents genuine value for a horse with a rating of 118 and $2.7 million in the bank.

🏇 Flemington R9 2040m – Group 3 Powerflo Solutions Tesio Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A mares’ handicap over the Cox Plate distance and a wide-open affair with several in-form runners engaged. Soverato heads the market for Chris Waller while the likes of Perfect Ten, Ocean Bay and Too Darn Discreet all bring strong recent form to the table. The 2040m trip will test a few who are stepping up in distance.

🔥 Best Bet: SOVERATO 💰 Odds: ~$5.50 ⚡ The market favourite for good reason — Chris Waller has aimed her at this race and Damian Lane is a key jockey engagement from barrier 7. She ran third of seventeen last start at Randwick over 1600m which was a solid effort in a strong field. Two wins from eleven starts is a modest record on paper but she’s well weighted at 54kg and the step to 2040m looks ideal for a mare with her breeding and racing pattern.

💎 Best Value: OCEAN BAY 💰 Odds: ~$11 💥 Four wins from her last five starts is the best current form of any runner in this field and she won last start over 2025m at Cranbourne — essentially the same trip as Saturday. Five wins from eleven starts at a 45% strike rate shows she’s a talented mare on the rise. Dean Stackhouse rides at 54kg and while the step up to Group 3 level is a test, her recent record suggests she’s more than capable of handling the rise in grade.

🏇 Randwick R7 2000m – Group 1 Mot & Chandon Spring Champion Stakes

📝 Race Overview: The classic three-year-old middle-distance test and a race that could shape the autumn carnival. Global Goal is the clear favourite after winning at this track but the unbeaten Proxima Dea looms as the genuine threat — four wins from four starts and stepping to 2000m for the first time. Several colts add intrigue in what should be a fascinating clash.

🔥 Best Bet: GLOBAL GOAL 💰 Odds: ~$2.90 ⚡ Two wins from four starts with a perfect 100% place rate — she hasn’t missed a top-three finish in her career. Won last start at Randwick over 1600m three weeks ago and the step to 2000m looks well within her compass. Dylan Gibbons rides at 54.5kg with the filly’s weight advantage and her Randwick form is proven. In a race full of question marks, she’s the safest option.

💎 Best Value: PROXIMA DEA 💰 Odds: ~$5 💥 Unbeaten in four career starts — a perfect record that demands respect. Her form string of 1111 tells the whole story and she won last start over 1800m at Rosehill in impressive fashion. Zac Lloyd rides at 54.5kg and the only question is the step from 1800m to 2000m. At $5 she represents terrific value for a filly who simply has not been beaten and has won her races with authority.

🏇 Randwick R8 1400m – Group 2 The Invitation

📝 Race Overview: A quality mares’ sprint over 1400 metres with Lazzura resuming her rivalry with several she’s already beaten this preparation. Gerringong brings the speed factor after winning fresh last start while the likes of Verona Rose and Perfumist add depth to a competitive field. A solid tempo looks assured with several on-pace runners drawn wide.

🔥 Best Bet: LAZZURA 💰 Odds: ~$3.20 ⚡ Seven wins from nineteen starts and a 68% place rate that shows how rarely she misses. Won last start at Rosehill over this distance four weeks ago in authoritative fashion and Tommy Berry sticks with her from barrier 12. The freshness from four weeks between runs should have her peaking and she has proven 1400m form at the highest level.

💎 Best Value: VERONA ROSE 💰 Odds: ~$7.50 💥 Five wins from seventeen starts with a 53% place rate and crucially she ran second behind Lazzura over this distance at Rosehill last start — the form reference couldn’t be stronger. Kerrin McEvoy rides from barrier 4 which is a significant advantage over the favourite’s wide draw. She gets a half-kilo pull in the weights at 58.5kg and at the price she looks terrific each-way value in a race where the main form is proven.

🏇 Randwick R9 1500m – Five Diamonds Prelude

📝 Race Overview: A fascinating five-year-old set weights race restricted to the single age group and a genuinely open betting affair. Declichy Boulevard and Linebacker head the market but neither has been dominant recently. Welcometotheshow adds a twist after being redirected from the Flemington card, while Evaporate is a dual acceptor who shapes as a significant runner wherever he starts.

🔥 Best Bet: LINEBACKER 💰 Odds: ~$3.60 ⚡ Ran third of fifteen last start at Rosehill over 1400m which was a solid effort in a quality field. Four wins from nineteen starts doesn’t read spectacularly on paper, but Zac Lloyd sticks with him from barrier 2 where he maps to get a lovely run on the fence. The step from 1400m to 1500m suits and he shapes as the type to grind out a result over the slightly longer trip.

💎 Best Value: WELCOMETOTHESHOW 💰 Odds: ~$7 💥 Seven wins from twenty starts and an 80% place rate that makes him one of the most consistent horses on the card — he almost always runs in the money. Redirected here after being scratched from the Kia Ora Stud Mile at Flemington which suggests the stable sees this as his better option. From barrier 4 at 56kg he gets a 3.5kg pull on the topweight and his form of 11189×2613 shows he handles this grade comfortably. At the price he looks outstanding each-way value.

🏇 Randwick R10 1600m – Robrick Lodge Filante Handicap

📝 Race Overview: A competitive mile handicap to close the Randwick card with Estadio Mestalla heading the market after back-to-back seconds. Anthracite is the danger after winning last start and the 9kg weight swing between the two could prove decisive. Expect this to be run at a genuine tempo with several on-pace runners engaged.

🔥 Best Bet: ESTADIO MESTALLA 💰 Odds: ~$2.80 ⚡ Eight wins from 42 starts and over $2.1 million in career earnings — he’s the proven class runner of this field. Second at both starts this preparation and Nash Rawiller sticks with him from barrier 2 where he’ll get every chance. His 57% place rate across 42 starts speaks to remarkable consistency and the 1600m looks his ideal trip. He’s overdue to convert one of those seconds into a win.

💎 Best Value: ANTHRACITE 💰 Odds: ~$4.20 💥 Five wins from thirteen starts at a 38% strike rate and a 77% place rate that is the best in the field. Won last start at Rosehill over 2000m and while he drops back in distance, the 52kg he carries gives him a massive 9kg pull on the favourite. Adrian Adkins rides and from barrier 10 he should settle in a nice position with cover. His record of 70×3432131 shows he’s been in outstanding form this preparation and at the price he looks hard to leave out.

Colossalbet understands the ramifications of gambling beyond your means and has implemented various safeguards to protect our clients and their interests.

Colossalbet works with Gambling Help Online to offer assistance to anyone who is directly or indirectly affected by gambling. If your gambling has become problematic or the behaviour of a loved one has become a concern, Gambling Help Online offers a range of free support and counselling services about problem gambling in a variety of languages and in a safe and anonymous environment. You can contact Gambling Help Online at any time for free and confidential advice and support by:

📞 Calling 1800 858 858

🌐 Visiting their website https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/

Last week we found 2 winners from 8 races on Guineas Day!

• FIERCE (Odds: ~$2.50)
• WARWOVEN (Odds: ~$2.35)

Spring racing hits its absolute peak this Saturday with a double header that simply doesn’t get any bigger. The TAB Everest and the Caulfield Cup share the same afternoon — the richest sprint in the land alongside one of the great staying tests — and we’ve got eight feature races to dissect across Randwick and Caulfield.

At Randwick, The TAB Everest headlines an outstanding card. The world’s richest turf sprint has attracted another stellar field of twelve, headlined by the extraordinary Ka Ying Rising chasing back-to-back wins. We’ll also cover the Group 1 King Charles III Stakes and the Silver Eagle on what is a blockbuster day at headquarters.

Down in Melbourne, Caulfield Cup Day is the centrepiece of the spring carnival. The Group 1 Caulfield Cup over 2400m is a genuine race for the ages, with Cosmic Crusader the horse they all have to beat. The Thousand Guineas and the Tristarc Stakes round out a massive Caulfield card.

With so much quality racing across two states, we’ve done the form and narrowed down our best bets and value plays for every race. Let’s get into it.

🏇 Randwick R7 1200m – Group 1 The TAB Everest

📝 Race Overview: The richest turf sprint in the world and it has a worthy favourite. Ka Ying Rising is chasing consecutive Everest wins and has been nothing short of sensational throughout his career. The question isn’t whether he’s the best horse in the race — it’s whether anything can find a way to beat him. Tempo and barrier position will be critical in a capacity field.

🔥 Best Bet: KA YING RISING 💰 Odds: ~$1.50 ⚡ The numbers speak for themselves — 22 wins from 24 career starts and over $30 million in earnings. He’s proven at the distance, proven at the track, and proven at the highest level. Zac Purton rides with supreme confidence and from barrier 11 he should get a perfect trail. He’s the best sprinter we’ve seen in years and it’s hard to see him being beaten here.

💎 Best Value: TEMPTED 💰 Odds: ~$4.80 💥 Nine wins from 14 starts and rising through the grades at a rapid rate. This four-year-old mare has real quality and the 2kg claim for her sex helps at set weights. From barrier 1 she maps to get a lovely run on the fence and if the speed is genuine, she’s the type to be charging late. A genuine chance at a nice price.

🏇 Randwick R8 1300m – Listed Silver Eagle

📝 Race Overview: A quality four-year-old sprint that doubles as a lead-up to the Golden Eagle in three weeks. Skyhook was dominant last start in the Shannon Stakes and looks the one to beat, though several lightly-raced types add real intrigue to what should be a genuinely run affair.

🔥 Best Bet: SKYHOOK 💰 Odds: ~$3 ⚡ Impressive winner of the Shannon Stakes at Rosehill last start where he led and was never headed. Six wins from 15 starts and his front-running style suits the Randwick 1300m. Three weeks between runs is ideal and from barrier 5 he’ll roll forward and be hard to peg back.

💎 Best Value: DECORUM 💰 Odds: ~$8 💥 Five wins from just seven career starts — that’s a seriously progressive record for a four-year-old. He’s lightly raced and comes into this on the back of consistent form. From barrier 2 he maps to get a lovely run just behind the pace and at this price he looks terrific each-way value in an open sprint.

🏇 Randwick R9 1609m – Group 1 King Charles III Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A small but select field for this Group 1 mile. Autumn Glow is one of the most remarkable racehorses in training with 13 wins from 14 starts and she towers over this field on ratings. The only question is whether the small field and a potential lack of genuine pace can create an upset scenario for one of the roughies.

🔥 Best Bet: AUTUMN GLOW 💰 Odds: ~$1.45 ⚡ Simply extraordinary — 13 wins from 14 career starts and nearly $10 million in prizemoney. She’s unbeaten at this distance and James McDonald partners from barrier 4. Chris Waller has her in peak form and she’s the type of mare who just keeps lifting when challenged. The short price is fully justified.

💎 Best Value: CEOLWULF 💰 Odds: ~$3.80 💥 Seven wins and over $11 million in career earnings make him a proven Group 1 performer. He’s drawn perfectly in barrier 1 where Chad Schofield can park him on the fence and save ground. In a small field he could get a soft lead or sit one-out-one-back and if the pace is slow, he’s the danger most likely to give Autumn Glow something to think about.

🏇 Randwick R10 1400m – HKJC World Pool Handicap (Bm88)

📝 Race Overview: A big-field 1400m handicap to close the Randwick card and a genuinely competitive affair. Cross Tasman heads the market after placing at both starts this preparation, while Ertijaaj resumes off a last-start win with a big weight advantage. Expect a solid tempo with several on-pace runners engaged.

🔥 Best Bet: CROSS TASMAN 💰 Odds: ~$2.70 ⚡ His form string of 122X22 tells the story — placed at both starts this campaign and rarely runs a bad race. Gets blinkers on for the first time which is a positive gear change and from barrier 14 he should settle midfield with cover over the 1400m. He’s clearly the top-rated runner in the field at 60kg and looks the one to beat.

💎 Best Value: ERTIJAAJ 💰 Odds: ~$5.75 💥 Won last start when fresh at Rosehill and the form string X115X1 shows he’s a talented type on his day. Drawn barrier 4 in a big field of 19 is a significant advantage — he maps to get a lovely run with cover just behind the speed. At 52kg he gets an 8kg pull on the favourite and at the price he looks a genuine each-way prospect.

🏇 Caulfield R7 1600m – Group 1 Stow Storage Thousand Guineas

📝 Race Overview: The classic three-year-old fillies’ mile and a race full of potential. Several unbeaten types clash here for the first time and the step to 1600m will sort out the stayers from the sprinters. Saintly Dancer and Regal Ambition are the market principals but this looks a wide-open Guineas with several live chances.

🔥 Best Bet: REGAL AMBITION 💰 Odds: ~$4.40 ⚡ Two wins and a second from just three career starts — she’s done nothing wrong. She steps to 1600m for the first time but her pedigree suggests the trip will suit and she’s clearly got talent to burn. Michael Dee rides and from barrier 11 she should get a lovely run with cover in transit. The step up in class is the test but the form is strong enough to handle it.

💎 Best Value: DE ARMAS 💰 Odds: ~$7.50 💥 Two wins from five starts for the Chris Waller stable and she’s been aimed at this race. William Pike is a key booking — he rarely comes to Melbourne without a live chance. From barrier 7 she’ll get every opportunity to settle in a nice position and the Waller-Pike combination commands respect. At the price she looks great value.

🏇 Caulfield R8 1200m – Group 3 Catanach’s Jewellers Blue Sapphire Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A three-year-old sprint that has attracted a quality field of a dozen. Over Excited has the strongest form credentials after winning fresh last start, while Doubt Time was an impressive debut winner at Caulfield and goes up significantly in grade. The inexperience factor makes this a tricky betting race.

🔥 Best Bet: OVER EXCITED 💰 Odds: ~$3.10 ⚡ Won fresh last start and is a filly by Zoustar out of I Am Excited — bred to sprint. One win and a second from three starts and Damian Lane sticking with her is a big endorsement. At just three starts she’s still well ahead of the handicapper and in a race where many are still learning, her experience edge could be decisive.

💎 Best Value: DOUBT TIME 💰 Odds: ~$4.60 💥 Won impressively on debut at Caulfield in soft ground, suggesting he handles the track. By Doubtland and just two starts old, there’s a mountain of upside here. Mark Zahra rides which is a positive and while the step to Group 3 level is a test, he’s shown enough raw talent to suggest he belongs. The price looks fair for a horse with his ceiling.

🏇 Caulfield R9 2400m – Group 1 Sportsbet Caulfield Cup

📝 Race Overview: The great staying test of the spring and a fascinating edition. Cosmic Crusader looms as the horse to beat after his dominant Turnbull Stakes victory, but he rises sharply in weight and has never raced beyond 2000m. Half Yours defends his title but is drawn wide in barrier 7 carrying topweight. The internationals add intrigue with several proven European stayers in the mix.

🔥 Best Bet: COSMIC CRUSADER 💰 Odds: ~$4.80 ⚡ Eleven wins from 22 starts including a brilliant Turnbull Stakes victory three weeks ago where William Pike produced him perfectly. The query is the step to 2400m for the first time, but his racing pattern suggests the trip will suit — he relaxes beautifully and has a devastating turn of foot. William Pike stays on and from barrier 17 he’ll need luck, but Pike is the master at finding a path through traffic.

💎 Best Value: ZAHRANN 💰 Odds: ~$8 💥 Four wins from 11 starts with two of those at 2400m — he’s already proven at the trip. He’s drawn ideally in barrier 4 where Ethan Brown can slot into a beautiful position with cover. His Caulfield form is strong — a win and a second from two starts at the track. At these odds he looks outstanding each-way value in a Caulfield Cup that looks more open than the market suggests.

🏇 Caulfield R10 1400m – Group 2 Nationwide Tristarc Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A quality mares’ race to close the card and Concord Connie has the market captivated. Three wins from five starts and impressive every time — she’s clearly the one they all have to beat. The race looks set to be run at a solid tempo which should suit the closers in the field.

🔥 Best Bet: CONCORD CONNIE 💰 Odds: ~$2.50 ⚡ Three wins from five career starts including two at 1400m — this is her trip. The four-year-old mare by Contributer has won at every start this preparation and Jett Stanley has partnered her in all three wins. Her record is impeccable and while the step to Group 2 is a test, she’s the class runner of the field. Hard to go past.

💎 Best Value: SHADHAVAR 💰 Odds: ~$6 💥 Six wins from 17 starts with a strong Caulfield record — two wins and two seconds from four runs at the track. She handles the 1400m well having already won at the trip and Craig Williams is a key jockey booking. At the price she looks a genuine value play — her track form alone makes her a significant each-way threat.

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Last week we found 2 winners from 8 races at Randwick and Flemington.

• TEMPTED (Odds: ~$1.60)
• COSMIC CRUSADER (Odds: ~$7)

The Spring Racing Carnival shifts up a gear this Saturday with one of the most anticipated days on the calendar — Caulfield Guineas Day. Three Group 1 races headline the Caulfield card, headlined by the Group 1 Sportsbet Caulfield Guineas for the three-year-olds, alongside the Group 1 Sportsbet Might And Power and the Group 1 Hyland Race Colours Toorak Handicap.

Over at Rosehill, the Sydney card carries its own quality with the Group 2 Toyota Forklifts Hill Stakes over 1900 metres, the Group 3 Alan Brown Stakes and the Group 3 The Nivison for the mares, plus a competitive Benchmark 78 sprint to close proceedings.

It’s a day loaded with feature racing across both cities. Rosehill sits on a Good 4 surface, while Caulfield is racing on a Soft 6 with light rain about — conditions that will test adaptability and favour those proven on rain-affected ground.

We’ve done the form across all eight races and narrowed it down to our best bets and value plays. Let’s get stuck into it.

🏇 Rosehill R7 1900m – Group 2 Toyota Forklifts Hill Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A weight-for-age affair over 1900 metres with a compact but quality field of nine. The market has a clear opinion with Lindermann holding sway at the top, though a few handy types resume and will be looking to make early-season statements.

🔥 Best Bet: LINDERMANN 💰 Odds: ~$1.95 ⚡ The clear class horse of this field with over $5.3 million in career prizemoney from nine wins and nine placings across 42 starts. Nash Rawiller takes the ride for Chris Waller, and a dominant second-up win this campaign showed what he’s capable of when things click. Hard to go past in a race that suits his profile.

💎 Best Value: KING PEDRO 💰 Odds: ~$14 💥 Resumes off back-to-back wins at the end of his last preparation, and Kerrin McEvoy is an astute booking for John O’Shea. A career record of four wins and six placings from just 16 starts suggests there’s talent here, and at double-figure odds each way he’s worth including.

🏇 Rosehill R8 1400m – Group 3 Alan Brown Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A strong open-quality 1400 metres that has attracted a quality field of 17 after scratchings. Several proven performers clash, and the race should be run at a genuine clip which will suit those settling off the speed.

🔥 Best Bet: SEPALS 💰 Odds: ~$5.25 ⚡ The specialist — all five career wins have come at 1400 metres, and he placed second last start to confirm he’s racing in top order. Jamie Mott rides for Cliff Brown, and with $3.5 million in prizemoney to his name, the class is undeniable at his pet distance.

💎 Best Value: GENERAL SALUTE 💰 Odds: ~$8.50 💥 Won first-up last start at Randwick — always a good sign from the Gerald Ryan and Sterling Alexiou yard. Tim Clark retains the ride, and with five wins and nine placings from 20 career starts, he’s proven he belongs in this grade. Good value at the price.

🏇 Rosehill R9 1200m – Group 3 The Nivison

📝 Race Overview: A mares’ sprint over 1200 metres with a field of 14 after scratchings. The race shapes up as genuinely competitive with the top three in the market separated by less than a dollar, and a fast early speed should set it up for those who can finish strongly.

🔥 Best Bet: SHE’S AN ARTIST 💰 Odds: ~$5 ⚡ Has placed second and third in her last two starts at metropolitan level, showing she’s racing right at her peak. Ciaron Maher and Regan Bayliss combine, and with three wins and three placings from just 10 career starts, the consistency is there for a mare ready to break through.

💎 Best Value: ANNIE’S ROSE 💰 Odds: ~$14 💥 Won last start at Rosehill and boasts six wins from 18 career starts for a 33% strike rate. Kristen Buchanan has this mare in terrific order with two wins from three starts this campaign, and at $14 the market may be underrating a proven Rosehill performer.

🏇 Rosehill R10 1100m – Chandon Handicap (Bm78)

📝 Race Overview: A competitive short-course handicap to close the Rosehill card, with the field trimmed to 12 after scratchings. Fierce dominates the market but must overcome some capable types at the weights.

🔥 Best Bet: FIERCE 💰 Odds: ~$2.60 ⚡ A perfect three from three first-up record tells you everything about this Hawkes-trained sprinter. Placed second last start to confirm she’s holding her form this preparation, and Tyler Schiller stays on. With just six career starts for three wins and two seconds, the ceiling is clearly high.

💎 Best Value: ELLIPSIS 💰 Odds: ~$6.25 💥 Resumes with Tommy Berry in the saddle, which always commands attention. Won during her last preparation and has three wins and two placings from nine career starts for Bjorn Baker. At $6.25 each way, she shapes as the value play in a race that could set up for closers if the speed is on early.

🏇 Caulfield R7 2000m – Group 1 Sportsbet Might And Power

📝 Race Overview: A small but select field of six tackles the 2000 metres in this weight-for-age Group 1. The Soft 6 track adds a variable, but the market has spoken clearly with one runner dominating at extremely short odds.

🔥 Best Bet: SHEZA ALIBI 💰 Odds: ~$1.35 ⚡ The price is short but the form demands it — eight wins from just 12 career starts and a perfect record second-up with four wins from four attempts. Won last start to continue an extraordinary run, and the Peter Moody and Katherine Coleman stable have this mare humming. Luke Nolen rides with supreme confidence.

💎 Best Value: BIRDMAN 💰 Odds: ~$4.20 💥 Won last start first-up and brings a strong record at Caulfield with two wins from four starts and two wins from four attempts at 2000 metres. Career earnings of $2.41 million confirm the class, and at $4.20 he shapes as the clear danger if the favourite has any chinks in the armour.

🏇 Caulfield R8 1600m – Group 1 Sportsbet Caulfield Guineas

📝 Race Overview: The race of the day — the $3 million Caulfield Guineas for the three-year-olds over the mile. The three-year-old form this spring has been outstanding, and the market has a clear favourite but several lightly raced types with upside ready to announce themselves.

🔥 Best Bet: WARWOVEN 💰 Odds: ~$2.15 ⚡ Won his last two starts to announce himself as a genuine Guineas contender. Five wins from just eight career starts is a remarkable 62% strike rate, and the Bjorn Baker and Rachel King combination have been in outstanding form this spring. The one to beat.

💎 Best Value: TRON BOLT 💰 Odds: ~$8.50 💥 Rattled off three consecutive wins during his last preparation before a well-earned break, showing he has the class for a race like this. Chris Waller has paired him with Craig Williams for this assignment, and at $8.50 in a Caulfield Guineas, the talent from his previous prep could well surface on the big stage.

🏇 Caulfield R9 1600m – Group 1 Hyland Race Colours Toorak Handicap

📝 Race Overview: A wide-open handicap mile with 15 runners and no horse shorter than $6 in the market. The Toorak is always one of the most competitive Group 1s of the spring, and the Soft 6 surface will play a role in sorting out those who handle the conditions.

🔥 Best Bet: EVAPORATE 💰 Odds: ~$6.50 ⚡ Has a proven record over the mile with three wins from seven starts at 1600 metres, and career prizemoney north of $3.3 million confirms he belongs at the top level. Blake Shinn rides for the Hayes stable, and a win two starts back shows he’s not far away from producing his best in an open race like this.

💎 Best Value: CHANGING COLOURS 💰 Odds: ~$8.50 💥 Four consecutive wins heading into a Group 1 — that kind of momentum is hard to ignore. Lucy Yeomans has this mare flying with seven wins and seven placings from 20 career starts, and while the step up in grade is significant, the formline speaks for itself. Luke Cartwright stays on, and at $8.50 there’s genuine value if the winning streak continues.

🏇 Caulfield R10 1400m – Listed Nationwide Weekend Hussler Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A Listed race over 1400 metres to close out a superb Caulfield card. A large and competitive field of 17 runners, with several proven Caulfield performers looking to stamp their spring credentials.

🔥 Best Bet: HARRY’S YACHT 💰 Odds: ~$5.50 ⚡ The market favourite for good reason — a Caulfield specialist with three wins from six starts at the track. Career record of eight wins from 27 starts for the Corstens stable, and Ben Allen’s association with the horse adds further confidence. Should be running on strongly late.

💎 Best Value: REGAL ZEUS 💰 Odds: ~$9 💥 Won last start and boasts four wins from 10 starts at Caulfield — a genuine track specialist. A warrior with 12 career wins from 39 starts, and at $9 the market is offering a fair price for a proven Caulfield performer who thrives at this track. Daniel Stackhouse retains the ride.

Colossalbet understands the ramifications of gambling beyond your means and has implemented various safeguards to protect our clients and their interests.

Colossalbet works with Gambling Help Online to offer assistance to anyone who is directly or indirectly affected by gambling. If your gambling has become problematic or the behaviour of a loved one has become a concern, Gambling Help Online offers a range of free support and counselling services about problem gambling in a variety of languages and in a safe and anonymous environment. You can contact Gambling Help Online at any time for free and confidential advice and support by:

📞 Calling 1800 858 858

🌐 Visiting their website https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/

Last week we found 4 winners from 8 races across Rosehill and The Valley @ Caulfield!

• LAZZURA (Odds: ~$1.95)
• WARWOVEN (Odds: ~$6.25)
• SKYHOOK (Odds: ~$1.50)
• CHANGING COLOURS (Odds: ~$3.70)

The spring carnival shifts into top gear this Saturday with a pair of Group 1 features headlining an outstanding day of metropolitan racing across two states. It doesn’t get much bigger than this in early October, and we’ve done the form to find our best plays across both cards.

At Randwick, we’ll be covering Races 7 through 10, headlined by the Group 1 Tab Epsom over the mile. The unbeaten Well Written chases history against a quality handicap field, while the Group 2 Metropolitan over 2400m and the Group 2 Premiere Stakes add serious depth to the afternoon.

Across at Flemington, our focus is again Races 7 through 10, featuring the Group 1 Tab Turnbull Stakes over 2000m where Sir Delius looks to cement his spring credentials. The Group 3 Bart Cummings offers a Melbourne Cup ballot exemption and the Group 2 Gilgai Stakes rounds out a quality sprint card.

With two Group 1s and a stack of black-type racing on offer, there’s value to be found if you know where to look. We’ve narrowed down our best bets and value plays — let’s get into it.

🏇 Randwick R7 2400m – Group 2 Asahi Super Dry Metropolitan

📝 Race Overview: A quality staying test over 2400m that will reward fitness and class. Several dual acceptors cloud the final field picture, but the race shapes as a genuine test of stamina with a soft track adding to the challenge. The low draw runners should get every chance.

🔥 Best Bet: AETHELWULF 💰 Odds: ~$2.25 ⚡ The star of this field with five wins from seven career starts and a stunning 71% win rate. His form string reads four wins in succession, including a comfortable victory over 2300m at Newcastle two weeks ago. Steps up markedly in class to Group 2 level, but the way he’s been winning suggests he’s well above that grade. Dual accepted with Flemington but the shorter price here indicates this is the likely target.

💎 Best Value: PINHOLE 💰 Odds: ~$11 💥 Comes in off a last-start win over 1900m at Rosehill just a week ago and looks ready to tackle the 2400m trip. The light weight of 53kg is a significant advantage in a staying handicap, and the addition of a bubble cheeker for the first time could sharpen him up. Four wins from fourteen starts and trained by Chris Waller — each-way value at double figures.

🏇 Randwick R8 1600m – Group 1 Tab Epsom

📝 Race Overview: The feature race of the day and one of the great mile handicaps of the spring. A capacity field of 19 runners ensures a genuine tempo, and the wide draw will be a factor for several of the fancied runners. The Soft 5 surface adds another layer to the puzzle.

🔥 Best Bet: WELL WRITTEN 💰 Odds: ~$3.50 ⚡ Simply remarkable — seven starts for seven wins and a perfect 100% strike rate. Won her most recent start over 1400m at Ellerslie in New Zealand four weeks ago and steps up to the mile for the first time, but everything about her record says she’ll handle it. Drawn beautifully in barrier 3 with Zac Lloyd aboard, and the ear muffs go on pre-race again. The best horse in the race on raw ability.

💎 Best Value: ATTICA 💰 Odds: ~$7.50 💥 A lightly raced four-year-old with a 70% place rate from ten career starts. Ran third over 1400m at Randwick four weeks ago and steps up to the mile, which looks the right move based on his racing pattern. Blinkers go on again and the 51.5kg is a featherweight in a Group 1 handicap. Consistent enough to be in the finish at a price.

🏇 Randwick R9 1200m – Group 2 Precise Air Premiere Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A weight-for-age sprint that pits the brilliant Tempted against a quality field of established sprinters. The 1200m trip on a soft track will test speed and stamina in equal measure, and this could be a race where class tells over conditions.

🔥 Best Bet: TEMPTED 💰 Odds: ~$1.60 ⚡ Short but deserving — eight wins from thirteen starts at a 62% strike rate, with a staggering 92% place rate. Won her last start over 1000m at Randwick four weeks ago and the step to 1200m holds no fears given her record. The dominant mare of her generation and the one they all have to beat.

💎 Best Value: HEADWALL 💰 Odds: ~$10 💥 A model of consistency with an 85% place rate from twenty career starts — seven wins, six seconds and four thirds. Was fifth over 1100m at Randwick last start but the step back to 1200m is ideal, and his record suggests he’ll be in the finish regardless of conditions. At double figures, he’s worth an each-way play in a race where second and third pay well.

🏇 Randwick R10 1200m – Tab One Pool Handicap (Bm94)

📝 Race Overview: A competitive benchmark sprint to close the Randwick card. A wide-open affair with a large field of 18 plus emergencies, and the sort of race where a good barrier and light weight can make all the difference. Expect a strong tempo with plenty of speed drawn inside.

🔥 Best Bet: THEBLADE 💰 Odds: ~$4.60 ⚡ Won his last start impressively over 1200m at Rosehill three weeks ago and has five wins from twelve starts at a 42% strike rate. The form string shows he’s come right this preparation, and the 55.5kg gives him a genuine weight advantage against some of the more exposed runners. Drawn in barrier 5, which should allow him to settle in a lovely position just off the speed.

💎 Best Value: NEPO BABY 💰 Odds: ~$10 💥 A lightly raced four-year-old mare with a 75% place rate from eight career starts — two wins and four placings. Was seventh over the shorter 1100m last start at Randwick, but the step to 1200m suits her racing pattern. At $10 in a wide-open handicap with that place strike, she’s a genuine each-way proposition.

🏇 Flemington R7 2520m – Group 3 The Lexus Bart Cummings

📝 Race Overview: The Melbourne Cup ballot-exempt staying feature that always attracts a strong field of staying types chasing the golden ticket. At 2520m on a Good 3, the race rewards proven stayers with tactical speed, and several runners here have one eye on the first Tuesday in November.

🔥 Best Bet: JENNIVAMOOSE 💰 Odds: ~$8 ⚡ A proven stayer who has placed in three of her last four starts, including a third over 2500m at Flemington just three weeks ago. Her career record of five wins and five thirds from eighteen starts shows she rarely runs a bad race, and the 54kg is a gift in a staying handicap. Maps to get a nice run from barrier 17 with cover, and her 61% place rate speaks for itself.

💎 Best Value: LITZDEEL 💰 Odds: ~$9.50 💥 Ran fifth over 2500m at this track three weeks ago and has the tongue tie coming off for the first time, which is an interesting gear change. Her form reads three wins and five seconds from eighteen starts for a 50% place rate, and she’s proven at the trip. At $9.50, she offers genuine each-way value in a race where the obvious favourite Aethelwulf is a dual acceptor and may not even start here.

🏇 Flemington R8 2000m – Group 1 Tab Turnbull Stakes

📝 Race Overview: The second Group 1 of the afternoon and a key lead-up to the Cox Plate and Melbourne Cup. A select field of fifteen, and the 2000m at Flemington is a true staying test that rewards class and tactical versatility. This looks a strong edition with genuine depth beyond the favourite.

🔥 Best Bet: SIR DELIUS 💰 Odds: ~$2.90 ⚡ Class tells in Group 1 company and this horse has it in spades — seven wins from fifteen starts at a 47% strike rate and an outstanding 87% place rate. Ran fourth first-up over 1600m at Flemington three weeks ago and the step to 2000m second-up is exactly where he wants to be. Carries top weight of 59kg but has won under big weights before, and Craig Williams in the saddle adds confidence.

💎 Best Value: COSMIC CRUSADER 💰 Odds: ~$6 💥 Ten wins from twenty-one starts at a 48% strike rate and an 81% place rate — numbers that stack up in any company. Ran a strong second over 1800m at Caulfield two weeks ago and the step to 2000m looks ideal. At $6 in a Group 1 with that career record, he represents outstanding value and maps to get every chance from barrier 4 with William Pike aboard.

🏇 Flemington R9 1200m – Group 2 Gilgai Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A quality weight-for-age sprint down the Flemington straight where experience at the course counts for plenty. The open nature of the betting suggests this is a genuinely competitive affair, and the straight-track specialists will have an edge.

🔥 Best Bet: SMOOTH CHINO 💰 Odds: ~$7 ⚡ A brilliant record of seven wins from eleven starts at a 64% strike rate, with a 91% place rate that’s almost unheard of. Ran third over 1100m at Morphettville three weeks ago and steps up to 1200m for the first time this preparation. His consistency is exceptional — he’s only missed a placing once in his career — and at $7 he looks excellent value in a wide-open Group 2.

💎 Best Value: ARKANSAW KID 💰 Odds: ~$9.50 💥 The ultimate place horse — ten seconds from thirty-four career starts tells you everything about his consistency. Ran fourth over 1200m at Flemington three weeks ago and he knows the straight track as well as anyone. At $9.50, the each-way return looks more than fair for a horse with a 59% place rate who has been competitive in this grade before.

🏇 Flemington R10 1400m – Listed Hkjc World Pool Paris Lane Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A Listed 1400m handicap to close out the Flemington card. A competitive field with a wide spread of chances, and the sort of race that rewards current form and fitness over raw class. Several fresh runners add an element of unpredictability.

🔥 Best Bet: TEN COMMANDMENTS 💰 Odds: ~$4.80 ⚡ Won his last start over 1600m at Bairnsdale two weeks ago and has ten wins from thirty-three starts with an impressive recent form string. Three wins from his last six starts shows he’s in a rich vein of form, and the drop from 1600m back to 1400m looks ideal. Drawn in barrier 3, which gives him every chance to settle in a forward position and kick strongly.

💎 Best Value: ENXUTO 💰 Odds: ~$7.50 💥 Ran third over 1200m at Flemington three weeks ago and steps up to 1400m, which looks the right trip. A 52% place rate from thirty-three starts shows durability and consistency, and the synthetic hoof filler comes off for the first time. At $7.50, he’s a genuine each-way chance in an open race with William Pike taking the ride.

Colossalbet understands the ramifications of gambling beyond your means and has implemented various safeguards to protect our clients and their interests.

Colossalbet works with Gambling Help Online to offer assistance to anyone who is directly or indirectly affected by gambling. If your gambling has become problematic or the behaviour of a loved one has become a concern, Gambling Help Online offers a range of free support and counselling services about problem gambling in a variety of languages and in a safe and anonymous environment. You can contact Gambling Help Online at any time for free and confidential advice and support by:

📞 Calling 1800 858 858

🌐 Visiting their website https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/

Last week we found 5 winners from 8 races headlined by a brilliant result across Randwick and Caulfield!

• BIRDMAN (Odds: ~$7)
• ZAHRANN (Odds: ~$3.10)
• BANGKOK HOTTIE (Odds: ~$3.80)
• AUTUMN GLOW (Odds: ~$1.15)
• GOLDEN STRAAND (Odds: ~$5)

The spring carnival is building towards its peak and this weekend delivers a quality double-header across two days. With five winners from eight races last week, we’re in strong form heading into what shapes as one of the best weekends of the season so far.

On Saturday, Rosehill Gardens hosts a blockbuster card headlined by the Group 1 Yulong Golden Rose, the premier three-year-old race of the early spring. We’ll be covering Races 7 through 10, which also feature the Group 2 Golden Pendant for the mares and the Group 2 Shannon Stakes.

Sunday takes us to The Valley @ Caulfield for a terrific nine-race program featuring the Group 1 Ladbrokes Manikato Stakes, where some of the country’s best sprinters clash. The Group 2 Stutt Stakes and Stocks Stakes round out a strong supporting card across Races 6 to 9.

We’ve done the form across all eight races and narrowed down our best bets and value plays for the weekend. Let’s get stuck in.

🏇 Rosehill R7 1400m – Group 2 Racingandsports.Com.Au Golden Pendant

📝 Race Overview: A quality Group 2 for the fillies and mares over 1400m, with most of the field resuming or second-up in their spring campaigns. The small field of nine should produce a genuinely run race, and the class runners look hard to beat if they’re close to their best.

🔥 Best Bet: LAZZURA 💰 Odds: ~$2.30 ⚡ The clear top-rater on 115 and a deserved favourite. She’s second-up here after a solid third over 1200m at Rosehill two weeks ago, and her form string shows she won twice during her last preparation before spelling. Six wins from eighteen starts with $1.9 million in earnings tells you this mare performs at the top level, and the step to 1400m second-up looks ideal. James McDonald in the saddle adds further confidence.

💎 Best Value: GANGSTA GRANNY 💰 Odds: ~$5.50 💥 The numbers don’t lie with this mare — five wins and five thirds from just fourteen starts gives her a remarkable 93% place strike rate. She’s third-up after running second over 1200m at Rosehill last time, and she placed in both runs during her last preparation at this stage. At $5.50 she shapes as the each-way standout in the race.

🏇 Rosehill R8 1400m – Group 1 Yulong Golden Rose

📝 Race Overview: The feature of the weekend and one of the great three-year-old races of the spring. A field of thirteen goes around in this Group 1 over 1400m, with several lightly raced types stepping up in class. The Golden Rose often identifies the generation’s star, and there are a few exciting colts in this year’s edition.

🔥 Best Bet: GUEST HOUSE 💰 Odds: ~$2.50 ⚡ Three wins from five career starts and already a $3.5 million earner — the resume speaks for itself. He won impressively first-up over 1100m at Rosehill four weeks ago and his only other second-up run produced a strong win. His form string of 1231×1 shows a horse who has barely put a foot wrong, and at 1400m he should be even better suited. The one to beat.

💎 Best Value: WARWOVEN 💰 Odds: ~$5 💥 Won well last start in an eleven-runner field at Rosehill over 1200m and now steps up to 1400m third-up. Four wins from seven starts at a 57% strike rate, and he draws barrier one which should allow Rachel King to find a lovely position early. He’s honest and progressive, and at $5 he offers genuine value in a Group 1 field.

🏇 Rosehill R9 1500m – Group 2 Hkjc World Pool Shannon Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A strong Group 2 for the older horses over 1500m. The field includes several proven weight-for-age performers and the race should be run at a genuine tempo with a few on-pace runners engaged. Fitness and class will be the deciding factors.

🔥 Best Bet: SKYHOOK 💰 Odds: ~$1.90 ⚡ It’s a short price, but Skyhook is a deserving favourite after his dominant last-start win in a thirteen-runner field at Rosehill over 1300m. He’s second-up now and steps up to 1500m, which should suit a horse with five wins from fourteen starts and over a million dollars in earnings. Still only a four-year-old on the improve, and Kerrin McEvoy keeps the ride.

💎 Best Value: MAGNATEAR 💰 Odds: ~$9 💥 The ultimate each-way horse — seven wins and ten placings from thirty-two career starts tells you he turns up every time. He’s second-up after running second in a thirteen-runner field at Rosehill over 1300m last start, and he gets into this race on just 55kg with barrier one. At $9 he looks excellent value to be in the finish again.

🏇 Rosehill R10 1100m – Tab Handicap (Bm78)

📝 Race Overview: A competitive BM78 sprint to close the Rosehill card. Several runners are resuming from a spell and the race has been weakened by scratchings, but there’s still some nice form on show. Horses who can handle the 1100m dash and hold a forward position should be well suited.

🔥 Best Bet: BANJORA 💰 Odds: ~$4.20 ⚡ Three wins from just five career starts at a 60% strike rate — that’s an outstanding record. He resumes here after a 26-week break, but his form string shows he’s won first-up before and handles the fresh assignment. His previous preparation produced a win and a third from just two runs, and Andrew Bullock takes the ride from barrier twelve. The lightly raced profile suggests there’s upside to come.

💎 Best Value: KIMBERLEY SECRETS 💰 Odds: ~$7.50 💥 Ridiculously consistent — she’s run second in four of her past five starts and her last-ten form reads 22212×2522. Fourth-up now and hardened by three runs this preparation, she gets barrier one and an apprentice’s claim that brings her weight down from 59kg to 56kg. At $7.50 she’s the value runner in a race where she’s been knocking on the door every start.

🏇 The Valley @ Caulfield R6 1600m – Group 2 Msc Signs Stutt Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A quality Group 2 for the three-year-olds over a mile, and the first of the feature races on the Sunday card. Several runners have been building towards this through their spring campaigns, and the step to 1600m will sort out who stays and who doesn’t. A race that often produces a future star.

🔥 Best Bet: LARA ANTIPOVA 💰 Odds: ~$2.60 ⚡ Five wins from six starts is a simply outstanding record, and this filly has done nothing wrong. She’s won her past two starts this preparation including a dominant victory in a fourteen-runner field over 1400m at Flemington two weeks ago. She gets a 2kg weight advantage as a filly and draws barrier four, which should give Zac Lloyd every chance to find the right spot. The step to 1600m is the only question, but her class should carry her through.

💎 Best Value: SOMETHINGS BURNIN’ 💰 Odds: ~$6 💥 Has been competitive in strong company this preparation with a win and two placings from three runs at 1400m at Flemington. Fourth-up now and the step to 1600m looks the right move, with Damien Lane riding for the Chris Waller stable. His career record of one win, one second and two thirds from five starts shows he’s always in the fight, and at $6 he’s a solid each-way play.

🏇 The Valley @ Caulfield R7 1600m – Group 2 Ladbrokes Stocks Stakes

📝 Race Overview: Another strong Group 2, this time restricted to mares over 1600m. The field of twelve has good depth and the race should be a genuine contest. Form from the Flemington and Caulfield tracks gives us a solid guide, and there are a couple of mares in flying form heading into this.

🔥 Best Bet: CHANGING COLOURS 💰 Odds: ~$2.70 ⚡ Has won three consecutive races heading into this, with her form string reading 4111 across her past four runs this preparation. She won over 1600m at Sandown Lakeside three weeks ago and now tackles Group 2 company, but six wins and seven seconds from nineteen starts shows she’s been a consistent performer throughout her career. Ben Shinn retains the ride and she maps to get a good run in transit.

💎 Best Value: TOO DARN DISCREET 💰 Odds: ~$6 💥 The highest-rated runner in the field on 104, she’s second-up after running a strong second in a twelve-runner field over 1400m at Flemington. Seven wins from eighteen starts is an excellent record, and she brings a level of quality that makes her a genuine threat at Group 2 level. At $6 she’s a must-include in the each-way calculations.

🏇 The Valley @ Caulfield R8 1200m – Group 1 Ladbrokes Manikato Stakes

📝 Race Overview: The feature of Sunday’s card and one of the best sprint races of the spring. A field of thirteen includes several Group 1 winners and rising stars, and the 1200m at Caulfield should produce a high-quality contest. Weight-for-age conditions mean the best horse wins on the day.

🔥 Best Bet: BEIWACHT 💰 Odds: ~$3.40 ⚡ The top-rated runner in the field on 117 and a last-start winner over 1400m at Caulfield — the same track he races on here. Only a four-year-old, he’s already banked $2.5 million and his form string of 214x8261x1 shows he’s a winner second-up. He drops back from 1400m to 1200m which should have him sharp, and Nash Rawiller knows him well. The class runner in the race.

💎 Best Value: OLIVEANOTHERDAY 💰 Odds: ~$5.50 💥 Six wins from nine starts at a 67% strike rate is electric form. He won four consecutive races during his last preparation and while his past two runs have produced a first and a fifth, the third-up profile looks ideal. His form through the grades has been outstanding and at $5.50 he represents the best value in what is a cracking Group 1 field.

🏇 The Valley @ Caulfield R9 1440m – LR Sportsbet Testa Rossa Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A Listed race over 1440m to close the day, with an interesting mix of seasoned campaigners and progressive types. The emergency Buccleuch is the market favourite but may not gain a start, which opens the race up considerably. Proven Caulfield form will be a strong advantage here.

🔥 Best Bet: HARRY’S YACHT 💰 Odds: ~$4.40 ⚡ Eight wins from twenty-six starts and a horse who races well when conditions suit. He’s second-up after a fifth over 1100m at Caulfield four weeks ago, and the step to 1440m looks much more his go. His form through previous preparations includes a strong first-up win and consistent placings at this level, and Ben Allen takes the ride from barrier five. A horse who should appreciate the extra ground.

💎 Best Value: HOME RULE 💰 Odds: ~$17 💥 Won his last start in a sixteen-runner field over 1400m at Caulfield — the same course he races on here. At nine years old he’s not getting any younger, but ten wins from forty-two starts shows he’s a horse who finds a way when things fall right. Third-up now with a win and a second from his past two starts, he’s clearly in good order. At $17 he’s an overlay for a horse with course-and-distance form on his side.

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FIVE WINNERS AND COUNTING, CAN WE MAKE IT A SPRING TO REMEMBER?

Last week we found 5 winners from 12 races across Rosehill, Flemington and Doomben!

• SKYHOOK (Odds: ~$2)
• LOSESOMEWINMORE (Odds: ~$12)
• SHEZA ALIBI (Odds: ~$1.55)
• BLAZING HARRY (Odds: ~$6.75)
• POLYGLOT (Odds: ~$3.70)

The spring carnival steps up another gear this Saturday with a pair of quality metropolitan cards at Randwick and Caulfield. Both tracks are loaded with black-type action and the return of some of the country’s best gallopers, and we’re looking to keep the momentum rolling after a strong weekend last time out.

At Caulfield, the Group 1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes over 1400m headlines a stacked card that also features the Group 1 Underwood Stakes over 1800m and the Group 3 Naturalism Stakes over 2000m. The quality across the final four races is outstanding, and with the spring campaigns kicking into gear, there’s plenty of form to unpack.

Over at Randwick, the Group 2 Tea Rose Stakes for three-year-old fillies and the Group 2 Shorts over 1100m are the races to watch. The Hill card also features the Group 2 Sunrise Stakes at the mile and a competitive BM88 sprint to close out proceedings.

We’ve done the form across both meetings and have narrowed down our best bets and value plays for all eight races. Let’s get into it.

🏇 Caulfield R7 1800m – Group 1 Henley Homes Underwood Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A small but select Group 1 field over 1800m with several horses resuming for their spring campaigns. With Aeliana scratched, the race shapes as a genuine contest between the proven weight-for-age performers. The tempo should be genuine with Birdman and Lindermann likely to be prominent.

🔥 Best Bet: COSMIC CRUSADER 💰 Odds: ~$2.40 ⚡ Outstanding record of ten wins from twenty starts with a form string of 133112×113. He won two of his first three starts this preparation and the third last start is no disgrace in strong company. William Pike is a significant booking and at $2.40 he has the form and class to take this Group 1 out.

💎 Best Value: BIRDMAN💰 Odds: ~$4.80 💥 Six wins from twenty-four starts with a form string of 8x411521x6 — his previous preparation yielded three wins and a second from six starts. He resumed with a sixth last start and is expected to improve sharply second-up, as his record through a campaign suggests. At around the $5 mark in a Group 1 with just eight runners, he offers genuine each-way value.

🏇 Caulfield R8 2000m – Group 3 Tobin Brothers Naturalism Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A wide-open staying contest at 2000m with a quality field of middle-distance gallopers stepping out for their spring campaigns. Several runners are resuming or second-up, and the 2000m will sort out those ready to perform. Expect a genuine tempo with enough pace in the race.

🔥 Best Bet: ZAHRANN 💰 Odds: ~$3.70 ⚡ Lightly raced five-year-old with three wins from just nine starts — form of 11217x53x4 shows genuine ability. He gets in with only 55kg from barrier seven and the Ciaron Maher stable has targeted this race with Ethan Brown aboard. At the price he represents the best-value favourite in a wide-open Group 3 where the class runners are carrying more weight.

💎 Best Value: SAINT GEORGE 💰 Odds: ~$5 💥 Six wins from twenty-one starts with a form string of 226114×411 that shows two wins from his last three starts this preparation. He’s hitting form at the right time of the season and handles the 2000m trip well. Mark Zahra is in the saddle for the Ciaron Maher yard, and at $5 he looks over the odds in a competitive Group 3.

🏇 Caulfield R9 1400m – Group 1 Sportsbet Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes

📝 Race Overview: The feature race of the day and a cracking Group 1 handicap over 1400m. A quality field of sprinter-milers with varied racing patterns should produce a strong tempo. The wide draw will be a factor and those that can find a position early without doing too much work will have the advantage.

🔥 Best Bet: LADY SHENANDOAH 💰 Odds: ~$4.80 ⚡ Classy five-year-old mare with five wins and four placings from sixteen starts — her form of 472x3342x4 includes consistent placings when tested at the highest level. Barrier one is a huge advantage in a big Group 1 field over 1400m, and Craig Williams knows her well. Scratched from a Randwick engagement to run here, which suggests the stable has this race circled.

💎 Best Value: REGAL AWARD 💰 Odds: ~$7 💥 Lightly raced four-year-old with three wins from eleven starts and a form string of 412x73517x. He showed his best form third-up last preparation when winning, and gets in with just 52.5kg — the lightest weight in the field. Luke Neindorf is aboard for the Peter and Paul Stokes yard, and at $7 in a competitive Group 1, the weight advantage alone makes him worth an each-way interest.

🏇 Caulfield R10 1400m – IVE Handicap (Bm84)

📝 Race Overview: A competitive BM84 to close the Caulfield card over 1400m. Several emerging types clash with seasoned campaigners, and with multiple emergencies likely to gain starts after scratchings, the final field may shift. Tempo should be solid with enough speed drawn wide.

🔥 Best Bet: FUNDAMENTAL NATURE 💰 Odds: ~$3.70 ⚡ Promising four-year-old mare with three wins from six starts — form of 1138×13 shows she won first-up this preparation before a solid third last start stepping up in grade. Third-up here over 1400m, she looks set to peak at the right time. At the price she shapes as the most reliable runner in a competitive BM84.

💎 Best Value: STEALTH OF NIGHT 💰 Odds: ~$5 💥 Consistent mare with four wins and four placings from ten starts — form of 1x21123x82 reads well for this grade. She improved sharply last start with a second after an eighth on resuming, and gets first-time blinkers here which is an interesting gear change. Her last preparation included two wins and two placings from four starts — she’s proven at this level and maps to be competitive at $5.

🏇 Randwick R7 1400m – Group 2 Grant Burge Tea Rose Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A quality three-year-old fillies race that often shapes the spring for the classic generation. A small but select field with several promising types stepping up to Group 2 level for the first time. The 1400m trip will be the key — who can handle the step up in distance and class?

🔥 Best Bet: CHILLY GIRL 💰 Odds: ~$3.30 ⚡ Two wins from three career starts — form of 1×12 is outstanding. She won first-up this preparation and then finished a close second last start stepping up in grade. Third-up here and with that progressive form, the step to Group 2 level looks well within her reach. Tim Clark in the saddle from barrier two is a strong combination.

💎 Best Value: BANGKOK HOTTIE 💰 Odds: ~$4.80 💥 Three wins from six starts with a form string of 511×321 that shows steady improvement this preparation — third, then second, then a win last start. She’s in peak form heading into this and the David Payne stable targets these fillies’ features well. Kerrin McEvoy from barrier six adds experience to an in-form filly.

🏇 Randwick R8 1600m – Group 2 Seven Sunrise Stakes

📝 Race Overview: A small but high-quality field for this Group 2 mile event, reduced by scratchings. The market suggests this is close to a one-horse race with Autumn Glow dominant at the top of betting, but races still need to be run and Group 2 level is never a formality.

🔥 Best Bet: AUTUMN GLOW 💰 Odds: ~$1.15 ⚡ Simply outstanding — twelve wins from thirteen starts with a form string of 111x1113x1 that speaks for itself. The dominant mare in Australian racing right now, resuming here under James McDonald. Even at the prohibitive price, she’s the clear best bet — the question is not whether she wins, but by how far.

💎 Best Value: GRINGOTTS 💰 Odds: ~$9 💥 Twelve wins from thirty starts and a proven performer at the highest level — his form of 2110x924x3 includes some strong efforts. He won’t beat Autumn Glow, but at $9 he’s the each-way play in a race where the place dividend could be generous if one of the shorter-priced runners underperforms. Nash Rawiller knows him well.

🏇 Randwick R9 1100m – Group 2 Yarraman Park Shorts

📝 Race Overview: A strong sprint at 1100m that draws some of the best short-course gallopers in the land. Several proven Group performers returning for their spring campaigns make this a cracking race to assess. The speed map should produce a genuine tempo with enough pace to ensure a true run.

🔥 Best Bet: HEADWALL 💰 Odds: ~$3.40 ⚡ Seven wins from nineteen starts with a form string of 1x4232x1x2 that shows remarkable consistency — rarely out of the placings. He’s second-up here after a solid second last start and his record of improving with a run under the belt is well established. Barrier five gives Zac Lloyd a nice position to settle, and at the top of the market he looks the one to beat.

💎 Best Value: NINJA 💰 Odds: ~$4.80 💥 Five wins from nine starts is an elite strike rate, and his form of 11x31215x1 includes a win fresh last start. He’s second-up here and the pattern of improvement through a preparation is clear — he won second-up last prep as well. Tom Berry is in the saddle from barrier nine for the Mark Freedman stable.

🏇 Randwick R10 1100m – Nick Moraitis Trophy (Bm88)

📝 Race Overview: A competitive BM88 sprint to close the Randwick card. With scratchings reducing the field, there’s still plenty of depth and a few emerging sprinters looking to make their mark. The 1100m trip should produce a solid tempo from the outset.

🔥 Best Bet: ICE KOOL 💰 Odds: ~$3.80 ⚡ Four wins from six starts is an impressive strike rate — form of 117×114 shows he’s rarely beaten. He won his first two starts this preparation before a fourth last time, and the drop back to 1100m at Randwick looks ideal for a bounce-back run. At the price, he looks well placed to handle BM88 grade.

💎 Best Value: GOLDEN STRAAND 💰 Odds: ~$4 💥 Five wins from eleven starts with a form string of 64115x113x that includes two wins from three starts last preparation. Resumes after a spell and his overall record of five wins from eleven starts suggests he’s well above this grade. At $4 he represents strong value in a BM88 sprint where the favourite may be vulnerable.

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Note: Odds were sourced from Racenet on Wednesday 17 September 2026 and will move before race time. Scratchings and market moves continue up to the jump — always check the final fields before placing any bets.

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Colossalbet understands the ramifications of gambling beyond your means and has implemented various safeguards to protect our clients and their interests.

Colossalbet works with Gambling Help Online to offer assistance to anyone who is directly or indirectly affected by gambling. If your gambling has become problematic or the behaviour of a loved one has become a concern, Gambling Help Online offers a range of free support and counselling services about problem gambling in a variety of languages and in a safe and anonymous environment. You can contact Gambling Help Online at any time for free and confidential advice and support by:

📞 Calling 1800 858 858

🌐 Visiting their website https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/