Queensland’s Winter Carnival hits full flight with a blockbuster Saturday at Eagle Farm. The Group 1 Queensland Oaks, Kingsford Smith Cup, and Queensland Derby headline a stellar meeting that combines elite class, deep fields, and real betting value.
Let’s break down the major features — form, favourites, and a few who can run a bold race at big odds.
🏆 Eagle Farm – Race 7 – Kingsford Smith Cup (G1, 1300m, WFA)
📝 Race Overview:
Sprint stars clash in one of Queensland’s most prestigious sprints, and the field is stacked with Group 1 winners and up-and-comers. Expect a genuinely run race with fireworks from the 600m.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
Joliestar (10) – Odds: $2.60
💥 “Blistering return to racing and maps perfectly from the draw. Already proven at the top level, he can stalk the speed and pounce late. Peak timing for another big win.”
💎 Best Value Bet:
Benedetta (5) – Odds: $7.00
⚡ “High-class mare who just never runs poorly. A touch unlucky last start, she’s better suited at Eagle Farm and should get a lovely run midfield. Dangerous late.”
👀 Roughie Watch:
Rothfire (3) – Odds: $18.00
🔥 “Old warrior with the class to surprise. Won this race in 2020 and showed signs of life last start. Can bob up fresh.”
🐎 Eagle Farm – Race 8 – Queensland Oaks (G1, 2200m, 3YO Fillies SW)
📝 Race Overview:
A full field of 23 fillies line up for this classic, and with varying levels of exposed staying form, tactics will be vital. Many come via the traditional lead-up, but a few lightly raced types add intrigue.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
Philia (16) – Odds: $4.20
💥 “Undefeated in four starts and has Group 1 written all over her. She’s handled tempo, pressure and class rises with ease. With even luck from a wide gate, she’s the one to beat.”
💎 Best Value Bet:
Jenni’s Meadow (1) – Odds: $8.00
⚡ “Ticks every staying box — strong close in the Roses, draws to get a soft run, and looks to be peaking at the right time. Genuine each-way play.”
🧨 Smokey Chance:
Ella Hazel (20) – Odds: $41.00
🔥 “Unlucky in the key lead-up and should appreciate the rise in trip. If they go hard early, she’s one who could flash late at monster odds.”
🎓 Eagle Farm – Race 9 – Queensland Derby (G1, 2400m, 3YO Set Weights)
📝 Race Overview:
This year’s Derby is an open affair. Proven stayers mix with fresh challengers, and there’s no shortage of tactical variance. Expect tempo to build slowly, before turning into a stamina test down the long Eagle Farm straight.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
Statuario (3) – Odds: $5.50
💥 “Hard fit, proven at the trip, and draws to find a spot with cover. He’s been trending toward a peak and brings the right profile to win a classic like this.”
💎 Best Value Bet:
Imperialist (13) – Odds: $13.00
⚡ “Tough, one-paced type who’s bred to stay. Can grind into this from a midfield spot and looks way over the odds given his recent runs.”
🎯 First 4 Filler:
Deep Focus (16) – Odds: $21.00
💥 “Big, scopey type who’s been hitting the line well. 2400m looks ideal, and he’ll be strong late if the tempo’s solid.”
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