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2024 G1 Flemington Newmarket Handicap preview and tips

1. Imperatriz (3):

Imperatriz, the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes winner, is set to make her second-up appearance after a three-month break. In her first-up race, she was the favorite and displayed remarkable prowess by tracking the speed and maintaining a steady pace, ultimately clinching victory by a head at this very track in the G1 Lightning over 1000m. Her previous second-up performance showcased her resilience as she rallied from a disadvantaged position to secure victory at Moonee Valley in the G1 Moir Stks over 1000m. As a star mare, Imperatriz faces a new challenge in this race, and her past achievements speak volumes of her capabilities.

2. Bella Nipotina (4) :

Having claimed victory in the Manikato Stakes, Bella Nipotina is on her second run back after a three-month hiatus. In her recent first-up race, she finished 4th at this track in the G1 Lightning over 1000m, trailing Imperatriz by 0.9 lengths. Bella Nipotina’s previous second-up performance saw her securing the 3rd position at Randwick in the G2 Premiere over 1200m. With her consistent performances, she is anticipated to be a strong contender in the upcoming race.

3. Buenos Noches (8):

Buenos Noches, a multiple Group 1 placegetter, is making her second run back after a three-month break. In her first-up race, she showcased an impressive display by surging from last on the turn to secure the 4th position at Randwick in the G2 Expressway over 1200m. Her previous second-up performance saw her finishing 3rd at Randwick in the G2 The Shorts over 1100m. Buenos Noches’ remarkable comeback in her first-up race indicates her potential to perform well in the upcoming event.

5. Ruthless Dame (2):

Ruthless Dame, the winner of the Robert Sangster Stakes, is returning from a spell. In her last preparation, she finished seventh at Rosehill Golden Eagle over 1500m. Her previous first-up race saw her finishing seventh at Randwick in the G2 The Shorts over 1100m. Ruthless Dame’s past achievements position her as a potential contender for a place in the upcoming race.

6. Magic Time (10):

Magic Time, the winner of the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes, is back from a spell. In her last campaign, she claimed victory at Caulfield in the G1 Rup Clarke over 1400m. Upon resuming, she finished fifth at Caulfield in the G3 The Heath 1100 over 1100m. With her talent and past successes, Magic Time appears to be well-placed for the upcoming race.

7. The Astrologist (12):

The Astrologist, a multiple Group 1 placegetter, faced tough competition in her recent races, finishing second last in the G1 Lightning over 1000m and fifth in the G3 Standish over 1200m. Considering her recent performances, it might be prudent to explore other options in this race.

8. Benedetta (9):

Benedetta, a Group 3 winner, is on her second run back after a four-month break. In her recent first-up race, she made some headway from midfield to secure the fourth position at Caulfield in the G1 Oakleigh Plt over 1100m. Her previous second-up performance saw her clinching victory at Caulfield in the G3 Cockram over 1200m. With her consistent performances, Benedetta could be a contender for a place in the upcoming race.

9. It’sourtime (1):

It’sourtime, a Group 3 winner, is making her first-up appearance. In her last campaign, she finished third at this track in the LR Mss Security over 1200m. Upon resuming, she secured the second position at this track in Bm90 over 1200m. However, uncertainties loom over her chances in this competitive field.

10. Master Fay (8):

Master Fay, a Group 3 winner, is set to make his third-up appearance after a 42-day break. In his recent races, he claimed victory at Tauranga Rating 75 over 1200m and Ellerslie G3 Concorde over 1200m. Despite his winning form, the tough competition in this race presents a significant challenge for Master Fay.

12. Sghirripa (6):

Sghirripa, a Group 3 winner, faced tough competition in his recent races, finishing seventh in the G1 Oakleigh Plt over 1100m and claiming victory at this track in the G3 Standish over 1200m. With a better draw in this race, Sghirripa emerges as a strong each-way hope.

13. Skew Wiff (5):

Skew Wiff, the winner of the Tarzino Trophy, is making her second-up appearance. In her recent races, she finished thirteenth in the G1 Oakleigh Plt over 1100m and claimed victory at Hastings G1 Tarzino Trpy over 1400m. However, her chances in this race appear slim.

14. Cylinder (11):

Cylinder, a multiple Group 2 winner, is on her second-up appearance after a four-month break. In her recent race, she finished sixth in the G1 Lightning over 1000m and claimed victory at Rosehill G2 Run To Rose over 1200m. While she has the potential to improve, the competitive field poses a challenge for Cylinder.

Speed map

Finding early speed or leaders in the upcoming race seems challenging. Imperatriz notably led in the Manikato and the Lightning, but with 58kg, the question arises whether they are willing to take that potential risk. Master Fay showcased speed in a recent Flemington jumpout. Apart from these contenders, identifying a clear frontrunner is difficult. Perhaps The Astrologist could emerge as a possibility?

Tips

1 Imperatriz

A victory here would unquestionably solidify her status as a champion. Her comeback in the Lightning was nothing short of spectacular as she led from start to finish. Despite facing a formidable opponent in Private Eye, she showcased remarkable bravery, finding another gear and finishing strongest to secure the win. If she can carry top weight and triumph in this race, she will undoubtedly reinforce her champion status. However, from a betting perspective, I am hesitant to take this proposition.

3 Buenos Noches

Matty Smith faces a three-week gap between runs since his comeback in the Expressway at Randwick. In that race, I felt he was ridden too conservatively, setting him an almost insurmountable challenge. Despite finishing strongly, he never posed a serious threat for victory. Notably, he has performed well down the straight before and has been specifically prepared for this race. He could prove to be a formidable contender.

Tips (1) – (3)

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