It’s a blockbuster Saturday of racing with Group contests at both Moonee Valley and Randwick. From the speed and drama of the Moir Stakes to the quality middle-distance test of the Chelmsford Stakes, punters are in for a feast. Big names are resuming, spring campaigns are kicking off, and value is on the table.
🏇 Moonee Valley R6 — McMahon’s Dairy McKenzie Stakes (1200m)
📝 Race Overview:
A strong 3YO sprint with several unbeaten gallopers and metro winners clashing. Expect solid tempo with Bacash rolling forward and Planet Red stalking. Rosberg adds intrigue on debut for a stable that won this race last year, while Estremo is the sectional horse who may be charging late.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
ROSBERG (Odds: $5.00)
⚡ “Trialled superbly, including a sharp Cranbourne jumpout, and stable has a history of striking in this exact race. If he handles the pressure of debut day, he can upset.”
💎 Best Value Bet:
BACASH (Odds: $7.00)
💥 “Brings strong metropolitan form with two wins already this prep. His Morphettville Parks victory was full of merit, and from a handy draw he looks the most reliable option.”
🏇 Moonee Valley R7 — Musk Creek Farm Atlantic Jewel Stakes (1200m)
📝 Race Overview:
The fillies take centre stage in a deep contest. Speed looks genuine with Ole Dancer pushing forward, while Southern Heiress and Ferivia take stalking runs. Point Barrow brings upside and form through Bendigo, while Ferivia boasts genuine Group quality.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
FERIVIA (Odds: $6.50)
⚡ “Brings Group race experience and has been ultra-consistent against tougher fields. Her ability to sit on the speed and kick off a hot tempo makes her the standout.”
💎 Best Value Bet:
POINT BARROW (Odds: $12.00)
💥 “Produced a strong win at Bendigo and has the pedigree to step up in class. With natural improvement, she can test the favourites.”
🏇 Moonee Valley R8 — Ranvet So You Think Stakes (1500m)
📝 Race Overview:
A quality spring lead-up where class filly Zardozi resumes. Desert Lightning has race fitness and maps well near the speed, while Attrition and Adelaide River are expected to improve into their second runs.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
DESERT LIGHTNING (Odds: $2.50)
⚡ “Has a fitness edge after a strong winter campaign and should be in the firing line throughout. If Zardozi is a touch soft first-up, he can capitalise.”
💎 Best Value Bet:
ZARDOZI (Odds: $6.00)
💥 “Resumes with 55kg after an excellent juvenile campaign. Her Sydney trials have been sharp, and she looks perfectly placed to return with a win.”
🏇 Moonee Valley R9 — Charter Keck Cramer Moir Stakes (1000m)
📝 Race Overview:
The first Group 1 sprint of the season promises fireworks. Midwest, Alabama Lass and Esha inject speed, setting it up for swoopers. Niance and La Dorada resume with quality form, while Arabian Summer has the profile of a giant-killer in a high-pressure race.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
NIANCE (Odds: $7.00)
⚡ “A proven Group-class mare with a faultless preparation last time in. Her trials have been sharp, and she has the class to win fresh.”
💎 Best Value Bet:
ARABIAN SUMMER (Odds: $20.00)
💥 “Thrives in brutally run sprints and gets her preferred scenario here. If the leaders overdo it, she’s the one charging late at double-figure odds.”
🏇 Randwick R7 — Asahi Super Dry Chelmsford Stakes (1600m)
📝 Race Overview:
A traditional spring mile with several resuming stars. Sir Delius brings strong trial form and should settle handy. Robusto loves Randwick and looks a danger, while Arapaho and Ceolwulf bring depth second-up.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
SIR DELIUS (Odds: $4.50)
⚡ “Trialled well and should appreciate stepping to the mile. Maps beautifully to stalk the leaders and has the class to strike fresh.”
💎 Best Value Bet:
ROBUSTO (Odds: $14.00)
💥 “Proven at Randwick and fit from recent racing. His on-pace style gives him every chance to control his own luck.”
🏇 Randwick R8 — Kia Ora Concorde Stakes (1000m)
📝 Race Overview:
A high-class sprint featuring Jimmysstar resuming after his Oakleigh Plate heroics. Lady Shenandoah returns in terrific order, while Headwall has the consistency and toughness to be in the finish. Expect fast early fractions with the backmarkers charging late.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
HEADWALL (Odds: $4.80)
⚡ “Tough and consistent sprinter who handles different conditions. If Jimmysstar misses a beat fresh, he’s the one to pounce.”
💎 Best Value Bet:
JIMMYSSTAR (Odds: $6.00)
💥 “A first-up machine who blew them away to start last prep. Despite being untested at 1000m, his class and turn of foot make him the clear top pick.”
🏇 Randwick R9 — Drinkwise Tramway Stakes (1400m)
📝 Race Overview:
Always a fascinating race with a mix of fit runners and resumers. Private Eye is the proven Group 1 horse, With Your Blessing brings race fitness, and Linebacker resumes off sharp trials.
🔥 Best to Back Tip:
PRIVATE EYE (Odds: $3.50)
⚡ “A proven Group 1 star who has been one of the country’s best for several seasons. Fresh form is excellent and he looks a class above..”
💎 Best Value Bet:
WITH YOUR BLESSING (Odds: $26.00)
💥 “Third-up and fit, he’s been racing well in strong company. Brings value for those looking away from the obvious.”
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