SPRING CARNIVAL HEATS UP, CAN WE KEEP FINDING WINNERS?
Last week we found 3 winners from 6 races headlined by a nice result in the Winx Stakes!
- TEMPTED (Odds: ~$1.95)
- THE MONA LISA (Odds: ~$7.50)
- EVAPORATE (Odds: ~$2)
The spring carnival is building momentum and Saturday serves up another outstanding day of racing across three metropolitan meetings. Quality is spread right across the cards, with black-type racing in Sydney and Melbourne headlined by a Group 1 at Flemington, and a competitive program up in Brisbane to round out the afternoon.
At Rosehill Gardens, three Group 2 contests take centre stage as the spring three-year-old and sprinting divisions begin to take shape. The Run To The Rose is the stepping stone to the Golden Rose, the Sheraco Stakes brings together a quality field of mares, and the Theo Marks Stakes assembles an exciting mix of sprinter-milers resuming for the spring. It’s a card packed with early-season form indicators.
Over at Flemington, the Group 1 Crown Makybe Diva Stakes over 1600m is the centrepiece of the day. It’s a weight-for-age contest that has attracted several proven performers and sets the scene for the deeper spring carnival ahead. The Group 2 Bobbie Lewis Quality and the Group 2 Let’s Elope Stakes for mares round out a strong supporting card.
Up at Doomben, the focus shifts to competitive handicap racing on a Soft 5 surface, with a mix of in-form gallopers and rising types looking to stake their claims early in the Queensland spring. We’ve done the form across twelve races and narrowed down our best bets and value plays for every one of them.
🏇 Rosehill R7 1200m – Group 2 Irresistible Pools Sheraco Stakes
📝 Race Overview: A quality mares’ sprint that will be run at genuine tempo with several on-pace runners drawn wide. The key will be finding the right balance between speed and cover from a tricky set of barriers, and the class runners should be able to assert late.
🔥 Best Bet: LAZZURA💰 Odds: ~$3.30 ⚡ Resumes here off a strong autumn campaign that culminated in a last-start second over 1400m at Randwick. Her career record of 17 starts for 6 wins at 35% strike rate is strong for this grade, and with James McDonald aboard from barrier 5, she maps to settle just off the speed and finish over the top of them.
💎 Best Value: PLAINTIFF 💰 Odds: ~$10 💥 The lightly raced star of this field with a remarkable record of 5 starts for 4 wins and a second — she’s never missed the top two. Resumes here with blinkers coming off for the first time and winkers going on again, a gear change that could see her settle more kindly. At double figures for a mare with an 80% win strike rate, she looks outstanding value.
🏇 Rosehill R8 1200m – Group 2 Yulong Run To The Rose
📝 Race Overview: The key Golden Rose lead-up and the three-year-old race of the day. The unbeaten St Gotthard dominates the market and for good reason, but there’s depth in this field with several promising types resuming. The 1200m suits the speed horses and tempo should be genuine.
🔥 Best Bet: ST GOTTHARD 💰 Odds: ~$2.70 ⚡ The standout three-year-old in the race with a perfect record of two wins from two starts. Resumes first-up here for Chris Waller with James McDonald aboard, and the combination of unbeaten form, a top jockey and a trainer who excels with spring three-year-olds makes him very hard to beat. Barrier 4 gives him a nice position to settle handy.
💎 Best Value: CENTRAL EUROPE 💰 Odds: ~$6 💥 Has placed in all three career starts — second on debut then third at his next two — giving him a 100% place strike rate. Returns second-up here for Chris Waller after a last-start third over 1100m at Rosehill, and the step to 1200m looks the right move for a colt who has been crying out for a touch more ground. At $6 he shapes as a strong each-way play.
🏇 Rosehill R9 1300m – Group 2 Toyota Forklifts Theo Marks Stakes
📝 Race Overview: A fascinating race with a quality field of sprinter-milers resuming for the spring. The 1300m suits both those coming off a first-up 1200m run and fresh horses with natural speed. Expect a strong tempo with several runners wanting to press forward, which should set the race up for those with a turn of foot.
🔥 Best Bet: SKYHOOK 💰 Odds: ~$3 ⚡ The class runner in this field with a career record of 13 starts for 4 wins and a 62% place strike rate. His last preparation finished with an impressive win over 1600m at Flemington 13 weeks ago, and the drop back to 1300m first-up suits a horse who has shown sharp tactical speed. Drawn wide in barrier 15, but his class should carry him through.
💎 Best Value: MIDNIGHT IN TOKYO 💰 Odds: ~$7.50 💥 Won her last start over 1200m at Randwick three weeks ago and brings a strong 59% place strike rate from 37 starts into this contest. The step to 1300m looks ideal for a mare who has won 9 races across all distances, and she gets in well at the weights with 56kg. At the price she’s a genuine threat to the favourite in what looks an open race.
🏇 Rosehill R10 1200m – Rosehill Bowling Club Handicap (BM88)
📝 Race Overview: A competitive sprint handicap to close the Rosehill card. Several second-up runners feature prominently and the inside draws look advantageous over the 1200m course. This is a race where recent winning form and barrier position will be key factors.
🔥 Best Bet: RUINATION 💰 Odds: ~$3.40 ⚡ Returns second-up here after a dominant first-up win over 1100m at Canterbury two weeks ago. His career record of 7 starts for 3 wins at 43% strike rate marks him as a horse on the rise, and the step to 1200m second-up looks ideal. Drawn barrier 3 with Tim Berry aboard, he should settle handy and prove hard to beat.
💎 Best Value: EAGLE EXPRESS 💰 Odds: ~$5 💥 Another second-up runner coming off a first-up win over 1200m at Rosehill four weeks ago. Her career record of 21 starts for 5 wins shows she’s proven at this level, and the 57% place strike rate says she rarely runs a bad race. From the inside draw in barrier 1 she maps to get a lovely run on the fence and is a strong each-way chance.
🏇 Flemington R7 1200m – Group 2 Hkjc World Pool Bobbie Lewis Quality
📝 Race Overview: A strong sprint down the Flemington straight with the dominant Oliveanotherday heading the market at prohibitive odds. The straight-track factor is always significant here and proven form down the course matters. Several resuming runners add intrigue to the race behind the star.
🔥 Best Bet: OLIVEANOTHERDAY 💰 Odds: ~$1.70 ⚡ The standout performer in the field with a remarkable career record of 8 starts for 6 wins at 75% strike rate. Returns second-up after winning his last start over 1100m at Caulfield, and his form string of 214x1111x1 — four straight wins heading into this — speaks to his class. He’s short in the market for a reason and looks near-impossible to beat.
💎 Best Value: LOSESOMEWINMORE 💰 Odds: ~$10 💥 A proven performer with 7 wins from 17 starts at a 41% strike rate and 65% place rate, showing he’s a consistent threat at this level. His recent form line reads 2411×01453, and with a last-start third over 1200m at Sandown he looks ready to produce a peak effort. At double-figure odds in a Group 2 sprint, he offers genuine each-way value against a dominant favourite.
🏇 Flemington R8 1600m – Group 1 Crown Makybe Diva Stakes
📝 Race Overview: The race of the day and the first Group 1 over the mile at Flemington this spring. A weight-for-age contest that pits the brilliant Sheza Alibi against proven older performers in what should be a genuine test of class. The 1600m is a trip that rewards tactical speed and quality, and this looks a race to savour.
🔥 Best Bet: SHEZA ALIBI 💰 Odds: ~$1.70 ⚡ The class mare of the field with a stunning record of 11 starts for 7 wins, 3 seconds and a third — she’s never missed the top three. Returns second-up after a last-start second over 1400m at Randwick, and the step to 1600m looks ideal. With Luke Nolen aboard and a 64% win strike rate, she looks exceptionally hard to beat at weight-for-age.
💎 Best Value: SIR DELIUS 💰 Odds: ~$4.60 💥 A genuine weight-for-age performer with a career record of 14 starts for 7 wins at 50% strike rate and an incredible 93% place strike rate — he’s only missed the top three once in 14 starts. Resumes here after a last-start win over 2000m at Randwick 22 weeks ago. The query is fitness first-up at the mile, but his class is undeniable and at the price he offers real value against the favourite.
🏇 Flemington R9 1400m – Group 2 Asahi Super Dry Let’s Elope Stakes
📝 Race Overview: A quality mares’ race over 1400m that will test both form and fitness. Several runners are having their first or second run back from a spell, and the race should be run at a solid tempo with a genuine test of closing speed in the straight.
🔥 Best Bet: GOLD COAST BELLE 💰 Odds: ~$2.40 ⚡ The star of this field with a remarkable record of 7 starts for 5 wins at 71% strike rate and 100% place strike rate — she’s never missed the top three. Resumes first-up after a last-start win over 1300m at Sandown Lakeside. The step to 1400m at Flemington is a test, but her record suggests she’s well above this grade and she has the class to handle it.
💎 Best Value: SALTY PEARL 💰 Odds: ~$6 💥 A mare with an outstanding 80% place strike rate from 15 starts, showing she’s remarkably consistent. Returns second-up here after a last-start third over 1200m at Caulfield, and the step to 1400m looks the right move. Her form string of 1x323135x3 shows she rarely runs a bad race, and at $6 she’s a strong each-way proposition.
🏇 Flemington R10 1700m – Ronald Mcdonald House Vic/Tas Trophy (Handicap)
📝 Race Overview: A wide-open handicap over 1700m to close the Flemington card. A large field with plenty of chances makes this a genuine punting puzzle, and the 1700m trip at Flemington often rewards those who can settle midfield and finish strongly in the straight.
🔥 Best Bet: STORM LEOPARD 💰 Odds: ~$3.10 ⚡ The youngest runner in the field at four years of age and looks a horse on the up with a career record of 8 starts for 3 wins at 38% strike rate. His form string of 4121513×5 shows consistent form through his preparations, and he returns second-up here after a last-start fifth over 1400m at Caulfield. The step to 1700m suits and he gets in light with 54kg.
💎 Best Value: JUSTADEEL 💰 Odds: ~$5 💥 Has been building nicely this preparation with a form string reading 314x320x44 showing he’s racing consistently. Gets the services of Jamie Kah from barrier 4, which gives him a perfect position to settle midfield with cover. His 63% place strike rate from 16 starts shows he rarely runs a bad race, and the 1700m trip is right in his range.
🏇 Doomben R7 1350m – Sky Racing Benchmark 72 Handicap
📝 Race Overview: A competitive mid-range handicap on the Soft 5 surface at Doomben. Several runners have recent winning form and the 1350m trip should see a genuine tempo set. Wet-track form will be important and those with proven soft-track records hold an edge.
🔥 Best Bet: LISTEN JANI 💰 Odds: ~$4.40 ⚡ The in-form runner of the field having won three of her past four starts, including a last-start victory over 1600m at Doomben. Her form string of 4×24111 tells the story of a mare who has found her form this preparation. She drops back from 1600m to 1350m here which should see her travel strongly, and her 50% win strike rate from 6 starts is eye-catching.
💎 Best Value: MELDUBIOUS 💰 Odds: ~$5 💥 Comes into this second-up after a last-start second over 1350m at Doomben, which is an ideal lead-in to this race over the same course and distance. His form string of x1044x2512 shows he’s capable of producing sharp efforts when conditions suit, and with 59kg he’s well weighted. The inside barrier draw of 7 should allow him to settle handy.
🏇 Doomben R8 1350m – Higgins Coatings Benchmark 85 Handicap
📝 Race Overview: A step up in class from the previous race with some proven performers in the field. The 1350m at Doomben on the soft surface will test both stamina and tactical ability, and the race looks set to be run at a strong clip with several on-pace runners engaged.
🔥 Best Bet: ZOUPER FUND 💰 Odds: ~$2.90 ⚡ The clear form horse in the field having run second over 1400m at Eagle Farm last start. His career record of 13 starts for 5 wins at 38% strike rate is strong for this grade, and his form string of 1x138x4952 shows he can mix his form but is capable of winning when right. Drawn barrier 2, he maps to get every chance on the fence and should take beating.
💎 Best Value: BLAZING HARRY 💰 Odds: ~$6 💥 Won over this course and distance three weeks ago and backs up here at the same track and trip. His form string of 55×4149221 shows clear improvement through his current preparation, culminating in that strong win last start. Gets in well at the weights with 58kg and an apprentice claim, and the proven Doomben 1350m form is a big tick.
🏇 Doomben R9 1110m – Century Pools Qtis Three-Year-Old Handicap
📝 Race Overview: A three-year-old sprint that is typically a race where raw speed and early tactical position decide the result. Several runners are lightly raced with upside, and the short course at Doomben will reward those who can jump and run. The soft track adds another layer of difficulty for the youngsters.
🔥 Best Bet: COMPEL 💰 Odds: ~$4.60 ⚡ Won impressively on debut over 1200m at Doomben just two weeks ago, showing plenty of natural ability. Her form reads a simple 1 — one start, one win. The drop back to 1110m is no concern as she showed sharp speed on debut, and the quick backup suggests connections are confident she can handle the task.
💎 Best Value: HUGGIE 💰 Odds: ~$7.50 💥 Debuted with a promising second over 1200m at Doomben three weeks ago, finishing behind a smart type. The step down to 1110m should suit a filly who showed good early speed on debut, and the soft track won’t be a concern for a Queensland-trained youngster. With just 52.5kg and the benefit of race experience, she looks well placed at the price.
🏇 Doomben R10 1110m – Ladbrokes Owners Promotion Open Handicap
📝 Race Overview: A quality open sprint to close the Doomben card. Band Of Brothers holds clear top weight and his form on wet tracks will be tested, while several other chances loom at the weights. The 1110m trip at Doomben favours those with tactical speed and the ability to sustain their run through the line.
🔥 Best Bet: BAND OF BROTHERS 💰 Odds: ~$3.40 ⚡ The topweight and class runner of the field with a strong record of 20 starts for 5 wins and a 65% place strike rate. His form string of 231231×291 shows remarkable consistency, and his last-start win over 1200m at Grafton eight weeks ago was dominant. He carries 60kg which is the query, but his class should see him through in an open race.
💎 Best Value: POLYGLOT 💰 Odds: ~$4.20 💥 A consistent performer with a 65% place strike rate from 20 starts. His form string of x824x71813 shows he’s racing well this preparation, with a last-start third over 1000m at Eagle Farm. The step up to 1110m looks ideal and he gets in well at 54kg, a full 6kg less than the topweight. From barrier 1 he maps to get a lovely run on the fence.
Note: Odds were sourced from Racenet on Wednesday 10 September 2026 and will move before race time. Scratchings and market moves continue up to the jump — always check the final fields before placing any bets.
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